NFL WildCard Weekend 2011/2012

[cptkirk321]

Saturday, January 07 2012

1 Nfl 4:30 PM Cincinnati Houston 330 270 310 190 250 38.5 160 180 -3.0
2 Nfl 8:00 PM Detroit NewOrleans 750 520 400 120 140 59.5 160 180 -11.5

Sunday, January 08 2012

3 Nfl 1:00 PM Atlanta NyGiants 320 260 300 200 260 47.5 160 180 -3.0
4 Nfl 4:30 PM Pittsburgh Denver 160 130 380 450 620 34.5 180 160 +9.5

[Kaysee]

Cincy +3
New Orleans -11.5
New York -3
Pittsburgh -9.5

[Carlito Brigante]

If anyone has grabbed the proline sheet this morning, are they offering all four games on props? I have a feeling they won't offer us the Houston/Cinci game due to the status of many key players. This info can't be found on the website.
Thanks!

[cptkirk321]

Houston -3
Cincinnati/Houston over(smaller play)

As I mentioned in another thread

Originally Posted by cptkirk321

You will be happy Saturday evening.

Cincinnati had a nice year but they beat up on the weaklings of the NFL and when they actually had to play teams(playoff type teams) they lost. Last time these two met in Cincinnati, Houston fumbled the ball 3 times and still managed to put up over 400 yards against this Bengals defense and that was minus AJ who was out. Daniels and Kevin Walter were able to be open all friggen day and with AJ back this week, and the running duo threat of Tate and Foster to run play action off Houston should be able to do the same if not more at home. Other side of the ball Cincinnati were not even able to break 300 yards at home against this Texans defense and with this game now back in what should be a friggen loud stadium I don't expect to see much more from this Bengals offense.

Cincinnati defense against teams this year that didn't make the playoffs 17 points against
Cincinnati defense against teams that are in the playoffs 24 points against

Cincinnati against teams that didn't make the playoffs 9-0
Cincinnati against teams that did make the playoffs 0-7


Expect to see a 10+ point win for the Texans this week.

NewOrleans -10.5
Detroit/NewOrleans over

Simply put Detroit finished their year last week with that loss at GreenBay, if they had won they would be facing the Giants and I would of given them a pretty good chance of winning that game but now going into NewOrleans where they have already went this year and lost by double digits I don't expect to see any better this week. Saints are averaging over 40 points/game at home, Saints offense is getting better as the year goes on and right now as I mentioned last week when there was talk that Rodgers wasn't going to play that I said it wouldn't be as much of a factor because the Lions pass defense is atrocious, well it was atrocious and I expect more of the same this week against this Saints passing game. Other side of the ball I don't expect the Saints to completely shut down the Lions offense, but I do expect them to at least control them and make a few stops and that will be the difference IMO.

NYGiants -3

Been going back and forth on this game all week but the more that I have looked into this game the more I am convinced that the Falcons are more of a mirage than the Giants are. Since Atlants bye week they are 6-3 but all 6 of those wins have been against non playoff teams and the three losses have been to playoff teams. On the defensive side of the ball they just don't produce enough pressure and if Eli gets time I believe he can make hay against this Falcons secondary. For the GMen on defense they are finally getting healthy with their front and its not forcing their secondary to hold up for as long and that has made a real difference. I think this will be tight but in the end the GMen pull out the win and cover.

Denver +9
Denver ML +340 (smaller play)

This game is reminding me of another Pittsburgh game. One a few years back when they went into Indy as big dogs to the Colts and all week everybody was talking about the Steelers running the ball to have a chance. What they did when the game actually started was have Big Ben tossing it around all over the field and built up a lead which they hung onto and won the game as the outright dog and went on and won the Super Bowl that year. I have a feeling we might see the same from the Broncos this week that they are going to open up the offense a bit more and let Tebow start to chuck it around a bit more. Elway came out this week and basically said lets get Tebow letting it go and I think they may actually do it to open the run back up again.

Now this is obviously a longshot that the Broncos can pull out the victory and to be honest I felt better about the Chiefs winning against the Packers than I do the Broncos knocking off the Steelers but what in the body of work that the Steelers have this year would give you that much confidence to lay almost double digits with them on the road? So far this year on the road they are averaging less than 16 points/game, Big Ben is basically standing on one leg and is one sack away from Charlie Batch coming in and a team that is 2-6 ATS on the road this year. I don't know about you guys but if I am going to trust a team to cover almost a double digit spread I would feel more comfortable that is from a team that has not averaged less than 16 points/game on the road this year, that doesn't leave alot of room especially since the Broncos defense has played so much better in the second half of the season. Again this is the same Steelers team that last week where the game still meant something to them only managed to score 13 and only beat the Browns by 4, the same Steelers that scored 3 and lost by 17 at SFran, and the same Steelers who scored 13 and only beat the Chiefs by 4 in their past 3 road games.

Again I wouldn't be surprised at all to see the Broncos pull out the win this Sunday but I do think they can keep this within the points.

[cptkirk321]

Originally Posted by Carlito Brigante

If anyone has grabbed the proline sheet this morning, are they offering all four games on props? I have a feeling they won't offer us the Houston/Cinci game due to the status of many key players. This info can't be found on the website.
Thanks!

yes all 4 are offered, Cincinnnati/Houston is on the printed gamelist as are the other 3 games this weekend.

[Carlito Brigante]

Thanks Captn.
All the best this weekend.

[borg]

Cin +3
Det +11.5
Tebow +9.5 . . . . . $10 to win $50


putting a few $$$ on Det-NO props and see how that goes

[TrailerParkBoys]

C'mon Steelers. Praise the lord and F*CK Tebow.

[darth wager]

Saints -11.5
Giants -3
Broncos +9.5

[Leafhatred]

Since the Lions are my team and they royally messed up last week , I may throw a longshot together , thay are paying 5.2 and up to win..
They have not won a playoff game in 20 years lol , so they are due.. I may add Den to the mix and watch that multiplier grow...grow...grow...


And oh ya Wings over the leafs..

[ThaBusdriver]

Originally Posted by Leafhatred

Since the Lions are my team and they royally messed up last week , I may throw a longshot together , thay are paying 5.2 and up to win..
They have not won a playoff game in 20 years lol , so they are due.. I may add Den to the mix and watch that multiplier grow...grow...grow...


And oh ya Wings over the leafs..

Wouldn't a tie be more likely then?

[prolineinto]

Am strongly leaning to the Texans and Saints on Saturday. Leaning to adding the Broncos/Pitt as a 70/30 split on the Sunday but not sure.

For the life of me I don't think I can play the Falcons/Giants game. Falcons play better at home but can exploit this Giants pass defense. That being said, would not want to wager against a pretty much healthy Giants team with Eli looking good the last few weeks.

Anyone with a strong lean on this one?

[SmarterBettor]

Might not be that relevant, but here's the story.

Steelers RB Coach was burned in a house fire.

Steelers RB Coach Hospitalized After Butler County House Fire - News Story - WPXI Pittsburgh

[L Diablo]

Originally Posted by cptkirk321

Houston -3
Cincinnati/Houston over(smaller play)

As I mentioned in another thread




NewOrleans -10.5
Detroit/NewOrleans over

Simply put Detroit finished their year last week with that loss at GreenBay, if they had won they would be facing the Giants and I would of given them a pretty good chance of winning that game but now going into NewOrleans where they have already went this year and lost by double digits I don't expect to see any better this week. Saints are averaging over 40 points/game at home, Saints offense is getting better as the year goes on and right now as I mentioned last week when there was talk that Rodgers wasn't going to play that I said it wouldn't be as much of a factor because the Lions pass defense is atrocious, well it was atrocious and I expect more of the same this week against this Saints passing game. Other side of the ball I don't expect the Saints to completely shut down the Lions offense, but I do expect them to at least control them and make a few stops and that will be the difference IMO.

NYGiants -3

Been going back and forth on this game all week but the more that I have looked into this game the more I am convinced that the Falcons are more of a mirage than the Giants are. Since Atlants bye week they are 6-3 but all 6 of those wins have been against non playoff teams and the three losses have been to playoff teams. On the defensive side of the ball they just don't produce enough pressure and if Eli gets time I believe he can make hay against this Falcons secondary. For the GMen on defense they are finally getting healthy with their front and its not forcing their secondary to hold up for as long and that has made a real difference. I think this will be tight but in the end the GMen pull out the win and cover.

Denver +9
Denver ML +340 (smaller play)

This game is reminding me of another Pittsburgh game. One a few years back when they went into Indy as big dogs to the Colts and all week everybody was talking about the Steelers running the ball to have a chance. What they did when the game actually started was have Big Ben tossing it around all over the field and built up a lead which they hung onto and won the game as the outright dog and went on and won the Super Bowl that year. I have a feeling we might see the same from the Broncos this week that they are going to open up the offense a bit more and let Tebow start to chuck it around a bit more. Elway came out this week and basically said lets get Tebow letting it go and I think they may actually do it to open the run back up again.

Now this is obviously a longshot that the Broncos can pull out the victory and to be honest I felt better about the Chiefs winning against the Packers than I do the Broncos knocking off the Steelers but what in the body of work that the Steelers have this year would give you that much confidence to lay almost double digits with them on the road? So far this year on the road they are averaging less than 16 points/game, Big Ben is basically standing on one leg and is one sack away from Charlie Batch coming in and a team that is 2-6 ATS on the road this year. I don't know about you guys but if I am going to trust a team to cover almost a double digit spread I would feel more comfortable that is from a team that has not averaged less than 16 points/game on the road this year, that doesn't leave alot of room especially since the Broncos defense has played so much better in the second half of the season. Again this is the same Steelers team that last week where the game still meant something to them only managed to score 13 and only beat the Browns by 4, the same Steelers that scored 3 and lost by 17 at SFran, and the same Steelers who scored 13 and only beat the Chiefs by 4 in their past 3 road games.

Again I wouldn't be surprised at all to see the Broncos pull out the win this Sunday but I do think they can keep this within the points.

Love all your picks Captain! But I see a lower score in the Ciny/Hou game, I need to take the under!

[L Diablo]

1 Houston @ 1.90 38.5 U @ 1.80 H -3.0
2 NewOrleans 59.5 O @ 1.60 H -11.5
Will the N.O punter show up to the game today?

3 NyGiants @ 2.00 H -3.0
4 H +9.5