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Old 08-22-2018, 02:16 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Trump odds

Within just minutes on Tuesday afternoon, President Donald Trumpís personal lawyer, Michael Cohen, pleaded guilty to eight charges, and former Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort was found guilty of eight financial crimes.

The courtroom decisions are likely to affect Trump, especially since Cohen claimed he was acting directly under the direction of ďthe candidateĒ in his testimony.

The betting market reacted immediately, with offshore sportsbooks Bovada and 5dimes pulling any Trump-related odds.


Since, Bovada has re-posted two ...

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House in his 1st term?

Yes: 53.5% (-115 odds)
No: 53.5% (-115 odds)

Will Paul Manafort be pardoned by Dec. 31, 2018?

Yes: 25.0% (+300 odds)
No: 80.0% (-400 odds)


These Trump impeachment odds represent a big jump from just a month ago, when both Paddy Power and politics speculation site PredictIt had them at 33.3% (+200 odds).

PredictIt is now at 42.0% for Trump to be impeached in his first term.

That could continue to rise to be more in line with Bovadaís odds over the coming weeks.
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Old 08-22-2018, 04:16 PM
Roma Roma is offline
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impeachgment will always be shaded

Cohen’s claim about Trump may spark calls for impeachment but is unlikely to lead to charges - The Washington Post


Trump impeachment not likely despite Manafort conviction and Cohen plea
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Old 08-22-2018, 04:18 PM
Roma Roma is offline
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perspective

the amount Obama was fined (375k) for his campaign violations, over a million

is ten times more than this puny 30k violation

Obama 2008 campaign fined $375,000 - POLITICO
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Old 08-22-2018, 07:04 PM
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They were not going to try to impeach Obama. That's what this is all about.
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Old 08-22-2018, 07:56 PM
Roma Roma is offline
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its not that Obama should have been impeached its that campaign finance violations have always been treated as nothing burgers, including much bigger violations
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Old 08-22-2018, 09:10 PM
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But that was when Democrats did them. This is Get Trump with anything you can. Even a minor thing is being played as if it is treason so they can impeach. Read Bob's posts, it is all he talks about, when he is not calling anyone who does not agree with him names.
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Old 08-22-2018, 10:17 PM
oldironhead73 oldironhead73 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Roma View Post
perspective

the amount Obama was fined (375k) for his campaign violations, over a million

is ten times more than this puny 30k violation

Obama 2008 campaign fined $375,000 - POLITICO
Perspective

The trump campaign in 2016 was hit by the fec for 1,100 contributions totaling around 1.3 million that violated some finance laws. Just saying. And no I’m not a Hillary supporter. That bitch shouldn’t even be in charge of a pay less shoe.

Last edited by oldironhead73; 08-22-2018 at 10:20 PM.
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Old 08-22-2018, 10:19 PM
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Any never Trumpers putting money down Trump gets impeached in his 1st term?
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Old 08-22-2018, 11:15 PM
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lol, I my point isnt which side commits more campaign finance violations

my point is its always been a slap on the wrist. it wasnt illegal, the only thing illegal was not disclosing it in Cohens case.

the point is its a nothing burger. I expect an October surprise still, maybe from both sides

so far though a special counsel that began on shaky grounds with little evidence and has unlimited resources has gave us 2 tax evasions nothing to do with Russia
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Old 08-23-2018, 02:14 PM
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mybookie ...


Will Melania divorce Trump after his presidency?


Yes -140

No EVEN
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Old 08-23-2018, 03:20 PM
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Will Trump pardon Paul Manafort Dec. 31, 2018?

(odds via Bovada)

August 21: Yes 25% (+300 odds), No 80% (-400 odds)

August 23: Yes 33.3% (+200 odds), No 73.7% (-280 odds)


As you can see, early smart money has come in on Trump pardoning Manafort by yearís end, with the odds increasing from 25% to 33.3%.

At PredictIt, Manafort being pardoned is at 32%, rising from 30% in the past 48 hours.

This movement lines up with Trumpís public support of Manafort via Twitter.


Cohen? Not so much. Paddy Power lists a Cohen pardon at 33-1, which translates to an implied probability of 2.9%.

PredictIt has the chances of a Cohen pardon at only 6%.
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Old 08-31-2018, 07:37 PM
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BetOnline

Will Trump leave office via impeachment?

Yes +300
No -400
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Old 08-31-2018, 11:10 PM
sundance sundance is offline
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Let's do this does trump swallow, Absolutey.

Will trump win again. Hell No!!

Will Trump get
inpeached. Hell no. Slick Willy
out did Trump for BJ in WS but
trump only been in for 2 years.
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Old 08-31-2018, 11:17 PM
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Solid post, keep up the great work.
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Old 09-01-2018, 11:07 PM
sundance sundance is offline
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I will. Lmao
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Old 09-05-2018, 03:14 PM
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The impeachment odds for President Trump skyrocketed a couple of weeks ago following the guilty plea of Michael Cohen (Trumpís longtime personal lawyer) and conviction of Paul Manafort (Trumpís former presidential campaign manager).


And theyíre spiking again on the politics speculation site PredictIt. Trumpís current chances to be impeached sit at 49.0%. Thatís up from 33.3% in mid-to-late July and 42.0% on Aug. 21.

Itís difficult to know what exactly caused the jump this week, but it could be due to the upcoming release of reporter Bob Woodwardís new book, ďFear: Trump in the White House.Ē

According to reports, Woodward details that Trumpís senior aides view him as a national security threat and even resort to removing papers from his desk so he canít see or sign them.

Of course, Trumpís impeachment is also tied to the odds of Democrats winning back the House, which has the sole power of drafting up articles of impeachment. (The Senate has the sole power to remove a president from office.)


PredictIt has the odds of Democrats winning back the House at 70%, and FiveThirtyEightís House model currently has them at 77.3%.

The offshore betting website Bovada had impeachment odds posted following the Cohen and Manafort news, but it has since taken them off the board.

Bovadaís odds were at 53.5% (or -115) back on Aug. 21.
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Old 09-09-2018, 11:13 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sundance View Post
Let's do this does trump swallow, Absolutey.

Will trump win again. Hell No!!

Will Trump get
inpeached. Hell no. Slick Willy
out did Trump for BJ in WS but
trump only been in for 2 years.
Going to be a long eight years for your sorry ass.
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Old 09-11-2018, 08:11 PM
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PredictIt


Will a federal charge against Trump, Jr. be confirmed by year-end 2018?


Yes Forecast: 28% (+2 today)
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Old 09-12-2018, 09:06 PM
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BetDSI


2020 U.S. Presidential Odds


Donald Trump: +150

Kamala Harris: +800

Elizabeth Warren: +1000

Joe Biden: +1200

Bernie Sanders: +1200

Mike Pence: +1600

Michelle Obama: +2000
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Old 09-12-2018, 09:52 PM
satchel27 satchel27 is offline
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What about - Golden Boy?
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Old 09-12-2018, 09:54 PM
satchel27 satchel27 is offline
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Btw, what were the odds of trump on 11/08/16 at about 4pm?

Just curious
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Old 09-15-2018, 09:21 AM
Bozzie Bozzie is offline
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Manaford cooperates

You think Trump was connected to the 75 million flowing in and out of the Manafort/Gates off shore accounts? Or maybe he had his own accounts? Manafort's NY convictions were just the warm up for what will most likely be this dumpster fire of a President downfall.
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Last edited by Bozzie; 09-15-2018 at 09:22 AM.
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Old 09-15-2018, 09:35 AM
Bozzie Bozzie is offline
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Donald Trump is impeached by the House during first term

Yes +100
No -130

BETDSI odds
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Old 09-17-2018, 09:47 AM
Roma Roma is offline
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lol the whole mueller probe is illegal, should have never began

Lisa Page bombshell: FBI couldn’t prove Trump-Russia collusion before Mueller appointment | TheHill
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Old 09-17-2018, 09:48 AM
Roma Roma is offline
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guise its just the warm up, 24 months later, lmao
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Last edited by Roma; 09-17-2018 at 09:49 AM.
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