Draft Day Strategy

[ConstantColorUpor]

Think this year, depending on your drafting position, WR WR is the only way to go. Like last year, the NFL continues to flourish as far as depth at the RB position, while the WR position continues to thin out. Unfortunately, I don't have many options as I got the #1 pick in both my leagues thus far.

I have played with the idea of getting a near guaranteed producer at 1 in Drew Brees (dont laugh yet), however I am not sure if I could live with myself if I passed up on either CJ or AP. My rationale is basically that I can not get the thought out of my head that CJ will hold out, APs running style will catch up to him and they will lighten his load (with Gerhart stealing some goal line carries) and the continuation of split carry backfields will diminish the value of getting the stud #1 back in the first round. And as much as I would get BASHED for taking a qb #1 after the years CJ and AP have had, it seems as if during mocks that this produces the best team, and Brees is the closest thing to a guarantee in the league.

So I am stuck in a conundrum. Being the #1 pick I can't have a strategy until I see what everyone does after my #1 pick, and I have no clue what the **** to do. I would NEVER consider taking a qb 1 under normal circumstances but without the doubt around CJ and my doubts around AP, and the 0 percent chance Brady or Manning get back to me in the 2nd round I am actually considering this.

So what is your draft strategy this year? And is taking Brees #1 THAT bad? On a scale of 1-10 how bad?

[Keith]

I think the strategy depends alot on what number you pick. There are so few true stud RBs, that if you have a pick in the first 3 (CJ, Peterson, MJD) you have to go RB. I think Rice goes # 4. After that, it's likely some combination of Turner, Gore and Andre Johnson.

I pick # 7 in my draft. It's a long way away, but I would be VERY happy to grab Andre Johnson if he was there for me. I would probably go RB in the 2nd round (at pick # 18). Don't laugh, but I would be very happy to grab Ryan Matthews there. I think he has a VERY good year.

[larrylooser]

I think it all depends on your league scoring system i know in my league there is no way you go with a Qb that early as in our league a Td is worth 4 points and you get 1 point per 50 yards passing and -1 for a int. If cj does not holdout i think he is the best bet at #1. AP is a great back but i think alot of his goalline carries go to garheart this year as i do not believe childress has gotten it out of his mind what happened in the nfc championship game. But goodluck to you with your team and whatever you decide.

[Seanie Mac]

load up on RBs and WRs early

dont take a defense until after round 10

dont take a qb until after round 7, i will take my 2 qbs between rds 9-14

if i miss on a top 5 TE ill hold out for awhile

kicker should be 20th round pick

i only reach for WR's, usually 3rd year ones


i create a draft board of where i think players should go. i take the best player avail. usually, and rarely overdraft a player. i prefer to stock up on WR's late in the draft, i found meacham and sims walker late last year

[TheLink]

Constant can you trade down at all? To me it doesn't make sense to draft a QB #1 regardless of the question of AP and CJ. Even if you dropped back to #4 and then swapped your 3rd for his 2nd you could probably get what you want there.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Seanie Mac

dont take a qb until after round 7

in my league, where passing TDs are worth 6 points, and interceptions are only minus 1 point, this is not a successful strategy.

[Windy City Irish]

i usually go RB RB, WR, WR, RB, WR, QB and then fill out the roster. if there is a cant miss QB in round 4-5 then i will take one. also, since i have the 12th pick this year because i won my league last year im probably going to need to grab 2 RB's because by the time it gets back to me there will be nobody left

i take my D and K with my last two picks and i always take the ones with the latest bye week available

[dhunter]

Originally Posted by Keith

I think the strategy depends alot on what number you pick. There are so few true stud RBs, that if you have a pick in the first 3 (CJ, Peterson, MJD) you have to go RB. I think Rice goes # 4. After that, it's likely some combination of Turner, Gore and Andre Johnson.

I pick # 7 in my draft. It's a long way away, but I would be VERY happy to grab Andre Johnson if he was there for me. I would probably go RB in the 2nd round (at pick # 18). Don't laugh, but I would be very happy to grab Ryan Matthews there. I think he has a VERY good year.

what rd you taking slaton this year?

[Keith]

Originally Posted by dhunter

what rd you taking slaton this year?

LOL

we're not going down that road again this year.

[Bisket]

slaton is healthy......

[walk066]

I really don't have a strategy going in. I go in with the mindset of picking the best available player at that spot (besides Def and K) and try to fill out my starters before worrying about backups. I also will reach on some players as I did with Michael Turner in 2008 and Ray Rice in 2009.

I just read a couple different books and pay attention to who is hurt or who is in competition.

I believe people think way to hard and hurt themselves by trying to make the "right" pick. I know people that do mocks drafts to see where players are going. You just can never judge it because everyone is different.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by walk066

I really don't have a strategy going in. I go in with the mindset of picking the best available player at that spot (besides Def and K) and try to fill out my starters before worrying about backups. I also will reach on some players as I did with Michael Turner in 2008 and Ray Rice in 2009.

I just read a couple different books and pay attention to who is hurt or who is in competition.

I believe people think way to hard and hurt themselves by trying to make the "right" pick. I know people that do mocks drafts to see where players are going. You just can never judge it because everyone is different.

you're right walk. So many people are locked into taking an RB in this round, a WR in this round, etc... that they miss out on some serious value. Can never tell what's going to happen until the draft begins. As for me, I go in with a list of players I like for each round that I pick, but I am always willing to deviate if outstanding value falls into my lap.

[walk066]

Originally Posted by Keith

you're right walk. So many people are locked into taking an RB in this round, a WR in this round, etc... that they miss out on some serious value. Can never tell what's going to happen until the draft begins. As for me, I go in with a list of players I like for each round that I pick, but I am always willing to deviate if outstanding value falls into my lap.

Yeah a couple of years ago, if you took anything but a RB in the 1st round you were doomed. Times have changed and WR are becoming more valuable as are QB (depending on the scoring). Since I have the 12th pick in my money league, I'm curious as to what RB might fall that far. The league is a PPR league and also you also get extra value in long TD's. I'm hoping to see Turner or DeAngelo Williams fall to me with the 12th pick. I believe Turner bounces back and Williams can get that long TD even though he is injury prone and has Stewart behind him.

[Ron Mexico]

Late first... Early second you gotta take the top QB's.

In most leagues they out score the top RB by 100pts.

Last year I took Brees late first and Johnson in the second. That worked out pretty good.