Two high powered offenses went down in the Divisional Round last week in Green Bay and New Orleans, although turnovers certainly played a big part for the latter. It’s still a little early to say that defense is dominating these playoffs, especially with New England still alive.

Note the NFL Picks last week went 2-2 ATS with the year-to-date mark at 122-119-7 ATS.

All odds courtesy of Bookmaker.eu

Baltimore (+7) at New England–Sunday 3:00 pm ET

Baltimore (13-4 SU, 8-8-1 ATS) is playing its first AFC title game since the 2008 season, a 23-14 loss at Pittsburgh with a rookie quarterback in Joe Flacco. The franchise’s only Super Bowl appearance came in January 2001, a 34-7 blowout of the Giants behind a dominatingdefense led by Ray Lewis.

Coach John Harbaugh’s team isn’t coming into this game on a high note. They were very lucky to beat Houston at home last week, 20-13. The Texans were playing with a rookie quarterback in T.J. Yates and turned the ball over four times. That proved to be the difference, although failing to ‘cover’ the 7 ½-point spread.

Baltimore only had 227 total yards of offense last week and that won’t cut it against high-powered New England. The now veteran Flacco has the arm to make all the throws and they need to test a Pats’ pass defense that ranked 31^st this year. Running back Ray Rice also needs a good game, but New England will be keying on him.

New England (14-3 SU, 10-7 ATS) is coming off a 45-10 drubbing of Denver as the No. 1 seed. It was a great matchup getting to face Tim Tebow for the second time this season. They weren’t fooled at all by the read-option and made the Broncos look silly.

Tom Brady also threw six TDs last week and 363 yards overall. He needed that performance after New England lost at home in the playoffs the last two years (once to Baltimore). Brady didn’t play well in either and some were questioning whether he still has the ability to deliver in the postseason.

Coach Bill Belichick will stick with the no-huddle offense this week, trying to create mismatches with his great tight end duo of Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez against the Ravens linebackers and safeties.

Brady can’t afford to throw an interception early and he’ll be pressuredall game by a very good Ravens’ pass rush. I think this will be a close game into the fourth quarter before New England pulls away.

Pick: New England(-7)

NY Giants (+2 ½) at San Francisco- Sunday 6:30 pm ET

New York (11-7 SU, 10-7-1 ATS)was the most impressive team of last weekend, even more than New England. That’ because they went to a 15-1 Green Bay team and easily handled them 37-20. The score would have been worse if not for a couple of terrible calls by the officials. They’ve faced elimination their last four games, going 4-0 ATS.

The Giants haven’t won a playoff game since the 2007 season when they shocked undefeated New England in the Super Bowl. They are playing with the same level of confidence with their great pass rush on defense and balanced offense.

Eli Manning is the second-best quarterback left in the playoffs and is capable of great things. He needs to play very well Sunday, but the running game ofAhmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs is also improved after struggling most of the season.

San Francisco (14-3 SU, 13-3-1 ATS) is the small favorite, but only because they’re at home. They’re 8-1 SU and 8-0-1 ATS at Candlestick Park this year, including a 36-32 win over New Orleans last week as 3 ½-point ‘dogs. Quarterback Alex Smith had the game of his life with 299 passing yards and two touchdown drives in the final three minutes.

Smith will need to utilize the short passing game with the G-Men ramped up to stop running back Frank Gore. Gore remarkably had no yards on six carries when the teams met the first time in San Fran in November. The 49ers held on for a 27-20 win despite being outgained in total yards (395-305).

Rain could be a factor on Sunday and it’s supposed to be wet all week before then. Wet conditions would seemingly favor the 49ers, which rely less on the passing game. However, the Giants are used to playing in all conditions and they are playing just a little bit better right now.

I’m taking the points and looking forward to a Patriots and Giants rematch in the Super Bowl.

Pick:NY Giants (+2 ½)