Sorry, not doing it purposely, Just got off work
Ultimately, I really like 3 teams to go over this year and I think all could/should win 11 games
Indianapolis, Buffalo, and Pittsburgh
I had Pittsburgh over 9 last year, and with Big Ben out, they still won 8. Future lines at
5 Dimes has Pittsburgh only a large underdog of +6 at Baltimore and +6 at Dallas. They are or should be favorites in most of the rest.
Besides playing Cincinnati twice, They also play Jacksonville and have
Washington at home. Besides maybe Baltimore and Philly, They should or are favorites in all the rest.
Buffalo will capitalize on a weakened AFC East with New England possibly not being the dominant team of the last several years. Besides the division games, they have 3 tougher games, Kansas City, Seattle, and San Francisco. Two of those are at home. They are hefty favorites in most of their other games.
Ultimately my PICK is Indianapolis Over 9 (-135) at Five Dimes
In a pretty remarkable situation. The largest underdog they will be in ANY game is +3 or maybe +3.5. Their 3 toughest non division games are probably Minnesota, Green Bay, and Baltimore. All are at home.
They play Jacksonville twice, have Cincy at home, NY Jets at home, They are or should be favorites in 7 of their 8 home games.
So my pick is Indy
Also would feel good with Buffalo Over 9 (-115) and Pittsburgh Over 9 (-131)
Will look at a couple unders I like tomorrow, but as you know, I am a overs guy.