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Old 12-01-2020, 08:49 AM
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Mahoning Valley - Race #4
Picks Notes
#1 Totellyouthetruth Held fourth in a similar spot at Thistledown and has won a couple of races over this strip; Ohio-bred has held his own vs. open company.
#3 Winchester Limit Set the pace in his last two and was caught late in each; has shown a lot of speed lately but can revert to a few races on his form in which he showed late interest.
#4 Lazarus Project Was third vs. bottom claimers at Saratoga in July and most recently was fifth at Mountaineer; can improve in his second start for Bernardini.
Race Summary Totellyouthetruth can carve a decent trip just off the pace and will be in a good spot when the front-end battlers lose their edge.

Mahoning Valley - Race #6
Picks Notes
#6 Caloric Has spent much of his time on all-weather surfaces but has done it vs. strong company; was a closing fourth in Turfway's Forego early in the year and has been getting outrun in some tough spots at Presque Isle lately. Half of his four wins came over conventional tracks.
#7 Montauk Cove Looks like the fave after three straight win, the last two vs. solid company; serious front-end threat today.
#8 Big Trip Just missed in his last one at Thistledown and despite the step up in class brings on speed to the game.
Race Summary Caloric has been up against much better and can benefit from a peppy pace in front of him; can be rollling from the back of the pack.

Mahoning Valley - Race #8
Picks Notes
#6 Ohio Munny Was along for fourth vs. similar last time and can improve in his second of the claim by Londono; can be a quality stalker in this spot.
#9 Quality Man Was second in three of his last four and won one three races back; is in good form and has the speed to be dangerous.
#8 Tapaway Turns back from longer races vs. similar and likely will have plenty left for a good rally; dangerous.
Race Summary Ohio Munny can get a good run just off the pace and can get first move on the deep closers.
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