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Old 12-01-2020, 08:50 AM
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1
Picks Notes
#1 Crimson Ride Went evenly most of the way in the debut before fading a bit late, but the added ground should work in her favor with a pedigree that hints she'll handle the trip.
#8 Carry On Claimed out of the $15,000 debut at Keeneland, and she is another with a pedigree to go long. Tough to discount the barn, but I wouldn't be too thrilled about a prohibitive price here.
#7 Little Empire Distant third in the first route try, but she made a big move into the lane that day before flattening, and she may sustain that rally better with that route run under her belt.
Race Summary Crimson Ride is bred to handle the added ground while stretching out, and the price may be fair with Carry On likely to take some cash for a hot barn.

Mountaineer - Race #7
Picks Notes
#7 He's Reckless Has shown better form on the main track, so the surface switch could work in his favor in this spot. Thinking something like the FP tries might do.
#6 Illuminati The one to beat is listed at 3/5 on the ML, and while something like his last might do the trick, he doesn't feel like a 3/5 shot on paper to me, so I'll take a stand against here if he gets bet.
#5 Hero of Perfection Steps up after showing some pace with cheaper, and he may be able to stick around for an underneath piece while showing the way early with the chalk.
Race Summary He's Reckless has some bounce-back potential after a couple of turf tries, and the price may be right with Illuminati likely to take his share of cash.

Mountaineer - Race #8
Picks Notes
#1 Van Damme A couple of pace elements may set things up for this guy to have a run at the leaders in the lane, and he was competitive with similar here last year.
#9 Fleet Irish Easily handled similar in late October in his only local start, and while the rest of his form is nothing to write home about, he proved a good fit with this kind and is a threat with the locals again.
#10 Levanto Surprisingly dull run last time out when showing little at even money, but he's generally a good fit with this kind and can bounce back at a better price today.
Race Summary Van Damme might get the right kind of setup with these from off the pace, and his recent form stacks up nicely with what it'd take to handle these.
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