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  #26  
Old 11-29-2019, 09:47 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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Cincinnati won its last nine games since a 42-0 loss at Ohio State in September; under Fickell, Bearcats are 5-4 ATS as a road underdog, 0-1 TY. Cincy won its last two games by total of five points, scoring 20-15 points. Four of their last five games stayed under. Memphis scored 42.7 ppg in winning last three series games; teams split last four meetings played here. Underdogs covered four of last six series games. Tigers scored 47.4 ppg in winning their last five games; they’re 8-1-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite. Over is 7-1 in their last eight games.
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  #27  
Old 11-29-2019, 09:47 AM
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Washington State scored 103 points in winning its last two games to become bowl eligible, but they’re 3-5 in last eight games, after a 4-0 start. Coogs are 17-6 ATS in last 23 games as a road underdog, 1-1 TY. Five of their last six games went over. Wazzu lost its last six games with Washington, losing last four trips to Seattle. Huskies lost three of last four games, with all three losses by 6 or fewer points; Washington lost its last two home games, to Oregon/Utah; they’re 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite, 2-1 TY.
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Old 11-29-2019, 09:48 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

Friday, November 29

Virginia Tech @ Virginia

Game 315-316
November 29, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
99.041
Virginia
92.716
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 6 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 2 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-2 1/2); Under

Toledo @ Central Michigan

Game 317-318
November 29, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
70.537
Central Michigan
76.910
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 6 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 10 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(+10 1/2); Under

Miami of Ohio @ Ball State

Game 325-326
November 29, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
77.244
Ball State
74.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 2 1/2
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ball State
by 3 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami of Ohio
(+3 1/2); Over

Bowling Green @ Buffalo

Game 313-314
November 29, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
54.411
Buffalo
80.126
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 25 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 29
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(+29); Under

Kent State @ Eastern Michigan

Game 323-324
November 29, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
75.655
Eastern Michigan
75.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
Even
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 4 1/2
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+4 1/2); Over

Texas Tech @ Texas

Game 321-322
November 29, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
93.479
Texas
96.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 3 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 10
63
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(+10); Over

Missouri @ Arkansas

Game 329-330
November 29, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
91.577
Arkansas
70.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 20 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 12
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(-12 1/2); Under

Iowa @ Nebraska

Game 327-328
November 29, 2019 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
103.479
Nebraska
89.879
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 13 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 5 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(-5 1/2); Under

Boise State @ Colorado State

Game 337-338
November 29, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
95.730
Colorado State
78.166
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 17 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 14
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-14); Over

Cincinnati @ Memphis

Game 331-332
November 29, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
91.425
Memphis
98.882
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 7 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 12
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+12); Under

Washington St @ Washington

Game 339-340
November 29, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
91.800
Washington
96.415
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(+7 1/2); Over

West Virginia @ TCU

Game 335-336
November 29, 2019 @ 4:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
85.218
TCU
101.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 16
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 13
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(-13); Over

Arkansas St @ South Alabama

Game 333-334
November 29, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
75.127
South Alabama
68.185
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 7
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 11
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(+11); Under

Appalachian St @ Troy

Game 341-342
November 29, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
90.277
Troy
80.742
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 9 1/2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 13
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(+13); Over

South Florida @ Central Florida

Game 319-320
November 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Florida
74.579
Central Florida
93.902
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 19 1/2
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 23 1/2
63
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(+23 1/2); Over
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  #29  
Old 11-29-2019, 09:52 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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Friday, Nov. 29

Matchup Skinny
Edge

BOWLING GREEN at BUFFALO...Bulls have now covered nine straight at home vs. MAC. Falcs 3-8 vs. line TY, 14-33 since 2016, and 0-5 away TY. Buff has covered last five meetings.
Buffalo, based on team trends.


VIRGINIA TECH at VIRGINIA...No SU wins for Cavs in series since 2003! Hokies have covered last 3 and 11 of last 14 meetings. VPI has covered last 5 and 6 of last 7 this season.
Virginia Tech, based on series and recent trends.


TOLEDO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...McElwain has covered 8 of last 9 this season, and Chips 5-0 vs. spread at Mt. Pleasant. Rockets no covers last six this season (0-5-1).
Central Michigan, based on recent trends.


SOUTH FLORIDA at UCF...”Battle of I-4.” UCF 1-7 vs. spread last eight TY, though was 13-4 vs. spread in 17 previous games, and still 8-5 vs. spread last 13 as host.
Slight to UCF, based on extended trends.


TEXAS TECH at TEXAS...“Tom Herman as chalk” (3-10 last 13 in Big 12 play) not quite as good as “Tom Herman as dog.” Road team has covered last five in series.
Texas Tech, based on team and series road trends.


KENT STATE at EASTERN MICHIGAN...EMU on bit of late-season uptick, 3-1-1 vs. line last five after NIU win. Flashes have covered 5 of last 6 TY and first three on MAC road.
Slight to Kent State, based on recent trends.


MIAMI-OHIO at BALL STATE...RedHawks 22-7 vs. spread last half of reg season since 2014, though Miami didn’t get there vs. Akron last week! RedHawks 6-2 vs. spread last 8 as MAC visitor. Miami has won and covered last two meetings, wins by 21 in each.
Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.


IOWA at NEBRASKA...Huskers 2-9 vs. line TY. Hawkeyes 5-1 last 6 as visiting chalk, and 5-0 SU (3-1 vs. line) last 4 vs. Huskers.
Iowa, based on team trends.


MISSOURI at ARKANSAS...Mizzou skidding on 0-6 spread slide. Home team has covered last five meetings!
Slight to Arkansas, based on series trends.


CINCINNATI at MEMPHIS...Tigers on 11-4-1 spread run at Liberty Bowl, Cincy 5-12 vs. line in second half of reg season under Fickell. Bearcats 1-1 as dog TY, 3-3 since LY in role.
Memphis, based on team trends.


ARKANSAS STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA...USA surprising 5-2 vs. line last seven TY and has covered last four as Sun Belt host. Home team has covered last three in series.
South Alabama, based on team trends.


WEST VIRGINIA at TCU...Neal Brown has covered 3 of 4 as Big 12 visitor. Patterson on 5-14-1 skid as Fort Worth chalk. Mounties have covered last three in series.
West Virginia, based on team trends.


BOISE STATE at COLORADO STATE...Boise 38-18 as visiting chalk since 2009 and Broncos have covered 5 of last 6 in series.
Slight to Boise State, based on team trends.


WASHINGTON STATE at WASHINGTON...Huskies won and covered last five vs. WSU. U-Dub has won last 6 Apple Cups, and Leach no covers last five vs. Huskies after covers in first two.
Washington, based on series trends.


APP STATE at TROY...App 7-4 vs. line TY, 20-7-1 vs. spread since late 2017.
Appalachian State, based on team trends.
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  #30  
Old 11-29-2019, 09:53 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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Betting Recap - Week 13
Joe Williams

College Football Week 13 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 50-14
Against the Spread 31-32-1

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 43-21
Against the Spread 35-28-1

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 29-33-2

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 617-165
Against the Spread 397-373-12

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 499-279
Against the Spread 380-386-12

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 374-399-15

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Florida International (+21, ML +1000) vs. Miami-Florida, 30-24
Colorado (+14, ML +450) vs. Washington, 20-14
Arizona State (+13.5, ML +425) vs. Oregon, 31-28
Nevada (+12, ML +383) at Fresno State, 35-28

The largest favorites to cover

Alabama (-58.5) vs. Western Carolina, 66-3
Auburn (-45.5) vs. Samford, 52-0
North Carolina (-38.5) vs. Mercer, 56-7
Mississippi State (-37) vs. Abilene Christian, 45-7
Kentucky (-30.5) vs. Tennessee-Martin, 50-7

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)
-- Cincinnati grinded out a low-scoring win against visiting Temple, 15-13. It wasn't pretty, but the Bearcats were able to pick up the win and keep their hopes alive for a New Year's Day bowl game. While the Bearcats have won nine in a row straight-up, they're just 1-4 ATS across the past five. The 'under' has connected in three in a row for Cincinnati, and four of the past five. Next up is a date with Memphis. ... As far as the Tigers are concerned, they belted South Florida around by a 49-10 score at the RayJay, winning for the fifth straight weekend while going 4-1 ATS during the span. Perhaps the only surprise in this one is that the 'under' connected, snapping a 7-0 'over' run for Memphis. ... Navy outlasted SMU, 35-28. The Mustangs have dropped two of the past three, while going 0-4 ATS across the past four. The 'under' connected in this one for SMU, too, their first under result after a 9-0-1 'over' run to open the season.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)
-- It wasn't a banner day for the ACC. Miami-Florida suffered an embarrassing loss against Florida International at Marlins Park in Miami, the site of the old Orange Bowl. It was Miami's first win in four meetings with FIU, who actually was the last winner in the old Orange Bowl against North Texas back in 2007. ... Georgia Tech picked up a 28-26 win against North Carolina State on Thursday, 28-26. The line fluctuated tremendously, but if you were holding a Wolfpack ticket +2.5, consider yourself very fortunate. The loss means Dave Doeren's bunch will be watching television during bowl season, as they suffered their seventh loss. ... Wake Forest finished off their sweep of the Tar Heel State, topping Duke, 39-27. The Demon Deacons topped UNC, Elon, N.C. State and Duke, going 4-0 SU/ATS. Overall they're 8-3 SU, but just 3-4 ATS across the past seven. This 'over' result slapped the brakes on a 4-0 'under' streak. The under is 7-2 across the past nine for Wake.

BIG TEN
-- Penn State hung with Ohio State in the 'Shoe before the Buckeyes pulled away for the win, keeping them on track for the Big Ten Championship Game, a potential playoff berth, and what they hope is a national title. After an 8-0 ATS run from Sept. 7 to Nov. 9, the Buckeyes have failed to cover in back-to-back games. ... Michigan had the offense rolling, posting a 39-14 victory at Indiana. Under bettors were pleased by how this one finished up (see below). The Wolverines have won four straight, and covered five in a row, heading into their season-ending showdown against the rival Buckeyes at The Big House next Saturday. ... Minnesota snapped back on track with a 38-22 win at Northwestern. The Golden Gophers moved to 10-1 SU, and they're 7-1 ATS across the past eight after an 0-2-1 ATS start. They'll battle Wisconsin for Paul Bunyan's Axe, and a ticket to the Big Ten title game. ... Illinois suffered a 19-10 loss at Iowa, but they picked up their fifth straight cover as a double-digit underdog. They won't be double-digit 'dogs next week at home against the Wildcats. In fact, the Illini is likely to be favored. They're 3-1 1 SU/2-2 ATS as a favorite this season.

BIG 12
-- Oklahoma hung on for a 28-24 win over TCU, but they failed to cover for the fourth consecutive game, and sixth time in the past seven outings. Next up is the Bedlam rivalry game against Oklahoma State. The Cowboys posted a 20-13 win at West Virginia, winning for the fourth straight game, going 3-0-1 ATS during the span. The 'under' is 3-1 in the past four for OSU, too. ... Baylor posted the 24-10 victory over rival Texas, hanging the Longhorns their fifth loss of the season. The Bears have covered three in a row, and the 'under' has cashed in three of the past four. For the 'Horns, they're 1-3 SU across the past four outings, while going 1-4 ATS across the past five. The 'under' has hit in three in a row for Texas, as they limp into the finale against Texas Tech.

CONFERENCE USA
-- Marshall was tripped up by Charlotte, suffering a costly loss in their pursuit of the East Division title in Conference USA. The 24-13 loss snapped a five-game winning streak by the Thundering Herd. It was the third straight 'under' for the Herd, too. ... For the 49ers, they clinched bowl eligibility for the first time since bumping up to the FBS level. The 49ers have won four straight, recovering from a 2-5 SU/ATS start to go 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS across the past four. The 'under' has cashed in three in a row for Charlotte, too. ... Western Kentucky went down to Southern Miss and surprised the Golden Eagles in Hattiesburg, and it's now a three-way tie atop the West. USM will have to travel to Boca Raton to battle Florida Atlantic next week. The Owls were the beneficiaries of Marshall's loss, and they have to top USM next week to host the Conference USA title game in Boca Raton on Dec. 7. They went to Texas-San Antonio and won 40-26. The Owls have scored 28 or more points in nine straight outings. The non-cover snapped a 3-0 ATS run, but they're still 5-2 ATS across the past seven. ... How about Rice? They earned their first win last week after an 0-9 start, and they won a second straight against North Texas. The 'under' is 3-1 in the past four for the Owls.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)
-- Kent State pushed past Ball State by a 41-38 score as a three-point underdog on Saturday. The Golden Flashes improved to 5-6 SU, and they can attain bowl eligibility at Eastern Michigan next Friday. The Flashes are 3-0 ATS in the past three, and 5-1 ATS in the past six. The 'over' is also a perfect 3-0 over the past three for KSU. ... Miami-Akron wasn't supposed to be that interesting of a game, but it was. The Redhawks already had the East Division sewn up, so perhaps they took their foot off the gas in their mid-week game against the winless Zips. The ended up holding on for the win, but the Zips posted their first cover, snapping an 0-10 ATS skid to open the season. Akron was the last FBS team to earn a cover.

MOUNTAIN WEST
-- The Nevada-Fresno State game was a fun ride. The Wolf Pack fired out to a 14-0 lead as two-touchdown underdogs, but the Bulldogs rattled off 28 unanswered points. Nevada bounced back with 21 unanswered points of their own to win 35-28, picking up their seventh win of the season. They also dealt Fresno their death blow with a seventh loss, meaning no bowl game. ... Hawaii scratched out a 14-11 win over San Diego State, punching their ticket to the Mountain West title game on Dec. 7 at Boise State. The Warriors have won a season-high three in a row, and they have covered in back-to-back games for just the second time this season. ... For the Broncos, they annihilated Utah State by a 56-21 score in Logan. Boise has won four in a row, and covered each of the past two after an 0-3 ATS skid from Oct. 19-Nov. 9. They'll get a rematch with the Warriors in the MWC title game. They won 59-37 as 13-point favorites against Hawaii on the Smurf Turf back on Oct. 12, hitting the 'over'.

PAC-12
-- Oregon-Arizona State was supposed to be just a tune-up for the Ducks, as they carried the flag for the Pac-12. The Ducks were supposed to be a playoff team, but now that's all over. They had a late flurry against Sparky, but Herm Edwards' team held on for the 31-28 win, a crushing blow to the chances for the conference. ... Utah is still alive for a playoff spot, as they hammered Arizona on Senior Night, 35-7. They will likely need help to get an invite to the CFP, however. The Utes are 7-0 SU/ATS since their lone loss of the season at USC back on Sept. 20. ... Speaking of the Trojans, they roughed up UCLA by a 52-35 count. The 'over' cashed in this one, the fifth straight 'over' result for the Trojans. They have won a season-high three in a row, going 2-0-1 ATS during the span. ... The game of the day in the conference might have been on the Palouse, as Oregon State-Washington State combined for 107 total points, with the Cougars edging the Beavers 54-53. The Cougs secured bowl eligibility, while the Beavers need to top the Ducks in the Civil War next week to go bowling.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)
-- Tennessee secured bowl eligibility with a road win at Missouri, 24-20. The Vols opened the season 1-4 SU, but they're now 4-0 SU across the past four, and they have covered six in a row. The 'under' is 5-1 during that six-game span, too. Mizzou can get into the bowl picture with a win at lowly Arkansas next Friday. ... It was 'bye' week for the big boys, as most SEC teams played FCS teams. Boring. ... Georgia-Texas A&M was a big boy battle, though. The Bulldogs held on for a 19-13 win over the Aggies, the first meeting of these teams in the regular season since A&M joined the conference. UGA is 5-0 SU since their stunning loss to South Carolina back on Oct. 12, but they're just 3-3 ATS across the past six. The 'under' is a perfect 6-0 for UGA since then, too. ... LSU roughed up Arkansas by a 56-20 score, but they failed to cover the near six-touchdown number. The Tigers are just 1-3 ATS across the past four, although that lone cover came against 'Bama. The 'over' is 3-0 for LSU in the past three, and 8-3 in their 11 games overall.

SUN BELT
-- Georgia State topped South Alabama in a low-scoring game, 28-15. The Panthers moved to 7-4 SU/6-3-2 ATS. For the Jags, they're a dismal 1-10 SU, but they are still a respectable 5-2 ATS in the past seven. The 'under' is 7-2 across the past nine outings for USA heading into the season finale. ... Louisiana-Monroe edged Coastal Carolina in a high-scoring affair in Myrtle Beach. The Warhawks moved to 5-6 SU, and they can attain bowl eligibility with a win over rival Louisiana next week. ULM will enter that game just 3-8 ATS overall, with the 'over' 3-1 in the past four. ... As far as the Ragin' Cajuns are concerned, they blasted Troy 53-3 for a fifth straight win, going 4-1 ATS during the span. Their only blemishes have come against Mississippi State and Appalachian State. They'll likely face the Mountaineers in the Sun Belt title game if they can get by ULM.

Bad Beats

-- Under bettors were feeling very good about themselves in the Miami-FIU game at Marlins Park. The total was 50.5, and there were just 26 points on the board until Miami scored a touchdown with 8:07 left, cutting FIU's lead to 23-10. Miami struck again with 3:10 to go, cutting the lead to 23-17. Still, there were just three minutes to go with an 11-point cushion. After a failed onside kick, FIU recovered and proceeded to score on a long TD run, making it 30-17 with 2:17 to go. It still should have been OK. However, Miami drove down the field and scored with :31 to go, sending the total over. Some 'cramping' issues by FIU stopped the clock and worked to help Miami, too.

-- The Michigan-Indiana total looked to be a slam-dunk 'over' play. The Wolverines posted 18 points in the third quarter to take a 39-14 lead with a total of 53 on the board. Just needed a score of any kind in the final 16:39 to go over. That score never came. It was a tough push for over bettors, and a fortunate one for those holding under tickets.

-- Under bettors (54.5) in the Oregon-Arizona State couldn't believe their misfortune. We had a total of just 28 points until 8:42 to go, when AZ State booted a field goal to go up 24-7. Still, there were 23 more points to play with. At 7:43, the Ducks quickly scored and closed it to 24-14. About two minutes later, Oregon was in the end zone again, down just 24-21. At 3:54, the biggest blow to under bettors came, as the Sun Devils hit an 81-yard touchdown to make it 31-21. Still, you were covering until Oregon punched one in with 2:04 to go.
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Old 11-29-2019, 09:53 AM
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4th Quarter Covers - Week 13
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the 13th and second-to-last full weekend of the college football season.

Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Georgia Tech (+2) 28, NC State 26: The Yellow Jackets opened as a slight favorite but Thursday afternoon the line flipped to leave the Wolfpack as a slight road favorite in the underwhelming ACC prime time matchup. Georgia Tech came to play with a 14-0 edge early and also delivered a touchdown on a short field in the final minute before halftime. Another score late in the third quarter seemingly put the game away with a 28-10 edge for the Yellow Jackets but early in the fourth quarter NC State was back within one-score down by eight, making the most of an extra opportunity off a fumble. With about five minutes remaining NC State completed a lengthy drive for a touchdown but the two-point conversion attempt failed and Georgia Tech was able run off the remaining time to hold on.

Wyoming (-4) 17, Colorado State 7: The Friday night home favorite line crashed down to -4 from -7 or -6 much of the week and in chilly conditions in Laramie it was a 7-7 tie at halftime. Out of the break Colorado State went for it on 4th-and-short on its own side of the 50 and came up short with Wyoming able to take advantage of the short field for a touchdown drive to lead by seven heading into the fourth quarter. After the aggressive call backfired earlier in the game Mike Bobo opted to try a 50-yard field goal on 4th-and-2 early in the fourth quarter down by seven for a puzzling move that also failed to work out. The Rams later failed going for it on 4th-and-6 just across midfield and also came up short for another missed opportunity. Wyoming added a field goal to lead by 10 and the final Colorado State threat ended in an interception as the Cowboys managed to win and cover despite totaling just 17 points and 273 yards.

Kent State (+3) 41, Ball State 38: In a bowl elimination game Ball State led 24-21 at halftime as a slight road favorite in a game where both teams wound up with big yardage totals. Kent State score 10 points in the third quarter but Ball State answered twice in the fourth to keep the game tied at 31-31 and then 38-38 with four minutes to go. The Flashes were able to work the field and the clock, kicking the game winner with 19 seconds to go for a minor upset, with 6-6 still in reach next week.

Oklahoma State (-7) 20, West Virginia 13: With Spencer Sanders injured, Hawai’i transfer Dru Brown stepped in at quarterback for Oklahoma State. The road favorite trailed in Morgantown through three quarters but consecutive scoring drives put the Cowboys up by seven in the fourth, even with the closing number although much of the week the line was down to -6 and even -5 though it briefly hit as high as -7 early in the week. Needing a touchdown to tie West Virginia was a late threat, reaching the 17-yard-line in the final minutes but the Mountaineers got stuck in a long downs and distances and could not finish the drive.

BYU (-42) 56, Massachusetts 24: The Cougars had a 49-0 edge at halftime and with little at stake in the second half, Massachusetts was able to get a muffed punt for short field to set up a score to get on the board. BYU still led by 46 heading into the fourth quarter and stopped the next UMass drive at the goal line to keep points off the board. The Minutemen would still add two late touchdowns with the game out of hand to secure the underdog cover with the massive price.

Minnesota (-16) 38, Northwestern 22: Tanner Morgan being cleared to play for the Gophers pushed this line upward but the Gophers turned in a 21-0 edge by early in the second quarter. Northwestern would stay in the game however and is was only a 28-16 score through three quarters. Minnesota would add 10 points in the fourth to lead by 22 but with about two minutes to go Northwestern completed a 77-yard drive and down 16 went for two in a key play for some with the late rise on the spread. The conversion failed as Minnesota cleared the number for all but the latest backers who left with a push.

UCF (-8) 34, Tulane 31: UCF had a 31-17 lead through three quarters and a field goal made the margin 17 with about 10 minutes remaining. Tulane didn’t mail it in however and added a touchdown with seven minutes to go. Rather than adding a field goal UCF went for it on 4th down late in the game and didn’t get there, leaving time for the Wave. After an earlier 4th down conversion Tulane faced 4th and goal from the 7 with 26 seconds left down by 10 and converted for the spread-stealing score.

Michigan State (-21) 27, Rutgers 0: Michigan State looked to snap its losing streak and got in front of Rutgers 17-0 by halftime. The Spartans only added a field goal in the third quarter but got the ball right back with an interception. Michigan State added a touchdown four plays later and forced two late Rutgers punts to preserve the shutout and road favorite cover.

Air Force (-24) 44, New Mexico 22: Air Force had only a 14-10 lead at halftime as the heavy favorite cover looked unlikely. The lead was just 21-16 after exchanging touchdowns but a blocked PAT gave Air Force two points after New Mexico’s touchdown. A few minutes later the Falcons hit on a 59-yard pass play to lead by 14. Air Force added two more scores both in the air in the fourth quarter to lead 44-16 but New Mexico would eventually answer with fewer than two minutes remaining. Down 22, the Lobos went for two and failed to leave the margin there at 22 on a spread that climbed from 21 to 24 during the week.

Georgia (-12) 19, Texas A&M 13: Georgia never really got going on offense but managed to lead by 13 into the second half even with only one of four scoring drives going further than 23 yards. Field goals were exchanged as early in the fourth Georgia still led by 13 but the Aggies converted a pair of 3rd-and-longs on the way to a touchdown with 11 minutes remaining. Texas A&M reached the Georgia 43 on a late drive down six but opted to punt on 4th-and-11 with still more than four minutes remaining and three timeouts left but the Bulldogs never gave the ball back.

USC (-12) 52, UCLA 35: USC scored four straight touchdowns in the middle of this game to lead by 24 but UCLA trimmed the margin to 10 by the start of the fourth quarter. Seconds into the final frame USC connected for a 49-yard touchdown to go back up by 17 but UCLA was able to answer. Defensive stops weren’t common in this rivalry game and USC was back in the end zone a few minutes later on the way to amassing 643 yards in the game. Down 17 UCLA went for it on 4th-and-7 in field goal range came up short late in the game leaving the deficit at 17 despite producing 540 yards in the game.

California (-1) 24, Stanford 20: The Game was knotted at 17-17 halfway through the fourth quarter before Stanford connected for a 44-yard field goal with just 2:23 remaining. Chase Garbers led the Bears 75 yards in just six plays, finishing the drive with a 16-yard run to go in front and the Bears held on defense for the win, eliminating Stanford from bowl contention.

Navy (-3) 35, SMU 28: SMU led 21-10 at the half but Navy was within one by the start of the fourth quarter. Just seconds into the fourth the Midshipmen delivered the go-ahead touchdown and got the two-point conversion to lead by seven. SMU didn’t take long to answer hitting a 61-yard touchdown pass but Navy had a 70-yard touchdown run a few minutes later. SMU reached the Navy 12-yard-line in the final minutes before being stopped on 4th-and-4.

UAB (-6) 20, Louisiana Tech 14: The Blazers led 20-7 through three quarters but Louisiana Tech spoiled the cover with a 14-play touchdown drive in the fourth quarter following a UAB interception in the end zone. There was little production either way in the final eight minutes as the final margin landed on six with a push a common result as well and results both ways possible depending on the timing.

New Mexico State (-7) 44, UTEP 35: The Aggies led 21-16 through three quarters before scoring exploded in the fourth. UTEP would briefly take the lead 22-21 but then New Mexico State added the next 16 points including a defensive score to lead by 15. UTEP closed to within eight but The Aggies answered with a 53-yard touchdown run. As time expired UTEP would find the end zone but it wasn’t quite enough with a nine-point final.

Wake Forest (-6) 39, Duke 27: Wake Forest had a convincing yardage edge and a 10-point lead heading into the fourth quarter but Duke was able to stay within striking distance with a touchdown early in the fourth and then held the Demon Deacons to a short field goal. Duke then delivered 98-yard kickoff return touchdown to suddenly take the lead. Wake Forest would answer in only three plays but couldn’t get the conversion and led by just five on a favorite spread that fell from -7 to just -6 by kickoff. Duke wasn’t able to pick up a first down but the defense had a chance to get the ball back as Wake Forest went for it on 4th down just outside of field goal range. An 11-yard run followed and the Demon Deacons were into the end zone two plays later for the 12-point final margin.

Cincinnati (-8) 15, Temple 13: The Bearcats led 13-0 through three quarters in this game despite several scoring chances for Temple in the first three quarters and a substantial production edge for the underdog Owls. The favorite spread for Cincinnati crashed from -10 to -8 on Saturday and the favorite cover still seemed possible after Temple finally got on the board as the PAT was blocked and returned the other way to keep Cincinnati ahead by nine. Temple forced a 3-and-out on defense and converted two third downs on the way to another touchdown to trail by two with seven minutes to go. Cincinnati missed a field goal on the next drive to give the Owls a great shot at the upset. A play after converting a 4th down, Temple quarterback Anthony Russo was intercepted taking a shot into Cincinnati territory as the Bearcats survived to stay perfect in AAC play.

Arkansas State (-1) 38, Georgia Southern 33: Big plays were the name of the game for Arkansas State with four early touchdowns on passes for 27 or more yards plus a 94-yard kickoff return touchdown, taking a 35-10 lead. Georgia Southern produced a massive rushing edge in this game however and while more methodical in its pace, found a way back in the game. A touchdown and a two-point conversion in the third quarter brought the Eagles within 11 and the defense caught a break with a missed Red Wolves field goal. With about five minutes left in the game Georgia Southern scored to climb within five and Arkansas State again missed a kick trying to extend the lead to eight. In the final two minutes Georgia Southern reached the Arkansas State 33-yard-line before taking a sack and a 4th-and-11 scramble netted only 10 yards as the Red Wolves escaped.

LSU (-41) 56, Arkansas 20: Two Arkansas field goals early in the game seemed possibly enough for the underdog cover with a massive spread in this contest. LSU managed two touchdowns late in the first half however and took over in the third quarter, eventually leading by 50 early in the fourth quarter. Arkansas would score twice in the fourth however including a short field score following a successful on-side kick to take the spread win.
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Old 11-29-2019, 10:30 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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Toledo - QB Mitchell Guadagni (undisclosed) & QB Eli Peters (undisclosed) are questionable today versus Central Michigan
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Old 11-29-2019, 10:31 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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Boise St - QB Hank Bachmeier (shoulder) is questionable today versus Colorado St.
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Old 11-29-2019, 10:46 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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Toledo - QB Mitchell Guadagni & QB Eli Peters (undisclosed) have been downgraded to out today versus Central Michigan
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