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Old 12-06-2019, 10:31 AM
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foot Friday 12/6/2019 NCAAF Betting Info

Good Luck and Have A Great Day
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:31 AM
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Friday, 6 December 2019 • 05:00 PM
103 OREGON @ 104 UTAH
Play on UTAH against the spread in All games after playing a conference game
The record is 8 Wins and 0 this season (+8 units)
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:33 AM
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Pac 12 Championship

Utah (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS) vs. Oregon (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS)
Date: Friday, Dec. 6 (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
Venue: Levi's Stadium
Location: Santa Clara, California
Opening Odds: Utah -6.5, Total 50.5

Betting Notes and Trends

-- Oregon and Utah didn’t meet in this year’s regular season, which was rare.

-- In the previous six consecutive years, Oregon has gone 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS against Utah.

-- However, the Utes captured a 32-25 win over the Ducks in the 2018 campaign. The ‘over’ has gone 5-1 during this span.

-- Utah has posted a 4-1 record both SU and ATS on the road, with the lone loss coming to USC (30-23) back in Week 4. Since that win, the Utes closed the season with eight straight wins and covers. -- Oregon went 3-2 both SU and ATS on the road, both losses coming by a combined nine points.

-- The Pac-12 North has gone 7-1 in the first eight Pac-12 title games, which includes Utah losing 10-3 to Washington last season. This was the only conference championship appearance for the Utes.

-- Oregon has earned two trips to the Pac-12 title game, the last visit in 2014. The Ducks have gone 2-0 both SU and ATS in those games and the offense scored 51 and 49 points.

-- The ‘over/under’ has gone 4-4 in the last eight title games but we haven’t seen back-to-back ‘under’ tickets and last year’s combined 13 points between the Utes and Huskies was an easy low side winner.

Preseason Future Odds to win the Pac-12

Utah 7/4
Oregon 13/4
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:33 AM
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UTAH vs. OREGON (Pac-12 title game at Levi;s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA)...Utes soaring, with eight straight wins and covers dating to Sept. 28 win over Washington State. Utah also ”under” 8-3-1 this season. Teams split last six meetings vs. spread. Ducks only 5-11 last 16 vs. spread away from Eugene, 2-8 vs. spread last ten as dog.
Utah, based on team trends.
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:33 AM
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103OREGON -104 UTAH
OREGON is 44-14 ATS (28.6 Units) after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:34 AM
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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, December 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (10 - 2) vs. UTAH (11 - 1) - 12/6/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
UTAH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
UTAH is 123-91 ATS (+22.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
UTAH is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OREGON is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-1 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:34 AM
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NCAAF

Week 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, December 6

Oregon Ducks
Oregon is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oregon's last 15 games
Oregon is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon's last 7 games when playing Utah
Utah Utes
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Utah is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Oregon
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:34 AM
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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 15


Friday, December 6

Oregon @ Utah

Game 103-104
December 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon
102.327
Utah
112.022
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 9 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 6 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-6 1/2); Over
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:34 AM
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Pac-12, Santa Clara, CA
Oregon won seven of last ten games with Utah, losing 32-25 in SLC LY, when Utah blew 19-7 halftime lead, then scored GW TD with 6:48 left. Utes (+5) lost Pac-12 title game 10-3 to Washington LY; they won their last eight games since a 30-23 loss at USC in September. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Oregon won 10 of its last 11 games, losing last road game 31-28 at ASU; Ducks are in Pac-12 title game for first time since their 51-13 (-14) win over Arizona five years ago. Under Cristobal, Oregon is 1-4 ATS as an underdog, 0-1 TY. Four of their last six games went over.
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:35 AM
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Pac-12

No. 14 Oregon Ducks vs. No. 6 Utah Utes (-6.5)

Utah could be the biggest beneficiary of No. 5 Alabama’s loss at Auburn, as that could help Kyle Whittingham’s squad earn a CFP berth – if it wins this Friday night battle. The Utes (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS) are on a torrid 8-0 SU and ATS streak, including Saturday’s 45-15 victory over Colorado laying 27.5 points at home.

Oregon can’t get into the CFP, but a New Year’s Six bowl bid would surely await if it wins this tilt at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. The Ducks (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) were in the CFP hunt until Week 13, when they went to Arizona State as 13-point road favorites and lost outright 31-28. Oregon then notched a lackluster 24-10 home win over Oregon State giving 20.5 points.

“Oregon’s loss definitely hurt the Pac 12’s hopes for a playoff bid, and it’s the reason this line is pushing 7 as opposed to closer to a field goal,” Chaprales said. “Utah has also been a covering machine, and early action has backed the Utes.”

Indeed, after an initial drop to -5.5 late Saturday, Utah was bet back up to the opener of -6.5
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Old 12-06-2019, 10:35 AM
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Pac-12 Championship
Matt Blunt

Oregon vs. Utah
Venue/Location: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
Time/TV: Friday, Dec. 6 (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Utah -6.5, Total 46.5

Having wrrtten Friday night college football betting previews all season, I know that the Pac-12 as a conference likes to showcase their wares on Friday's, and they get to be the lone show in town this week. The conference gets to crown their champion first and make a statement (one way or another) into how the final college football rankings will take shape. A win for Utah and they likely get into the playoff if everything else were to hold as is right now, while an Oregon win opens up the door for the Big 12 specifically, but also some debate.

The pressure is quite thick if you are a Utah fan/backer, and we all know that pressure can burst pipes or create diamonds. Which side of that equation the Utes end up falling on remains to be seen, so let's get right to breaking this game down.

The case for backing Utah in this game centers on them ending up on the “diamonds” end of that pressure equation, as everyone knows this is a must-win for the Utes. Must win doesn't equate to will win though, and even if it did, you've got the whole pesky point spread question of will Utah win by a TD or not to deal with as well. Early action saw Utah get a bump from the opening number, but I have a hunch that was just bettors who were looking to get out ahead of the market. It's easy to assume that Utah will get the majority of support as the week goes on because of the “must win” angle, and the motivational aspect of the Utes needing plenty of “style points” to help their CFB Playoff case.

With that being the likely arc of the betting market for this game, getting the best of the number on Utah meant that early action was necessary, but should this line reach -7 I would expect to see some buyback come Oregon's way. And yet, it's the notion of Utah needing “style points” that is highly intriguing to me in the sense that it's not the side I'm all that considered with, it's the total.

The total has seen nothing but 'under' action since opening at 51, and with the weather forecast projecting a lot of rain in San Francisco for this game, it's likely an early weather related move. But just like “must win” doesn't equal “will win,” rainy weather doesn't equal 'under' especially when you've got a team that's very used to wet weather like Oregon involved. Furthermore, let's revisit this notion of Utah needing “style points” or a dominant win to help further their case to the CFB Playoff selection committee.

If Utah is going to get a dominant win, that means they are going to have plenty of points up on the scoreboard. Utah scored 30 or more points in 10 of their 12 games this year and never fewer then 21. With an average point total of 35.6 per game, we should be able to assume that Utah will put up what, at least 24 points in a blowout win, but most likely more right.

Defensively, the Utes have been great all year in allowing just 11.3 points per game, as only two foes have scored 20 or more against them this season – USC and Washington. Both of those games came on the road for Utah – this isn't a road game, but it's not a home game either – and those two foes were two of the four teams Utah faced in Pac-12 play this year that ended up with a winning record. The other two were Arizona State and California, and Utah did hold them to a combined 3 points, but they were also home games for the Utes.

In other words, the only conference games Utah played this year against an above average (ie winning) team outside of Salt Lake City saw their foes put up at least 28 points against them. And I'm pretty sure that 33-28 win for Utah in Washington had some rainy weather involved as well. Washington and USC scored at least 7 points in seven of those eight quarters played against Utah, so it's not like it was one bad quarter/half filled with mistakes for the Utes either. Those opponents were consistently moving the ball against this stout Utah defense, and as long as Oregon shows up and is interested in playing spoiler, I believe they are capable of doing the same. Speaking of which, everyone knows it's a “must win” spot for Utah, but how about we look at this game from an Oregon perspective.

Oregon's playoff hopes may have died a few weeks back against Arizona State, but winning the conference is still the #1 goal for every program in the country when they begin the season in August. The Ducks have an opportunity to still attain that goal and with the strength of their team being on offense, they'll rely on that side of the ball to try and get the job done. The Ducks know they are far less likely to win a 14-10 style of game here, and the more they are able to move the ball and put up points on Utah, the more the pressure ramps up on the Utes as they start to shift towards the 'pipe bursting' side of the pressure equation. How is that not good for the 'over'?

And let's say Oregon does end up no-showing in this game, knowing that they've got no playoff hopes and QB Justin Herbert is more concerned about protecting his health for his future pro career. Well, they will no show defensively as well in that scenario, and we could see Utah put up 40+ points themselves. The Utes average 35/game as it is, and with rainy weather potentially lending itself to a few turnovers, if they end up coming on the right side of the field, quick points could be put up in a hurry.

Even in that scenario – a Utah blowout win where they score 40+ – this game should sail 'over' the total. I mean, you'd have to go all the way back to November 2007 to find a game where this Oregon program got shut out, and they've only been held to less than 7 points once this entire decade. So even in a no-show effort from the Ducks, they should still find the end zone at least once.

I'm not so sure a no-show effort by the Ducks offense will be in the cards though, as they can still reach their main goal with a win in this game (winning a conference title) and if Herbert is more concerned about his individual future, putting a solid game tape out there against a quality defense like Utah's can only help his cause.

And when you consider that Utah being a defense-first program is not exactly a new phenomenon this year, and these two programs have met every season since 2013 with at least 57 total points scored in all of those contests (5-1 O/U), defensive slugfests just aren't the norm for these two programs. You can easily see why the 'under' got all the early action with the weather forecast and both defenses having solid season long numbers, but the bulk of those numbers have come against sub-par Pac-12 teams – only half the conference finished with a winning record.

These are two quality teams squaring off, and in the majority of scenarios in terms of how this game likely plays out, it's not hard to see points being scored. Sure, I've been wrong on breakdowns like this before (and I will be again), but this total is just far too low now and the best way to bet this game is going on the high side of this total.

Best Bet: Over 46.5
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  #12  
Old 12-06-2019, 02:23 PM
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Oregon - DE Kayvon Thibodeaux (undisclosed) is questionable tonight versus Utah
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