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Old 08-01-2020, 09:13 AM
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hockey Saturday 8/1/2020 NHL Betting Info

Good Luck and Have A Great Day
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:14 AM
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NHL line movement

The Pittsburgh Penguins opened -165 at CG books for their qualifying-round opener against the Montreal Canadiens (+145) at the Eastern Conference bubble in Toronto. By Friday night, there was still no movement on that 8 p.m. ET faceoff.

The Chicago Blackhawks-Edmonton Oilers qualifying-round opener at the Western Conference bubble, in Edmonton, is a popular series at CG books. Edmonton opened -145 and is up to -155, with Chicago +135 for a 3 p.m. ET start.

An all-Canadian qualifying-round clash between the Winnipeg Jets and Calgary Flames is stable at Calgary -115/Winnipeg -105, and the Florida Panthers-New York Islanders qualifying opener is stuck at a -110 pick ‘em.
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:14 AM
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NHL sharp money

Professional dollars at CG books are on the Blackhawks-Oilers opener, according to risk analyst Dave Sharapan.

“The most-bet game of the day. Early sharp money laid -145 with the Oilers,” Sharapan said, noting the rest of Saturday’s games have no notable sharp action.
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:14 AM
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NHL public betting

Sharapan said Pros and Joes are on the same side for Blackhawks-Oilers, as the public is on Edmonton at -155.

“Bets on the Over also keep coming,” Sharapan said, alluding to the total of 6, which has Over priced at -120. “It looks like bettors think Edmonton will have a ‘home-bubble’ advantage.”

Sharapan said the Penguins have seen a “small trickle of bets” from the public. Panthers-Islanders is drawing two-way public action, but CG is heavy to parlays on New York in a 4 p.m. ET contest. And Jets-Flames isn’t catching anybody’s attention yet.

“The lowest-volume game in our books,” Sharapan said of the 10:30 p.m. ET nightcap. “Either the line is right or the two teams are just being overlooked. It is the late game, so I expect bets to be made closer to game time.
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:14 AM
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1MONTREAL -2 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS (-10.1 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:14 AM
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3NY RANGERS -4 CAROLINA
NY RANGERS are 14-8 ATS (5.2 Units) in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:15 AM
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5FLORIDA -6 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 4-17 ATS (-14.6 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:15 AM
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9CHICAGO -10 EDMONTON
CHICAGO is 11-5 ATS (5.5 Units) in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:15 AM
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15WINNIPEG -16 CALGARY
WINNIPEG is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:15 AM
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NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, August 1

NY Rangers @ Carolina

Game 3-4
August 1, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
11.448
Carolina
10.574
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(+105); Over

Chicago @ Edmonton

Game 9-10
August 1, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
12.086
Edmonton
11.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+130); Under

Florida @ NY Islanders

Game 5-6
August 1, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
11.228
NY Islanders
8.863
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-105); Over

Montreal @ Pittsburgh

Game 1-2
August 1, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
9.096
Pittsburgh
12.150
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-170); Over

Winnipeg @ Calgary

Game 15-16
August 1, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
12.532
Calgary
10.539
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-105); Over
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:15 AM
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NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (31-31-0-9, 71 pts.) vs. PITTSBURGH (40-23-0-6, 86 pts.) - 8/1/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 31-40 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 50-81 ATS (+137.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 12-21 ATS (-11.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
MONTREAL is 3-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
PITTSBURGH is 27-35 ATS (-32.8 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 21-26 ATS (-17.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 43-44 ATS (-22.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-3 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (37-28-0-5, 79 pts.) vs. CAROLINA (38-25-0-5, 81 pts.) - 8/1/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 37-33 ATS (+74.9 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 17-13 ATS (+34.4 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 14-8 ATS (+23.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
NY RANGERS are 29-27 ATS (+63.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 18-17 ATS (+40.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CAROLINA is 8-13 ATS (-10.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 29-58 ATS (+101.3 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 10-2 (+12.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 10-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (35-26-0-8, 78 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (35-23-0-10, 80 pts.) - 8/1/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 87-71 ATS (+172.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 35-23 ATS (+0.0 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 129-139 ATS (+304.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 3-11 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 5-4 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 5-4-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (32-30-0-8, 72 pts.) at EDMONTON (37-25-0-9, 83 pts.) - 8/1/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 12-4 ATS (+6.8 Units) on Saturday games this season.
EDMONTON is 22-16 ATS (+38.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
EDMONTON is 16-7 ATS (+23.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
EDMONTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CHICAGO is 9-5 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
EDMONTON is 32-40 ATS (-8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-4 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (37-28-0-6, 80 pts.) vs. CALGARY (36-27-0-7, 79 pts.) - 8/1/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 15-24 ATS (-17.0 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
CALGARY is 127-125 ATS (+297.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CALGARY is 20-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 37-34 ATS (+71.9 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 44-47 ATS (+114.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
CALGARY is 8-15 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-3 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.2 Units)
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  #12  
Old 08-01-2020, 09:16 AM
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NHL

Saturday, August 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ Carolina
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home

Chicago @ Edmonton
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago

Florida @ NY Islanders
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 8 games when playing Florida

Montreal @ Pittsburgh
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Montreal

Winnipeg @ Calgary
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
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  #13  
Old 08-01-2020, 09:16 AM
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Handicapping the
NHL Playoffs

The NBA isn't the only league returning to a standard format schedule, as the NHL has decided to give every opening series one potential back-to-back spread around four other games with one day off before hand.

It can always be debated how important the numbers these teams put up before the stoppage really do matter, but games off a day's rest do make up the bulk of the schedule for NHL teams regularly, and we already have some matchups where some interesting betting angles can be approached with these numbers.

The lack of any real travel should dilute them somewhat, as the long layoff will as well, but there could be some nice spots that pop up early on in these series, and continuing throughout the playoffs.

So let's take a look at some of these potential scenarios as it will be here before you know it.

NHL Results
One Day of Rest



Best Records One Day of Rest

Colorado 27-14
Tampa Bay 25-16
Philadelphia 24-8
St. Louis 24-14
Calgary 24-20
Pittsburgh 21-9

Not surprising to see the majority of these teams being the ones in the round robin playing out for the Top 4 seeds, because like it was mentioned earlier, this one day off structure does typically make up the bulk of a team's schedule. Those are some strong numbers the Blues, Flyers, Lightning, and Avalanche put up and should be able to be put to use in the rounds going ahead.

Chances are this scheduling format stays consistent throughout the entire stay in the bubble, and if the teams that dominated in that situation do so again in the restart, likely the most futures units should be saved for teams that do currently reside in the Top 4, whether they are on this list or not.

What is really interesting in terms of the Pittsburgh Penguins case is that the first four games of their series with Montreal are all off a day off. The Canadiens were simply average in that role (19-18 SU) during the year, but were 3-9 SU in that spot as any sort of plus-money underdog and that's likely where they'll be all series.

Pittsburgh to win exactly 3-0 is sitting at +400 right now, while the Penguins to win 3-1 is +350. If you're liking Pittsburgh but aren't keen on paying the juice on them for the series, those are other options to go about it.

And should the series go to a decisive Game 5 on back-to-back nights, a series Penguins wager would still be live, but it would be sweating a 6-8 SU record in that role vs Montreal's 4-9 SU number.

A game Pittsburgh should win, but could also be a single game wagering option should your only pre-series wagers be on the Penguins in three or four and whiff on both. Keeping options open is never a bad thing.

Worst Records One Day of Rest

Chicago 10-25
Dallas 14-20
Edmonton 20-26

Chicago and Edmonton are matched up to begin their proceedings and Oilers fans are hoping that their young talent does in fact win out in the end. Chicago did tie Vegas for the most wins overall in games played on no rest this year with nine, and that back-to-back spot in this series would be a pressure packed Game 5.

Oilers fans do not want to see their team in that spot if possible – although Edmonton was 6-1 without rest this year - and their prices to win 3-0 (+450) and 3-1 (+375) are in the same ballpark that Pittsburgh's are.

Other notes for NHL games off a day of rest

Tampa Bay was a great 'over' bet after a day off at 25-13-3 O/U this year, while the Islanders were the best 'under' side to be on at 13-28 O/U. The Islanders path to success in this restart is going to have to start with their defensive play to begin with, and if they can shut down a Florida team that was predominantly an 'over' team after a rest day (20-14 O/U), who knows how far they could go.

Tampa Bay and their offense is always going to get plenty of love, but looking to back them 'over' the number in their round robin games out of the gate may not be a bad idea either. Washington was an 'over' team themselves in this role at 22-15, and while Boston was just 14-18 SU in their outings, that could also keep the total low enough to keep the 'over' side as the play.

The round robin games could have a more loose feel to them to begin with as they are used more for fitness rather than anything else, and the Lightning, Caps, Bruins and Flyers could all end up going that guns blazing route and let the seeds fall where they may.

NHL Results
Zero Days of Rest



Best Records
Zero Days of Rest

Vegas 9-2
Chicago 9-5
Tampa Bay 8-4
Edmonton 6-1

The first thought that tends to come to mind with Vegas atop that list is the Golden Knights owning an advantage formerly known as the “Vegas Flu” when opponents were in town. That is a term that will likely won't be around much longer, but this is Vegas playing without rest, not their opponent.

The Knights did the bulk of that damage on the road (7-1 SU without rest on the road), but did have the benefit of some luck going their way being 4-0 SU in games that needed OT or a shootout.

The suggestion that Vegas understands how to shut out distractions and get the best result does bode well for their future prospects in this restart and it will be interesting to see how things may line up for the Knights when their elimination games start.

Worst Records
Zero Days of Rest

Toronto 2-11
Arizona 2-10

Hands down the two worst records of any teams involved in this restart, and both better not find themselves down in their respective series when that no rest game pops up.

For Arizona it's Game 3 of their contest with Nashville, so get a split in the first two “road” games and all is forgotten about.

That Coyotes/Predators series has been one that's felt like it will need the distance to be decided since the format was laid out, and outside of this severe disadvantage for one game from a scheduling standpoint for Arizona, the historical scheduling numbers are pretty even between the two.

Toronto's back-to-back game is Game 4 with Columbus a team that was 6-7 SU in that role over the course of the year. The Leafs still have to view this unique campaign as one where they can get that playoff burden off their back early without having to deal with the likes of Boston or Tampa Bay, and maybe they end up flipping the script on this number and close out the series in four games.

Or, it Toronto's “throw away” game after grabbing a 2-1 series lead before they deal with a pressure-packed Game 5. That sounds about par for the course for your team doesn't it Leafs fans? Either way, Toronto trailing in that series going into a Game 4 might be time to start pricing out the possibility of being on the Blue Jackets to close things out then.

Other Notes for NHL games played without rest

The sample size is nowhere near the same, but to see a heavy 'under' team like the Islanders actually be 4-3 O/U in their games without rest is a tidbit of information to hold on to.

That back-to-back spot is Game 3 for the Islanders and Panthers, and it may end up being the only spot that does really look decent to 'over' bettors in that series. Dallas is another team that has had more 'overs' in back-to-back spots too (6-5 O/U).

Ultimately, these back-to-back numbers are helpful in isolating certain games, but these back-to-back spots are going to be so different that they might not mean nearly as much as the one day off numbers do. When games without rest happened during the year, there was some travel involved, and new lodgings to deal with, potentially a time zone and a whole bunch of other things.

None of that will be the case for this restart, and the later in a series these back-to-back games are the easier it may end up being pulling the trigger on the side that simply has looked the fittest through the first four games. Hard not to give that method of attack a thought as well.
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:16 AM
sailfish sailfish is online now
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NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, August 1

NY Rangers @ Carolina

Game 3-4
August 1, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
11.448
Carolina
10.574
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(+105); Over

Chicago @ Edmonton

Game 9-10
August 1, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
12.086
Edmonton
11.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+130); Under

Florida @ NY Islanders

Game 5-6
August 1, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
11.228
NY Islanders
8.863
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-105); Over

Montreal @ Pittsburgh

Game 1-2
August 1, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
9.096
Pittsburgh
12.150
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-170); Over

Winnipeg @ Calgary

Game 15-16
August 1, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
12.532
Calgary
10.539
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-105); Over
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