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Old 12-04-2019, 03:33 PM
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foot Thursday 12/5/2019 NFL Betting Info

Good Luck and Have A Great day
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:35 PM
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Thursday, 5 December 2019 • 05:20 PM
101 DALLAS @ 102 CHICAGO
Play under CHICAGO on the first half total in All games in games played on a grass field
The record is 5 Overs and 18 for the last two seasons (+12.5 units)
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:37 PM
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101DALLAS -102 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in the current season.
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:37 PM
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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, December 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (6 - 6) at CHICAGO (6 - 6) - 12/5/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:37 PM
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NFL

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Chicago Bears
Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Chicago is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 15 games
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Chicago
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:38 PM
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Cowboys (6-6) @ Bears (6-6)— Both teams played on Thanksgiving, had full week to prepare. Dallas lost three of last four games; they have no takeaways in last three (-4 TO’s)- they’re 3-3 SU on road TY, 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road favorite, 3-2 TY. In their last two games, Cowboys have two TD’s on 21 drives. Three of their last four road games went over. Chicago won its last two games after a 1-5 skid; they’re 3-3 SU at home TY, 9-2-2 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog (0-0 TY). Five of their last six games stayed under. Dallas won last two series games, 41-28/31-17, with last meeting in ’16. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 4-13 ATS, 1-6 on road; NFC North underdogs are 5-6 ATS, 2-1 at home.
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:38 PM
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NFL
Dunkel

Week 14


Thursday, December 5

Dallas @ Chicago

Game 101-102
December 5, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
1329.514
Chicago
130.944
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 3
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3); Over
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:38 PM
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DALLAS at CHICAGO (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Cowboys had covered 4 of last 5 prior to Thanksgiving loss to Bills. Dallas has covered last 3 on road in 2019. Bears just 3-9 vs. spread this season, also “under” 15-4 since late in 2018.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Cowboys, based on “totals” and team trends.
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:39 PM
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NFL Betting Stats heading into Week 14:

Road Teams: 106-83-4 ATS
Home Teams: 83-106-4 ATS

Favorites: 84-105-4 ATS
Underdogs: 105-84-4 ATS

Home Faves: 48-70-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 35-36 ATS

Road Faves: 36-35 ATS
Road Dogs: 70-48-4 ATS

O/U: 93-100
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:39 PM
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Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 14 odds: Chase the Chiefs before this big line move
Jason Logan

The Chiefs' stock is soaring after a big win over Oakland and now early action is dropping Kansas City under the key number in New England this Sunday. Get K.C. +3 while you can.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 14 board.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-3, 49)

The Chiefs’ 2019 stock has never been higher after a thrashing of rival Oakland at home in Week 13. And, the 2019 stock on the Patriots has never been lower, after a losing effort at Houston this past Sunday night. Those contrasting results has the line for this AFC Championship Game rematch trending toward the visitor.

Kansas City opened as high as +3.5 for this trip to Foxborough and that half-point hook didn’t last long, quickly getting bet down to a field goal. Some online markets opened K.C. +3 and action on the Chiefs moved it to +2.5 before buyback on Belichick’s boys pushed it back to three.

As it stands, with those Week 13 results still fresh out of the oven, plenty of books are moving to New England -2.5. So, if you like Kansas City in this revenge spot on the road, take K.C. now at +3. The “Pats off a loss” trends will make their rounds later in the week (41-16 ATS off a loss since 2003), so if you did miss out on a field goal there’s a slight chance it may pop back up.


SPREAD TO BET LATER: DENVER BRONCOS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-10, 41.5)

Nothing inflates a number like a win over New England. The Texans are riding high off a very impressive showing versus the Patriots on Sunday night, and that has pushed the opening spread for this matchup with Denver from Houston -8 (set before SNF) to -10.

If you’re not sold on the Texans or are buying into a letdown spot, hold your horses and see if this creeps over the key number of 10. Denver is coming off a last-second win over the Chargers, thanks to a late pass interference call that set up a game-winning field goal. But, the Broncos have a rookie QB at the helm in Drew Lock, who makes his first road start in NRG Stadium this Sunday.

Denver has been one of the sneaky-good bets in the second half of the schedule, going 6-2 ATS in its last eight outings. The Texans have been a bad bet at home (2-5 ATS last seven at home) and are inconsistent in their efforts, with a 1-6 ATS record in their last seven when covering the spread the game before.


TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 43 DALLAS COWBOYS AT CHICAGO BEARS

If you’re planning on an uneventful Thursday night matchup between the Boys and Bears, you may want to get down on the Under now. The total for the mid-week showcase opened as high as 44 and has been chopped down a full point and likely will keep ticking down before kickoff.

The Cowboys are coming off an embarrassing effort versus the Bills at home on Thanksgiving, scoring just 15 points a week after being limited to only nine in a bad-weather game at New England. Dallas comes to Chicago, where game-time temperatures will hover around freezing and winds could reach gusts of up to 20 mph. Star receiver Amari Cooper is nursing a knee injury and there are also rumblings that he’s planning to bolt from Dallas this offseason. Hmmm…

Chicago, on the other hand, is THE Under team in the NFL. Save for a sudden outpouring from the Lions’ third-string QB on Thanksgiving, the Bears have played Under the total in eight of their dozen games this season, including a 1-5 O/U mark inside Soldier Field. The defense is especially stingy in the Windy City, allowing only 16 points against on home soil.


TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 43 PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT ARIZONA CARDINALS

A lone touchdown from Kyler Murray was all Arizona could muster in a blowout loss to Los Angeles in Week 13. That awful offensive effort is skewing the total for Week 14’s home date with the Steelers and should have fans of the Over pushing pause on their action until this number dips lower.

The total for Sunday opened at 43.5 and is starting to dwindle with money coming in on the Under, sitting at 43 points at some books. Pittsburgh isn’t lighting up the scoreboard by any means, but the offense looks a little more dangerous with “Duck” Hodges under center and the Cardinals “stop unit” is that in name only: giving up scores of 30, 36 and 34 in its last three games.

The Cardinals offense is much better than whatever that was in Week 13, averaging almost 23 points per game since Week 5. Pittsburgh's defense is playing well - giving up just 18.8 points per contest on the season - but has benefited from a home-friendly stretch, that saw the Steelers in Heinz Field in four of their last six outings. Arizona has gone Over the total in four of its six homestands and won’t need much from either team to top this total, especially after it drops lower throughout the week.
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:40 PM
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Best spot bets for the NFL Week 14 odds: Texans tackling 'letdown' as big favorites
Jason Logan

The Texans entered the 2019 season with the hardest slate of games, as ranked by strength of schedule. So, it’s no surprise that Houston has been a mainstay of this weekly spot bet showcase and makes its fifth appearance in Week 14.

Plenty of times when NFL bettors get hit with a result they didn’t see coming, they instantly wonder, “What did I miss?” And often, the underlying X-factor in that final score fits the mold of the situational spot.

Letdowns, lookaheads, and schedule spots are just part of the puzzle when it comes to capping the weekly NFL odds, and sometimes that puzzle piece is bigger than you’d imagine. *********** Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan is a big fan of situational capping and gives his favorite spot bets for the NFL Week 14 odds.


LETDOWN SPOT: DENVER BRONCOS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-9.5, 41.5)

The Texans entered the 2019 season with the hardest slate of games, as ranked by strength of schedule. So, it’s no surprise that Houston has been a mainstay of this weekly spot bet showcase and makes its fifth appearance in Week 14.

The Texans are coming off a huge win over the New England Patriots last Sunday and now take on the Denver Broncos as big home faves. Houston was as big as 10-point chalk but has been bet down as low as -9 with early money recognizing this tricky spot for the Texans. No only is the letdown off the victory over New England possible but Houston could also get caught looking ahead to what is now an important road game in Tennessee next week.

The Broncos are coming off a last-second victory over the Chargers at home in Week 13 and have been raking in the Rocky Mountain money for Denver bettors, covering in six of their previous eight games. Houston, on the other hand, is 2-4 ATS inside NRG Stadium and is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games following an ATS winner.


LOOKAHEAD SPOT: TENNESSEE TITANS AT OAKLAND RAIDERS (+3, 47.5)

Staying in the AFC South and piggybacking on the Texans' sandwich spot in Week 14, we have red-hot Tennessee traveling across the country to face the Oakland Raiders as a field-goal favorite. The Titans have won three in a row behind a suddenly-sizzling offense, averaging 36 points during this winning streak.

That run has Tennessee back in the divisional hunt and hot on the heels of Houston in the final four games of the season. The Titans, at 7-5 SU, could get caught looking ahead to that Week 15 showdown versus the Texans at home. Oakland has looked terrible the past two games, getting outscored 74-12 in road losses to the Jets and Chiefs, but is back in the Bay Area where the Silver and Black are 4-2 ATS on the season and 7-2 ATS in their last nine homestands.

Tennessee could also find itself dining at the situational sandwich shop this Sunday, chewing back a letdown spot after that huge win at Indianapolis and washing it down with a cool drink of schedule spot, playing in its second straight road game.


SCHEDULE SPOT: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-2.5, 44.5)

The Niners are no doubt blowing through the ice packs and Advil (or stronger) the week following a very physical matchup with the Baltimore Ravens last Sunday (Bonus trend: teams are 4-7 ATS immediately following a game vs. Baltimore this season). San Francisco doesn’t get much time to lick those wounds, traveling to the Big Easy for an important NFC game.

The 49ers opened as 3-point underdogs versus the Saints in Week 14 and early money on San Francisco has moved this spread under the key number to NOLA -2.5. This will the Niners’ second straight road game, a situation that hasn’t been historically kind to the franchise: going 5-10 SU and 6-8-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games since 2014.

Now, this 2019 edition of the 49ers is much different than past San Fran teams but there’s no denying this sticky schedule spot, which also sees the opponent – New Orleans – well rested off a mini bye due to playing (and beating) the Falcons on Thanksgiving Thursday. Sean Payton and his staff were able to sit back and watch that 49ers-Ravens game, giving them extra prep time. New Orleans is a solid 14-8 ATS with the edge in rest since 2010.
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:40 PM
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Trends to Watch - December
Marc Lawrence

HOME TEAMS

Keep an eye on (Good): 5-Teams
Carolina 31-20 ATS - Cincinnati 41-25 ATS - Green Bay 37-22 ATS
New England 36-21 ATS - Seattle 41-21 ATS

The Panthers will be home on the odd numbers Sunday's beginning with Washington (12/1), which is winnable. However, games against Seattle (12/15) and New Orleans (12/29) will be harder.

If Miami can beat the Jets (12/1) at home, so can Cincinnati. The Bengals against New England (12/15) will be more challenging. Cincy closes with Cleveland (12/29) having played them three weeks prior.

Green Bay's cold weather edge will be slightly diminished facing cold weather opponents Chicago (12/15) and Washington (12/8).

New England will have an anticipated showdown with Kansas City (12/8), plus, divisional games with Buffalo (12/21) and Miami (12/29).

The Seahawks slate is anything but simple home and away. At CenturyLink Field they have Minnesota on the first Monday of the month and later Arizona (12/22) and San Francisco (12/29).
Keep an eye on (Bad): Cleveland 15-26 ATS - L.A. Rams 22-34 ATS
Cleveland’s trying to fight back and concludes with the Bengals (12/8) in the first of two and two weeks later versus Baltimore (12/29).

The Rams have a rugged road schedule along with home games against the Seahawks (12/8) and Cardinals (12/29).

AWAY TEAMS

Keep an eye on (Bad): 5-Teams
Dallas 26-39 ATS - Houston 15-24 ATS - Miami 21-33 ATS
Oakland 21-39 ATS - San Francisco 23-39 ATS

If the Cowboys blow it like usual on the road at Chicago (12/5) and at Philadelphia (12/22), they might not reach the playoffs.

Off a trio of home contests, Houston hits the road for Tennessee (12/15) and Tampa Bay (12/21), hoping that does screw up their postseason plans.

In a manner of speaking, everything will be new for Miami away from home. (and chilly)
With trips two trips to New Jersey to take on the New York Jets (12/8) and New York Giants (12/15), followed by two weeks later to face New England.

With all three AFC West teams having made one last visit to Oakland, the Raiders will make stops in K.C. (12/1), Carson (12/22) at a Mile High (12/29).

With how improved San Francisco is, one might imagine they would have the same problems of the past. Then you find that the Niners will be unwelcome guests at Baltimore (12/1), at New Orleans (12/8) and at the Seahawks and now it sure looks harder.

FAVORITES

Good: Seattle - 43-21 ATS
The Seahawks are sensational in this role this month, but how often is hard to say with their schedule. For sure Seattle will be the favorite at home against Arizona (12/22) and now versus Minnesota (12/2). However, at the L.A. Rams (12/8) at Carolina (12/15) and home against San Fran (12/29) will be TBD.

Keep an eye on (Good): Green Bay 56-29 ATS
The Packers have been impervious to the cold in December and usually are playing their best football. They will be dishing out the digits at the Giants (12/1) and home against Washington (12/8) and Chicago (12/15). The season finale at Detroit is the only unknown.

Bad: Miami - 24-49 ATS
The Dolphins might have cost themselves the No.1 overall pick in season where the front office did all but everything to lose. Though Miami will play the Jets and Giants, both are in New Jersey, setting up Cincinnati (12/22) as the lone possible favorite role.

Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams
Cleveland 6-11 ATS - Dallas 25-38 ATS
N.Y. Jets 18-28 ATS

Cleveland's season has not turned out as expected and they hope not to make to worse with two games against the Bengals (12/08 and 12/29) and possible as favorite at Arizona (12/15).

Most seasons, the last thing Dallas is clutch and a money-maker this month. They will have two chances not to make it worse against the Rams (12/15) and the Redskins (12/29).

Could the Jets possibly be favored at Cincy (12/1)? Yes, it turned out to be. Otherwise, they'll be smallish home faves with revenge against the Dolphins (12/8).

UNDERDOGS

Keep an eye on (Good): 3-Teams
Carolina 34-19 ATS - Seattle 43-22 ATS
Pittsburgh 20-12 ATS
Both Carolina and Seattle have been outstanding underdogs this month, but what we don't know who will be in what role when they meet in Charlotte on the 15th. Stayed tuned.

The Panthers will be a smaller dog at Indianapolis on the 22nd and we’ll have to wait and see on Atlanta.

The Seahawks might catch a point or two at the Rams (12/8), but not for sure.

Right now, one would presume Pittsburgh will be favored at Arizona (12/8) and Jets (12/22), however, they will be underdogs to close the regular season at Baltimore, unless the Ravens are resting players.

Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams
Chicago 27-42 ATS - L.A. Rams 22-43 ATS
Oakland 27-48 ATS

Chicago has been a bad dog, like one tearing up Christmas packages, late in the season and that could continue. The Bears have Dallas (12/5) at home a week after they played on Thanksgiving. Then 17 days later at Soldier Field versus the Chiefs, plus away battles at the Packers (12/15) and Vikings (12/29).

The Rams sure look like underdogs at Dallas (12/15) and at Frisco (12/21) and as mentioned, their home game with Seattle (12/8) could be a TBD matchup.

Though Oakland is in thick of the playoff chase, they are all but certain to be a division road underdog at Kansas City (12/1), at Carson (12/22) and depending where everything is, maybe at Denver (12/29).

DIVISION

Because we don't want to keep repeating basically the same information over and over for this article, which you have already read about these teams, we are listing their record and who they are playing only.

Keep an eye on (Good):
Carolina 30-19 ATS - @ Atlanta (12/8) and New Orleans (12/29)
New England 35-21 ATS - Buffalo (12/21) and Miami (12/29)

Keep an eye on (Bad):
Cleveland 12-21 ATS - @ Pittsburgh (12/1), Cincinnati (12/8), Baltimore (12/22) and @ Cincinnati (12/29)
Miami 23-39 ATS - @ N.Y. Jets (12/8) and @ New England (12/29)
Oakland 24-37 ATS - @ Kansas City (12/1) @ L.A. Chargers and @ Denver (12/29)
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:40 PM
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NFL Week 14 opening odds and early action: 49ers draw support vs Saints
Patrick Everson

The NFL season rolls into its final month, with Week 14 featuring high-profile matchups in each conference. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

New Orleans can move atop the entire NFC with a win in this clash of teams with the best record in the conference. The Saints (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) come off the mini-bye, having topped Atlanta 26-18 as 7-point road favorites on Thanksgiving Day.

San Francisco also sports a 10-2 SU mark (7-4-1 ATS), but is on the road for a second straight week against a second straight solid opponent. The 49ers gave Baltimore a good go Sunday, but fell short on a final-seconds field goal 20-17 as 5.5-point underdogs.

“We opened Saints -3.5 and are down to -3 (-120),” Murray said. “This is the best game of the week and a possible NFC Championship Game preview. Tough spot for the 49ers. They just had a war of a game in Baltimore and now have to go on the road again.”

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-3)

Like San Francisco, New England went into Week 13 with one loss and exited with two, losing its claim to the AFC’s No. 1 seed in the process. The Patriots (10-1 SU, 7-4 SU) were 3-point favorites at Houston, but got going too late in a 28-22 loss.

Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City got a much-needed bye in Week 12 and came out rolling in Week 13. The Chiefs (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) pounded Oakland 40-9 as 11-point home favorites Sunday to take a two-game lead in the AFC West.

“We opened Patriots -3 and took it off the board when the Sunday night game kicked,” Murray said. “I expect it to come lower when it reopens (Monday morning). The Patriots are smoke and mirrors, 10-2 because of a great coach and a super easy schedule.”

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (+6)

Baltimore is scorching hot, peeling off eight wins in a row, but its five-game spread-covering streak came to an end in a tough Week 13 matchup. The Ravens (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) needed a final-seconds field goal to edge San Francisco 20-17 laying 5.5 points at home.

By virtue of winning a tiebreaker with New England, John Harbaugh’s outfit is now the top seed in the AFC playoff race.

Buffalo continues to be one of the bigger surprises of this NFL season, on the field and for bettors, with marks of 9-3 SU and 8-3-1 ATS. On Thanksgiving Day, the Bills went off as 6.5-point pups at Dallas and had little trouble in a 26-15 upset.

“We opened Ravens -6 and are now at -5.5,” Murray said. “The Bills have struggled to stop the run. The Ravens won’t have any problem going on the road in inclement weather.”

Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (+2.5)

Seattle is among the hottest teams in the league, winning four in a row and seven of eight, but still has Week 13 work to do, hosting Minnesota in the Monday night game. The Seahawks (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS) topped Philadelphia 17-9 as 1-point Week 12 road favorites, their third straight cover.

Defending NFC champion Los Angeles has been wildly inconsistent as it tries to stay in the NFC playoff picture. The Rams (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) got housed at home by Baltimore 45-6 in Week 12, then went to Arizona as 2.5-point favorites and put the hammer down, 34-7.

“This will come off the board when the Monday night game kicks,” Murray said. “The Rams looked great today. Don’t be surprised if this drifts closer to pick if the Seahawks struggle with the Vikings.”
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:41 PM
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Betting Recap - Week 13
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 13 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 8-7
Against the Spread 6-9

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 7-8
Against the Spread 7-8

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-8

National Football League Year-to-Date Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 102-67-1
Against the Spread 81-102-5

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 102-85-1
Against the Spread 81-102-5

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 92-95-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Redskins (+10.5, +450) at Panthers, 29-21
Dolphins (+10, +425) vs. Eagles, 37-31
Bills (+6.5, +250) at Cowboys (Thu.), 26-15
Broncos (+4.5, +190) vs. Chargers, 23-20

The largest favorite to cover
Chiefs (-11) vs. Raiders, 40-9
Saints (-7) at Falcons (Thu.), 26-18
Packers (-6.5) at Giants, 31-13
Buccaneers (-3) at Jaguars, 28-11

It's Happening Again!

-- The Miami Dolphins (+10) posted a 37-31 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., and the Washington Redskins (+10.5) were able to run all over the Carolina Panthers, securing a 29-21 victory. We had a pair of double-digit underdogs win outright back in Week 10 when the Dolphins and the Atlanta Falcons posted outright wins as underdogs of 11 or more points. It was the first time that had happened in the NFL since Oct. 15, 2017. Now, it has happened within the past month on two occasions. The Kansas City Chiefs (-11) were the only other double-digit favorite in the NFL in Week 13, and they humbled the visiting Oakland Raiders by a 40-9 score at Arrowhead.

Total Recall

-- The two highest totals on the board Sunday were the Raiders-Chiefs (49.5) and Los Angeles Rams-Arizona Cardinals (47.5), both of which went 'under'. In fact, there were six games listed with totals of 46.5, and just one of those games cashed to the 'over', and that was the New England Patriots-Houston Texans (47) game on Sunday Night Football.

On the flip side, all games with totals closing at 39.5 or less ended up hitting the 'over', sometimes rather easily. In the Thanksgiving Day early game between the Chicago Bears-Detroit Lions (37), we saw third-string QB David Blough get off to a hot start before fizzling at the end. Even so, the teams combined for 44 points and an easy 'over'. In Charlotte, the Redskins-Panthers (39) was expected to a defensive slog with rather choppy offense. However, the Redskins posted a 29-21 win for 50 total points, ending up tied as the second-highest scoring game on Sunday. Not much offense was expected in Sunday's AFC West Division slugfest between the Los Angeles Chargers-Denver Broncos (38.5). It ended up being tied late at 20-20, and a field goal at the buzzer didn't make much difference, as the over was already in the bag.

The Cleveland Browns-Pittsburgh Steelers (40) was a defensive battle which saw the home side prevail 20-13. If you're scoring at home that's four straight under results for the Yinzers, and the under is 6-1 over their past seven and 9-3 in their 12 games overall, including 2-0 vs. Cleveland this season. In addition, the Steelers are now 6-2-2 ATS across their past 10 games, and they haven't failed against the spread in consecutive weeks since opening with a pair of losses and non-covers.

The 'over' connected in the primetime matchup Sunday against New England Patriots-Houston Texans (47), and is 1-1 for the weekend pending the result of Monday's contest between the Minnesota Vikings-Seattle Seahawks. The 'over' is just 14-25 (35.9%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Panthers TE Greg Olsen (concussion) is in the league's mandated concussion protocol after being knocked from Sunday's game vs. Washington.

Looking Ahead -- The Cincinnati Bengals picked up a win in Week 13, assuring them of not becoming the third NFL team to finish with an 0-16 record over a full season. The last team to do it was the 2017 Cleveland Browns, their opponent for Week 14. The Bengals will be on the road at FirstEnergy Stadium, and they're 8-2 ATS across their past 10 away from home. The Browns, meanwhile, are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 inside the division, although they failed to cover in a 20-13 win at Pittsburgh in Week 12. The Bengals opened as an eight-point underdog, and they're 8-1 ATS in the past nine meetings and 5-0 ATS in the past five trips to Cleveland. As such, they're seeing a lot of early action.

-- The Minnesota Vikings will host the Lions in the second of two divisional meetings. The Vikings pasted the Lions 42-30 at Ford Field back in Week 7, easily covering a 2.5-point number as the 'over' (43.5) came in. The Vikings are an impressive 35-15-1 ATS in the past 51 at home, and 15-7-1 ATS in the past 23 vs. losing sides. The Lions have failed to cover the past four meetings, with the favorite 4-0 ATS in the past four. The under is 9-3 in the past 12 meetings in this series, and 6-0 in the past six battles in the Twin Cities.

-- The Panthers and Falcons do battle for the second time this season, squaring off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Falcons surprised the Panthers 29-3 in Week 11 at Charlotte as 3.5-point underdogs as the 'under' (49) easily connected. The under is 5-1 in the past six for the Falcons, and 10-2-1 in the past 13 in this series, too. Carolina is 0-4 ATS in the past four battles overall, and 5-16-2 ATS in the past 23 trips to Georgia's capital.

-- The Jets and Dolphins meet in New Jersey, and Miami is looking for the season sweep. They're 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings with the Jets, and the under is 7-2 in the past nine meetings at Met Life Stadium.

-- The Seahawks and Rams lock horns in SoCal, with Seattle looking to improve on a 6-1 ATS mark in their past seven on the road. The Rams are 12-5 ATS in the past 17 games overall, and 10-2 ATS in the past 12 vs. NFC foes. In this series the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five, the underdog has hit in four of the past five and the Seahawks are just 2-5 ATS in the past seven trips to SoCal. The over is 4-0 in the previous four battles, too.

-- On Monday the New York Giants travel to meet the Eagles, reeling after a shocking loss in Miami. The G-Men are a solid 10-3 ATS in the past 13 on the road, and 7-0 ATS in their past seven on a natural grass surface. While the Eagles are just 4-9 ATS in the past 13 at home, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven overall, they are an impressive 7-3 ATS in the past 10 appearances on MNF. The under is also 7-2 in the past nine meetings at Lincoln Financial Field.
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Old 12-05-2019, 09:24 AM
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TNF - Cowboys at Bears
Kevin Rogers

LAST WEEK

Both these teams played on Thanksgiving with mixed results. Starting with the Cowboys (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS), it was an embarrassing Turkey Day home loss to the upstart Bills in a 26-15 setback as 6 -point favorites. Dallas jumped out to a quick 7-0 lead on a Dak Prescott touchdown strike to tight end Jason Witten, but the Cowboys wouldn’t score again until four minutes remaining in regulation.

In between, the Bills ran off 26 consecutive points, as Dallas turned the ball over twice. Prescott ended the day with 355 yards passing, but it was the second time this season that the Dallas quarterback posted gaudy numbers in a home blowout loss (463 yards against Packers). Running back Ezekiel Elliott carried the ball only 12 times, tied for his fewest all season, but racked up 71 yards which came to an average of 5.9 yards an attempt.

The Bears (6-6 SU, 3-9 ATS) erased a 17-7 deficit at rival Detroit last Thursday to knock off the Lions, 24-20. Chicago closed as a 5 -point road favorite, marking its seventh ATS loss in the past eight games, but the Bears are back at .500 since owning a 3-3 record in Week 7. Bears’ quarterback Mitchell Trubisky put together his best game of the season by throwing for 338 yards and three touchdowns, including the go-ahead score to David Montgomery with 2:17 remaining in regulation.

In spite of Chicago’s modest two-game winning streak, the Bears remain three games behind the Packers for the top spot in the NFC North and two games back of the Vikings for the second NFC Wild Card position. The 24 points scored at Detroit marked the most posted by the Bears since putting up 25 in a home loss to New Orleans back in Week 7. The defense allowed at least 20 points for the first time in four games, ending a five-game streak to the ‘over.’

YOU DON’T SCORE UNTIL YOU SCORE

The Cowboys’ formula for winning this season has been very simple. When Dallas scores 31 points or more, it has a perfect 6-0 mark. On the flip side, Jason Garrett’s squad has compiled an ugly 0-6 record when being held to 30 points or less. The last two weeks have been especially forgettable offensively as Dallas combined for only 24 points against a pair of solid defenses in New England and Buffalo. The last time the Cowboys won a game when scoring fewer than 30 points was their Wild Card victory over the Seahawks this past January, 24-22.

PROTECT THIS HOUSE

The Bears have played six games at Soldier Field this season and have allowed more than 17 points only once, which came in a Week 7 defeat at New Orleans when they yielded 36 points. Chicago has given up 10, 6, 17, 13, and 14 in the other five home contests, while opponents have posted more than 20 points only once in the past 10 games at Soldier Field, which includes the 16-15 playoff loss to Philadelphia. The ‘under’ has cashed in eight of the last 10 home contests for Chicago, as the Bears have scored at least 21 points only once in six home games in 2019.

DOGGIN’ IT

For only the third time this season, the Bears are listed in the underdog role. The first two times didn’t work out well for Chicago by losing at Philadelphia, 22-14 in Week 9 and dropping a 17-7 decision to the Rams in Week 11. The last time the Bears closed as an underdog at Soldier Field came last December in a 15-6 win over Los Angeles when they received three points. ‘Dogs have posted a solid 9-4 ATS record on Thursday night action this season, while only two home underdogs have won and covered on Thursdays (Jaguars – Week 3 and Raiders – Week 10).

SERIES HISTORY

These NFC squads last met in 2016 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington as the Cowboys took care of the Bears, 31-17 as 6 -point favorites. Dallas is making its first trip to the Windy City since 2014 (also a Thursday night game) when the Cowboys held off a furious Bears’ rally in a 41-28 victory as four-point favorites. The Cowboys built a commanding 35-7 lead before Chicago scored three touchdowns in the fourth quarter to make the final score look better.

TOTAL TALK

Oddsmakers sent out an opening total of 44 and the number is listed at 42 as of Wednesday evening.

Chris David offered up his thoughts on this week’s number.

He said, “This game could be looked at as a bit of a head-scratcher based on the total results for both clubs. The Cowboys have watched the ‘over’ go 7-5 this season and that includes a 4-2 mark on the road. Meanwhile, the Bears have been a great ‘under’ bet at 8-4 and only one of six games played at Soldier Field went ‘over’ this season and that outcome was helped with a big second-half scoring surge when the Saints visited back in Week 7.”

“Chicago is the perfect mold of an ‘under’ team, solid defense and inconsistent offense and that trend has been golden for bettors riding the low side -- especially at home too. The ‘under’ is on an 8-1 run in the last nine home games for the Bears and only one team scored more than 17 points, which came in the aforementioned effort against New Orleans (36-25).”

While those seasonal trends and tendencies could have many bettors placing ‘under’ wagers on Thursday, David points out a total angle that’s correlated to Dallas.

He explained, “The drama always follows Dallas in the NFL and this season is no different. After last week’s loss on Thanksgiving to Buffalo, it’s hard to have any confidence in the Cowboys but if you believe they’re going to right the ship then you would a better offensive effort. Dallas sits at 6-5 on the season and it has averaged 34.3 in the six wins and the ‘over’ has gone 4-2 in those games. If you go back even further, the Cowboys have scored 20-plus points in 16 of their last 17 wins. Bottom line, the Cowboys win when they score. The Dallas team total is hovering between 22 and 23 for Thursday and since I believe the ‘Boys rebound, my lean would be to the Cowboys Team Total Over.”

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER

NFL expert Joe Nelson checks in to figure out what has gone wrong with the Cowboys, “Dallas has out-gained 11 of 12 foes this season with the only deficit just -9 at New Orleans. Turnovers can’t account for all the problems at just -4 in turnover margin on the season though the Dallas defense has forced zero turnovers in the past four games for a -5 run in that 1-3 stretch. Chicago is +3 in turnovers on the season, but an offense with a rushing identity has been out-gained on the ground in seven of the past eight games even with a run defense that has allowed 97 yards per game on 3.7 yards per carry this season.”

PLAYER PROPS – According to Westgate Superbook

Total Gross Passing Yards – Dak Prescott (DAL)
Over 276 (-110)
Under 276 (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Dak Prescott (DAL)
Over 1 (-120)
Under 1 (Even)

Will Dak Prescott (DAL) throw an interception?
Yes -130
No +110

Total Rushing Yards – Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)
Over 81 (-110)
Under 81 (-110)

Will Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) score a touchdown?
Yes -130
No +110

Total Completions – Mitchell Trubisky (CHI)
Over 22 (-110)
Under 22 (-110)

Total Rushing Yards – David Montgomery (CHI)
Over 55 (-110)
Under 55 (-110)

Total Receiving Yards – Anthony Miller (CHI)
Over 53 (-110)
Under 53 (-110)

LINE MOVEMENT

This line has stayed steady this week with the Cowboys as three-point road favorites. The total hasn’t seen much movement as it sits at 43 at most books.
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Old 12-05-2019, 09:25 AM
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PRIMETIME SIX-POINT TEASER TIME

Dallas (+3) is lucky it plays in the worst division in football this year. Nobody wants to win the NFC East but Dallas may have more motivation after getting shown up on Thanksgiving and Jerry Jones basically saying Jason Garrett will not be back next year. Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears are also due for a dud. Cowboys +3

The Rams decided to run up the score last week which hopefully gives that offense and their full slate of receivers some confidence ahead of their matchup versus the Seahawks. Seattle sits sixth in points per play while its defense is allowing 24.4 average points against. Take the Over 42.

Over their last three games, the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants are averaging 52 points combined. The Giants offense will be forced to put up some points on Monday night as their defense is allowing the second-most points on the road. New York is also 5-1 O/U on totals of 41 or higher over its last six games. Take the Over 41.
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Old 12-05-2019, 09:26 AM
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NFL's Top Over Teams:

1. Buccaneers 9-3 O/U
t2. Panthers 8-4 O/U
t2. Lions 8-4 O/U
t4. Seahawks, Ravens, Vikings, Chiefs, Titans, Cowboys, Colts, Cardinals, and Giants tied at 7-5 O/U
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Old 12-05-2019, 09:26 AM
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NFL's Top Under Teams:

t1. Bills 9-3 U/O
t1. Steelers 9-3 U/O
3. Bengals 8-3-1 U/O
t4. Patriots 8-4 U/O
t4. Rams 8-4 U/O
t4. Bears100 8-4 U/O
t4. Chargers 8-4 U/O
t4. Falcons 8-4 U/O
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Old 12-05-2019, 02:45 PM
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Chicago - LB Danny Trevathan (elbow), WR Taylor Gabriel (concussion), & TE Ben Braunecker (concussion) are out, CB Prince Amukamara (hamstring) is probable tonight versus Dallas
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Old 12-05-2019, 02:45 PM
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Dallas - RB Tony Pollard (ankle) is questionable & LB Leighton Vander Esch (neck) is out tonight versus Chicago
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