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  #51  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:53 AM
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George Washington vs George Mason
George Washington (4-11, 3-5)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #269
— Colonials lost four of their last five games.
— Last two games, GW scored 58-41 points.
— GW is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#250).
— GW went W-L in this tournament six of last seven years.

George Mason (12-8, 8-6)
— ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #23
— Patriots won their last four games, including a win here over VCU.
— Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335)
— Patriots won four of five games vs teams outside top 200.
— Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney.

— George Washington won 11 of last 15 series games.
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  #52  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:53 AM
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Rhode Island @ Dayton
Rhode Island (10-14, 7-10)
— ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #306
— Rams lost six of their last seven games.
— Rhode Island is 4-8 vs top 100 teams.
— Rams have #230 eFG% in country (30.9% on arc, #290)
— Last four years, URI is 7-2 in this event (DNP LY)

Dayton (13-8, 9-7)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #225
— Dayton lost four of its last seven games.
— Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#288)
— Dayton has #22 eFG% in country (55.8% inside arc, #18)
— Last four years, Dayton is 0-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points.

— These teams split couple games TY; URI’s win was in double OT.
— Dayton won four of last six series games.
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  #53  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:53 AM
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Southern Illinois vs Bradley
Southern Illinois (11-13, 5-13)
— ranked #198 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #286
— Salukis lost six of their last eight games.
— Last six games, SIU scored only 59 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#309).
— Last eight years, Salukis are 4-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times)

Bradley (12-15, 6-12)
— ranked #135 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #216
— Bradley lost four of its last five games overall.
— Braves lost six of last seven games away from home.
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#41)
— Bradley won Arch Madness the last two years.

— Teams split pair of games in Peoria, February 6-7.
— Bradley won four of last five series games.
— Braves beat SIU 64-59 in Arch Madness last year.
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  #54  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:54 AM
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Illinois State @ Northern Iowa
Illinois State (7-17, 4-14)
— ranked #195 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #262
— Redbirds lost nine of last 11 games overall.
— Opponents are shooting 54.6% inside arc (#313)
— ISU is shooting 65.3% on the foul line (#322)
— Last five years, Redbirds are 7-5 in Arch Madness.

Northern Iowa (9-15, 7-11)
— ranked #159 by KenPom
— Tempo: #149
— Experience: #286
— Continuity: #192
— Panthers won three of their last four games.

— Opponents are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#303)
— UNI is 6-6 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
— Last five years, Panthers are 9-3 in Arch Madness.

— UNI swept Illinois State last weekend, 70-56/94-87 2OT
— Panthers won four of last five series games.
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  #55  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:54 AM
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Murray State vs Jacksonville State
Murray State (13-12, 10-10)
— ranked #157 by KenPom
— Tempo: #272
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #83
— Racers lost three of their last four games.
— Murray is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#286).
— Racers are 2-7 vs teams ranked in the top 200.
— Last 11 years, Racers are 15-7 in OVC tourney, winning it 4 times.

Jacksonville State (17-8, 13-6)
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #326
— Jax State won three in row, seven of last eight games.
— Last three games, Gamecocks scored 79.7 ppg.
— Jax State is grabbing 32.4% of its missed shots (#49)
— Last four years, Gamecocks are 5-3 in this event.

— Jax State swept Murray this year, 85-82/87-84
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Murray beat Jax State is two of last three OVC tourneys.
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  #56  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:54 AM
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Austin Peay vs Eastern Kentucky
Austin Peay (14-12, 10-10)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #241
— Continuity: #136
— Governors lost last three games, by 7-5-8 points.
— Austin Peay has #330 eFG% defense in country.
— Governors are 2-6 vs teams in top 200.
— Last three years, Austin Peay went W-L in OVC tourney.

Eastern Kentucky (21-6, 15-5)
— ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #301
— Continuity: #208
— EKU won three in row, six of last seven games.
— In their last six wins, Eastern Kentucky scored 81+ points.
— Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6)
— Last six years, EKU is 1-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney.
— These teams split couple games this year; road team won both.
— Austin Peay won five of last seven series games.
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  #57  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:54 AM
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San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego (3-10, 2-7)
— ranked #196 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #184
— Toreros lost their last three games, giving up 91 ppg.
— San Diego is 1-10 vs teams ranked in top 300 (beat Santa Clara)
— Opponents are shooting 39.0% on the arc (#337).
— Last seven years, San Diego is 2-7 in WCC tourney.

San Francisco (10-13, 4-9)
— ranked #106 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #163
— USF lost its last six games, scoring 66.2 ppg.
— Over half their shots (50.2%) come from behind the arc.
— Dons are 6-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
— Last seven years, Dons are 5-7 in WCC tourney.

— Toreros lost 70-62 in San Francisco New Year’s Eve.
— Teams split last 12 series games.
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  #58  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:54 AM
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717MONMOUTH -718 RIDER
MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.
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  #59  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:55 AM
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719ST PETERS -720 QUINNIPIAC
ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.
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  #60  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:55 AM
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721ST PETERS -722 IONA
IONA is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots since 1997.
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  #61  
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723FAIRFIELD -724 MANHATTAN
FAIRFIELD is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after allowing 55 points or less in the last 3 seasons.
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  #62  
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725MIDDLE TENN ST -726 FLA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
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  #63  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:55 AM
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727OKLAHOMA ST -728 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1997.
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  #64  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:56 AM
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729MICHIGAN ST -730 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.
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  #65  
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731TCU -732 W VIRGINIA
TCU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
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  #66  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:56 AM
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733CANISIUS -734 SIENA
SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.
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  #67  
Old 03-04-2021, 07:56 AM
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735VANDERBILT -736 CINCINNATI
VANDERBILT is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
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  #68  
Old 03-04-2021, 10:13 AM
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11 a.m. ET: Duquesne vs Richmond

Don't sleep in too late or you'll miss the tip off for this 2nd Round game in the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. Duquesne (8-8) is the 9th seed and finished the regular season on a high note, going 4-2 down the stretch. Duquesne beat Rhode Island in the regular season finale 86-75, covering as 1.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Richmond (13-7) is the 8th seed and has a better record, but stumbled at the end of the regular season, losing two straight and three of their last five. Richmond fell to St. Joseph's 76-73 in their last game, losing outright as 14.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Richmond listed as a 6-point favorite on a neutral court (VCU's home stadium). The public is all over Richmond as the "better" team, yet we've seen this line fall from 6 to 5.5. This sharp reverse line movement signals some pro money grabbing the points with Duquesne. Ken Pom has Richmond winning by seven points, which means he's slightly more bullish on Richmond than the betting market. This is a revenge game for Duquesne. The Dukes lost to Richmond 79-72 back on February 20th, although they covered as 9-point road dogs.
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  #69  
Old 03-04-2021, 10:13 AM
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9 p.m. ET: Central Florida at East Carolina

This late night American Athletic Conference showdown features two teams trending in opposite directions. Central Florida (9-11) may have a losing record but the Knights have played well down the stretch, winning three straight and four of their last five. UCF has covered in four straight games, three of which were as a favorite. Meanwhile, East Carolina (8-8) is crumbling down the stretch. The Pirates started the season 7-1 but have gone just 1-7 since. This line opened with UCF listed as a short 2.5-point road favorite. Respected money has poured in on UFC, driving this line up from -2.5 to -3.5. Ken Pom has UCF winning by one point, but he also has UCF ranked much higher (95th vs 137th). One variable to keep in mind here: East Carolina will be playing their first game in nearly a month. They've had their last five games postponed due to COVID and haven't played since February 8th. We've seen many teams struggle in their first game back off a COVID layoff.
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  #70  
Old 03-04-2021, 10:14 AM
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9 p.m. ET: Arizona State at Colorado

Both of these PAC-12 opponents are feeling good about themselves and riding win streaks. Arizona State (10-11) may have a sub .500 record but the Sun Devils have won three straight, beating Washington State and Washington twice. Now they face Colorado (19-7, ranked 24th), who has also won three straight games, beating Oregon State, USC and UCLA. This line opened with Colorado listed as an 11-point home favorite. The public is pounding Colorado as a ranked home favorite, yet we've seen this line dip slightly down from -11 to -10.5. Some shops are even down to -10. This signals some respected money grabbing the points with the road dog Sun Devils. Arizona State has value as a double-digit unranked conference road dog vs a ranked opponent. Arizona State also has value as a buy low "bad" ATS team (5-16) against a sell-high "good" ATS team (15-11). Ken Pom has Colorado winning by twelve points, which means the betting market is higher on Arizona State than the advanced analytics.
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  #71  
Old 03-04-2021, 03:31 PM
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DUQUESNE DUKES VS. RICHMOND SPIDERS
The fans at Stuart Siegel Center will be treated to a game between the Duquesne Dukes and the Richmond Spiders when they take their seats on Thursday.

Oddsmakers opened the Spiders as -5.5-point favorites versus the Dukes, while the game's total opened at 141.

In their last action, Richmond was a 76-73 loser at home against Hawks. They failed to cover the -14.5-point spread as favorites.

Duquesne was a 86-75 winner in their most recent outing at home against Rams. They covered the -1-point spread as favorites.

Duquesne:
Team record: 8-8 SU,9-7 ATS
Duquesne is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Richmond
Duquesne is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games when playing Richmond
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duquesne's last 6 games when playing Richmond

Richmond:
Team record: 13-7 SU,9-10 ATS
Richmond is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Duquesne
Richmond is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing Duquesne
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Richmond's last 6 games when playing Duquesne
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  #72  
Old 03-04-2021, 03:31 PM
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The Duquesne Dukes will be going for their second consecutive win when they face the Richmond Spiders in the second round of the Atlantic 10 Championship on Thursday afternoon. The Dukes are coming off an 86-75 win over Rhode Island as 1.5-point favorites. The Spiders are coming off a 76-73 loss to Saint Joseph’s as 14.5-point favorites.

Richmond is 9-1 in its last 10 games against Duquesne.

Dukes Going For Fifth Win In Seven Games
The Dukes played well down the stretch of the regular season, winning four of their last six games. They will try to keep the momentum going with a win over the Spiders, which will give them their second win in a row and fifth win in their last seven games.

Duquesne has struggled offensively, averaging 67.4 points per game. They finished with 86 points in their last game, making 53.4 percent of their field goals and 52.9 percent of their three-pointers.

Marcus Weathers led the way for Duquesne with 28 points and 14 rebounds. Chad Baker finished with 21 points and six rebounds, while Tavian Dunn-Martin added 14 points, three rebounds, and six assists for the Dukes.

Duquesne has done a better job defensively, giving up 66.9 points per game. They gave up 75 points in their last game and will need a better performance if they want to win this game.

Spiders Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak
The Spiders didn’t play well in the final weeks of the regular season and come into this game on a two-game losing streak. They will try to snap their streak with a win over the Dukes, which will give them their third win in their last five games and third consecutive win over Duquesne.

Richmond has played well offensively, averaging 75.6 points per game. They finished with 73 points in their last game, making 46.8 percent of their field goals and 25 percent of their three-pointers.

Nathan Cayo led the way for Richmond with 25 points, four rebounds, and three assists, while Jacob Gilyard finished with 18 points, eight rebounds, and four steals for the Spiders, who had two players in double figures.

Leading scorer Blake Francis left the game after nine minutes because of a back injury. He is listed as questionable for this game.

Richmond has also played well defensively, giving up 69.3 points per game. They gave up 76 points in their last game and will need to do a better job if they want to get the win.
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Old 03-04-2021, 03:31 PM
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS
Richmond Spiders
Richmond is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Duquesne
Richmond is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing Duquesne
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Richmond's last 6 games when playing Duquesne

Duquesne Dukes
Duquesne is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Richmond
Duquesne is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games when playing Richmond
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duquesne's last 6 games when playing Richmond
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  #74  
Old 03-04-2021, 03:31 PM
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SAINT JOSEPH'S HAWKS VS. UMASS MINUTEMEN
The fans at Robins Center will be treated to a game between the Saint Joseph's Hawks and the UMass Minutemen when they take their seats on Thursday.

Oddsmakers opened the Minutemen as -3-point favorites versus the Hawks, while the game's total opened at 150.5.

In their last action, UMass was a 78-57 loser on the road against Billikens. They failed to cover the +11-point spread as underdogs.

Saint Joseph's was a 72-66 winner in its last match on the road against Explorers. They covered the -3-point spread as favorites.

Saint Joseph's:
Team record: 5-14 SU,9-10 ATS
Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
Saint Joseph's is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing UMass
Saint Joseph's is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing UMass
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saint Joseph's's last 24 games when playing UMass

UMass:
Team record: 7-6 SU,6-7 ATS
UMass is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Saint Joseph's
UMass is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Saint Joseph's
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of UMass's last 24 games when playing Saint Joseph's
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  #75  
Old 03-04-2021, 03:32 PM
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The Saint Joseph’s Hawks will be going for their fifth consecutive win when they face the UMass Minutemen in the second round of the Atlantic 10 Championship when they play on Thursday afternoon. The Hawks are coming off a 72-66 win over La Salle as two-point favorites. The Minutemen are coming off a 78-57 loss to Saint Louis as 10.5-point underdogs.

UMass is 6-2 in its last eight games against Saint Joseph’s.

Hawks Trying To Snap Losing Streak against Minutemen
The Hawks are playing well at the moment, but they have lost their last two games against UMass. They will try to snap their losing streak against the Minutemen and pick up their fifth win in a row when they play on Thursday.

Saint Joseph’s has played well offensively, averaging 72.5 points per game. They finished with 72 points in their last game, making 39.6 percent of their field goals and 35 percent of their three-pointers.

Ryan Daly led the way for Saint Joseph’s with 23 points and five rebounds. Jordan Hall finished with 17 points and seven rebounds, while Taylor Funk added 12 points and seven rebounds for the Hawks.

Saint Joseph’s is one of the worst defensive teams in the country, giving up 82.6 points per game. They gave up 66 points in their last game and will need a similar effort if they want to win this game.

Minutemen Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak
The Minutemen ended the regular season on a poor note, losing their last two games. They will try to put an end to their streak and pick up their third win in their last five games when they play on Thursday.

UMass has played well offensively, averaging 75.3 points per game. They finished with 57 points in their last game, making 42 percent of their field goals and 34.8 percent of their three-pointers.

Noah Fernandes led the way for UMass with 16 points and two rebounds. Carl Pierre finished with 12 points and one rebound, while Tre Mitchell added 10 points, five rebounds, and four assists for the Minutemen.

UMass hasn’t been as effective defensively, giving up 72.5 points per game. They gave up 78 points in their last game and will need a significantly better effort if they want to get the win.
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