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Old 01-01-2021, 08:15 AM
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Horse Racing 1-1-21

Happy New Year!
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Old 01-01-2021, 08:15 AM
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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 1/1/21

January 1, 2021

Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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*
Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

*

View Today’s Santa Anita Workout Report

View Today’s Santa Anita Day Makers

*

RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 6-Three Ay Em

Forecast: Three Ay Em is a genuine and consistent veteran with excellent form over the Santa Anita turf course and looks capable of producing the last run in this 10-furlong first-level allowance affair for older horses. The E. Truman-trained son of New Year’s Day (that’s today!) continues to train like a happy horse, and in a race that probably will be slowly run early he should be able to secure a good second-flight position and then have every chance to seal the deal when it matters. He’s 3-1 on the morning line and at that price offers good value in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
*
*
RACE 2: Post: 1:02 PT Grade: B-
Use:3-Noble Contessa; 6-Paige Runner

Forecast: Freshened since May, Noble Contessa has trained well enough to be fit and ready for M. McCarthy (powerful stats with layoff runners) and from inside post under J. Rosario the daughter of Noble Mission is a strong candidate to take this $25,000 claiming field gate to wire. A two-time winner at this one mile trip, she’s clearly a need-the-lead type and projects to inherit that type of trip. Paige Runner moves up three levels on the class ladder after a pair of dominating wins, most recently at Los Alamitos with a career top number that makes her the one to fear most. She’ll likely settle into a pace-stalking position and then try to exert her superiority from the quarter pole home. We’ll give Noble Contessa the edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
*
*
RACE 3: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Nurse Goodbody; 5-Translate

Forecast: Nurse Goodbody flashed ability in her debut last March when closing strongly but too late in a turf sprint over this course that produced a career top speed figure. She’s been routing ever since – somewhat unsuccessfully – and today (finally) returns to a one-turn event that should (finally) bring out her best. The daughter of Kitten’s Joy lands the good rail, adds blinkers for the first time, and has shown good spark in recent a.m. preps to have her primed for a major effort. At 8-1 on the morning line she’s a “must” play while recognizing that New York shipper Translate, the deserved morning line favorite at 9/5, could be hard to catch. The daughter of Tonalist is lightly-raced with rising speed figures and can be dangerous on the lead or from off the pace. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have extra tickets keying Nurse Goodbody on top.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Eternal Endeavor; 7-Just Grace

Forecast: Eternal Endeavor drops to what should be her winning level, and from the rail and with the switch to F. Prat there should be no excuses for the L. Powell-trained mare in this $12,500 claiming miler for fillies and mares. In the frame in all five of her previous outings over the local main track, the English-bred 7-year-old projects to draft into a comfortable second flight, ground-saving position and then go on with it when asked. Just Grace stretches out and surely will try gate-to-wire tactics. She’s suspect at the trip, but if the P, Miller-trained mare can get over from her outside draw without having to be used hard she may be able to wire the field. A four-time winner from just 10 career starts, the daughter of Graydar gets a huge break in the weights with the switch to bug girl J. Pyfer. Both should be used in rolling exotic play.
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*
RACE 5: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Follow the Lute; 6-Midnight Mystery

Forecast: Here’s a rarely carded restricted maiden optional claimer ($50,00) for older horses that came up light in quality. The B. Baffert-trained Midnight Mystery shows up for a tag and is fast enough on numbers to handle this assignment with anything close to his best effort. He projects to get loose on the lead and get brave, though at 9/5 on the morning line and liable to go lower he’ll probably not offer much wagering value. Follow the Lute finished a respectable second when debuting in a maiden $20,000 sprint at Del Mar in mid-November, and this raise in class can be taken as a sign of confidence. The son of Midnight Lute almost certainly will produce a forward move, the question is, how much? We’ll have tickets using both in our rolling exotics with ‘Mystery the logical top pick and one to beat.
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*
RACE 6: Post: 3:03 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Star Racer; 7-Queen’s Code

Forecast: We’ll try to survive and advance using just two in this state-bred maiden sprint for older horses, but if you find the need to go a little deeper, go right ahead. Queen’s Code didn’t run badly in his debut at Del Mar when finishing a willing third after a wide trip sprinting on grass and seems certain to improve for a barn that usually does very well with the second-time starter angle. The switch to dirt shouldn’t be an issue, so with M. Smith riding him back the son of Desert Code looks well-placed to graduate. Bay Area shipper Star Racer showed a bit of run in a pair of third place all-weather performances last fall and ships down from Golden Gate Fields following a healthy series of recent workouts. The rail may not do him any favors but the son of Vronsky picks up J. Rosario and really won’t have to improve much to be a strong contender in a soft field.
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*
RACE 7: Post: 3:32 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Hembree; 7-Wildman Jack

Forecast: No Lasix for any of the runners in the Joe Hernandez S. so you may want to tread lightly. Wildman Jack won without bleeder medication in a valuable graded sprint stakes in Dubai last year so he may be not be inconvenienced. The Goldencents gelding also won the Daytona S.-G3 over the local lawn last spring and didn’t run badly at all when cutting out the fractions and leading at the furlong pole before understandably weakening to wind up seventh in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Spring-G1 at Keeneland in November. Freshened and working well, the D. O’Neill-trained veteran appears the best of the pace types and will take them a long way. Hembree is the most accomplished of the closers, and if he gets sufficient help up front the P. Miller-trained son of Proud Citizen could pay quick dividends after being claimed for $62,500 at Churchill Downs last time out. He’s a fit on numbers, attracts J. Rosario, and will be charging in the final furlong.
*
*
RACE 8: Post: 4:01 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-El Diablo Rojo; 2-Eel Point; 3-Let’s Rejoyce

Forecast: This is a treacherous affair – a starter optional claimer – and no result would surprise us. There appears to be a ton of speed signed on, so the closers will have a chance in case of a pace meltdown. Eel Point is an intriguing Keeneland shipper now in the P. Miller barn, and while he may not have had a lot behind him in his eight-length maiden claiming win last time out the son of Into Mischief did it the right way while earning a competitive speed figure with this bunch. Assuming he continues his improving pattern – and a nice recent local workout gives hope that he will – the lightly-raced gelding should be heard from in the final furlong. El Diablo Rojo is another dangerous closer in his first outing since July. A maiden claiming winner from off the pace last time out, the C. Lewis-trained gelding retains F. Prat and is certain to receive the patient ride he clearly wants. Let’s Rejoyce has hit the board in each of his last four starts and should be in the fray once again. On numbers he’s a fit but his only win came in gate to wire fashion and we’re wondering if such a trip is attainable in a field with a few other front-running types.
*
*
RACE 9: Post: 3:17 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-Harbored Memories; 6-Amanofmystature; 8-Rock Your World; 11-Butkus

Forecast: This grass grab bag has a number of legitimate possibilities and is another race that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Rock Your World, a $650,000 yearling purchase by Candy Ride, has trained well enough to warrant a big look first crack out of the box, though he may not be a real quick type and may have do his best work from off the pace. Still, he seems to have potential that most of the others don’t, so with J. Rosario taking the call for J. Sadler he may be as good as any. Butkus acts has trained like a quick colt, though his stamina is suspect. He’ll probably bust out and go, and perhaps on grass his speed will carry him a long way. At 10-1 on the morning line you should include him. Woodbine shipper Amanofmystature makes his first start for P. Miller and shows a race two back – a runner-up effort in a grass sprint – that charts reasonably well. He looks like a live item under F. Prat. Harbored Memories is 15-1 on the morning line and is another that seems worth some consideration at a price. He’s been training forever, or so it seems, but his recent drills look promising. We suspect he’ll be passing at least a few of them in the final furlong.
*
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Old 01-01-2021, 08:17 AM
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Edzo's Friday New Year's Day Spot Plays

December 31, 2020 | By Eddie Olczyk

Wishing you the happiest New Year for 2021. Let's start off with a few nice-price tickets to cash!

AQUEDUCT // RACE 3 (12:50PM ET) // CLAIMING // 6-1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)
#9 HOORAY FOR HARVEY (15/1 ML)

Longshot caught a dead rail last time when trying to go wire-to-wire and lost steam. Shortens up in distance and I'm hoping for a fast track Friday to help the rebound.


FAIR GROUNDS // RACE 4 (3:27PM ET) // CLAIMING // 7-1/2 FURLONGS (TURF)
#11 LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE (8/1 ML)

Though she's had 4 starts on grass and not hit the board yet, she's had a few bad posts sprinkled in. While not a great post today, I'm looking for her to trip out. We need the jock to get a good spot out of the gate and save some ground. There seems to be enough speed in this race for her to close into.


SANTA ANITA // RACE 7 (6:32PM ET) // G2 JOE HERNANDEZ STAKES // 6-1/2 FURLONGS (TURF)
#8 CHAOS THEORY (4/1 ML)

So far on this extended, 1-turn grass turf course, you've got to be close to the lead. Chaos Theory is a classy horse and a great claim by John Sadler. If he's close enough early, he's the one.
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Old 01-01-2021, 08:19 AM
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Friday, January 1: Frank Carulli's Stronach 5 Picks

December 31, 2020 | By Frank Carulli

Former Maryland Jockey Club oddsmaker Frank Carulli lends his insights into the Stronach 5 each week, a national $1 pick five wager matching races across the 1/ST family of racetracks.

LEG A // LAUREL PARK, RACE 8 (3:55PM ET) // OPTIONAL CLAIMING // 5 1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)

JOVIS won at 6F off a seven-week layoff, prompting and out-dueling the 5-2 pace setter. He holds a tactical edge over his main rivals and trainer Gary Capuano's runners hold their good form. BELLE TAPISSERIE, favored in his last three starts, settled far off the pace and didn't threaten Jovis, but he could change tactics off the claim and reverse the outcome.

LEG B // GULFSTREAM PARK, RACE 9 (4:11PM ET) // JANUS STAKES // 5 FURLONGS (TURF)

IMPRIMIS, a lightlty-raced but highly productive 7-year-old, posted 101 Beyers in a pair of stakes victories off longer layoffs than today. EXTRAVAGANT KID, a multiple G2-placed turf sprinter in the fall, also benefits from a projected lively pace flow.

LEG C // LAUREL PARK, RACE 9 (4:25PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 1 1/16 MILES (DIRT)

RYE STREET made a middle move to the lead before flattening out and enters a high-percentage claim barn with little to beat. LADY FOX took late money on the stretchout from a sprint but ran into traffic as the beaten favorite.

LEG D // SANTA ANITA PARK, RACE 3 (4:32PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 6 FURLONGS (TURF)

NAANSENSE makes good sense as a live longshot to use. Her dam was 3-7 and a $99k earner on the grass and her half brother, Streakin' Mohican ($380k), blazed 1:07.24 to a Hollywood Park course record when Bill Spawr trained him, then shaved 1:09 when current trainer Doug O'Neill handled him. TRANSLATE, part of the string brought west by New York-based Robert Falcone, proved talented and versatile when finishing second in all three starts on the turf. SWEET DEVIL, whose dam was 4-10 on turf, could appreciate the cutback in distance after she lacked stretch kick in several well-backed starts.

LEG E // GULFSTREAM PARK, RACE 10 (4:42PM ET) // CASH RUN STAKES // 1 MILE (DIRT)

ADIOS TRIPPI repelled a next-out MSW winner en route to a 32-1 upset in her first route attempt. She returns three months later with a solid work tab for a 24-percent, new acquisition barn. SHEA D SUMMER blazed to a 6-1/2F stakes victory against Florida breds in the slop and is strictly the one to beat. HONORIFIQUE broke his maiden from post 12 in a similar one-turn mile at Churchill Downs and has enough speed to get in good stalking postion from the outside.

SUGGESTED $1 TICKET

LEG A: 2, 3
LEG B: 4, 7
LEG C: 5, 8
LEG D: 4, 5, 6
LEG E: 1, 3, 9

TICKET COST: $72
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Old 01-01-2021, 08:20 AM
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#2 Toy Has plenty of upside off the comeback run, and he's got good tactical pace in a race where a first-over style might work well. Best stuff would do.
#1 The Poser He's quick enough to avoid any early troubles from the rail draw, and he has cleared his open N1X condition, so he probably won't linger at this state-bred N1X level very long.
#3 Mr Thrifty He's the clear one to beat, but the price is going to be short. The versatile form is nothing to scoff at, but really all we know so far is that he's really good at Parx. Worth trying to beat in the local debut.
Race Summary Toy should get a tactical run behind a modest sort of pace, and he's right there if he takes a step forward in this second start off the bench.

Laurel Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#1 Trip to Freedom One of many in here getting Lasix for the first time, she backed up quickly last time out when trying stakes company. She has back races that would handle these, but those last two weren't much. Demand a fair price.
#2 Mischiefs Model She's getting a bit of a class test here on the step up, but she is a reliable pressing/spying type that should make her own trip again from close range. I'd want something a bit better than the 5/2 ML offering.
#7 Kewpie Doll Finisher has been a non-threatening second in the two most recent starts, but she might need a touch more pace than she's likely to get in here.
Race Summary Trip to Freedom is a tough read, but she comes out of a tougher spot and owns a couple of races in the past that would probably make short work of this group. Risk/reward lines up right around the 9/2 ML price for me, maybe 4/1.

Laurel Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#8 Factor It In Tactical speed draws well on the outside, and while those last few races last year weren't anything to write home about, he has historically been good here. This is a softer spot than any of the last three tries, too. Fires fresh?
#3 Still Having Fun He has been facing nothing but stakes company -- often graded -- for some time, so this will represent a pretty substantial drop in class for him. Still, he's not really any better than these on paper, but there is a real chance he'll wake up here.
#2 Speightsford He's quick early and should be able to hassle the rail runner the entire way. This trip should suit him well, and he seemed to rediscover his better form in that November try.
Race Summary Factor It In has had some time off after a few dull races with better, and there is a chance he returns with a good effort over a course he thrives on.
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Old 01-01-2021, 08:21 AM
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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Freehold - Race #7
Picks Notes
#6 MSAMRCASWEETHART Tries to continue winning ways in first U.S. start.
#1 SOMETHING REEL Blew clear stretch lead at comparable level at Yonkers.
#7 LEMON ZEST Packed late kick against better in December, lack of pace a concern.
Race Summary Msamrcasweethart arrives from Australia with a 6-12 record and a winning qualifier at the Meadowlands. Expecting a strong rally at a good price. Play a 6-ALL exacta.

Freehold - Race #1
Picks Notes
#1 TWIN B FRIENDLY Left too much work to do in latest, post switch makes all the difference.
#6 LIVE AND LET DI Romped at this level after 9-2 shot broke stride, Brennan will be sending.
#3 HURRIKANESKY Faded on tiring track, won prior start at this level.
Race Summary Twin B Friendly trailed through the opening half, sustained a 3-wide bid through the turn and finished willingly. She figures much closer to the pace from the rail and gets the nod.

Freehold - Race #2
Picks Notes
#6 JACKS TO OPEN Hit board in 8 of 13 as a 10yo, starts fresh after three weeks idle.
#4 KEYSTONE ORION First or second in 4 of last 5, takes catching at a short price.
#1 GW BRUTE MUSCLE Chased 2-to-5 winner around the track for third second in a row.
Race Summary Jacks To Open took money coming out of amateur driver races but broke stride. He moves inside out but is worth a price stab in lieu of his 47th victory.
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Old 01-01-2021, 08:22 AM
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#7 Extravagant Kid Was fourth, just a length behind winner Glass Slippers in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint; has been running well vs. top company and is now stranger to the winner's circle at GP, having won a trio of races. He's edging closer to the $1 million mark in earnings.
#4 Imprimis Won two of three in 2020 and his only failure came in the Breeders Cup Turf Sprint -- a forgivable offense. He's four of four at Gulfstream and has worked well since his last race.
#3 Sayyaaf Won two back and makes his second start for the reed-hot Pletcher barn; tough out front.
Race Summary Extravagant Kid has won seven races at this distance and has the late pop to get it done here.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10
Picks Notes
#9 Honorifique Won at this one-turn mile last out at Churchill; getting better and looks stronger the farther she goes.
#5 Lucifers Lair Was an impressive maiden winner and then gave way in the G2 Adirondack at Saratoga; can be a factor from the beginning.
#6 Quinoa Tifah Was an easy winner in the Our Dear Page in her latest on the GP main track; lightly races but has been willing to get into the mix at as soon as possible.
Race Summary Honorifique was impressive in a maiden win in her fourth attempt and can close against a mostly speedy group.

Gulfstream Park - Race #11
Picks Notes
#4 Tracy Ann's Legacy Does well when she gets the lead early and rider Zayas is usually an asset when it comes to that approach; fits in his spot.
#6 Miss Auramet Has won three straight over three different tracks and is a two-time winner over this course; willing to mix it up with these.
#9 Jakarta Has been a pace factor in the vast majority of her races but actually came from just off the pace for the win last time; was third in a Grade 3 at Keeneland three races back.
Race Summary Tracy Ann's Legacy is quick enough to get to the lead and once she is tough to catch; faces fast rivals and will have to dig in late.
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Old 01-01-2021, 10:29 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs
PURCHASE
Tampa Bay Downs - Race 7

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 7-8-9) / Super High 5


Maiden Special • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 88 • Purse: $22,500 • Post: 3:46P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000. THE SAME PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000 AND SINCE THEN HAVE FINISHED 2ND OR 3RD FOR $25,000 OR MORE.).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. TAPWOOD is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TAPWOOD: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. HABITUS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in a verage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
7
TAPWOOD
9/2

5/2
1
HABITUS
7/2

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
7
TAPWOOD
7

9/2
Stalker
74

61

89.9

80.2

75.2
8
KAYAKER
8

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

35.1

59.7

50.7
5
COMMANDEER
5

15/1
Trailer
78

63

70.2

55.0

44.5
1
HABITUS
1

7/2
Trailer
86

70

54.3

67.3

62.3
9
ROMP
9

10/1
Trailer
78

59

31.8

58.7

47.7
2
CONNAGH'S QUAY
2

3/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

53.3

68.7

64.2
3
BUGLE OF WAR
3

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

60.7

60.7

51.2








Unknown Running Style: FUTURE VICTORY (6/1) [Jockey: Batista Jose A - Trainer: Pletcher Todd A], SUMMER SILENCE (5/1) [Jockey: Camacho Samy - Trainer: Clement Christophe].
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Old 01-01-2021, 10:30 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
PURCHASE
Camarero - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 7-8


Stakes • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 74 • Purse: $36,000 • Post: 5:30P
CLASICO VERSET JET S. - CLASICO VERSET JET.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ALWAY'S COMERIO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. IMNOGOOD: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LOVELY DANA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OUT PARK: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
1
ALWAY'S COMERIO
2/1

4/1
2
IMNOGOOD
6/5

5/1
7
LOVELY DANA
7/2

9/1
4
OUT PARK
10/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
RESISTENCIA
8

9/2
Front-runner
58

57

82.5

44.5

30.5
4
OUT PARK
4

10/1
Front-runner
63

68

76.9

64.6

58.1
2
IMNOGOOD
2

6/5
Front-runner
64

79

76.3

69.8

65.8
5
LADY ALEXANDRIA
5

5/1
Front-runner
48

68

75.0

48.5

35.0
3
CAPTURED PRIZE
3

3/1
Front-runner
59

60

73.1

61.1

53.6
1
ALWAY'S COMERIO
1

2/1
Stalker
74

74

67.9

69.8

66.8
6
LADY AKIRAH
6

10/1
Stalker
57

55

58.2

54.6

42.1
7
LOVELY DANA
7

7/2
Trailer
68

71

40.2

60.2

51.2
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Old 01-01-2021, 10:31 AM
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Stronach 5 - Race #3 - Post: 4:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 LADY FOX (ML=3/1)


LADY FOX - Just check out her recent fig, 61. That one fits well in this bunch. While the finish was disappointing, this horse made a good stretch move last time out at Laurel. Should do much better right here. EPS (earnings per start) is something that I believe can be a very key factor. This horse is ranked at the very top in this bunch. This filly gets a weight break of -7 pounds from last race. Should make the difference today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 RYE STREET (ML=5/2), #7 ZOLA B (ML=9/2), #3 ABILIFY (ML=8/1),

RYE STREET - I don't normally play a favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. ZOLA B - 59/54/19, are the deteriorating speed ratings for this entrant. Will not be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list. ABILIFY - This mare has already been defeated as the public's choice back to back. Hard to give her another chance.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #5 LADY FOX to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
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  #11  
Old 01-01-2021, 10:32 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $47000 Class Rating: 94

FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 GEAR JOCKEY 7/5

# 4 THE ANGRY MAN 5/2

# 2 EAGERLY 3/1

GEAR JOCKEY has a competitive shot to take this race. With Ortiz getting the mount, watch out for this racer. Will probably go to the lead and might never look back. Should be given a chance - I like the figures from the last competition. THE ANGRY MAN - Is difficult not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been competitive - 87 avg - of late. Posted a solid speed rating last time out. EAGERLY - Has run quite well when racing a turf route race. This gelding gets a boost with Lopez in the saddle.
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  #12  
Old 01-01-2021, 10:33 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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01/01/21, FG, Race 6, 3.25 CT
01/01/21,FG,6,5 1/2F [Turf About] 1:01:03 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000 (includes up to $4,000 Other Sources) (plus up to $3,000 ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. A race since then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $17,500, if for $15,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at 5 and 1/2 Furlongs.) (Rail at 15 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 9 O'L Red 8/1 Arrieta F Gonzalez Isai V. JL 152 30.92 1.47/$1
099.8665 4 Western Trouble 8/1 Graham J Scherer Gary M. W 152 30.92 1.47/$1
099.1666 12 Pat Daddy 9/2 Suarez A Davis Christopher 152 30.92 1.47/$1
098.4258 5 Eden Grey's Kitten 8/1 Murrill M Flint Steven B. C 152 30.92 1.47/$1
097.8601 11 Hotfoot 4/1 Bridgmohan S Shirer Matt A. F 152 30.92 1.47/$1
095.0639 8 Dowse's Beach 5/1 Geroux F Maker Michael J. E 152 30.92 1.47/$1
094.9769 2 Lynchburg 9/2 Mena M Calhoun W. Bret T 199 29.65 1.33/$1
092.5236 7 Hitters Park 4/1 Pedroza M Foley Gregory D. 152 30.92 1.47/$1
092.2728 3 Catalogue 10/1 Saez G Lovell Michelle S 199 29.65 1.33/$1
092.0793 1 Richard's Boy 5/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Asmussen Steven M. 152 30.92 1.47/$1
088.9502 6 More Abundance 20/1 Beschizza A Sharp Joe 152 30.92 1.47/$1
088.5043 10 Bye Bye Birdstone 8/1 Hernandez C J Broberg Karl 152 30.92 1.47/$1
Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 30.16, ROI 1.40/$1
. . . .
100.0000 9 O'L Red
[Category]Condition
[AllTurf]LastRaceWeightIsNotLessThanToday
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 11 Hotfoot 4/1 Bridgmohan S Shirer Matt A. F 161 33.54 1.30/$1
099.3776 7 Hitters Park 4/1 Pedroza M Foley Gregory D. 179 34.64 1.25/$1
098.9107 2 Lynchburg 9/2 Mena M Calhoun W. Bret T 161 33.54 1.30/$1
098.2812 12 Pat Daddy 9/2 Suarez A Davis Christopher 179 34.64 1.25/$1
098.0879 8 Dowse's Beach 5/1 Geroux F Maker Michael J. E 161 33.54 1.30/$1
097.9760 9 O'L Red 8/1 Arrieta F Gonzalez Isai V. JL 161 33.54 1.30/$1
097.8806 1 Richard's Boy 5/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Asmussen Steven M. 161 33.54 1.30/$1
097.7112 10 Bye Bye Birdstone 8/1 Hernandez C J Broberg Karl 179 34.64 1.25/$1
096.7054 5 Eden Grey's Kitten 8/1 Murrill M Flint Steven B. C 161 33.54 1.30/$1
096.1128 4 Western Trouble 8/1 Graham J Scherer Gary M. W 161 33.54 1.30/$1
094.8788 3 Catalogue 10/1 Saez G Lovell Michelle S 59 18.64 1.39/$1
094.0447 6 More Abundance 20/1 Beschizza A Sharp Joe 179 34.64 1.25/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.54, ROI 0.78/$1
. . . .
100.0000 11 Hotfoot
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceIsNotSameSurfaceAsToday
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  #13  
Old 01-01-2021, 10:34 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 THE PET 4/1

# 7 BELLIGERENT 4/1

# 2 C C THE BARTENDER 5/2

THE PET has a competitive shot to take this race. This mare with Ordunarojas in the irons makes her a contender. With Ordunarojas in the saddle guiding her, this mare will most likely be able to break out quickly in here. The speed figure of 75 from her last affair looks respectable in here. BELLIGERENT - Uranga has a sharp win percentage with horses moving in dirt sprint races. Ought to be given a chance in this competition if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last race. C C THE BARTENDER - Stortz makes a blinkers change (going off today), looking for better results. Has respectable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event.
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  #14  
Old 01-01-2021, 12:41 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Bar

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 12:54pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 SICK PACK SARA (ML=6/1)
#1 EGG NOG (ML=6/1)


SICK PACK SARA - Joyce rode this horse for the initial time in the last race and comes right back this time. The rest of the field may trail this entrant all the way around the track. Gets help from Salzman with the addition of Lasix. Taking a big drop in class rating points from her Dec 13th race at Laurel. Based on that information, I will give this horse the advantage. EGG NOG - This first time starter has been getting primed in the morning at Laurel, a good sign. Dilodovico, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix in this event. A positive sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CLAIRE'S DARLING (ML=7/2), #5 EMPTY POCKETS (ML=4/1), #6 COWGIRL NIGHT (ML=9/2),

CLAIRE'S DARLING - Hasn't finished in the money in any short distance affairs recently. Doubtful to see her doing it this time out either. I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Long layoff and no drop in level of competition. EMPTY POCKETS - I'm foreseeing a lackluster try out of her this time around. COWGIRL NIGHT - This horse didn't show any pace in the last contest. Now she is trying a sprint. Tough chance at the shorter distance. Run-of-the-mill speed fig in the last race at Laurel at 1 mile. Don't think this horse will improve too much in today's race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #3 SICK PACK SARA on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
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