Horse Racing 10-10-19

[goirish25]

[goirish25]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne
PURCHASE
Hawthorne - Race 2

$1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) / $1 Daily Double


Claiming $6,250 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 3:38P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 10 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * KENAI COOL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest Tra ckMaster Power Rating. FORTRESSA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ISADORA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LAPIS STORM: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
11
KENAI COOL
5/1

9/2
6
FORTRESSA
3/1

9/2
10
ISADORA
9/2

7/1
7
LAPIS STORM
7/2

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
7
LAPIS STORM
7

7/2
Front-runner
62

67

90.1

56.6

49.1
10
ISADORA
10

9/2
Front-runner
65

66

87.0

53.3

49.8
11
KENAI COOL
11

5/1
Front-runner
71

72

59.4

67.0

61.0
2
TOMASITA
2

12/1
Stalker
63

54

56.2

52.2

40.2
6
FORTRESSA
6

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
71

76

43.0

65.4

59.4
3
LITTLE MOLITTA
3

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
63

61

40.2

51.6

35.6
1
HER NAME IS UM
1

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
50

47

71.2

41.4

23.9
4
GINGER SNAP DANCE
4

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

47

61.2

43.4

29.4
5
ANNIE TIME GIRL
5

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
66

62

39.8

49.2

38.2
9
SHES JUST CAPITAL
9

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
50

39

37.0

43.2

26.2
8
ONLY PRAISE ME
8

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

55

34.0

29.6

10.

[goirish25]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
PURCHASE
Delta Downs - Race 9

Daily Double (Races 9-10) ($1 min.) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) Superfecta (.10 min.)


Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $32,000 • Post: 8:39P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $20,000).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Class. ATOMIC CANDY is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ATOMIC CANDY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CLIPBOARD MONEY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CONNIEJOE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse had a bullet workout with in the last seven days.
5
ATOMIC CANDY
2/1

7/2
3
CLIPBOARD MONEY
9/5

7/2
1
CONNIEJOE
5/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
CLIPBOARD MONEY
3

9/5
Front-runner
76

69

98.2

67.0

62.0
4
HOT APRIORITY
4

8/1
Front-runner
62

58

74.9

55.0

46.0
1
CONNIEJOE
1

5/1
Front-runner
63

64

72.8

55.0

48.0
2
SKY DINSKI
2

10/1
Front-runner
68

62

62.9

46.6

34.6
5
ATOMIC CANDY
5

2/1
Alternator/Stalker
93

57

65.0

69.4

65.9
6
SMILING SONG
6

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

81.1

48.4

38.9
7
PURE VALOR
7

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

59.0

40.3

30.3








Unknown Running Style: MOONSHINERBOY (10/1) [Jockey: Guerrero Jose Andres - Trainer: Dodson Clifford].

[goirish25]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 103

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 25, 2019 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 10, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 10, 2019 ALLOWED 5 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 SECRET ROSE 8/5

# 1 TIUNA 2/1

# 4 AWESOME ARROW 5/2

SECRET ROSE could be the bet in here. Is tough not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been strong - 91 avg - of late. Gamblers should probably take a good look at this one as this filly has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group of horses in this race. Ran a sharp last race. TIUNA - Always seems to be close up at the wire. Her 88 average has this mare with among the most competitive Equibase Speed Figures in this contest. AWESOME ARROW - Bettors ought to take a good look at this one as this filly has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. With Rodriguez on top her, this filly ought to be able to break out quickly for this event.

[goirish25]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #4 - Post: 6:40pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 NICKI MINUH UH (ML=6/1)
#5 MIDNIGHT PIRATE (ML=5/1)
#10 SHE'S A TROOPER (ML=5/2)


NICKI MINUH UH - This jock and trainer have a beneficial return on investment when they join forces. Dropped in class last time around the track, running against the same type today. A wise man taught me to wager on the lone speed horse. Take a look at this animal. MIDNIGHT PIRATE - Look for this one to go straight to the finish line at some pretty good odds in this event. Ran seventh in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the wire. Last time, was entered in a race at Laurel in a race with a class rating of 71. Dropping drastically in Equibase class figure today puts her in a solid position in today's race. Trying to be a winner for the first-time moving from a turf race to the dirt. I think Dickey will have her in good shape for today's contest. 'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races. SHE'S A TROOPER - Hayes brings her back again. I recommend you stick with this strong filly. Strong return on investment for this jock and trainer duo. Earnings per race is something that I feel can be a crucial factor. This horse is ranked at the very top in this bunch. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figures (38-49-60) make this thoroughbred a solid contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 STORM AT SEA (ML=3/1),

STORM AT SEA - Trying to beat this one this time at the reward of 3/1.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SHE'S A TROOPER - This filly's superior last speed number of 60, against these thoroughbreds, makes her the overwhelming choice.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 NICKI MINUH UH is the play if we get odds of 4/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,10] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,5,10] with [1,5,10] with [1,2,5,8,10] with [1,2,5,8,10] Total Cost: $36

[goirish25]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Prairie Meadows
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Optional Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 85

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 10, 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 THE DEALERS ON FIRE 7/2

# 2 DASHING FAJITA 8/5

# 3 APOLLS REIGN 6/1

THE DEALERS ON FIRE looks to be a strong contender. Look for a much stronger attempt with the drop. Is worth considering and may be a wager - strong speed figs (71 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Lately Torres has been scorching which may give the edge to this filly. DASHING FAJITA - This filly has posted some nice finishes in her last few efforts. Looks to have a respectable class edge based on the most recent company kept. APOLLS REIGN - Has been racing solidly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. This filly has a good win percent in short races.

[goirish25]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 7:57pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 MOJO'S LOUIE CAT (ML=9/5)


MOJO'S LOUIE CAT - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a strong race last time out within the last 30 days. This gelding's last speed figure is strong enough to prove victorious here, I'll wager on him right back this time around. Only a bad break can keep this horse from having a chance. Loves the front, is breaking from the inside in a sprint race, and we're on a bullring of a track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CHARITABLE SPENNY (ML=5/2), #1 RUM RUNNER RED (ML=3/1), #2 ISLAND CADGER (ML=4/1),

CHARITABLE SPENNY - I predict a disappointing effort for this horse in this race. RUM RUNNER RED - Looked like he was in good form on Sep 21st. Hasn't been near the track since then though. Not a positive sign. ISLAND CADGER - This gelding most likely won't be right there at the finish line.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MOJO'S LOUIE CAT - I love betting on horses that have a big advantage over the rest of the field when it comes to the TrackMaster Power Rating. This one fits the bill.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #3 MOJO'S LOUIE CAT to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with 1

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[goirish25]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
PURCHASE

10/10/19, BEL, Race 3, 2.23 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $77,000.
(UP TO $13,398 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5) - Empire 6 (.20) Races (3-8), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 6 Zealous 7/2 Saez L Bond H. James JTFE
097.4919 3 Proschema 8/5 Alvarado J Mott William I. W
097.3226 1 T Loves a Fight 6/5 Davis D Noda Orlando SC
095.7393 5 Family Biz 10-1 Franco M Barker Edward R.
094.1629 4 American Rule 20-1 Hernandez B Tournas Peter
093.0408 2 Dark N Cloudy(b+) 12-1 Reyes L R Schettino Domenick L. L
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
6 23.60 1.09 46.03 58 126 [All Dirt] Best Finish
3 10.10 1.63 25.00 2 8 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
1 32.70 1.14 49.58 59 119 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
5 10.10 1.63 25.00 2 8 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
4 10.10 1.63 25.00 2 8 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
2 36.50 1.33 45.45 25 55 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[goirish25]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park
PURCHASE

10/10/19, SA, Race 2, 1.35 PT
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.01.03 CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) - $2 Rolling Double / $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 2-3-4) - $0.20 Rainbow Pick Six Starts (Races 2-7) - $0.50 Early Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) / $0.50 Jackpot Super High 5
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 3 Don'tteasethetiger 5-1 Maldonado E A Vallejo Genaro FWL
098.9388 1 I Belong to Becky(b-) 5/2 Talamo J Glatt Mark TE
098.4781 2 Verynsky 7/2 Cedillo A Hess. Jr. Robert B. JS
098.0357 5 Concord Jet 8-1 Pereira T J Koriner Brian J.
097.5677 9 Thin Line 4-1 Garcia M O'Neill Doug F.
094.8032 7 Prayer Warrior 12-1 Baze T Metz Jeffrey
094.4216 4 Just Hit Play 8-1 Flores E Miyadi Steven
094.3958 6 Golden Image 12-1 Franco G Dunham Daniel
092.9492 8 Fifteen to Vegas(b+) 15-1 Velez J I Chew Matthew C
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
3 107.40 1.36 41.72 63 151 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
1 107.40 1.36 41.72 63 151 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
2 107.40 1.36 41.72 63 151 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
5 77.20 1.16 39.92 95 238 [All Dirt] Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
9 107.40 1.36 41.72 63 151 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
7 107.40 1.36 41.72 63 151 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
4 107.00 1.30 21.67 39 180 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
6 107.40 1.36 41.72 63 151 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
8 107.40 1.36 41.72 63 151 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off