Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Horse Racing Sports Handicapping at the Racetrack!

Likes Likes:  1
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-14-2019, 08:32 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,168
Rewards: 245,803
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20120
Horse Racing 10-14-19

Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-14-2019, 08:32 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,168
Rewards: 245,803
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20120
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ajax Downs
PURCHASE
Ajax Downs - Race 10

Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta


Speed Index • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $16,800 • Post: 4:58P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WITH AN AVERAGE SPEED INDEX OF 85 AND UNDER. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CHICKSDIGMYMONEYBAGS: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. QUICK BOLLS JANGLE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SELECTIVE MEMORY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. THE FDD MAP: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ITS SWEET TOBE FIRST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1
CHICKSDIGMYMONEYBAGS
9/2

6/1
7
QUICK BOLLS JANGLE
5/2

7/1
8
SELECTIVE MEMORY
3/1

7/1
6
THE FDD MAP
8/1

8/1
2
ITS SWEET TOBE FIRST
5/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
CHICKSDIGMYMONEYBAGS
1

9/2
Average
82

78

4.7

0.0

0.0
2
ITS SWEET TOBE FIRST
2

5/1
Average
77

74

5.7

0.0

0.0
3
CARLOS THE SECOND
3

7/2
Slow/Trouble-prone
75

75

7.4

0.0

0.0
4
PANTHER COOL
4

10/1
Average
76

72

5.3

0.0

0.0
5
HANOVER HILL STOLI
5

4/1
Average
73

70

4.1

0.0

0.0
6
THE FDD MAP
6

8/1
Slow
77

74

7.3

0.0

0.0
7
QUICK BOLLS JANGLE
7

5/2
Average
81

79

3.7

0.0

0.0
8
SELECTIVE MEMORY
8

3/1
Average
77

77

5.0

0.0

0.0
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-14-2019, 08:32 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,168
Rewards: 245,803
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20120
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine
PURCHASE
Woodbine - Race 6

Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 0.20 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)


Allowance • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Inner Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $67,500 • Post: 3:45P
INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $9,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE AUGUST 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CANADIAN MAGIC is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DYNATOWN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. PIPER'S LEGACY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MY BORROWED ANGEL: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). CANADIAN MAGIC: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SE CRET MASQUERADE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
4
DYNATOWN
2/1

6/1
2
PIPER'S LEGACY
5/2

7/1
6
MY BORROWED ANGEL
8/1

7/1
3
CANADIAN MAGIC
10/1

7/1
5
SECRET MASQUERADE
4/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
CANADIAN MAGIC
3

10/1
Front-runner
85

83

105.9

68.2

58.7
6
MY BORROWED ANGEL
6

8/1
Stalker
88

83

98.6

78.7

72.7
2
PIPER'S LEGACY
2

5/2
Stalker
90

85

87.5

81.7

76.2
1
SLYDINI
1

20/1
Stalker
81

75

81.8

66.9

51.9
5
SECRET MASQUERADE
5

4/1
Stalker
83

84

77.6

81.4

73.4
8
A BROKEN BREEZE
8

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
83

77

55.5

73.3

59.8
7
FRESH PRINCESS
7

6/1
Trailer
91

90

39.8

87.2

79.2
4
DYNATOWN
4

2/1
Alternator/Trailer
88

88

56.2

84.7

78.7
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-14-2019, 08:33 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,168
Rewards: 245,803
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20120
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #3 - Post: 1:51pm - Optional Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 94

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 NEVER GIVE IN (ML=9/2)
#2 FLOWER BEACH (ML=5/1)
#5 RAOFTHESUN (ML=4/1)


NEVER GIVE IN - Diodoro has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware the longer priced half. Lopez's agent must enjoy anytime Diodoro gives them a mount; winning pct together is tremendous. Everybody's got their favorite tracks, but if you ask this horse, I think his answer would be Turf Paradise. FLOWER BEACH - Stevens and Story perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +63 return on investment for a jock and trainer. This gelding is almost always in-the-money. Last time he ran at this trip he registered a speed fig good enough to win today's contest. RAOFTHESUN - This gelding should give a strong account of himself in today's affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ROLLS ROYCE DEAL (ML=2/1), #6 GOLDEN COWBOY (ML=5/2), #4 LOUD N PROUD (ML=6/1),

ROLLS ROYCE DEAL - Would have to move up off that fourth place finish last time to make an impact here. GOLDEN COWBOY - This equine doesn't have a winning state of mind. Regularly finishes close, but no cigar. LOUD N PROUD - Tough to back a 3 year old meeting the older ones for the first time. Probably needs more racing experience.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 NEVER GIVE IN is the play if we get odds of 4/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-14-2019, 08:33 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,168
Rewards: 245,803
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20120
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 73

FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 UP JUST IN TIME 12/1

# 6 FAST INTENTIONS 8/1

# 7 CRAZY BEA 12/1

I give the nod to UP JUST IN TIME for this event especially at a such a nice price. Sire is so important in juvenile races and this one's babies have fared well while winning at a 25 percent clip. This racer has some longshot handicapping angles going for her. She will almost certainly show strong support based on conditioner data which can be very important in baby races. FAST INTENTIONS - Must be given a shot as sire's progeny has among the best win rate as two-year olds. Make a note that this one runs on Lasix today. Respectable bloodlines with one of the most respectable 2 year old sires. CRAZY BEA - First timers trained by Wyner have proved to be successful. Has strong sire returns and may be worth the very risky nature of a two-year old race.
__________________
Likes wire2wire liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-14-2019, 08:33 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,168
Rewards: 245,803
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20120
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4100 Class Rating: 68

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 HOTALING HEART 10/1

# 6 ITSABEAUTIFULDAY 9/5

# 4 ONE SIMPLE RULE 5/2

HOTALING HEART looks strong to best this field and is a solid value wager given the line. Lately Allen has been hot which may give the edge to this mare. Will likely be one of the leaders of the bunch going into the midpoint of the race. Keep this mare in your exotics as Allen has given backers some double digit profits. ITSABEAUTIFULDAY - Always seems to be close on the wire. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this equine look very strong in this outing. ONE SIMPLE RULE - Her 62 average has this mare with among the best Equibase Speed Figs for this event. Earned a sound speed fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-14-2019, 08:34 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,168
Rewards: 245,803
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20120
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Belmont Park - Race #6 - Post: 4:05pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 BYE BYE NICKY (ML=8/1)
#3 SMACK (ML=2/1)


BYE BYE NICKY - I look for this horse to sit off the pace and make a solid move on the turn, cruising straight on to the wire. Trainer, Magner, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. SMACK - Clement has a very great win percent in grass sprints. This filly should be in great shape. Clement enters this horse in a spot where she should fit well based on her last two speed ratings. This filly's last rating is high enough to score here, I'll play her back again this time out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 KELLEYCANRUN (ML=5/2), #7 WAJEEHA (ML=3/1), #5 SOLO ARTIST (ML=6/1),

KELLEYCANRUN - No good results for this horse in a short distance event over the last couple of months tells me that this filly is in a thorny situation A runner should have more zip at 1 1/16 miles to get me going about her chances of winning at 7 furlongs. WAJEEHA - I'm forecasting a less than stellar effort out of her this time. SOLO ARTIST - Doesn't appear to have enough positive angles to justify the price.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SMACK - Her solid final fraction in her last race on September 22nd positions her well with these ponies.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 BYE BYE NICKY to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-14-2019, 08:34 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,168
Rewards: 245,803
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20120
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West
PURCHASE

10/14/19, GPW, Race 6, 3.36 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.04 CLAIMING. Purse $30,000.
Claiming Price $35,000, if for $30,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 1 Creative Award 4-1 Vasquez M A Dibona Bobby S. TW
097.2615 5 Valley Girl 2-1 Torres C A Nicks Ralph E. C
096.9137 3 Cory Gal 8-1 Panici L Bates Larry
096.8487 2 Don't Lose Hope 6-1 Lugo C D D'Angelo Francisco EL
096.5230 6 Yako 10-1 Gonzalez S Sano Antonio S
095.7501 4 Paula Andrea 3-1 Rendon J Sano Antonio J
095.2507 7 Mrs. Chapman 8-1 Gutierrez R Abreu Fernando
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPW.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ# Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
1 49.40 1.22 37.50 42 112 [All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
5 22.00 1.13 37.35 31 83 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
3 23.60 1.12 33.68 32 95 [All Surfaces] First Race After 45 Days Off
2 23.60 1.12 33.68 32 95 [All Surfaces] First Race After 45 Days Off
6 22.00 1.13 37.35 31 83 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
4 76.00 1.47 40.74 33 81 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
7 22.00 1.13 37.35 31 83 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
10-14-19, horse, msh, racing

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:35 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 13.64% Host: cappersmallweb5