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Old 10-04-2019, 09:36 AM
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Horse Racing 10-4-19

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Old 10-04-2019, 09:36 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
PURCHASE
Evangeline Downs - Race 2

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)


Claiming $5,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 6:00P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JESS ROCKIN: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. SIZZLE BABY SIZZLE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. ROMANTIC HISPANIC: Horse ranks in the top three in av erage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MAUVAIS BOJ: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. KATIE MAE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
5
JESS ROCKIN
15/1

5/1
6
SIZZLE BABY SIZZLE
3/1

6/1
1
ROMANTIC HISPANIC
6/1

8/1
8
MAUVAIS BOJ
8/1

9/1
4
KATIE MAE
4/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
ROMANTIC HISPANIC
1

6/1
Average
71

72

4.3

0.0

0.0
2
JM VALIANT DASH
2

5/2
Slow
70

62

6.9

0.0

0.0
3
DASHING RED LEXUS
3

12/1
Slow
72

64

6.7

0.0

0.0
4
KATIE MAE
4

4/1
Fast
70

69

0.0

0.0

0.0
5
JESS ROCKIN
5

15/1
Fast
79

78

2.3

0.0

0.0
6
SIZZLE BABY SIZZLE
6

3/1
Fast
76

72

0.0

0.0

0.0
7
OUACHITA SPECIAL
7

5/1
Slow
64

63

6.6

0.0

0.0
8
MAUVAIS BOJ
8

8/1
Fast
73

69

3.2

0.0

0.0
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Old 10-04-2019, 09:37 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs
PURCHASE
Indiana Downs - Race 4

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)


Allowance • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $36,500 • Post: 3:39P
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 70 YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Trailer. NATIVE LION is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NATIVE LION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest Tra ckMaster Power Rating. DRINKATTHECREEK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
NATIVE LION
4/1

5/2
3
DRINKATTHECREEK
7/5

4/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
LADY STELLA
5

2/1
Stalker
59

58

46.1

65.3

55.8
7
TWO CARROT RANSOM
7

12/1
Stalker
73

72

30.3

64.9

59.9
4
NATIVE LION
4

4/1
Trailer
79

76

73.0

73.9

70.9
3
DRINKATTHECREEK
3

7/5
Trailer
78

81

52.1

69.2

64.2
1
WANNA HAVE FUN
1

8/1
Trailer
66

64

49.3

60.7

50.7
2
GIVEUSTHISDAY
2

20/1
Trailer
71

69

26.5

55.0

42.5
6
HIP TANG
6

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
71

72

72.8

62.0

51.5
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  #4  
Old 10-04-2019, 09:37 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West
PURCHASE

10/04/19, GPW, Race 1, 1.00 ET
5F [Turf] 00.54.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $29,000.
Claiming Price $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 1 -5) / $1 Super Hi 5
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 7 Yei Yei 7/2 Lopez P Azpurua. Jr. Leo JFEL
098.7941 11 Poznan 8-1 Santos A Arriagada Juan SW
097.1698 1 Bolt 9/2 Zayas E J Alvarado Juan
096.3444 9 Alaskan 3-1 Torres C A Pinchin Jose
096.2974 10 Danzo 8-1 Vasquez M A Negrete Javier
096.0181 4 Where Ya Goin Owen 10-1 Berrios H I Sanchez Amador Merei T
093.7984 8 El Solitario 15-1 Panici L D'Angelo Francisco
093.7221 6 Think Like Tommy 10-1 Sanchez J Antonucci Jena M.
092.8670 3 Fastdriven 15-1 Batista J A Minguet Ramon
092.2263 5 Wild Wine 12-1 Montalvo C D'Angelo Francisco
091.5189 2 Into Magarayquaza 12-1 Zapico S Mejia Jaime C
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPW.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
7 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
11 41.40 1.16 34.62 45 130 [All Surfaces] Best Workouts
1 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
9 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
10 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
4 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
8 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
6 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
3 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
5 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
2 35.00 1.53 39.39 13 33 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 7 Yei Yei 7/2 Lopez P Azpurua. Jr. Leo JEWL
098.0283 1 Bolt 9/2 Zayas E J Alvarado Juan
097.4232 11 Poznan 8-1 Santos A Arriagada Juan SF
096.5203 4 Where Ya Goin Owen 10-1 Berrios H I Sanchez Amador Merei T
095.8112 9 Alaskan 3-1 Torres C A Pinchin Jose
094.2289 10 Danzo 8-1 Vasquez M A Negrete Javier
093.5275 8 El Solitario 15-1 Panici L D'Angelo Francisco
093.0805 5 Wild Wine 12-1 Montalvo C D'Angelo Francisco
092.7509 6 Think Like Tommy 10-1 Sanchez J Antonucci Jena M.
092.5257 3 Fastdriven 15-1 Batista J A Minguet Ramon
090.5320 2 Into Magarayquaza 12-1 Zapico S Mejia Jaime C
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPW.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
7 43.40 1.26 40.24 33 82 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
1 43.40 1.26 40.24 33 82 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
11 3.60 1.90 100.00 2 2 [All Surfaces] *Actual Post Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f or 5 1/2f
4 5.00 1.50 60.00 3 5 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
10 3.60 1.90 100.00 2 2 [All Surfaces] *Actual Post Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f or 5 1/2f
5 5.00 1.50 60.00 3 5 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
3 5.00 1.50 60.00 3 5 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
2 5.00 1.50 60.00 3 5 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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  #5  
Old 10-04-2019, 09:38 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:21pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 BIG DELILAH (ML=10/1)
#6 TOP PICK (ML=6/1)


BIG DELILAH - On September 26th this filly shipped in to win and looks good right back. I do like the fact this filly is back in a race so quickly. This horse probably isn't going to sit off the pace. She should bust out of the gate and be one of the first to hit that tight turn. Watch for her in the stretch. TOP PICK - Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the first ride on Sep 14th. Should be in touch with the horse even better today. Jockey and trainer do well when they partner up. Delgado and Grams have been reliable together. Just missed hitting the board on September 14th at Charles Town. With decent morning odds in this event, she has my interest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 AZZURRA (ML=6/5), #7 LOVE HAPPY (ML=5/2), #3 MESMERIZINGPEGASUS (ML=8/1),

AZZURRA - This filly is always in the mix, but just doesn't finish on top. Tough to wager on her on the win end. All kinds of crazy zip on board for this contest. No chance for this early speedball. LOVE HAPPY - This horse ran a quite unimpressive speed fig last out. She shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's race running that figure. MESMERIZINGPEGASUS - If today's contest shapes up right, all the front runners will force a pretty mean speed duel early. Too bad this horse is one of those front runners.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 BIG DELILAH is the play if we get odds of 9/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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  #6  
Old 10-04-2019, 09:38 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Allowance - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $77000 Class Rating: 102

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NOT WON A GRADED SWEEPSTAKE IN 2019. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $58,000 TWICE IN 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $60,000 IN 2019 ALLOWED 4 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 POLE SETTER 4/1

# 1 KNICKS GO 4/1

# 3 REGALLY IRISH 10/1

I have to consider POLE SETTER here. Has been moving strongly and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. Will likely be one of the leaders of the bunch going into the midpoint of the contest. Is tough not to look at based on speed figures which have been solid - 88 avg - of late. KNICKS GO - Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Very solid returns have been scored by bettors using this jockey and trainer duo as of late.
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Old 10-04-2019, 09:38 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fresno
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 76

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 SPEEDY RIDE 12/1

# 1 CHANGING IMAGE 5/1

# 4 SHINER'S CODE 8/1

SPEEDY RIDE is the best wager in this contest and could score at a price in here. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a very good handicapping angle. This horse ranks at the top in this field of horses. Has to be given a shot versus this field displaying decent figures recently and an average Equibase speed fig of 64 under similar conditions. Monroy has recent ROI figures which make this entrant a very good wager. CHANGING IMAGE - Might best this group here, showing very good figures of late. Has quite good early lick and should fare soundly against this group of animals. SHINER'S CODE - He looks decent in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Looks decent for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately.
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Old 10-04-2019, 09:39 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park
PURCHASE

10/04/19, SA, Race 2, 1.30 PT
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.00 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
Claiming Price $32,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2019
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 2-3-4) - $0.50 Early Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $0.50 Jackpot Super Hi 5
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 5 Winning Element 4-1 Bejarano R O'Neill Doug F. FW
098.6769 6 Caymans Cobra 5-1 Meche D J Baltas Richard EL
097.0745 7 Van Cortlandt 6-1 Arroyo. Jr. N Miyadi Steven
096.3654 4 Very Very Stella 5/2 Garcia M Truman Eddie
096.3373 3 Eldritch (IRE) 10-1 Espinoza A Glatt Mark
096.2861 1 Tizzarunner 5-1 Fuentes R McCarthy Michael W. S
096.2247 8 Buckstopper Kit 2-1 Cedillo A D'Amato Philip JC
095.8684 2 Lifeline 12-1 Velez J I Sadler John W. T
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
5 77.80 1.25 33.97 53 156 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
6 76.20 1.42 34.44 31 90 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
7 76.20 1.42 34.44 31 90 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
4 76.20 1.42 34.44 31 90 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
3 76.20 1.42 34.44 31 90 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
1 76.20 1.42 34.44 31 90 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
8 76.20 1.42 34.44 31 90 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
2 76.20 1.42 34.44 31 90 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 5 Winning Element 4-1 Bejarano R O'Neill Doug F. W
098.8795 6 Caymans Cobra 5-1 Meche D J Baltas Richard EL
097.9706 7 Van Cortlandt 6-1 Arroyo. Jr. N Miyadi Steven
097.7847 3 Eldritch (IRE) 10-1 Espinoza A Glatt Mark S
097.3330 4 Very Very Stella 5/2 Garcia M Truman Eddie F
096.8371 1 Tizzarunner 5-1 Fuentes R McCarthy Michael W.
096.6738 2 Lifeline 12-1 Velez J I Sadler John W. T
096.4282 8 Buckstopper Kit 2-1 Cedillo A D'Amato Philip JC
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
5 55.20 1.18 20.13 31 154 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey
6 103.00 1.28 21.43 39 182 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
7 95.20 1.32 40.82 60 147 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
3 103.00 1.28 21.43 39 182 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
4 95.20 1.32 40.82 60 147 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
1 55.20 1.18 20.13 31 154 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey
2 103.00 1.28 21.43 39 182 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
8 103.00 1.28 21.43 39 182 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
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  #9  
Old 10-04-2019, 09:39 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Belmont Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 MINE THE COIN (ML=2/1)
#6 IMPUNITY (ML=9/5)


MINE THE COIN - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. This speed freak should benefit from this shorter trip. This beautiful animal is in great demand coming off two claims in his last two starts. Don't overlook this gelding in your speculating today. IMPUNITY - Note that although this gelding finished second in his last race, he was well ahead of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. This gelding's last fig is lofty enough to score here, I'll bet on him right back this time around.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CAVARADOSSI (ML=7/2), #2 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK (ML=6/1), #5 PISTOLEIRO (ML=8/1),

CAVARADOSSI - Improbable for this horse to do much running with no recent success in a sprint event. Didn't show much last time. Probably won't do much running in today's event. STRATEGIC OUTLOOK - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance contests. Not easy to bet on him in this race. PISTOLEIRO - Too far back on February 24th for me to back at the probable odds in today's sprint race. Not normally the kind of horse one plays off of any type of very long layoff.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MINE THE COIN - Finished a disappointing sixth at Saratoga on Sep 2nd. But that was in the slop. Expect much better in today's event.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 MINE THE COIN is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
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