Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Horse Racing Sports Handicapping at the Racetrack!

Likes Likes:  0
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-19-2019, 11:19 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,099
Rewards: 245,713
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20104
Horse Racing 11-19-19

Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-19-2019, 11:19 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,099
Rewards: 245,713
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20104
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
PURCHASE
Finger Lakes - Race 4

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 4-5) * PICK 3 (Races 4-5-6)


Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 12:45
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 19, 2018 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2018 - 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. UWANDADANCE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * STRAW HAT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MISTRETTA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ROSEY GAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MOM'S LAW: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. UWANDADANCE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (wit hin 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3
STRAW HAT
7/2

6/1
8
MISTRETTA
6/1

6/1
6
ROSEY GAL
5/2

7/1
1A
MOM'S LAW
5/1

8/1
2
UWANDADANCE
8/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
UWANDADANCE
1

8/1
Front-runner
64

56

48.0

42.2

28.7
3
STRAW HAT
2

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
76

62

47.8

58.2

49.7
6
ROSEY GAL
5

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
63

60

45.4

58.4

53.4
1A
MOM'S LAW
9

5/1
Trailer
70

63

40.6

57.0

50.5
8
MISTRETTA
8

6/1
Trailer
73

64

33.8

59.4

53.9
7
PATRIOT LADY
6

8/1
Trailer
63

53

33.6

39.8

22.8
5
TRAIPSE IN UTOPIA
4

4/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

56

45.2

52.2

43.2
4
SACRED CANYON
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
71

67

40.6

44.4

35.9
1
TWOFREEKNIGHTS
7

5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
62

49

29.4

46.6

32.1
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-19-2019, 11:19 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,099
Rewards: 245,713
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20104
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise
PURCHASE
Turf Paradise - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 5-6) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)


Claiming $3,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 2:36P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DISLITLEAGLECANFLY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. ENDEARMENT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. COCO LOCO MAMA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ORIZABA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or a n "L" designation. TIZ SIMPLY AWESOME: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6
DISLITLEAGLECANFLY
12/1

6/1
3
ENDEARMENT
7/2

7/1
7
COCO LOCO MAMA
4/1

7/1
8
ORIZABA
5/1

8/1
9
TIZ SIMPLY AWESOME
15/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
9
TIZ SIMPLY AWESOME
9

15/1
Front-runner
56

62

62.4

43.2

34.7
7
COCO LOCO MAMA
7

4/1
Front-runner
66

58

56.6

43.2

30.7
4
WAIT FOR LOVE
4

9/2
Alternator/Stalker
56

48

51.6

43.2

30.2
3
ENDEARMENT
3

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
68

53

48.0

55.2

48.2
2
MORNING PRESS
2

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
50

56

47.4

47.0

35.0
5
ABRAAJEENA
5

15/1
Alternator/Stalker
67

54

40.0

46.6

36.6
8
ORIZABA
8

5/1
Trailer
66

57

34.4

52.0

47.0
6
DISLITLEAGLECANFLY
6

12/1
Alternator/Trailer
74

67

36.8

52.2

45.7
1
WARTIME LADY
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
69

47

53.4

29.6

13.6
10
FRITZIES FIREWATER
10

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
60

59

46.7

36.0

18.0
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-19-2019, 11:20 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,099
Rewards: 245,713
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20104
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #6 - Post: 3:04pm - Allowance - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,500 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 KITTEN'S SHADOW (ML=15/1)
#6 COOL IRIS (ML=10/1)


KITTEN'S SHADOW - This horse could be close at the end. She's got a terrific late kick. COOL IRIS - I believe this equine isn't a natural sprinter. Routing is her best game and those last two sprints should have her set for a big run today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SHARPIN (ML=5/2), #9 MYOSITIS MYSTIQUE (ML=7/2), #4 TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY (ML=4/1),

SHARPIN - Difficult to put your money on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as frequently as this thoroughbred does. Tough to put your cash on this oft beaten public's top choice. Not much value. MYOSITIS MYSTIQUE - Ran somewhat erratically last time around the track on November 5th at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY - The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's event. Mark this racer as a possibly overvalued equine.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 KITTEN'S SHADOW to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-19-2019, 11:20 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,099
Rewards: 245,713
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20104
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 87

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 4, 2019 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 19, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 19, 2019 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $10,000 1 LB.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 RYANEAUX SPOT 3/1

# 7 IMAGINABLE 8/5

# 10 WHISPERING SPEAKER 5/1

I give the nod to RYANEAUX SPOT here. Velez has her trained very well to break promptly out of the starting gate. Reliable average speed figures in dirt route races make this horse a contender. I can't pass on this filly given one of the top jock and trainer combos on the grounds. IMAGINABLE - Ran a sharp last race. Might best this group here, showing solid numbers of late. WHISPERING SPEAKER - Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of animals - worth a look. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed figure - 87 - of her last race.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-19-2019, 11:21 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,099
Rewards: 245,713
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20104
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $22500 Class Rating: 84

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 19, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 KRIS WHO 5/2

# 5 GONNA' ROCK N ROLL 4/1

# 3 SONG OF LAURA 8/5

KRIS WHO looks to be a competitive contender. In this field, this one is ranked high in earnings per start in dirt sprint events. He looks quite good in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. GONNA' ROCK N ROLL - He ought to be considered given the quite good speed figures. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Cappellucci running at this distance are the best in this group of horses in this race. SONG OF LAURA - This gelding looks good in this contest since Valdez has a solid win percent with horses going this distance. Should be given consideration - I like the figs from the last contest.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-19-2019, 11:21 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 208,099
Rewards: 245,713
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 816
Likes (Received): 20104
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:19pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 UNTANGLED TRUTH (ML=3/2)


UNTANGLED TRUTH - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is up against an easier field than last time out at Parx Racing. This gelding is put right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. Trainer, Servis, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 RULES (ML=7/2), #7 MY MAN ELVIS (ML=4/1), #2 THE CARLBROOK KID (ML=5/1),

RULES - Earned a mediocre speed rating last time out in a $7,500 Claiming race on Oct 12th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating. MY MAN ELVIS - The Brain always warns me to keep away from thoroughbreds in short distance races that haven't hit the board in short distance races recently. In this type of situation, this entrant's inability to close in the last race is a troubling signal. THE CARLBROOK KID - This less than sharp equine hasn't been close at the wire of late.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 UNTANGLED TRUTH to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
11-19-19, horse, msh, racing

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:52 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 16.67% Host: cappersmallweb5