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  #1  
Old 03-20-2020, 08:01 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Horse Racing 3-20-20

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Old 03-20-2020, 08:01 AM
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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Aqueduct - Race #2
Picks Notes
#5 Shamrock Kid Stalker looked good winning over lesser with ease last time, and while this group is tougher, he also goes off the Gullo claim (22%), and catches a field loaded with speed; look out.
#1 Durkin's Call Underachiever never gets there yet is always bet, but on the stretchout, with a positive race flow for his closing style, he could finally make a big dent; looms the one to fear late.
#2 Danebury Stiff ML favorite is the best of the speed, and the close 2nd at the level last time makes him a big player here, but all the speed to his outside won't help; comes unglued in the lane.
Race Summary You won't get rich on the 5 but that 2-1 ML in a six-horse field seems fair, as he probably should be favored based on the race flow and his new trainer, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some built-in value by singling him in the early Pk5 and to kick off the early Pk4, as he gets all the best of it here, and the win last time might be good enough to beat this field as is.

Aqueduct - Race #5
Picks Notes
#9 Choose Happiness Mott charge didn't take a lot of money in her sprint debut for a patient barn, but she ran on a bit late, now stretches out, and meets a group there for the taking; upset special.
#6 Sharp Starr Closer is another who should appreciate the added ground, as she's been improving and running on late, though she's also burned a lot of money in her two starts; second-best.
#4 Eloquent Speaker Logical contender was bet hard on debut then was a distant 2nd, and so she certainly figures, but at 2-for-50 it's tough to play anything for Jeremiah right now; mixed signals.
Race Summary The price will be right on the 9, and sure, she needs to improve a lot of that debut, but there's no reason to think she won't, as this was probably the spot they had in mind all along, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk5/Pk4, in the late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as she could completely fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would go a long way in blowing up all four sequences.

Aqueduct - Race #6
Picks Notes
#4 No Distortion Atras claim (26%) goes for a barn that is hot at the meet, catches a group full of speed, and could offer a hint of value as well off the meek 4th last time; expecting a huge run.
#10 Win With Pride Stalker was 3rd, but 3 1/2 lengths ahead of the pick last time and now goes off the Rodriguez claim (16%), so he too could move up, but the wide draw worries; scary, but no lock.
#6 Aristocratic The speed beat the top-2 last time in a game wire job, but there's a ton of pace to both sides, so wiring won't be easy, plus he could bounce as well; willing to make him prove it.
Race Summary Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that will really help the chances of the 4, who is likely to move way up for his new barn too, so give him a look in all the slots, and make sure to use him in the late Pk5/Pk4, since he's got a big chance at turning the tables on his biggest two rivals.

Sam Houston - Race #3
Picks Notes
#3 Midkinghtwar Price player likely needed his comeback against better when a middling 7th, should improve off that, and meets a modest crew, and potentially vulnerable heavy favorite; can upset.
#2 Winter Wolf Stiff favorite certainly hits hard, but note the big run last time was on turf, and his dirt form isn't overwhelming, so at underlaid odds, he's worth trying to beat on top; second-best.
#6 Can If I Can Allowance dropper was tossed to the wolves in an N2L last time off solid but slow debut win, so he's another who eligible for a wakeup call in this spot; do not ignore at a nice price.
Race Summary That 8-1 ML on the pick sure seems like a lot of value, since, aside from the 2, there's no one here to fear, so give him a look in all the slots, and in the early Pk as well, since budget players will be singling the chalk, even though he's got little margin for error, which means a win by 'War would really blow things up.

Sam Houston - Race #4
Picks Notes
#9 Right Lane Markusz Turf specialist hasn't shown any dirt form, so draw a line through his last, and focus on the grass runs, which are simply better than this group; mows them down late.
#7 Father Bryan Pace presser drew a nice post for his style, and his turf races of late, against better, have been very solid, and he'll get first run on the pick off the turf too; major player.
#4 No Mo Hooch Tricky read was all-out to beat MSW foes, so the rise to winners won't be easy, plus this post isn't ideal, and it's not like he's overly fast on figures either; tread lightly.
Race Summary That 5-1 ML on the pick would be a big overlay, as he's best on his turf form and should be favored here, so play him in all the slots, and especially the early Pk4 as well, since this is a deep field, and getting home a $10 winner or so will undoubtedly knock out a lot of tickets that are spreading deep.

Sam Houston - Race #8
Picks Notes
#2 Cowgirls Like Us Perfectly draw filly was in a tough spot off the July layoff facing stakes foes, but she's back with friends here, will only be that much tighter off the return, and should trip out just off the speed too; love her chances here.
#3 Terra's Angel The speed set a slow pace and ran well to be 2nd last time, and you can envision the same set of circumstances playing out here, as there's no one to run with her early, so she could get brave late; the one to catch.
#5 Curlin's Journey Logical contender was in 2nd behind 'Angel the entire way last time and could never get by her, and with this post she'll be in the same spot today, which doesn't exactly bode well for her chances; underneath, if at all.
Race Summary You won't get rich on the 2 but there are four here who will be bet, which means maybe you get 7-2 or so on a gal with more upside than anyone else, the best post of anyone else, and an ace in Calhoun calling the shots too, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some additional value by singling her in the Pk5 and late Pk4 as well, since she looks primed for a run that the rest
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  #3  
Old 03-20-2020, 08:02 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 Empress Heart Should be right up on the splits early with the filly drawn inside of her, and the wider draw should let her get a slightly easier trip than that one.
#2 Mesmerizingpegasus Speed will have some company from the top choice, and the trip could get a bit tough if she's taking pressure along the rail the entire way.
#4 Clerestory She finishes with a decent, grinding effort every so often, and that sort of try might allow her to just chase the top pair early and hang around for a piece.
Race Summary Empress Heart gets the best of the draw tonight, and the drop in class should be enough to get her home against a group that isn't all that imposing outside of 'pegasus.

Charles Town - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 Greeley and Ariana Has been going a bit evenly while facing better in recent starts, and the drop back in for $5,000 should make her tough.
#5 Lil Sweetheart Pace player really doesn't meet much other speed in this spot, so it'd be no surprise to see her get brave late and win this.
#9 Dynacastle Steps up to this next condition while racing off the claim, and she has been slowly heading in the right direction in recent races. Not out of it from close range.
Race Summary Greeley and Ariana gets the call and is playable at something near the 4/1 ML price. Lil Sweetheart is the big danger and would be appealing near her ML offering, too.

Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#8 I'm a Lawman Ran well enough in the local debut last time out, and he should be right there with this bunch that lacks any other really menacing types.
#4 Too Many Coronas Will be tough if he can bring anything similar to that last one, but he was 14/1 that day and will be a much shorter number tonight. Not sold that he's running back to it.
#2 The Son Wind Has a little bit of finishing ability that might bring him along for an underneath piece with this group.
Race Summary I'm a Lawman is likely to be tough with this group, and if his price is anywhere similar to that of Too Many Coronas, he's the play.
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  #4  
Old 03-20-2020, 08:03 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Miami Valley - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 MOSEE TERROR Memory should serve classy 12-year-old well in this spot.
#4 STANHOPE Discount latest, trapped for half-mile and flattened out in stretch two back.
#1 AND WE’LL SEE YA Starts fresh from rail, 10yo seeks 39th career victory.
Race Summary Mosee Terror was scratched sick in a tougher spot last week, making the 47-race winner an all-or-nothing type play on the switch to a 30-percent barn. Give him the benefit of the doubt and play 3-1 and 3-4 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 TAJMEALLOVER Third against sharpie from post 8, takes magnified class drop.
#2 MISS MADY Took money, led into stretch on drop to this level, faded to third.
#4 SO AWESOME Romped in return qualifier, was 15/4-5-2 to start 3yo season last year.
Race Summary Tajmeallover, a 50-race winner, could strike again on the class drop. She rallied second-over in the snow three back, raced against her best style from post 8 two back and got up for third behind the 1-to-5 winner last week. Play 5-2 and 5-4 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#5 TAX SAVINGS Led throughout to win off layoff, trotted evenly on class hike.
#1 THE FIXER Exits fast race, solid numbers prior, finally gets post relief.
#9 EIGHTOCLOCKSTORM Duel took its toll on odds-on favorite, post 9 no bargain.
Race Summary Tax Savings wired a 10-horse field in his seasonal debut, then trotted evenly behind the pace-controlling winner on the step up in class. He can spring the upset with McNair and at least should be used in all gimmick wagers.
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Old 03-20-2020, 08:04 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#3 Il Faraone Has an impressive late move on occasion and will get plenty of speed in front of him; likely to be overlooked at the mutuels.
#1 Gray Beau Has been getting shuffled back going in one-turn mile races and gets a big boost by running two turns today; has a good late move most of the time and could reel in this group.
#2 Yes I See Finished a non-threatening 3rd and could benefit from running longer and around two turns; has been in stronger races.
Race Summary Il Faraone, like most late runners, isn't consistent, but when he fires he's very tough to stop; steps up in class but looms as a possible upsetter.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#2 K W Captain Hook Has been in much stronger races and drops to a level at which he should succeed; chance to score.
#5 Conquer Has run off to early leads and could be very difficult if he can relax a bit on the front end; serious player.
#1 Verdict Is In Lost a photo last time and goes down a notch in class; can be in the mix from the outset.
Race Summary K W Captain Hook gets some class relief and should find that these will come back to him late.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 Dubby Dubbie Has been outrun in much tougher races recently and has run well at similar levels as this; could be strong on the front end of this one.
#5 Faraway Kitten Was claimed in his latest and steps up for the Tharrenos; graded stakes winner capable of a big effort here.
#7 Vettori Kim Ran an even 3rd at this level last out and has some races on his form that would make him tough against these.
Race Summary Dubby Dubbie has been class-challenged a lot and looks like a better fit at this claiming level.
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  #6  
Old 03-20-2020, 08:44 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Gulfstream Park - Race 10

$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5


Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 87 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 5:43P
(RAIL AT 108 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 1 LB. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE)
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. CAB BEEF is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * HERO UP: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has th e highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CUY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FAYEZ: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2
HERO UP
4/1

7/2
1
CUY
3/1

9/2
9
FAYEZ
9/2

5/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
RINGLE BELLE
8

20/1
Front-runner
0

0

108.1

65.4

54.4
2
HERO UP
2

4/1
Front-runner
78

84

102.6

76.5

72.0
9
FAYEZ
9

9/2
Front-runner
81

79

91.2

74.0

67.0
7
CAB BEEF
7

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

80.2

62.3

52.3
1
CUY
1

3/1
Trailer
83

75

67.3

73.0

66.5
4
DON'T TASE ME BRO
4

5/2
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

76.8

58.8

51.8
10
FUEGO
10

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

56.9

37.0

23.0
6
SWIPE LEFT
6

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

52.1

52.1

40.6
3
WE CONNECTED
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

32.2

32.2

16.2








Unknown Running Style: MY HANDSOME MIKE (10/1) [Jockey: Lebron Victor - Trainer: Dibona Bobby S].
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Old 03-20-2020, 08:45 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
PURCHASE
Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 1

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) / $1 Daily Double $1 Pick Four / $1 Place Pick All Starts Here


Claiming $2,500 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 56 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 6:00P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 20 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500 (MAIDEN RACES AND RACES FOR $2,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SPACERIKA: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. FAMILY TRIPS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SOPRESCIOUS: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. VIDALIA: Today is a sprint and the horse's last s tart was within the last ten days. LAST DANCE BELLA: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer.
3
SPACERIKA
12/1

6/1
4
FAMILY TRIPS
3/1

7/1
2
SOPRESCIOUS
4/1

7/1
6
VIDALIA
9/2

7/1
1
LAST DANCE BELLA
5/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
LINDA AND MINDA
5

4/1
Front-runner
51

46

58.7

41.9

29.9
4
FAMILY TRIPS
4

3/1
Front-runner
56

53

25.6

50.2

41.7
2
SOPRESCIOUS
2

4/1
Alternator/Front-runner
64

57

58.2

40.2

31.2
6
VIDALIA
6

9/2
Alternator/Stalker
60

53

52.8

49.0

41.5
3
SPACERIKA
3

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
63

56

42.6

51.2

47.2
1
LAST DANCE BELLA
1

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
61

52

36.2

43.8

39.3
7
MISS SWISS
7

9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
59

44

60.8

39.8

30.8
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  #8  
Old 03-20-2020, 09:15 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park
PURCHASE

03/20/20, OP, Race 5, 3.23 CT
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.40.01 CLAIMING. Purse $44,000.
Claiming Price $40,000, if for $35,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / 50 Cent Pick 5 (Races 5-9)
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 4 Lighthawk 4-1 Mojica O Diodoro Robertino JTSEW 39.39 1.52/$1
096.97 6 Defender 12-1 Felix J E Mason Ingrid F 35.92 1.38/$1
096.81 7 Parade Field 7/2 Bridgmohan J V Barkley Jason 35.92 1.38/$1
096.20 1 Lionite 6-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. 35.92 1.38/$1
096.08 8 Hitch 10-1 Garcia M Asmussen Steven M. 35.92 1.38/$1
096.06 9 Mississippi 5-1 Talamo J Moquett Ron 35.92 1.38/$1
095.45 2 Carte Blanche 9/2 Cannon D Hawley Wesley E. C 35.92 1.38/$1
094.56 3 Cosmologist 8-1 De La Cruz W Martin William N. 39.39 1.52/$1
093.61 10 Nice Work(b+) 20-1 Baze T Puhich Michael L 35.92 1.38/$1
092.90 5 Don't Forget 15-1 Rocco. Jr. J Von Hemel Donnie K. 35.92 1.38/$1
* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.43, ROI 1.13/$1
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Old 03-20-2020, 09:15 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $64000 Class Rating: 78

FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $80,000 (1.5% AFTERCARE


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 HOLMDEL PARK 9/2

# 4 MAKINGCENTS 7/2

# 8 STONEZAPPER 7/2

My pick in this contest is HOLMDEL PARK. Has posted formidable Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. She looks competitive in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the strongest class figs of this group of horses in this race. MAKINGCENTS - Has posted strong Equibase Speed Figs in dirt route races in the past. No strangers to the winner's circle, Englehart and Vargas ought to have this filly breaking away from the field. STONEZAPPER - Might best this field here, showing quite good figs of late.
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Old 03-20-2020, 09:17 AM
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:48pm - SO - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,200 Class Rating: 94

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 SUZIE'SSTEPPINOUT (ML=9/2)
#6 SWEETLY MAID (ML=15/1)


SUZIE'SSTEPPINOUT - A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a good effort is a good omen. Popular handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. This one is live today. SWEETLY MAID - This rider and conditioner have a favorable ROI when they join forces.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DAY BY DAY (ML=6/5), #7 CAUGHT UP IN YOU (ML=7/2), #2 CLEARWATER (ML=6/1),

DAY BY DAY - This mare hasn't been getting the job done as the public's top choice. Last effort was too good. Not too far of a reach to expect a 'performance bounce' today. CAUGHT UP IN YOU - Don't think this steed has what it takes to cross the finish line in first this time around. CLEARWATER - Hard to keep following this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. This less than sharp equine ran a common fig last time around the track. She shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's event running that figure.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 SUZIE'SSTEPPINOUT is going to be the play if we are getting 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
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  #11  
Old 03-20-2020, 09:17 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 80

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 20 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000 1 LB.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 MY SWEET BABOO 2/1

# 5 GOING TO TEMPLE 4/1

# 6 TWELVE MONARCHS 9/2

MY SWEET BABOO looks quite good to best this field. Has been constatntly racing well recently. Should be considered a key contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. She has formidable class ratings, averaging 90, and has to be considered in this race. GOING TO TEMPLE - Had one of the best speed figures of this group in her last affair. Is worth a close look and may be a bet - strong speed figures (70 average) at today's distance and surface lately. TWELVE MONARCHS - She has been running very well lately while recording strong speed figures.
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Old 03-20-2020, 09:18 AM
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:43pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 NO NO NOAH (ML=8/1)
#4 THE TRAIN (ML=6/1)
#5 BOLOGNESE (ML=5/1)


NO NO NOAH - Atop this racer on January 8th and Davis is back again in the irons this race. This racer ran out of the top three at Penn National last time out on a track listed as good. He should improve in this event without the off-track conditions. THE TRAIN - Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is meeting an easier field than in the last race at Penn National. Going on Lasix for the first time. While a general handicapping angle, it's still quite an important piece of information. BOLOGNESE - I think that this contest's shorter distance should help this gelding. I like to play this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp effort within the last thirty days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 WEST FORK (ML=8/5), #3 EL FENOMENO (ML=5/2), #6 BULLAGER (ML=8/1),

WEST FORK - This chalk horse ran on Feb 21st and hasn't had a morning drill since then. Finished second in his most recent performance with a pedestrian speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this group. EL FENOMENO - Finished fifth on March 2nd after the extended vacation. Doubtful if there will be any change in this event. This horse hasn't been in the money in either of his last couple of races. BULLAGER - 8/1 is not offering enough value for any mount in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance event recently. Just can't bet on this racer. Didn't show me anything last time out or on February 21st.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 NO NO NOAH is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
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Old 03-20-2020, 09:18 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park
PURCHASE

03/20/20, SA, Race 7, 4.08 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $57,000.
Claiming Price $80,000 (Rail at 30 feet). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING ORSTARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 2 West Sider 6-1 Bejarano R Baffert Bob TFC 32.41 1.31/$1
099.43 8 Liar Liar (IRE) 5-1 Rispoli U Baltas Richard S 31.98 1.17/$1
098.40 1 Jurgen 6-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Sadler John W. 31.98 1.17/$1
098.21 7 Governance 8-1 Velez J I Baltas Richard WL 31.98 1.17/$1
097.75 6 Last Opportunity (IRE) 6-1 Prat F Drysdale Neil D. J 31.98 1.17/$1
097.30 9 K P All Systems Go 5/2 Cedillo A Mullins Jeff 31.98 1.17/$1
096.67 5 Bad Beat 15-1 Roman E A Kitchingman Adam E 32.41 1.31/$1
096.26 4 Kanderel 6-1 Smith M E Mandella Richard E. 31.98 1.17/$1
095.89 3 Commander (FR) 8-1 Espinoza A Miller Peter 35.94 1.62/$1
* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 28.00, ROI 1.02/$1
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 2 West Sider 6-1 Bejarano R Baffert Bob TFEC 40.00 1.72/$1
098.51 8 Liar Liar (IRE) 5-1 Rispoli U Baltas Richard S 40.00 1.72/$1
098.22 7 Governance 8-1 Velez J I Baltas Richard WL 40.00 1.72/$1
097.27 6 Last Opportunity (IRE) 6-1 Prat F Drysdale Neil D. J 40.00 1.72/$1
095.46 1 Jurgen 6-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Sadler John W. 40.00 1.72/$1
095.24 9 K P All Systems Go 5/2 Cedillo A Mullins Jeff 38.06 1.36/$1
095.20 4 Kanderel 6-1 Smith M E Mandella Richard E. 38.06 1.36/$1
093.87 3 Commander (FR) 8-1 Espinoza A Miller Peter 40.00 1.72/$1
093.63 5 Bad Beat 15-1 Roman E A Kitchingman Adam 38.06 1.36/$1
* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.00, ROI 2.49/$1
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  #14  
Old 03-20-2020, 01:23 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Jonathon Kinchen

The four-race sequence begins at 3:25 p.m. ET with Race 5 and goes through Race 8.

Overview
Big fields and some lukewarm favorites make the late Pick 4 at Aqueduct on Friday an intriguing opportunity. Using the A-B-C-X method for multirace wagers, my all-A ticket will be a 3x3x3x2 play, but I will also put together three-A, one-B tickets.

Aqueduct 5th
1 Bankers Daughter (4-1) -- I'm not crazy about the rail draw, but this one just might be better than these. She ran two nice races as a 2-year-old, and her last start -- her second as a 3-year-old -- suggests she has another step forward. If she works out a trip from the rail, she might win easy.

3 Micromillion (7-2) -- She doesn't feel fast enough, but I always lean on Hall of Fame trainers (Todd Pletcher in this case) in races like this that appear below the par for the level.

6 Sharp Starr (5-2) -- She has been bet in both starts and might have been best in her last race, but she missed the break under an apprentice jockey. Now, in her third career start, she gets the meet's leading rider in Manny Franco. If she breaks well, she will be tough.

5 Kilkea (15-1) -- She spent a ton of time on the rail in her last start and could improve at a big price.

A: 1,3,6
B: 5

Aqueduct 6th
1 Missle Bomb (4-1) -- He hasn't raced in 187 days and draws the typically uncomfortable rail. He has won off a layoff but has tried five times. Everything on paper suggests to use him, but the price is likely going to be shorter than I would prefer. I'm using him, but I wouldn't talk anyone off of tossing.

6 Aristocratic (7-2) -- This 6-year-old gelding has big speed. He might have to deal with other pace in the race, but he appears to be the best of the speed. He has three wins in seven starts at Aqueduct and has missed the board only once.

10 Win With Pride (3-1) -- He chased Aristocratic honestly in his last race. Trainer Rudy Rodriguez is winning at 20 percent in 2020 and is 26 percent in his career with horses making their first start with him. The outside draw is a big advantage.

9 Reed Kan (15-1) -- This longshot will need to get lucky and be loose on the lead. His pace figures going 6 furlongs suggest that the cutback to six furlongs could be a big boost.

A: 1,6,10
B: 9


Aqueduct 7th
7 Pot of Hunny (8-1) -- You never know what you are going to get from horses stretching out in distance, but I like this one. She ran evenly in both of her starts. That typically leads to success when horses stretch out. She's definitely an "A" on my ticket.

8 Stonezapper (7-2) -- I like this one. She's not stretching out as much as Pot of Hunny but has the same even running style. She and Pot of Hunny are my top two.

1 Courageous Girl (3-1) -- The speed figure in her last race was a lifetime best and better than any other filly in this race has run. However, I just don't trust the figure; it seems like an outlier. There's a chance she is figuring things out so I'll use her, but I don't trust her.

6 Holmdel Park (9-2) -- Her last four races were good, but I feel they were one cut below what she needs to run on Friday. She needs to take another small step forward. The good news is that she is adding blinkers. Maybe that will be the key.

A: 1,7,8
B: 6


Aqueduct 8th
11 Adios Amigos (3-1) - He drops in for the $25,000 claiming tag. He has done most of his running on the turf, but his debut last April on dirt suggests that this one might be tough. He should get pace to close into.

8 Bronze Lion (6-1) -- He has some speed. He was inside speed in his last start, and the outside draw could help this one's chances.

10 Come On E.V. (12-1) -- Trainer Rudy Rodriguez is only 14 percent with first-time starters in his career, but this guy has the looks of one that could get it done. Beware stranger danger.

5 Kilmarknock (4-1) -- His last race was bad, but that was run at nine furlongs. The cutback to a sprint should be more to his liking.

A: 8,11
B: 5,10


Aqueduct Pick 4 Grid
All-A ticket
$1 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($54)

Three-A, one-B tickets
$.50 Pick 4: 5 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 9 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 6 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 5,10 ($27)

Total wager: $108
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