Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Horse Racing Sports Handicapping at the Racetrack!

Likes Likes:  2
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-19-2019, 07:27 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 189,598
Rewards: 220,946
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 750
Likes (Received): 16528
Horse Racing 4-19-19

Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-19-2019, 07:27 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 189,598
Rewards: 220,946
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 750
Likes (Received): 16528
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park

Fonner Park - Race 9

Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta


Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $6,100 • Post: 6:36P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 19, 2018. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MAGIC MIRACLE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MAGIC MIRACLE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. FROM DAY ONE: Horse is dropping int o a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. FEDERAL AGENT: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. SUPERSTYLE: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. TEXICAN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
4
MAGIC MIRACLE
7/2

9/2
8
FROM DAY ONE
12/1

7/1
1
FEDERAL AGENT
6/1

8/1
5
SUPERSTYLE
8/1

8/1
6
TEXICAN
5/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
MAGIC MIRACLE
4

7/2
Front-runner
87

72

68.9

62.5

51.0
3
MAYHAWK
3

9/2
Stalker
78

68

60.7

60.1

52.1
6
TEXICAN
6

5/2
Stalker
77

79

54.5

65.6

57.6
7
COMIN' RIGHT UP
7

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
81

57

62.0

57.0

43.0
8
FROM DAY ONE
8

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
88

85

56.8

56.8

50.3
2
MEDIEVAL MEDICINE
2

6/1
Trailer
78

67

60.2

67.4

60.4
5
SUPERSTYLE
5

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
84

78

61.8

71.6

62.6
1
FEDERAL AGENT
1

6/1
Alternator/Trailer
88

77

53.8

72.4

66.9
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-19-2019, 07:28 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 189,598
Rewards: 220,946
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 750
Likes (Received): 16528
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 9

Daily Double (Races 9-10) ($1 min.) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) Superfecta (.10 min.)


Stakes • 250 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 9:35P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, DELTA DASH S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NO NOMINATION FEE, OR START FEE, $200 TO ENTER. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION OF $400 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRY AND WHICH WILL INCLUDE ALL FEES. WITH $20,000 GUARANTEED TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHTS: THREE YEAR OLDS 124 LBS. OLDER 126 LBS. PREFERENCE TO HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST EARNINGS IN 2018-2019 (AT TIME OF ENTRY). DIFFERENT OWNERS WILL HAVE EQUAL DRAW ACCORDING TO PREFERENCES. THE SECOND PART OF SAME OWNER ENTRIES WILL HAVE NO PREFERENCE OVER A SINGLE INTEREST.TROPHY TO THE WINNING OWNER.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JESS ADALIDA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. DM LA JOLLA: Quarter Ho rse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. GUNSMOKE B: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks i n the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. JETS FAST DASH: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
9
JESS ADALIDA
2/1

4/1
8
DM LA JOLLA
6/1

7/1
2
GUNSMOKE B
3/1

7/1
10
JETS FAST DASH
8/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
BLUE EYED CARTEL
1

10/1
Average
81

89

5.3

0.0

0.0
2
GUNSMOKE B
2

3/1
Fast
90

90

1.5

0.0

0.0
3
COSMO LELA
3

12/1
Average
92

82

4.5

0.0

0.0
4
PIEPER
4

15/1
Fast
87

83

1.1

0.0

0.0
5
HEZA MAGIC CORONAS
5

10/1
Average
78

78

4.5

0.0

0.0
6
HOT PRIZE
6

20/1
Average
80

71

4.0

0.0

0.0
7
ROCK SOLID BABE AW
7

10/1
Average
91

75

4.9

0.0

0.0
8
DM LA JOLLA
8

6/1
Fast
99

83

3.0

0.0

0.0
9
JESS ADALIDA
9

2/1
Fast
97

97

2.0

0.0

0.0
10
JETS FAST DASH
10

8/1
Fast
86

88

1.9

0.0

0.0
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-19-2019, 07:29 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 189,598
Rewards: 220,946
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 750
Likes (Received): 16528
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 78

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 VICTORIOUSLY JEWEL 3/1

# 6 BELLIGERENT 5/2

# 5 HOLY PLAN 2/1

My choice in this event is VICTORIOUSLY JEWEL. With a reliable 75 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Recent numbers for the jock - 30 win percent - make this mare stand out in this group of horses in this race. Guce has sharp numbers that point to this mare to be a strong contender. BELLIGERENT - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Castaneda have shown sharp results as of late. Should go to the front end and should never look back. HOLY PLAN - Will almost certainly compete soundly in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group of horses. Ought to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last outing.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-19-2019, 07:29 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 189,598
Rewards: 220,946
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 750
Likes (Received): 16528
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Santa Anita - Race #2 - Post: 1:30pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 BLOOMING HANNAH (ML=6/1)


BLOOMING HANNAH - A horse coming back this quickly after a solid contest is a good sign. Got to appreciate a good work horse. This mare's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last two races. I look for that trend to continue today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 STURDY ONE (ML=6/5), #4 TODOS SANTOS (ML=2/1), #5 PARTY HOSTESS (ML=7/2),

STURDY ONE - I'm forecasting a less than stellar try out of her this time out. TODOS SANTOS - Don't figure that this less than sharp equine has what it takes to be victorious this time out. PARTY HOSTESS - Improbable for this entrant to make an impact with no recent success in a sprint event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 BLOOMING HANNAH to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
__________________
Likes wire2wire liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-19-2019, 07:30 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 189,598
Rewards: 220,946
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 750
Likes (Received): 16528
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #4 - Post: 8:32pm - Maiden Special - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 63

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 A TO Z (ML=3/1)
#8 JOEYVILLE (ML=12/1)
#3 COPAN (ML=8/1)


A TO Z - This entrant could be tough in today's contest, especially since Peltroche rode last time around the track and now should be more familiar with this one. A horse coming back this soon after a sharp outing is a good omen. Ranks highest in earnings per start. A dominant effort right here can increase the lifetime bankroll. JOEYVILLE - This horse could be tough this time around, especially since Bocachica rode last out and now should be plenty familiar with this one. Entered a $5,000 Maiden Claiming race at Charles Town in the last race and raced on a track listed as good finishing fifth. Will do better today. COPAN - Trainer Hussey moves this horse down the class ladder to face a less competitive field. Look for a solid effort this time out. I think the shorter distance will help this filly stay the distance. Starting from the inside, this racer should have a distinct edge. Her front running style should serve her well in this short race of 4 1/2 furlongs.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ANAZARA (ML=5/2), #4 STEPS TO GLORY (ML=7/2), #5 MISCHIEVOUS JESSE (ML=4/1),

ANAZARA - I don't normally play a morning-line favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last two to three weeks. STEPS TO GLORY - That was merely not a very good showing in the last event. MISCHIEVOUS JESSE - If he goes off anywhere close to the morning line odds of 4/1, I'll have to pass.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 A TO Z is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
__________________
Likes wire2wire liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-19-2019, 07:30 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 189,598
Rewards: 220,946
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 750
Likes (Received): 16528
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 82

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 9 CANDY STORE 2/1

# 5 SCORESWHENHEWANTS 9/2

# 6 THENORTHREMEMBERS 5/1

CANDY STORE is the strongest wager in this race. The speed figure of 78 from his last race looks formidable in here. In the upper half of earnings per start at the distance/surface in this bunch. SCORESWHENHEWANTS - Has to be given a chance against this group displaying decent figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 83 under similar conditions. Earned a solid speed rating last time out. THENORTHREMEMBERS - Has the appearance of a money-making play. This group is much softer than the last one he was up against.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-19-2019, 07:31 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 189,598
Rewards: 220,946
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 750
Likes (Received): 16528
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

04/19/19, OP, Race 4, 2.52 CT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $24,500.
Claiming Price $12,500. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 279, Win Percent 25.09, $1 ROI 0.78, For Race Category [Dirt MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to OP.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 5 Stormy Bray(b-) 4-1 Cohen D McKnight Norman JT 25.20 1.13 35.35 35 99
096.6700 3 Imaginary Music 5-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. S 10.40 1.10 11.32 6 53
096.6437 2 Spark Joy 7/2 Baze T Moquett Ron E 3.80 1.03 32.73 18 55
096.4773 1 Franki D Oro 6-1 Hill C Morse Randy L. 25.20 1.13 35.35 35 99
096.4722 8 Golden Paree 12-1 Canchari A L Martin Timothy E. WC 25.20 1.13 35.35 35 99
094.9164 7 Take Charge Erica 8-1 Vazquez R A Shorter Aaron 10.40 1.10 11.32 6 53
094.5682 6 Mia Promessa 9/2 De La Cruz W Puhl Kim A. F 25.20 1.13 35.35 35 99
093.8826 4 Mary Jane's Double(b-) 10-1 Padron-Barcenas J Milligan Allen L 3.80 1.03 32.73 18 55
091.7713 10 Come Getcha Some 15-1 Lara E Matthews Randy 13.00 1.19 32.35 11 34
091.6095 9 Uptempo 20-1 Morales E Martin Timothy E. 25.20 1.13 35.35 35 99
P# 5 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Equal To Today
P# 3 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race 5f Workout Since
P# 2 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race 2nd Race After 45 Days Off
P# 1 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Equal To Today
P# 8 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Equal To Today
P# 7 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race 5f Workout Since
P# 6 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Equal To Today
P# 4 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race 2nd Race After 45 Days Off
P# 10 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Horse Actual Post Greater Than 9
P# 9 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Equal To Today
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-19-2019, 07:31 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 189,598
Rewards: 220,946
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 750
Likes (Received): 16528
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

04/19/19, TAM, Race 3, 1.35 ET
1M 40Y [Dirt] 1.39.00 CLAIMING. Purse $10,400.
Claiming Price $8,000 (Races where entered for $6,250 or less not considered in allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 3-4-5) / Super High 5
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 690, Win Percent 28.84, $1 ROI 0.77, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to TAM.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 3 Diamond Luckie 8-1 Allen. Jr. R D Bowersock Maria JTW 11.20 1.70 50.00 4 8
099.5349 4 Prequalified 9/5 Frates D J Fennessy John SFEL 1.60 1.01 45.45 30 66
097.8163 1 Attack Zone 6-1 Mena R Fennessy John
097.5977 7 Tiz Always His Way 2-1 Garcia W A Wilkinson Erin C
097.1501 5 Upper Crown 5-1 Uske S Creel Rick
096.6062 2 Lord Anthony 8-1 Delgado D Sobarzo Pedro J. 11.20 1.70 50.00 4 8
095.7569 6 Please Humor Me 15-1 Panaijo J Minieri Joseph
P# 3 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
P# 4 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Best Earnings and LeadPack
P# 2 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
4-19-19, horse, msh, racing

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:42 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 14.29% Host: cappersmallweb4