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Old 04-06-2021, 05:37 PM
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Horse Racing 4-7-21

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Old 04-07-2021, 05:07 AM
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Jeff Siegel's 2021 Triple Crown Tracker Power Rankings

Our Triple Crown Tracker Power Rankings identify the best 3-year-olds of 2021 in order of preference, with each horse given a theoretical weight assignment starting at 126 lbs. based on past performance and projected development. The horses listed are assumed to be candidates for at least one of the Triple Crown races.

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1 - ESSENTIAL QUALITY (B. Cox) – 126 lbs.
Pedigree: Tapit – Delightful Quality, by Elusive Quality
Lifetime record: 5-5-0-0 ($2,265,144). Derby points: 140
Last start: April 3, 2021, Keeneland, 9F Blue Grass S.-G2, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The skinny: Godolphin homebred; dam graded stakes-placed sprinting half-sister to champion 2yo filly Folklore; 2020 Eclipse Award winning 2-year-old enters the Kentucky Derby-G1 with a perfect record in five starts, most recently when fully extended to win the 9F Blue Grass S.-G2 (by a neck from Highly Motivated) while enjoying a trouble-free pace-stalking trip; had reappeared in top form in late February with an authoritative victory over sloppy going in the 8F Southwest S.-G3 (by four and one-quarter lengths from Spielberg and Jackie’s Warrior); completed his 2-year-old season with back-to-back Grade 1 victories at Keeneland in the 8.5F BC Juvenile-G1 in November when rallying from nine lengths back with the help of the fast-early race-flow to win by three-quarters of a length from 90-1 Hot Rod Charlie and before that with a three and one-quarter length score in the 8.5F Breeders’ Futurity-G1 (from Keepmeinmind); speed figures have risen with every start but without a significant leap and with a career top Beyer number of a good-but-not-great 97; proven so far to be genuine and versatile while giving indication that the Derby’s 10F trip will easily be within his range; in top hands and with every expectation that he’ll continue to develop during the spring of his 3-year-old season.
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2 - ROCK YOUR WORLD (J. Sadler) – 125 lbs.
Pedigree: Candy Ride – Charm the Maker, by Empire Maker
Lifetime record: 3-3-0-0 ($546,600). Derby points: 100
Last start: April 3, 2021, Santa Anita, 9F Santa Anita Derby-G1, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, 10F Churchill Downs, Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The skinny: $650,000Y; third foal, lengthy colt with plenty of scope; full-brother to California Gr.3-placed She’s Our Charm; dam multiple stakes winner from a high class staying turf family; unbeaten in three starts, most recently in his first try on dirt when registering a gate-to-wire victory in the 9F Santa Anita Derby-G1 (by four and one-quarter lengths from Medina Spirit), setting fast fractions and then repelling all challenges to drew clear in the final furlong with complete authority (and galloping out far in front) while earning a career top 100 Beyer speed figure (tops among intended Kentucky Derby starters), previous two wins were accomplished on grass, the listed 8F Pasadena S. in February in visually pleasing style (by two and one-quarter lengths from Cathkin Peak) and a maiden over 6F on grass on New Year’s Day (by one and three-quarter lengths while appearing to toy with his opposition); pedigree suggests he’ll thrive over a classic distance and farther; has proven to be effective on the lead or from a stalking position though he’s yet to experience dirt kickback; will enter the Kentucky Derby-G1 at least among the first three favorites; not a particularly willing performer in the morning and is still a bit green in the p.m. (switched leads twice in the stretch in his most recent start) but has the kind of potential that could reach a championship level.
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3 - CONCERT TOUR (B. Baffert) – 124 lbs.
Pedigree: Street Sense – Purse Strings, by Tapit
Lifetime record: 3-3-0-0 ($756,600). Derby points: 50
Last start: March 13, 2021, Oaklawn Park, 8.5FF Rebel S.-G2, finished first.
Next start: April 10, 2021, Oaklawn Park, 9F Arkansas Derby.-G1
Latest workout: April 3, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:12.4h

The skinny: Gary and Mary West Stables homebred; second foal; dam 6F maiden special weight winner at Churchill Downs in 12th (and final) career start; no black type in first two generations; third dam is the granddam of Stardom Bound (champion, BC Juvenile Fillies-G1); unbeaten in three career starts, most recently a dominating gate-to-wire victory in the 8.5F Rebel S.-G2 at Oaklawn Park (by four and one-quarter lengths from stable mate Hozier), quickly establishing the pace from his outside draw and then, after disposing of favored Caddo River, drawing clear under mild urging to win with plenty left; earned solid but not great 94 Beyer speed figure; previously successful with a pace-pressing trip as the 2/5 favorite in five-runner 7F San Vicente S.-G2 (by one-half length from stable mate Freedom Fighter) after winning his debut three weeks earlier in 6F maiden sprint in a highly impressive performance at Santa Anita (forced pace, then kicked clear with power and with plenty left); pedigree suggests a classic distance could be within his capabilities; has so far followed the identical pattern/schedule as B. Baffert’s top class colt from last year, Nadal; likely to use the Arkansas Derby-G1 (April 10) as his final springboard to the Kentucky Derby-G1 three weeks later and seems certain to be a heavy favorite; based purely on speed figures still has some doubters but seems likely to enter the spring classics with an undefeated record.
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4 – KNOWN AGENDA (T. Pletcher) – 123 lbs.
Pedigree: Curlin – Byrama, by Byron
Lifetime record: 6-3-1-1 ($541,700). Derby points: 102
Last start: March 28, 2021, Gulfstream Park, Florida Derby-G1, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The skinny: St. Elias Stable homebred, dam Gr-1 9F dirt winner in California; verified the highly favorable impression he made in an 11-length 9F allowance victory at Gulfstream Park in February by returning the following month to capture the Florida Derby-G1 over that same track and distance with complete authority (by two and three-quarter lengths from Soup and Sandwich); earned a career top speed figure in that race and appears to be developing with maturity, experience and distance as is typical of offspring of Curlin; was thought of early in his career as a long-winded, plodding type but has displayed improved tactical speed and late acceleration in recent starts; seems certain to enjoy the 10 furlong trip of the Kentucky Derby-G1 and is likely to step forward again and be a major player in the spring classics.
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5 - HOT ROD CHARLIE (D. O’Neill) – 122 lbs.
Pedigree: Oxbow – Indian Miss, by Indian Charlie
Lifetime record: 7-2-1-02 ($1,00,700). Derby points: 110
Last start: March 20, 2021, Fair Grounds, 9.5F Louisiana Derby-G2, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: April 3, Santa Anita, 4f, :49.2h

The skinny: $110,000Y, half-brother to champion sprinter Mtole; non-winning dam a half-sister to Davona Dale S.-G2 winner Live Lively; versatile colt has been successful on the lead or from off the pace and returned to winning form in his second 2021 outing when making all in the 9.5F Louisiana Derby-G2, relaxing without undue pressure to the top of the lane and then fighting off all challenges to register two length score (from Midnight Bourbon) while establishing new track record (1:55.06) and earning a career top 99 Beyer speed figure; had displayed plenty of promise during his juvenile campaign, beating maidens in his fourth start before finishing second (with the help of the race-shape) to champion Essential Quality in BC Juvenile-G1 by three quarters of a length at 91-1 after striking the front in mid-stretch; performed well when third (beaten a neck) behind Medina Spirit and Roman Centurian) in his 3yo debut in late January in the Robert B. Lewis S.-G3 while appearing to have winning momentum inside the furlong pole but then losing his punch close home while likely needing the outing; doesn’t have a great turn of foot and may be most effective as a stalker or pace presser; will be trained up to the Kentucky Derby with six weeks in between starts.
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6 - GREATEST HONOUR (C. McGaughey III) – 121 lbs.
Pedigree: Tapit – Tiffany’s Honour, by Street Cry
Lifetime record: 6-3-1-2 ($351,940). Derby Points: 80
Last start: March 26, 2021, Gulfstream Park, 8.5F Florida Derby-G1, finished third
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The skinny: Was entered but withdrawn from 2019 Keeneland fall sale, second foal, dam unplaced half-sister to four SW’s including Rags to Riches and Jazil (both winners of Belmont S.-G1) and to BC Marathon S.-G1 winner Man of Iron; second dam Broodmare of the Year Better than Honour; impressive come-from-behind winner of the 8.5F Holy Bull S.-G3 (by five and three-quarter lengths from Tarantino) in January and then the Fountain of Youth S.-G2 (by one and one-half lengths from Drain the Clock) the following month but finished a non-threatening third (beaten nearly six lengths) in the 9F Florida Derby-G1 in his most recent outing at odds of 4/5 when racing in some traffic to the head of the lane but then lacking a solid closing kick; has never been particularly fast on speed figures (has yet to earn a Beyer speed figure in the 90’s) leading to speculation that he’s been a tad overrated all along; notoriously lazy in morning workouts; will enter the Kentucky Derby-G1 with the potential to produce a major bounce-back effort, but also with serious issues to answer.
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7 – HIGHLY MOTIVATED (C. Brown) – 120 lbs.
Pedigree: Into Mischief – Strong Incentive, by Warrior’s Reward
Lifetime record: 5-2-2-1 ($320,050). Derby points: 50
Last start: April 3, 2021, Keeneland, 9F Blue Grass S.-G2, finished second
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The Skinny: $240K though the ring as a weanling (retained by his breeder); first foal, dam a Canadian-bred sprint SW at 3; in the frame in all five career starts and earned a career top speed figure in early April when second (was five and one-half lengths clear of the rest) as the controlling speed in the 9F Blue Grass S.-G2 by a neck to Essential Quality, giving way grudgingly close home but with a trip that may have flattered the performance; previously appeared a tad rusty when third (by a length and three-quarters to Weyburn) when making his seasonal bow in the 8F Gotham S-G3 the previous month; displayed plenty of potential when easily capturing the listed 6.5F Nyquist S. on the Breeders’ Cup undercard at Keeneland in November; pedigree suggests a classic distance will be stretching his limit; not likely to enjoy the same type of soft trip in the Kentucky Derby-G1 that he did in his most recent outing and thus his chances must be viewed as somewhat suspect in the spring classics despite the quality and consistency he’s displayed so far in his five-race career.
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8 - MEDINA SPIRIT (B. Baffert) – 119 lbs.
Pedigree: Protonico – Mongolian Change, by Brilliant Speed
Lifetime record: 5-2-3-0 ($315,200). Derby points: 74
Last start: April 3, 2021, Santa Anita, Santa Anita Derby-G1, finished second
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F, Kentucky Dereby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The skinny: $35,000 OBS 2yo; from first crop of multiple graded SW son of Giant’s Causeway, dam a synthetic maiden special weight winner at Presque Isle Downs; light female family (no SW’s in first three generations); was no match Rock Your World when second (beaten four and one-quarter lengths) in the 9F Santa Anita Derby-G1 in early April when favored at 4/5, enjoying an ideal pace-stalking trip outside but then proving unable to quicken when the pressure was turned on at the head of the lane; previously had finished a well-beaten second to unbeaten Life Is Good in the 8.5F San Felipe S.-G2 in late March, going down by eight lengths though gamely saving second money after stalking the winner throughout and before that displaying extreme courage when winning 8.5F Robert B. Lewis S.-G3 in late January (by a neck from Roman Centurian and Hot Rod Charlie) despite being under heavy pressure from the far turn to the wire; speed figures are decent but have stagnated in recent outings; pedigree suggests he’ll handle a classic distance but though he’s clearly a reliable and consistent sort his lack of progression and his one-paced style indicate he may have reached his ceiling.
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9 – MIDNIGHT BOURBON (S. Asmussen) – 118 lbs.
Pedigree: Tiznow – Catch the Moon, by Malibu Moon
Lifetime record: 7-2-2-3 ($461,420. Derby points: 66
Last start: March 20, 2021, Fair Grounds, 9.5F Louisiana Derby-G2, finished second
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: April 4, Churchill Downs, 5f, 1:01.1b

The Skinny $525K yearling, half-brother to three black-type performers, including Girvin (Haskell Invitational G1, etc.) and Cocked and Loaded (Iroquois S.-G2, etc.); never off the board in seven career starts with his most notable win the 8.5F Lecomte S.-G3 at Fair Grounds in January (gate-to-wire, by one length from Proxy); subsequently finished third (by one and three-quarters lengths to Mandaloun) in 9F Risen Star S.-G2 in February and then most recently second in the 9.5F Louisiana Derby (by two lengths from Hot Rod Charlie) the following month; perhaps most effective when able to make the running though he has performed well in a stalker’s role; good recent Beyer speed figures indicate there’s better likely to come; will enter the Kentucky Derby-G1 following a six week layoff; clearly a genuine and consistent type though on resume not quite up to the level of the leaders in the division at this stage.
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10 – HELLIUM (M. Casse) – 118 lbs.
Pedigree: Ironicus – Thundering Emilla, by Thunder Gulch
Lifetime record: 3-3-0-0 ($287,763). Derby points: 50
Last start: March 6, 2021, Tampa Bay Downs, Tampa Bay Derby-G2, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: April 3, Palm Meadows, 5f, 1:01.2b

The skinny: $55,000Y; fourth foal, half-brother to Peruvian Gr. 1 winner Emilia’s Moon (by Malibu Moon); dam G3 SW in Peru; undefeated in three starts including the 8.5F Tampa Bay Derby-G2 in his 3-year-old debut (by three-quarters of a length from Hidden Stash), producing a steady bid (was 10th early) to secure the win in good style from a moderate field; previously had won both of his starts as a 2-year-old over the Woodbine synthetic surface (both at seven furlongs), a maiden in September (by three and one-quarter lengths from Excellorator) and then the listed Display S. the following month (by four and one-quarter lengths from Gospel Way); versatile colt has won pressing the pace and from far off the pace; bred to handle any surface and apparently does; should stay a classic distance; speed figures aren’t yet close to being competitive with the tops in his division and will have two months in between races while training up to the Kentucky Derby-G1; obviously is a colt of some quality but the strategy from his connections appears to place a higher emphasis on making the Derby field than actually providing him the proper preparation to have a chance to win it.
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Also eligible: Soup and Sandwich (M. Casse); O Besos (G. Foley); Bourbonic (T. Pletcher); Dynamic One; (T. Pletcher); Dream Shake (P. Eurton); Rombauer (M. McCarthy); Mandaloun (B. Cox); Crowded Trade (C. Brown); Like the King (W. Ward); Hozier (B. Baffert)
*
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Old 04-07-2021, 05:09 AM
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Arkansas Derby Post Position Draw Rapid Reaction

April 6, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Rebel Stakes winner Concert Tour makes an encore trip to Oaklawn for Saturday’s Grade 1 Arkansas Derby, headlining a field of 6 that was drawn today in Hot Springs. A victory by Gary and Mary West’s undefeated colt would put the Bob Baffert trainee in the favorite’s discussion for the May 1 Kentucky Derby – along with undefeated Blue Grass victor Essential Quality.

But first the 1-1/8 miles in the Arkansas Derby, where the favorite starts from post 5. Concert Tour, sired by Kentucky Derby and Travers winner Street Sense, looked no worse for the wear at the end of the March 13 Rebel Stakes at 110 yards shorter trip. He cruised wire-to-wire with tepid interior fractions. The 5 rivals looking to knock off Concert Tour will have to make him work harder early in the Arkansas Derby if they want to run by him late. Baffert has won this race with Bodemeister (2012), American Pharoah (2015) and Nadal (2020).

Caddo River and jockey Florent Geroux opted to sit just off of Concert Tour in the Rebel to no avail. The 10-length winner of the Smarty Jones to open Oaklawn’s Arkansas Derby trail was ineffective in that role and wound up fifth on 8. Expect a more aggressive tactic in the rematch from post 2 as Caddo River is 2-for-2 when going to the front and 0-for-3 when unable to secure the early lead. Merely relaxing off Concert Tour and hoping to secure second money and second Kentucky Derby qualifying points is not a gimmee after his Rebel retreat. The only way to shake the Rebel result is for Caddo River to take the race to Concert Tour, and from the inner post of the pair, that has to be the gameplan.

The lineup Saturday also includes Rebel runner-up and Concert Tour stablemate Hozier. He surprised when second here last month in his first attempt in stakes company. Hozier has trained brilliantly fast at Santa Anita for his third chance against Concert Tour (he finished fourth by 14 lengths to that one in the Jan. 15 career debut for both). Hozier is working strongly enough that he could turn the tables if he were to get any pace help up front. Check out all the morning moves at XBTV’s Triple Crown Trail section

Oaklawn-based Super Stock will look to improve on his Rebel fourth, which came after a nearly five-month layoff for trainer Larry Jones. Californian Get Her Number also floundered off the bench in the Rebel when seventh. Longshot Last Samurai returns from a fifth-place finish in the Southwest Stakes, where he was middling throughout at 56-1.

2021 Arkansas Derby Post Positions

1-Super Stock (Ricardo Santana Jr.)
2-Caddo River (Florent Geroux)
3-Hozier (Martin Garcia)
4-Get Her Number (Francisco Arrieta)
5-Concert Tour (Joel Rosario)
6-Last Samurai (Jon Court)

The Arkansas Derby will be Race 12 on a program that includes the Count Fleet Sprint, Oaklawn Mile and the Carousel Stakes. First race post time Saturday will be 1:00 pm ET / noon CT.
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Old 04-07-2021, 05:11 AM
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Delta Downs - Race #3
Picks Notes
#5 Bourbon St Tappin Not going to get much by way of price here, but this guy should be tough after the encouraging finishing effort at Fair Grounds in the debut.
#11 Touchdown Joe He needs a scratch to get in, but he was third in the same common race as the top choice, but he has several lengths to turn on that guy today.
#9 Unfathomed Stepped forward in a big way when trying dirt with maiden claimers last out, and I'm willing to take that at face value on the dirt, and a repeat might be good enough to land a piece.
Race Summary Bourbon St Tappin might be able to sit a bit more tactical trip tonight with the closing debut run under his belt, and he's not meeting a very deep bunch here.

Delta Downs - Race #7
Picks Notes
#4 Langs Day A handful of potential forward players might set things up for something from off the splits, and this guy is a reliable enough finisher and figures to offer a fair price.
#9 Boyfriend Material He owns some pace to stay in touch, but he can also spy and finish, making him the most dangerous of the ones who want to be near the action early.
#1 Competitive Idea Speed will have to try to go from the fence with some other pace signed on here, but the best of his form stacks up very favorably here if he bounces back on the move to the main track.
Race Summary Langs Day should settle and wait to make one run into what might be at least an honest pace, and the price should be attractive with an advantageous race shape waiting for him.

Delta Downs - Race #8
Picks Notes
#2 Pinch Assault He steps up off three nice wins here, and he's got a steady advance in him that should allow him to close into a fair pace at a decent price.
#7 December Seven He's obviously not what he once was, but he should be in the mix from the start, and he has already run a couple of pretty big races since showing up locally.
#6 Stephen's Answer Moves from one high powered barn into another while stepping up off the claim, but he's mostly a one-dimensional forward player, and he may not get many breathers today.
Race Summary Pinch Assault might get a decent race shape with an honest pace waiting for him here. He's in really good form right now and has a claim on his fourth in a row today.
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Old 04-07-2021, 05:11 AM
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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Northfield Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 HEAVENLY FEELING Been facing odds-on winners lately, now or never in this field.
#2 LET ME BE CLEAR Surrounded by faves in pocket, just missed in blanket finish.
#1 BANANA RAMA Pair of seconds in March, inside post could make the difference.
Race Summary Heavenly Feeling has a win on his resume, remains eligible for this condition and meets eight rivals who are 0-for-161 since 2020. Play 5-1 and 5-2 exactas.

Hoosier Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#3 WHY DON'T U STAY Chased streaking rival out of town, tries to end long winless drought.
#2 YANKEE CAPTIAN Rallied for pair of thirds in claiming series at double-digit odds.
#7 STAR OF OZ Hit board in 9 of 18 starts last year, makes seasonal debut.
Race Summary Why Don't U Stay chased a sharp, next-out repeater around 5/8-mile Miami Valley and held his position in third. The 11-year-old is worth a longshot stab at 12-1 on the morning line. Play a 2-3-7 exacta box.

Yonkers - Race #4
Picks Notes
#5 SWISS HOUSE ON FIRE Closed gap between rivals late, can join $100,000 Club.
#4 MARY MAG DELENE Piled up the checks out of town, gets Brennan.
#7 DESWANSLITTLELORI Trotted evenly in fastest division of series.
Race Summary Swiss House on Fire flushed out the favorite in the third quarter, gapped cover on the turn, but inched closer and finished well between rivals for third. Play 5-4 and 5-7 exactas.
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Old 04-07-2021, 05:12 AM
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1
Picks Notes
#6 Indy Ride Was along for third in a fast race last out and can benefit from the extra half-furlong; hit the board in three of five this year and is well spotted in this one.
#7 D'urban Park Ran on for third in his last two, each at this level; requires a fast pace in from of him and could get it here.
#1 Ox Trot Drops out of a starter allowance last time and was competitive at similar levels earlier in the year; runs well over this trip and can improve on his last one.
Race Summary Indy Ride has been improvement and is perfect for this distance; can stalk and made a impactful move in the stretch.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #5
Picks Notes
#5 Heat of the Night Ran poorly in two strong stakes races in his last two, broke his maiden at Gulfstream in September and was fifth in the Grade 1 Summer at Woodbine; can get back to running well here.
#4 Girl Dad Has good speed and can be dangerous if he's in front turning for home; capable of a big effort.
#2 Delaware Destroyer Was second in a good race last time, which broke a two-ran win streak; likes to stay close and could have something left for the finish.
Race Summary Heat of the Night is back to a more comfortable level and has improved as he moves to a new venue after facing some strong stakes company.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #7
Picks Notes
#1 Astronaut Oscar Won his last two local starts by battling on the front end and digging in late; Van Winkle stable has done a good job with him and he's capable of making this step up to higher level.
#2 Hide the Demon Was fourth in a fast race last time and was second in another quick on two back; has some closing punch on occasion and fits well here.
#6 Zipping Former stakes performer comes back after nearly three years away from the races; has some good works to his credit and has no shortage of class.
Race Summary Astronaut Oscar has been very game in his last two and moves in a tougher spot this time; can dig in and benefit from a ground-saving run.
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Old 04-07-2021, 07:44 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National
PURCHASE
Penn National - Race 4

W-P-S / Daily Double / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)


Claiming $6,250 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $15,400 • Post: 7:18P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 7 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250, IF FOR $6,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. MOON GATE WARRIOR is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MOON GATE WARRIOR: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CRUSH IT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. VOUCH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power R ating. PAL CAL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
2
MOON GATE WARRIOR
2/1

9/2
3
CRUSH IT
8/5

6/1
6
VOUCH
6/1

7/1
1
PAL CAL
5/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
PAL CAL
1

5/1
Front-runner
84

83

76.8

76.2

68.7
6
VOUCH
6

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
90

84

77.8

75.0

67.5
3
CRUSH IT
3

8/5
Stalker
92

86

64.4

81.7

76.2
4
MESSY BAKER
4

8/1
Stalker
84

81

59.8

79.2

70.2
2
MOON GATE WARRIOR
2

2/1
Trailer
92

82

73.8

79.4

75.4
5
HEART OF A WARRIOR
5

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
83

75

71.8

73.4

64.9
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Old 04-07-2021, 07:59 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
PURCHASE
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 2

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)


Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $9,800 • Post: 1:12P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * RHODA'S JEWELL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TARALLUCCI: Horse has run a Goo d Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. OSPREY COURT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. JOPLIN: Horse ranks in the top th ree in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4
RHODA'S JEWELL
6/1

5/1
1
TARALLUCCI
3/1

6/1
5
OSPREY COURT
8/5

6/1
2
JOPLIN
5/2

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
TARALLUCCI
1

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
63

59

53.8

54.3

48.8
2
JOPLIN
2

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
66

66

45.0

53.2

45.2
4
RHODA'S JEWELL
4

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
71

62

44.2

55.6

51.6
5
OSPREY COURT
5

8/5
Trailer
63

55

34.6

55.4

51.4
3
AZLYNN'S DREAMER
3

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
62

43

39.6

39.6

29.1
6
CLASSY LAURIEANN
6

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
63

37

48.3

37.0

27.5
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  #9  
Old 04-07-2021, 08:00 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Keeneland - Race #2 - Post: 1:39pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 CLEVELAND SIMPSON (ML=2/1)
#5 HARD STING (ML=5/2)


CLEVELAND SIMPSON - It looks like Cannon had to be more familiar with this gelding on March 13th when riding him for the initial time. Back on board again today. I am keen on that latest effort on March 13th at Turfway Park where he ended up first. Recent speed figures show powerful pattern of improvement. HARD STING - This fine animal should be rumbling in the stretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 EASTERN SYMPHONY (ML=5/2), #3 ONENIGHTSTANDARDS (ML=5/1), #2 CANCELLARA (ML=6/1),

EASTERN SYMPHONY - He probably can't repeat that last stretch drive effort and win against this bunch. ONENIGHTSTANDARDS - I don't see this questionable contender doing too much off of the long vacation. He probably needs a start or two to get back into fine fettle. Sophomore versus older for the first time is a tough one. Have to see this effort first. CANCELLARA - The older ones will probably defeat this young horse today. Hard to wager on this horse out of the Feb 25th clash. Only faced maidens in that one.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #6 CLEVELAND SIMPSON to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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  #10  
Old 04-07-2021, 08:00 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 71

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 BOURBON ST TAPPIN 9/5

# 11 TOUCHDOWN JOE 3/1

# 1 SAMMY DANSEUR JR. 4/1

BOURBON ST TAPPIN looks to be a quite good contender. He has been running solidly and the Equibase speed figs are among the best in this field. With a decent 80 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this field. TOUCHDOWN JOE - Has competitive Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Noel have shown very strong results recently. SAMMY DANSEUR JR. - He looks very good in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Is a solid choice - given the 67 speed rating from his most recent race.
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  #11  
Old 04-07-2021, 02:53 PM
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PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9900 Class Rating: 81

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 7, 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 FETCHUM KETCHUM 3/1

# 4 EUROBADGUY 10/1

# 2 DROWNINGNDIAMONDS 2/1

FETCHUM KETCHUM has a decent shot to take this race. Have to sense that this one will make a good showing following the quick comeback. Has a solid shot here if you like back class. Is a strong contender based on figures put up recently under today's conditions. EUROBADGUY - Has recorded strong Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Espiritu has shown excellent profits (+13 return on investment ) at this distance/surface. DROWNINGNDIAMONDS - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class numbers of this group. The speed rating of 82 from his most recent race looks competitive in here.
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  #12  
Old 04-07-2021, 02:54 PM
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Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:57pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,300 Class Rating: 70

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 IZERIGHT (ML=5/2)
#8 TEQUILA TIME (ML=6/1)


IZERIGHT - This gelding ran well in his last race but just couldn't catch the winner. Note that he was well ahead of the third horse, and looks like a major contender in this field. A thoroughbred coming back this promptly after a sharp effort is a good sign. Just look at his last figure, 68. That one fits well in this group. TEQUILA TIME - Jock jumped on this gelding's back for the first ride on March 18th. Should be in tune with the horse even better this race. I think that the addition of the 'shades' today will keep his mind on the race at hand.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 RELIANT (ML=7/2), #6 SIR DEPUTY (ML=9/2), #1 DON WITH THE WIND (ML=5/1),

RELIANT - Will probably be at the rear with too much to do in the lane. Finished second in her most recent performance with a pedestrian speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this field. SIR DEPUTY - This gelding registered a speed rating in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. DON WITH THE WIND - If he goes off anywhere near the morning line odds of 5/1, I'll have to pass.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #3 IZERIGHT to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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  #13  
Old 04-07-2021, 02:56 PM
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PURCHASE

04/07/21, KEE, Race 7, 4.24 ET
04/07/21,KEE,7,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $83,000 (includes up to $25,600 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,000 Twice At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since February 7 Allowed 3 lbs. $23,400 At A Mile Or Over Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). In the event that this race is taken off the turf it will be contested at One Mile and One-Sixteenth on the main track. (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 1 Flabbergasted 6/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. FEL 141 37.59 1.62/$1
098.5850 13 More Than Unusual 7/2 Geroux F Cox Brad H. C 172 35.47 1.47/$1
097.6388 11 (F)Pocket Square (GB) 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. 199 32.66 1.41/$1
097.0333 15 Breeze Rider 30/1 Murrill M Manley Steve 172 35.47 1.47/$1
096.7331 12 Broadway Lady 5/1 Saez G Casse Mark E. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
096.2071 8 In a Hurry 8/1 Leparoux J R McGaughey III Claude R 172 35.47 1.47/$1
096.2038 16 Stop War 3/1 Graham J Rubley Kelly W 172 35.47 1.47/$1
095.9408 2 Gamblin Train 20/1 Bejarano R Sandy Stephen S. T 172 35.47 1.47/$1
095.2457 10 More Good Times 10/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
094.7605 3 Tuned (GB) 7/2 Rosario J Motion H. Graham S 141 37.59 1.62/$1
094.3004 6 Loving Moment 30/1 Corrales G Reed Eric R. 141 37.59 1.62/$1
094.1306 9 Walk In Marrakesh (IRE) 10/1 Velazquez J R Correas. IV Ignacio 141 37.59 1.62/$1
094.0080 5 Choate Bridge 8/1 Geroux F Walsh Brendan P. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
093.4585 4 Tizahra 20/1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
093.4049 14 Gun Society 12/1 Lanerie C J Attfield Roger L. 141 37.59 1.62/$1
088.6043 7 Naomi Broadway (BRZ) 50/1 Achard A Lobo Paulo H. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 41.94, ROI 1.68/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.4150
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRacePurseNotLowerThanToday
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 13 More Than Unusual 7/2 Geroux F Cox Brad H. C 172 35.47 1.47/$1
099.8090 11 (F)Pocket Square (GB) 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. 199 32.66 1.41/$1
099.7639 2 Gamblin Train 20/1 Bejarano R Sandy Stephen S. T 172 35.47 1.47/$1
099.0844 1 Flabbergasted 6/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. FEL 141 37.59 1.62/$1
098.9391 12 Broadway Lady 5/1 Saez G Casse Mark E. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
098.9135 3 Tuned (GB) 7/2 Rosario J Motion H. Graham S 141 37.59 1.62/$1
098.8867 10 More Good Times 10/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
098.2822 16 Stop War 3/1 Graham J Rubley Kelly 172 35.47 1.47/$1
098.1709 8 In a Hurry 8/1 Leparoux J R McGaughey III Claude R 172 35.47 1.47/$1
098.0434 15 Breeze Rider 30/1 Murrill M Manley Steve 172 35.47 1.47/$1
097.7254 9 Walk In Marrakesh (IRE) 10/1 Velazquez J R Correas. IV Ignacio 141 37.59 1.62/$1
096.7516 6 Loving Moment 30/1 Corrales G Reed Eric R. W 141 37.59 1.62/$1
096.7022 14 Gun Society 12/1 Lanerie C J Attfield Roger L. 141 37.59 1.62/$1
096.5924 4 Tizahra 20/1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
096.1226 7 Naomi Broadway (BRZ) 50/1 Achard A Lobo Paulo H. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
095.8254 5 Choate Bridge 8/1 Geroux F Walsh Brendan P. 172 35.47 1.47/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 21.43, ROI 1.33/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.1910
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceDistanceIsNotGreaterThanToday
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