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Old 07-04-2019, 09:36 AM
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Horse Racing 7-4-19

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Old 07-04-2019, 09:36 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ruidoso Downs
PURCHASE
Ruidoso Downs - Race 3

Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 3rd Leg Pick 4 /2nd Leg Pick 3


Optional Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $17,800 • Post: 1:52P
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 4, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. I'M A DANCIN WHO is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TIJUANA: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. I'M A DANCIN WH O: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HENNESSY EXPRESS: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4
TIJUANA
7/2

7/2
5
I'M A DANCIN WHO
9/2

4/1
3
HENNESSY EXPRESS
9/5

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
SHUG'S BEST
1

6/1
Front-runner
74

73

79.8

64.0

55.0
4
TIJUANA
4

7/2
Front-runner
89

91

76.4

79.0

76.0
3
HENNESSY EXPRESS
3

9/5
Front-runner
87

77

68.2

61.1

57.1
5
I'M A DANCIN WHO
5

9/2
Stalker
86

86

62.6

79.4

74.4
2
BALLINOUTTACONTROL
2

2/1
Trailer
82

77

53.5

70.8

61.8
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Old 07-04-2019, 09:37 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pleasanton
PURCHASE
Pleasanton - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) $2 Daily Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) $1 Pick 5 (50-cent min.)(Races 5-6-7-8-9)


Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 3:45P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $18,000, ALLOWED 1 LB. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING, AND STARTER RACES FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. CYLINDERS is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CYLINDERS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. REGAL LADY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SWEET RAFAELA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3
CYLINDERS
9/5

4/1
5
REGAL LADY
4/1

5/1
1
SWEET RAFAELA
3/1

6/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
CYLINDERS
3

9/5
Stalker
90

79

86.8

88.6

83.1
4
HEATSEEKER BABY
4

5/2
Stalker
80

77

76.4

71.4

63.4
1
SWEET RAFAELA
1

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
87

88

81.6

79.2

72.7
5
REGAL LADY
5

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
88

84

81.2

82.2

77.7
6
NO SPIN ZONE
6

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
89

85

76.2

79.0

72.0
2
SILKEN QUEEN
2

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
85

80

72.0

78.2

68.7
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  #4  
Old 07-04-2019, 09:38 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Belmont Park - Race #7 - Post: 4:45pm - Allowance - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $66,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 NEW JERSEY JOHN (ML=6/1)
#3 NATIONAL HONOR (ML=3/1)
#8 OPT (ML=15/1)


NEW JERSEY JOHN - Had a solid closing move in the last race, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar effort today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. NATIONAL HONOR - Have to give this thoroughbred a good look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figures on the turf at this distance. OPT - Ribaudo brings him right back. I suggest you stick with this live gelding. Franco rode this horse for the initial time last time around the track and comes right back today. On June 9th this gelding shipped in to finish first and looks good right back. When Franco and Ribaudo are put together on animals the ROI has been terrific at +46. I like this gelding. Has the topmost earnings per start (EPS) in here today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 PLAYWRIGHT (ML=8/5), #6 MR. MASSENA (ML=7/2), #10 RIENDO (ML=5/1),

PLAYWRIGHT - This gelding finished outside the top 3 on March 24th and wasn't near the winner last race out either. The speed figures are going downward. I'm not making a bet on this vulnerable equine off of that trend. MR. MASSENA - Not probable that the rating he earned on Jun 9th will hold up in this race. RIENDO - A stretch-runner like this one needs an early speed duel to set things up and he isn't likely to get one this time out. The speed rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underpriced contender.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - NATIONAL HONOR - Cibelli has superb win record with horses running a route on the turf. This gelding can't be overlooked in your wagering.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 NEW JERSEY JOHN to win if we can get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,8] Total Cost: $6
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  #5  
Old 07-04-2019, 09:38 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 DEEP THINKER (IRE) 5/1

# 4 ROCK IT TOTHEMOON 8/5

# 5 STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 7/2

I favor DEEP THINKER (IRE) here. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this racer look very good in this race. Ought to compete solidly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group of horses. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figs of this field in his last affair. ROCK IT TOTHEMOON - Put up a quite good speed figure last time out. Gallardo has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 28 percent clip. STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON - He has been running well and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the best in this field. Should wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today.
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Old 07-04-2019, 09:39 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

07/04/19, LAD, Race 5, 5.15 CT
7 1/2F [Turf] 1.28.00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
Claiming Price $25,000 (Races Where Entered For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER SINCE JULY 4 OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 2 Double Star 6-1 Tejera E A Schultz Robert D. EW
099.6576 7 Theoryintopractice 6/5 Dominguez J Asmussen Steven M.
099.1578 3 Extirpator 9/2 Guerrero J A Turner Patti L
098.8360 6 Impressive Student 6-1 Lozada C Duhon Joe O. JT
098.2368 4 Nomo Ron 7/2 Singh R R Caldwell J. R. FC
096.4604 5 Spiritual Warfare 10-1 Green A Meaux Jason H. S
093.9272 1 Comic Bird 20-1 Martinez O Williams C. Blaine
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
2 63.10 1.20 35.40 57 161 [All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race
7 64.00 1.33 37.76 37 98 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today
3 64.00 1.33 37.76 37 98 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today
6 63.10 1.20 35.40 57 161 [All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race
4 111.80 1.26 40.83 89 218 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
5 64.00 1.33 37.76 37 98 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today
1 63.10 1.20 35.40 57 161 [All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race
------------------------------
If Race Is Off Turf
------------------------------
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 7 Theoryintopractice 6/5 Dominguez J Asmussen Steven M.
099.6338 2 Double Star 6-1 Tejera E A Schultz Robert D. EW
099.4573 3 Extirpator 9/2 Guerrero J A Turner Patti L
099.4234 6 Impressive Student 6-1 Lozada C Duhon Joe O. JT
098.7120 4 Nomo Ron 7/2 Singh R R Caldwell J. R. FC
097.5676 5 Spiritual Warfare 10-1 Green A Meaux Jason H. S
094.8639 1 Comic Bird 20-1 Martinez O Williams C. Blaine
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
7 58.30 1.29 39.60 40 101 [All Surfaces] Third Race After 45 Days Off
2 49.40 1.19 34.38 44 128 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Workouts
3 46.20 1.20 39.32 46 117 [All Dirt] Best LeadPack
6 35.10 1.14 36.59 45 123 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
4 111.80 1.26 40.83 89 218 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
5 33.80 1.23 29.17 21 72 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off
1 42.40 1.13 35.37 58 164 [All Surfaces] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today
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  #7  
Old 07-04-2019, 09:39 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Laurel - Race #4 - Post: 2:40pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 TRICKED UP (ML=3/1)
#7 BANK FLOAT (ML=6/1)
#2 PRIME TIME MAN (ML=5/2)


TRICKED UP - In the last race on the sod, this animal was great. Anything close in this event, and this one should win. Carrying 8 pounds less this race. Trainer has him in a good spot. BANK FLOAT - McCarthy rode this entrant for the initial time last out and comes right back this time. Changes tracks from last out at Pimlico to here. Multiple wins at different tracks tell me this horse likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. Sub-par outing last time around the track at Pimlico was due to the off-going (he finished ninth). Have to give a better effort right here under better track conditions. PRIME TIME MAN - I expect this mount to surprise some railbirds today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 FIELD ADVANTAGE (ML=2/1), #5 STORM NET (ML=3/1), #6 MINERS QUEST (ML=5/1),

FIELD ADVANTAGE - I don't normally play a morning-line favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. The finish position of third in the last race shows me that this animal may be losing physical conditioning. STORM NET - This steed ran a quite unimpressive speed figure in the last race. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably lose in today's race running that rating. MINERS QUEST - If you keep betting these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be let down most of the time.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - TRICKED UP - I don't care what variety of competitive event you're in, when you drop down to easier competition the experience of facing tougher competition strengthens you. This thoroughbred is live today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 TRICKED UP is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,7,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Skip
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  #8  
Old 07-04-2019, 09:40 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 64

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 OUTOFTHEBALLPARK 5/1

# 5 HARLANS WARRIOR 4/1

# 6 YOURS AND MINE 7/2

My pick for this event is OUTOFTHEBALLPARK. If you look closely, this entrant has some longshot possibilities. Looks to have a strong class edge based on the most recent company kept. HARLANS WARRIOR - With Hernandez aboard her, this filly ought to be able to break out sharply for this event. Earning some nice money in dirt sprint races. YOURS AND MINE - Her 56 average has this mare with among the most competitive speed figs in this contest. Has a sharp shot for this event if you like back class.
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Old 07-04-2019, 09:40 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE

07/04/19, GP, Race 2, 1.15 ET
5F [Turf] 00.53.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $40,000.
Claiming Price $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 1 Venerate 6-1 Panici L Sano Antonio W
099.9574 8 Pricey Victory 5/2 Montalvo C Munoz Carlos SFEL
098.8592 5 Biff 4-1 Rendon J Gonzalez Oscar M.
098.1963 4 Translate Slowly 3-1 Lebron V Fawkes David T
097.3199 6 Capture the Crown 8-1 Camacho S Miller Rory C. J
096.6862 3 Yei Yei 12-1 Vasquez M A Azpurua. Jr. Leo
096.6007 7 Chattanooga Kid 10-1 Jimenez A Ritvo Katherine
095.0334 2 El Duque 15-1 Martinez G A Minguet Ramon C
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
1 20.00 1.08 24.58 29 118 [Turf MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
8 82.40 1.52 41.25 33 80 [Turf MdnMClm] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
5 20.00 1.08 24.58 29 118 [Turf MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
4 20.00 1.08 24.58 29 118 [Turf MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
6 20.00 1.08 24.58 29 118 [Turf MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
3 40.20 1.15 33.33 45 135 [Turf MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today
7 20.00 1.08 24.58 29 118 [Turf MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
2 82.40 1.52 41.25 33 80 [Turf MdnMClm] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
------------------------------
If Race Is Off Turf
------------------------------
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 1 Venerate 6-1 Panici L Sano Antonio W
099.3861 5 Biff 4-1 Rendon J Gonzalez Oscar M.
099.1299 8 Pricey Victory 5/2 Montalvo C Munoz Carlos SFEL
097.8716 3 Yei Yei 12-1 Vasquez M A Azpurua. Jr. Leo
097.7525 4 Translate Slowly 3-1 Lebron V Fawkes David T
097.3319 6 Capture the Crown 8-1 Camacho S Miller Rory C. J
095.9189 7 Chattanooga Kid 10-1 Jimenez A Ritvo Katherine
095.5696 2 El Duque 15-1 Martinez G A Minguet Ramon C
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
1 26.80 1.07 33.85 65 192 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
5 26.80 1.07 33.85 65 192 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
8 30.00 1.21 40.85 29 71 [Dirt MdnMClm] Best LeadPack
3 36.80 1.16 35.65 41 115 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
4 26.80 1.07 33.85 65 192 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
6 26.80 1.07 33.85 65 192 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
7 26.80 1.07 33.85 65 192 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
2 26.80 1.07 33.85 65 192 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
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