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Old 08-13-2019, 07:50 AM
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Horse Racing 8-13-19

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Old 08-13-2019, 07:51 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie
PURCHASE
Fort Erie - Race 8

WPS, Exactor, Triactor, 20 Cent Superfecta, 20 Cent Jackpot High 5 (Pentafecta)


Stakes • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 7:36P
BOB SUMMERS MEMORIAL CUP S. - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD THAT HAVE STARTED AT FORT ERIE TWO TIMES OR MORE IN 2019. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $50 EACH WHICH SHALL ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION AND AN ADDITIONAL $250 WHEN MAKING ENTRY WITH A PURSE OF $30,000 PLUS UP TO $5,000 FOR ELIGIBLE ONTARIO BREDS. HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED MAY SUPPLEMENT AT TIME OF FINAL ENTRY FOR $600 WHICH INCLUDES THE ENTRY FEE. WEIGHTS: THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS. OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES IN 2019 ALLOWED, 2 LBS; OF TWO RACES IN 2019, 4 LBS.; OF ONE RACE IN 2019, 6 LBS. (RACES WITH CLAIMING PRICES OF $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES). THE FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO 12 STARTERS. IF MORE THAN 12 ENTRIES PASS THE ENTRY BOX, PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO THE HIGHEST EARNINGS IN 2018-2019. FINAL ENTRIES TO BE MADE THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX AT THE CLOSING TIME THEN IN EFFECT FOR OVERNIGHT EVENTS. (COLTS AND GELDINGS PREFERRED) THIS IS A NON BLACK TYPE RACE. CLOSED THURSDAY, JULY 25TH. WITH 18 NOMINATIONS, PLUS 1 SUPPLEMENT.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BRONZE AGE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SNIPER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLD SHARK: Today is a sprint and this is th e horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BRONZE AGE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SELL ING OUT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
8
SNIPER
5/2

4/1
6
GOLD SHARK
2/1

6/1
4
BRONZE AGE
10/1

8/1
5
SELLING OUT
5/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
BRONZE AGE
4

10/1
Front-runner
78

75

81.8

72.6

59.6
3
MR CHANGUE
3

12/1
Stalker
84

80

70.8

70.0

59.0
1
DUKE OF MIAMI
1

12/1
Stalker
89

79

54.6

75.8

64.8
6
GOLD SHARK
6

2/1
Alternator/Stalker
84

91

61.4

84.0

78.5
5
SELLING OUT
5

5/1
Trailer
87

89

66.4

83.4

76.4
8
SNIPER
8

5/2
Trailer
90

97

60.0

89.4

87.4
9
DRENA'S BULLET
9

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
87

86

51.4

76.6

67.6
2
LITTLE DEUCE COUPE
2

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
84

79

60.4

74.2

58.2
7
ROBUSTO
7

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
98

95

28.4

52.1

37.1
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Old 08-13-2019, 07:52 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs
PURCHASE
Presque Isle Downs - Race 2

$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 2-3-4)


Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 5:50P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TRULY STELLAR: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. STUNNING BABY: Hor se has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NEVERLOOKBACK: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BLOWING STRONG: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. HORSEFEATHERS: Joc key/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
1
TRULY STELLAR
8/5

4/1
5
STUNNING BABY
4/1

6/1
6
NEVERLOOKBACK
3/1

9/1
2
BLOWING STRONG
8/1

10/1
4
HORSEFEATHERS
6/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
TRULY STELLAR
1

8/5
Front-runner
75

75

63.4

58.4

54.4
4
HORSEFEATHERS
4

6/1
Front-runner
68

63

62.5

45.2

35.2
6
NEVERLOOKBACK
6

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
70

65

54.6

57.0

48.5
3
LINNS BOY
3

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
69

65

40.0

46.0

37.0
5
STUNNING BABY
5

4/1
Trailer
73

73

50.4

61.4

55.9
2
BLOWING STRONG
2

8/1
Trailer
74

68

22.6

66.8

61.8
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  #4  
Old 08-13-2019, 07:52 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 77

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 SHINEONMEJUSTICE 6/1

# 6 WILLISTAYORWILLIGO 6/5

# 7 EASY DEAR 15/1

SHINEONMEJUSTICE has a solid shot to take this race. With Prescott getting the mount, watch out for this pony. Has to be given consideration based on the respectable Equibase Speed Fig recorded in the last contest. This filly has a strong winning percentage in dirt sprint races. WILLISTAYORWILLIGO - This filly should be given consideration just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. Should finish in the top three without any problem. EASY DEAR - She has a strong distance/surface win record - 5 for 19. She has to be considered given the competitive speed figs.
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  #5  
Old 08-13-2019, 07:53 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #2 - Post: 3:48pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 60

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 JR'S SAUVAGE (ML=3/1)
#5 VIVINSKY (ML=12/1)
#6 CLEVER LAD (ML=8/5)


JR'S SAUVAGE - I predict a gorgeous trip. Stalk the early pace, and pounce on the turn. Hasn't run at today's trip recently but does have a rating garnered last time he tried this distance good enough to win. VIVINSKY - This magnificent animal should be rumbling in the lane. CLEVER LAD - I am keen on that most recent race on Jul 24th at Louisiana Downs where he finished third. The jock and handler combination have a profitable return on investment when they combine forces. This gelding's last fig earned on Jul 24th is uppermost in last race Equibase speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SARVELIO (ML=2/1), #4 KYE'S ADDYCAT (ML=5/1),

SARVELIO - Should have at least hit the board in the last couple of months in a short distance event to be worth the chance at low odds in a sprint. This pony ran a somewhat easily forgotten rating in the last race. He shouldn't run better and will probably lose in today's event running that rating. KYE'S ADDYCAT - This questionable contender ran a mediocre rating last time around the track. He shouldn't improve and will likely suffer defeat today running that fig.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 JR'S SAUVAGE to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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Old 08-13-2019, 07:53 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Thistledown - Race #8 - Post: 5:10pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,300 Class Rating: 67

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 BEST DRESSED (ML=10/1)
#2 CARABLANCA'S DANCE (ML=6/1)
#1 HOT VALENTINA (ML=3/1)


BEST DRESSED - This thoroughbred could be tough today, especially since Ramirez rode last race out and now should be better acquainted with this one. CARABLANCA'S DANCE - This horse coming off a good performance in the last thirty days is a serious competitor in my book. HOT VALENTINA - The improved Equibase speed figs over the last three races is strong. Urieta drops her in this affair in shape and ready to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DIXIE THREE (ML=5/2), #1A SPIRIT FINGERS (ML=3/1), #3 FANCY PANTS (ML=7/2),

DIXIE THREE - Tough to put your cash on this front-runner. Too much zip in the event. This filly registered a speed figure in her last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's race. SPIRIT FINGERS - Can't play this steed in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint race recently. FANCY PANTS - Tough to put any money on this mare on the front end. Likes to finish in the money though. Have to be leery of the recent trend and awesome speed figure in the July 23rd race. It was this mare's greatest at that distance and this one should bounce today.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CARABLANCA'S DANCE - Registering a speed figure of 56 two back and then following up with a rating of 60 last race on Jul 8th, this mare is ready to do some damage.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 BEST DRESSED on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
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Old 08-13-2019, 07:53 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 62

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 MISS DEVINE 2/1

# 7 LUCKYMRSBOND 5/2

# 3 SHE'S FINE TUNED 6/1

MISS DEVINE is the best bet in this race. She has been racing strongly lately while recording very solid speed figs. Expect a reliable attempt with the class drop. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. LUCKYMRSBOND - Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this horse look formidable in this outing. Has formidable early pace and will most likely fare solidly against this group. SHE'S FINE TUNED - Is tough not to consider given the company run in as of late. Has very strong early pace and will almost certainly fare admirably against this group.
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Old 08-13-2019, 07:54 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

08/13/19, LAD, Race 4, 4.43 CT
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 CLAIMING. Purse $7,000.
Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 13
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta - .50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / .50 Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 4 Lillys Cue 4-1 Lozada C Shumake Ray JTSFE
096.0259 6 Kelley's Dream 5/2 Tejera E A Burress Beverly C
095.1408 5 Go Selma T 6-1 Castillo A Melancon Donald W
094.7450 7 Emma's Gift 6-1 Guerrero J A Ward Ronnie P.
094.1663 3 Bizzarrini 2-1 Green A Lorick Lee
093.4171 2 Starry Ide Elaine 10-1 Smith K J Husak Gary J.
092.2725 1 Her High Road 12-1 Flores R Dixon Tim L
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
4 88.60 1.16 39.26 106 270 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
5 36.60 1.12 34.21 52 152 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Workouts
7 41.70 1.10 35.47 72 203 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
1 17.80 1.11 26.25 21 80 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off
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