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Old 08-15-2019, 08:04 AM
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Horse Racing 8-15-19

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Old 08-15-2019, 08:05 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Colonial Downs
PURCHASE
Colonial Downs - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Pick 5 (Races 5-9) (12% Takeout)


Optional Claiming $10,000 • 1 Mile • Inner Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 6:52P
INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $6,250 OR LESS IN 2018 - 2019 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * POSHSKY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Ho rse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SMART TWO A T: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MIDNIGHT HARBOR: Jocke y/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). MY COWBOY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class R ating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
2
POSHSKY
5/1

9/2
5
SMART TWO A T
9/2

6/1
1A
MIDNIGHT HARBOR
8/1

8/1
9
MY COWBOY
3/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
9
MY COWBOY
10

3/1
Front-runner
88

83

92.2

77.6

69.1
4
CAMALUS
4

4/1
Front-runner
83

79

69.2

47.4

34.4
5
SMART TWO A T
5

9/2
Stalker
90

93

83.1

81.1

74.1
1
COUNTY CORRECTIONS
1

8/1
Stalker
84

76

62.0

72.0

59.5
2
POSHSKY
2

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
93

91

78.5

86.4

81.9
8
CAPTIVATED
9

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
86

78

69.2

76.8

61.3
7
IN EQUALITY
8

6/1
Trailer
89

82

77.7

71.1

61.6
1A
MIDNIGHT HARBOR
6

8/1
Trailer
91

90

56.4

74.2

65.2
6
NO KNOCK RAID
7

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
90

73

59.4

74.4

67.9
3
RED ALE
3

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
81

70

46.4

47.0

27.5
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Old 08-15-2019, 08:06 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields
PURCHASE
Golden Gate Fields - Race 2

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) $0.20 Golden Pick 6 (Races 2-7) $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)


Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 5 Furlongs • All-Weather • Age 2 • CR: 61 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 2:14P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * UNWRITTEN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TIZ THE STANDARD: Horse r anks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BLUE HAS A DATE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
UNWRITTEN
5/2

3/1
2
TIZ THE STANDARD
4/1

4/1
3
BLUE HAS A DATE
10/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
TIZ THE STANDARD
2

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

64.5

34.1

28.1
3
BLUE HAS A DATE
3

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

47.4

32.2

25.7
5
UNWRITTEN
5

5/2
Trailer
0

0

45.5

39.8

35.3
1
GRACIE'S GIRL
1

2/1
Alternator/Non-contender
52

36

79.9

29.5

24.5
6
MARGO WITH A T
6

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

58.6

9.1

2.1








Unknown Running Style: ALWAYS IN VEGAS (7/2) [Jockey: Frey Kyle - Trainer: Mathis Andy].
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Old 08-15-2019, 08:07 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Charles Town - Race #8 - Post: 10:17pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 AGAINSTREGULATIONS (ML=5/1)
#1 ACCESS TO DENIS (ML=10/1)
#5 ZUM WOHL (ML=6/1)


AGAINSTREGULATIONS - Stehr has this gelding signed up for the right contest. ACCESS TO DENIS - The fact that this gelding is entered right back into a race so quickly means he's fit and ready. Taking a big drop in Equibase class figure points from his Aug 9th race at Charles Town. Based on that data point, I will give this one the advantage. ZUM WOHL - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BERNARDINI BREEZE (ML=7/5), #4 TRUE HEIR (ML=3/1),

BERNARDINI BREEZE - 7/5 is not worth the risk for any animal in a sprint of 7 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race lately. TRUE HEIR - Tough to bet on a horse that loses so frequently.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 AGAINSTREGULATIONS to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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  #5  
Old 08-15-2019, 08:09 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14500 Class Rating: 82

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 SHARP HOLIDAY 9/2

# 7 WRAP IT UP 2/1

# 1 BETWEEN THE ARCHES 5/2

SHARP HOLIDAY is the best wager in this race. She has a good opportunity for this event as handler, Diodoro, has very strong win rate with horses going this distance. Is a solid choice - given the 80 speed fig from her most recent race. Has performed admirably recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 70 avg speed figure. WRAP IT UP - Should best this group of animals here, showing solid figures of late. I like the jock on this mare - formidable chance to win the race. BETWEEN THE ARCHES - Looks like a strong candidate for the exotics. She has a formidable distance/surface win record - 3 for 14.
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  #6  
Old 08-15-2019, 08:10 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Arlington - Race #3 - Post: 2:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 57

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 EL PAYASO (ML=4/1)
#2 STREET EDGE (ML=6/5)


EL PAYASO - This race horse should be rocking and rolling down the lane. STREET EDGE - A first timer with this conditioner. Rivelli wins a 30 pct of the time in these here situations. Nice winning percentage this jock and trainer duo have been putting together. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the first time should be considered. That's what we have here. Colt is a 1st time starter whose last three workouts were on this track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SEQUINS STORM (ML=3/1),

SEQUINS STORM - Doesn't seem to be worth 3/1 this time. Pass on him this time.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #1 EL PAYASO on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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  #7  
Old 08-15-2019, 08:10 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 65

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 PREMIER JUSTICE 8/1

# 4 BROAD STORM 6/1

# 5 WACCA WACCA WACCA 4/1

My pick in this race is PREMIER JUSTICE and the potential return justifies the risky nature of the long odds. Progeny of this sire have produced formidable dividends recently in their first asking outing. Bloodlines are very strong and this horse looks to be in the money. Sharp gains over time for this jock and handler combo. BROAD STORM - Based on past performances, bets on the offspring of this sire would be considered strong. First time starters out of this trainer's barn have produced some of the strongest profits for 1st time starters in this field. Ought to go to the lead and may never look back. WACCA WACCA WACCA - This conditioner has done well recently with entries racing at this distance and surface.
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Old 08-15-2019, 08:10 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga
PURCHASE

08/15/19, SAR, Race 5, 3.10 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $52,000.
Claiming Price $50,000, if for $45,000, allowed 2 lbs. (UP TO $9,048 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Late Pick 5 (.50) Races (5-9), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 11 Cobble Hill 9/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. J
099.7338 5 Sneakiness(b-) 7/2 Rosario J Dutrow Anthony W. S
099.2874 1 Teachable Moment 6-1 Santana. Jr. R Atras Rob TFEC
098.1977 3 Borough Boy 10-1 Gaffalione T Antonucci Jena M. W
096.8236 7 Swick 5-1 Ortiz J L Terranova II John P.
096.4666 8 Monmouth Dr 12-1 Alvarado J Kimmel John C.
095.2466 4 Majestic West 8-1 Saez L Sharp Joe
093.8461 6 Dealin' Stelen 20-1 Bravo J Zito Nicholas P.
093.7573 2 Fireball Jon(b+) 8-1 Franco M Bauer Philip A.
093.6757 10 Cavaradossi 10-1 Cancel E Zito Nicholas P. L
090.8415 9 Muntahez 20-1 Davis D McLaughlin Kiaran P.
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
11 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
5 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
1 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
3 25.70 1.27 29.17 14 48 [Dirt MdnMClm] Best Workouts
7 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
8 6.20 1.07 27.91 12 43 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
6 6.20 1.07 27.91 12 43 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
2 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
10 5.60 1.47 50.00 3 6 [All Dirt] *Actual Post Greater Than 9 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
9 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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Old 08-15-2019, 08:10 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar
PURCHASE

08/15/19, DMR, Race 1, 2.00 PT
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
Claiming Price $8,000, if for $7,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $1 Place Pick All / 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10 cent min.) - 50 cent Early Pick 5 / $2 WPS Parlay
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 5 Love of Art (IRE) 4-1 Bejarano R Metz Jeffrey FC
097.7912 7 Topaz Time 3-1 Roman E A Pearson Molly J. E
097.1688 3 Forbidden Command 12-1 Jimenez A Clark Justin B. TWL
096.6402 1 Empress of Lov 9/5 Talamo J Dollase Craig
095.0802 6 Kennedie Sky 8-1 Delgadillo A DeLeon Rafael
093.9781 2 Cee Sam's Girl 5-1 Cedillo A Papaprodromou George J
092.2131 4 Victory Ice 10-1 Diaz. Jr. J Pearson Molly J. S
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
5 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
7 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
3 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
1 84.40 1.33 34.38 44 128 [All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
6 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
2 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
4 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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