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Old 08-27-2019, 08:25 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Horse Racing 8-27-19

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Old 08-27-2019, 08:25 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown
PURCHASE
Thistledown - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 60 • Purse: $9,500 • Post: 3:40P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. MISS TOY is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * SEXY MORENA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BETTER VIBES: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ETHEL EILEEN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equib ase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. LEGITIMACY: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return on investment with first time starters of at least +5 0 (minimum 10 starts). Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
1
SEXY MORENA
7/2

7/2
2
BETTER VIBES
8/1

6/1
8
ETHEL EILEEN
6/1

8/1
5
LEGITIMACY
9/2

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
ETHEL EILEEN
8

6/1
Front-runner
55

37

78.0

24.0

16.5
1
SEXY MORENA
1

7/2
Alternator/Front-runner
54

50

59.0

39.6

34.1
2
BETTER VIBES
2

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

45.1

42.9

39.9
3
CAIM'IN TO WIN
3

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
44

36

38.4

26.8

20.3
7
MISS TOY
7

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

21.8

22.8

14.3
4
SEXY LADY
4

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

22.8

18.0

7.0
6
TRIPLE DANEHILL
6

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: LEGITIMACY (9/2) [Jockey: Alencar Walber - Trainer: Bourke W John].
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Old 08-27-2019, 08:26 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park
PURCHASE
Mountaineer Park - Race 6

($.50) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) $.50 Trifecta $1 Exacta Box ($.20) Superfecta


Claiming $4,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $7,700 • Post: 8:50P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 27, 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. FATHER BUD is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FATHER BUD: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SNOW LEOPARD: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BIG GAME BOB: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WHISKEY SOUR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ALL ABOUT READY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
7
FATHER BUD
2/1

4/1
5
SNOW LEOPARD
5/2

6/1
3
BIG GAME BOB
3/1

9/1
1
WHISKEY SOUR
6/1

10/1
4
ALL ABOUT READY
9/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
LIL'S FAST BOY
2

50/1
Front-runner
83

76

82.0

40.4

28.4
3
BIG GAME BOB
3

3/1
Front-runner
80

83

79.4

77.4

69.4
5
SNOW LEOPARD
5

5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
90

70

84.8

78.8

74.3
4
ALL ABOUT READY
4

9/2
Stalker
80

80

73.0

76.2

69.7
1
WHISKEY SOUR
1

6/1
Stalker
81

80

69.8

74.0

66.0
7
FATHER BUD
7

2/1
Trailer
83

85

63.2

82.8

79.3
6
MARTY WHO
6

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
76

75

70.2

62.4

49.9
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  #4  
Old 08-27-2019, 08:26 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Super Tuesday Pick 4
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 62

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 9 BIZBY 5/1

# 7 LIAM'S TEMPEST 6/1

# 10 GLAMOUR GIRL 3/1

BIZBY has a very good shot to take this race. Has to be considered as Hernandez has been among the most respectable trainers with two-year olds. Keep in the exotics as this trainer has been very strong lately with babies, whose combined ROI has been +13. Is difficult not to examine based on Speed Figures which have been respectable - 56 avg - of late. LIAM'S TEMPEST - Fits in well here based on Amoss's strong results with 2 year olds lately. Vaunts sound Equibase speed figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this field. GLAMOUR GIRL - Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. Bettors get an edge when playing this handler in a dirt sprint race.
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  #5  
Old 08-27-2019, 08:26 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 80

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 27, 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 MARGARITA SUNRISE 5/1

# 1 DEFICIT HAWK 8/5

# 5 JOE MOOCH 6/1

MARGARITA SUNRISE looks to be a competitive contender. Ought to compete admirably in the pace battle which bodes well with this group of horses in this race. Recently Wright has provided wagerers with a very good winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. DEFICIT HAWK - He ought to be given consideration given the respectable speed figures. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group of animals recently. JOE MOOCH - Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint races in this field of horses.
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  #6  
Old 08-27-2019, 08:27 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Prairie Meadows - Race #6 - Post: 8:21pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $41,933 Class Rating: 49

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 AUTUMN ASPEN (ML=4/1)
#5 TIFFANY'S GAL (ML=7/2)


AUTUMN ASPEN - This filly should run better today now that she's back facing here own gender. Taking a trip down the class scale; has the form to make her presence felt. That 63 fig this filly earned in her last race tells me she's a key player this time out. TIFFANY'S GAL - I like to wager on this angle, a pony coming back off a strong outing within the last 30 days. Corbett comes to saddle up after getting to know the filly in the last event. Note that although this filly finished 2nd in her last race, she was well clear of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. Trainer Von Hemel moves this horse down the ladder based on class rating points to face much lower class horses. Look for a good performance this time out. Lasix can take some getting used to, especially for a filly. They usually hit stride the 2nd time using it, like we have with this horse. Ranks number one in EPS (earnings per start). A dominant effort right here will add to the lifetime total.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PASSION STAR (ML=8/1), #12 CLEVER LIL SIS (ML=8/1),

PASSION STAR - Just don't think she is worth the risk at the expected odds. CLEVER LIL SIS - Not a good enough price on this thoroughbred at the likely odds of 8/1.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #1 AUTUMN ASPEN to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
1 with 5 with [4,7,9] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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  #7  
Old 08-27-2019, 08:27 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #2 - Post: 5:50pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 63

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 BAD MEDICINE (ML=4/1)
#1 JOE FLASH (ML=10/1)


BAD MEDICINE - Took a big class drop last out, and I think he may have needed it. Barron enters him at a similar class level today. I'd expect an improved performance. 45-56-59 are last 3 Equibase speed figures. Improving each time out is something he should do again in today's race. JOE FLASH - Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. Three consecutive improved speed figures (17-40-58) make this one a powerful contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JUNONIA (ML=2/1), #2 EBULLIENCE (ML=5/2), #5 SHAENA BUE (ML=6/1),

JUNONIA - Aug 1st is the last time we've seen this gelding around. Have to be a little bit leery. Hard to put your dough on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as frequently as this horse does. EBULLIENCE - Disappointing speed figure in the last race at Presque Isle Downs at 1 mile. Don't think this entrant will improve too much in today's race. Hard to put any money on this gelding on the top end. Likes to end up on the board though. SHAENA BUE - Difficult to bet on at 6/1 odds after the most recent outings. This horse doesn't have a conquering character. Quite often finishes close, but no cigar.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 BAD MEDICINE to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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  #8  
Old 08-27-2019, 08:27 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

08/27/19, LAD, Race 2, 3.48 CT
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $23,000.
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta - .50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / .10 Pick 6 Jackpot
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 1 Harbor Knight 4-1 Castillo A Foster Joseph M. SFEC
099.7277 5 War Count 2-1 Lozada C Foster Joseph M. J
099.2367 3 May Hour 7/2 Dominguez J Stall. Jr. Albert M.
097.0821 2 Blazing Fire 4-1 Melancon G Harrison Cortland W
096.7553 4 See Carlos Run 3-1 Singh R R Johnson. Jr. Henry B. L
093.6369 6 Reaffirmed 15-1 Guerrero J A Hargrave Kenneth L.
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
1 81.60 1.14 39.31 114 290 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
5 26.20 1.45 41.38 12 29 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Same As Today
3 24.60 1.10 34.96 43 123 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Not Higher Than Today
2 31.20 1.10 34.16 55 161 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Workouts
4 26.20 1.45 41.38 12 29 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Same As Today
6 15.80 1.10 25.93 21 81 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off
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