Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Horse Racing Sports Handicapping at the Racetrack!

Likes Likes:  1
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-06-2019, 07:26 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 196,289
Rewards: 229,802
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 794
Likes (Received): 16895
Horse Racing 8-6-19

__________________
Likes $4nothing liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 08-06-2019, 07:27 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 196,289
Rewards: 229,802
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 794
Likes (Received): 16895
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Retama Park
PURCHASE
Retama Park - Race 6

Ex. / Tri. (.50 Min.) / Super. (.10 Min.) / Double ( 6-7)(12% Takeout) Pick 3 (6-7-8 )(12% Takeout / .50 Min.) / Pick 4 (6-7-8-9 / .50 Min.)


Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $9,500 • Post: 9:50P
(RAIL AT 20 FEET). (PLUS UP TO $950 OPEN ATB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MIDWATCH: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and th is is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. RAISON MARTINI: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TOO HAMAZING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6
MIDWATCH
9/2

3/1
8
RAISON MARTINI
5/2

6/1
5
TOO HAMAZING
7/2

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
SAINT MISSILE
2

10/1
Front-runner
60

57

82.8

53.9

41.9
9
COWBOY RIDGE
9

12/1
Front-runner
0

0

72.6

40.8

29.3
3
PRESIDENT WITT
3

6/1
Front-runner
57

56

65.9

18.5

8.0
8
RAISON MARTINI
8

5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
76

74

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
CAPTAIN JOHN
4

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
61

51

20.7

38.4

25.4
5
TOO HAMAZING
5

7/2
Trailer
66

57

29.4

50.2

43.7
6
MIDWATCH
6

9/2
Alternator/Trailer
54

49

32.1

58.1

53.1
7
BLIND SEA
7

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

49.3

27.5

12.0
1
CAESAR POINT
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

24.6

31.3

11.8
10
WEEKEND GANGSTA
10

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

23.7

35.1

25.1
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 08-06-2019, 07:27 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 196,289
Rewards: 229,802
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 794
Likes (Received): 16895
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs
PURCHASE
Presque Isle Downs - Race 2

$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 2-3-4)


Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 5:50P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HILLBILLY RACER: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten day s. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. NO WAY NEVER (IRE): Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MIKADO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DEEP THINKER (IRE): Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
2
HILLBILLY RACER
5/1

5/1
5
NO WAY NEVER (IRE)
2/1

5/1
3
MIKADO
6/1

6/1
4
DEEP THINKER (IRE)
5/2

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
HILLBILLY RACER
2

5/1
Front-runner
76

75

91.6

66.1

60.1
4
DEEP THINKER (IRE)
4

5/2
Front-runner
68

72

77.8

63.5

60.5
5
NO WAY NEVER (IRE)
5

2/1
Stalker
76

78

64.3

76.7

73.2
3
MIKADO
3

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
83

75

63.8

70.4

62.9
6
DIAMANT
6

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

56.2

60.0

48.5
1
PROMOTED
1

4/1
Alternator/Non-contender
76

63

43.4

56.0

47.5
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-06-2019, 07:27 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 196,289
Rewards: 229,802
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 794
Likes (Received): 16895
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Super Tuesday Pick 4 - Race #3 - Post: 5:03pm - Optional Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $34,500 Class Rating: 94

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 CLOSER STILL (IRE) (ML=9/2)
#1 JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL (ML=15/1)
#3 LIFEFULLOFREINBOWS (ML=5/1)
#2 LOVELY CHARLIE (ML=4/1)


CLOSER STILL (IRE) - This rider and handler have a profitable ROI when they join forces. A definite class advantage goes to this horse. To me, that's a good indication she will be very competitive in this race on the turf. Lets try to beat the morning-line favorites with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty good race. JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL - Taking a trip to a lower class rank; has the class to make her presence felt. LIFEFULLOFREINBOWS - This racer is for real on the turf. TrackMaster turf fig in last race at Indiana Downs was tops in this bunch. LOVELY CHARLIE - This front running sort should benefit from today's shorter trip. That 92 fig this mare recorded in her last affair tells me she's a main player this time around.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LIBBY KNOWS (ML=3/1), #6 SUGARSUGARSUGAR (ML=5/1),

LIBBY KNOWS - The chalk horse is suspect here with the lack of morning drills. SUGARSUGARSUGAR - Most unsatisfactory fig last out at Arlington at 6 furlongs. Don't think this racer will improve too much in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #7 CLOSER STILL (IRE) to win if you can get odds of 5/1 or more
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 08-06-2019, 07:28 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 196,289
Rewards: 229,802
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 794
Likes (Received): 16895
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

08/06/19, LAD, Race 7, 6.05 CT
5F [Turf About] 00.55.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $18,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Super High Five
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 5 Love Bound 4-1 Lozada C Stall. Jr. Albert M. JT
099.9005 7 Hanging Lake 7/2 Taylor L Shamsie Mike FEC
097.8983 9 Hard Trier 5-1 Castillo A Mendez Jose R. S
097.7994 10 Condesa's Handmaid 8-1 Martinez O Ball Donald R. W
097.5022 3 Blushing Flame 12-1 Del-Cid H Dison Phillip Mark
096.9823 6 Unbridled Harlan 6-1 Green A Decker. Jr. Cecil L
096.4209 2 Sugar Plum Fairy 15-1 Guerrero J A Gabriel Terry
094.9892 1 Princess Simone 10-1 Dominguez J Cates Al
092.6327 4 Mischievous Girl 15-1 Gonzalez N Nixon Thomas W.
090.1332 8 Lady's Tribute 9/2 Tejera E A Pastor Jamie C.
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
5 45.70 1.23 37.76 37 98 [All Turf] Best Jockey
7 35.80 1.16 34.78 40 115 [All Turf] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
9 56.40 1.15 34.24 63 184 [All Surfaces] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today
10 27.40 1.04 31.48 102 324 [All Surfaces] Best Workouts
3 15.80 1.20 37.50 15 40 [Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
6 43.10 1.12 34.24 63 184 [All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race
2 15.80 1.20 37.50 15 40 [Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
1 43.10 1.12 34.24 63 184 [All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race
4 43.10 1.12 34.24 63 184 [All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race
8 43.10 1.12 34.24 63 184 [All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 5 Love Bound 4-1 Lozada C Stall. Jr. Albert M. JT
099.4886 7 Hanging Lake 7/2 Taylor L Shamsie Mike SEC
097.9088 6 Unbridled Harlan 6-1 Green A Decker. Jr. Cecil L
097.3040 10 Condesa's Handmaid 8-1 Martinez O Ball Donald R. W
096.8164 3 Blushing Flame 12-1 Del-Cid H Dison Phillip Mark
096.4942 9 Hard Trier 5-1 Castillo A Mendez Jose R. F
095.6641 2 Sugar Plum Fairy 15-1 Guerrero J A Gabriel Terry
094.1469 8 Lady's Tribute 9/2 Tejera E A Pastor Jamie C.
094.0306 1 Princess Simone 10-1 Dominguez J Cates Al
091.3062 4 Mischievous Girl 15-1 Gonzalez N Nixon Thomas W.
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
5 7.20 1.06 34.43 21 61 [Dirt MdnMClm] Best Trainer
7 39.10 1.05 34.70 144 415 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today
6 54.40 1.20 40.29 56 139 [All Dirt] Best LeadPack
10 7.00 1.03 37.17 42 113 [Dirt MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race
3 7.00 1.03 37.17 42 113 [Dirt MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race
9 100.60 1.20 40.31 104 258 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
2 7.00 1.03 37.17 42 113 [Dirt MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race
8 53.70 1.14 36.55 72 197 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
1 23.00 1.55 52.38 11 21 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Actual Post 1
4 5.20 1.14 52.63 10 19 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 08-06-2019, 07:28 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 196,289
Rewards: 229,802
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 794
Likes (Received): 16895
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - SO - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $15300 Class Rating: 92

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2018 - 2019 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 BUSTIN THE BANK 8/1

# 2 U CALL ME ALEX 9/5

# 7 FINANCIAL FREEDOM 6/5

I have to consider BUSTIN THE BANK in this event especially at 8/1. He has to be considered given the formidable speed figs. This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 6 for 28 in his races lately. The average Equibase class rating of 83 makes this one difficult to beat. U CALL ME ALEX - Has performed well as of late in route races, posting a nifty 81 avg speed fig. Has to be considered here if only for the decent speed rating put up in the last race. FINANCIAL FREEDOM - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Recorded a very good speed rating last time out.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 08-06-2019, 07:29 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 196,289
Rewards: 229,802
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 794
Likes (Received): 16895
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $34500 Class Rating: 94

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED OR INDIANA BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE ON THE TURF SINCE JULY 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 CLOSER STILL (IRE) 9/2

# 4 LIBBY KNOWS 3/1

# 1 JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL 15/1

CLOSER STILL (IRE) looks very good to best this field. A solid 98 avg Equibase class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge against this group. Must be given a chance here on the basis of the figures in the speed section alone. Has longshot possibilities and could win at a juicy mutuel. LIBBY KNOWS - Has to be given a shot versus this group displaying very good figures lately and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 91 under similar conditions. Has formidable early speed and will almost certainly fare strongly versus this group.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 08-06-2019, 07:29 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 196,289
Rewards: 229,802
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 794
Likes (Received): 16895
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:22pm - Maiden Special - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 MY TRUMP CARD (ML=5/1)
#5 PITMAN VALLEY (ML=15/1)


MY TRUMP CARD - Have to give this thoroughbred a long hard look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figs on the turf at this distance. I like the case that this gelding's last speed fig, 66, is tops in this bunch. PITMAN VALLEY - Barbaran rode this thoroughbred for the first time last out and comes right back this time. A win percent the likes of what Barbaran and Bright have achieved together is out of sight.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MR. NOBODY (ML=7/5), #3 JAHAAFEL (ML=9/2), #8 I'M RUNNING LATE (ML=6/1),

MR. NOBODY - You think this horse is going to finish first just because he's always close. Just doesn't get the job done regularly. This gelding hasn't been getting the job done as the public's choice. This runner ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig last out. He shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's event running that rating. JAHAAFEL - Tough to recommend since I think a 'strong performance bounce' is in the works this time out. I'M RUNNING LATE - Didn't do a whole lot last time out of the box. Probably won't make an impact in today's race. All types of crazy zip on board for this contest. Slight chance for this speed merchant. Mediocre speed rating last out at Mountaineer Park at 5 furlongs. Don't think this horse will improve too much in today's race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 MY TRUMP CARD is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
8-6-19, horse, msh, racing

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:27 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.79% Host: cappersmallweb3