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Old 08-07-2019, 07:45 AM
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Horse Racing 8-7-19

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Old 08-07-2019, 07:45 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs
PURCHASE
Presque Isle Downs - Race 8

$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) Super High-5 (min .20 cent)


Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 8:20P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2018 - 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 7. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * OLDZFOURFORTYTWO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OUR KARMA: H orse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). TWIN ENGINE: Horse has run a Good Race wi thin the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. THATLOOKONYERFACE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
4
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO
2/1

4/1
5
OUR KARMA
9/2

7/1
6
TWIN ENGINE
8/1

8/1
1
THATLOOKONYERFACE
4/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
OUR KARMA
5

9/2
Stalker
87

73

71.6

70.6

65.1
1
THATLOOKONYERFACE
1

4/1
Stalker
78

76

65.0

65.4

56.4
4
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO
4

2/1
Alternator/Stalker
88

83

60.4

81.0

78.5
3
QEYAAS
3

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
86

82

28.6

71.2

63.7
6
TWIN ENGINE
6

8/1
Trailer
81

79

51.0

74.4

68.4
7
MR EQUILIZER
7

5/1
Trailer
74

71

0.0

0.0

0.0
8
BALTIMORE COUNTY
8

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
78

55

67.8

61.4

47.4
9
SHAMROCK ROAD
9

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72

70

52.6

57.4

44.4
2
ADAGIO
2

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
85

81

17.4

53.4

38.4
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Old 08-07-2019, 07:46 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Albuquerque
PURCHASE
Albuquerque - Race 9

Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta / Last Leg Pick 4 Second Half Late Daily Double


Maiden Claiming $6,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 58 • Purse: $8,600 • Post: 9:49P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. HES THE MARSHALL is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HES THE MARSHALL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BANDI'S DOCTOR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BOISTEROUSBYNATURE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race wi thin the last 30 days. SARCILLO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2
HES THE MARSHALL
5/1

7/2
5
BANDI'S DOCTOR
10/1

7/1
8
BOISTEROUSBYNATURE
7/2

7/1
4
SARCILLO
5/2

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
MR. TALLYBOO
6

8/1
Front-runner
47

43

54.6

22.0

9.0
1
BUDS BROTHER
1

8/1
Alternator/Front-runner
50

43

44.9

38.5

28.5
2
HES THE MARSHALL
2

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
56

54

76.3

40.2

35.2
8
BOISTEROUSBYNATURE
8

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
52

49

42.0

37.0

28.5
5
BANDI'S DOCTOR
5

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
53

44

39.8

38.2

31.2
4
SARCILLO
4

5/2
Trailer
70

46

36.3

33.9

31.4
3
REAL EXPRESSION
3

9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
50

40

29.2

36.4

25.9
7
ATLANTRA BROWN
7

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
52

52

14.4

25.2

12.2
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  #4  
Old 08-07-2019, 07:46 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Evangeline Downs - Race #1 - Post: 5:50pm - Maiden Special - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 54

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 FRESH SNUFF (ML=5/2)


FRESH SNUFF - I can't ignore the fact that this filly is working extremely well. Filly is a first timer whose last three morning works were on this track. This horse comes out of a sharp barn for first time starters. Boutte has a very solid ROI (+53 percent).

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 YOUGOTANOTION (ML=9/5), #4 GABY'S PROMISE (ML=7/2), #5 MY LITTLE JOHARA (ML=9/2),

YOUGOTANOTION - This filly hasn't had any in the money efforts in sprint contests in the last couple of months. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this mount as a questionable challenger. GABY'S PROMISE - Finished second in her most recent effort with a most unsatisfactory speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch. MY LITTLE JOHARA - Not likely that the speed fig she earned on July 25th will hold up in this clash.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FRESH SNUFF - I have to wager on this mount. The addition of Lasix should get her on the right track.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 FRESH SNUFF is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with 2

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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  #5  
Old 08-07-2019, 07:46 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1A GLOBAL NATION 3/1

# 6 COMPOUNDING 4/1

# 4 NOONTIME SALSA 2/1

GLOBAL NATION is the top wager in this race. His 72 average has this gelding with among the best speed figures for this event. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. The speed rating of 69 from his most recent affair looks quite good in here. COMPOUNDING - Appears to be the type to be helped on Lasix here. Could best this group of animals based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 69 - of his last outing. NOONTIME SALSA - The class rating of today's affair is much lower than his last affair. With a nice class fig average of 86, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group of horses.
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Old 08-07-2019, 07:47 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

08/07/19, LAD, Race 1, 3.15 CT
5F [Turf About] 00.55.00 CLAIMING. Purse $8,500.
Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 2 I See Youdeaux 9/2 Green A Broberg Karl L
098.4881 5 Sheriff Callie 5-1 Eramia R E Broberg Karl
097.3928 11 Boss Lady Melissa 6-1 Dominguez J Cates Al
096.8782 3 So Serious 8-1 Roberts C Antwine Michael FW
096.8451 6 Cool Sis 5-1 Singh R R Viator Dwight J. S
096.6877 1 Astral Favor 4-1 Tejera E A Merrick Joe D. E
095.1422 9 Oma Lee 12-1 Lozada C Duhon Joe O. JC
095.1363 8 Our Lucky Star 8-1 Dominguez J Duhon Joe O.
094.6971 10 Mt. Rain 15-1 Martinez O Kirkland Willie
094.4460 7 Jewel of the Sky 6-1 Castillo A Morris Brent
092.7138 4 Zionica 10-1 Del-Cid H Dison Phillip Mark
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
2 62.30 1.27 30.77 36 117 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
5 62.30 1.27 30.77 36 117 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
11 62.30 1.27 30.77 36 117 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
3 100.60 1.20 40.31 104 258 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
6 62.30 1.27 30.77 36 117 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
1 48.10 1.15 31.25 50 160 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not OddsOn Favorite(not entry)
9 59.60 1.30 24.49 24 98 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
8 62.30 1.27 30.77 36 117 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
10 62.30 1.27 30.77 36 117 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
7 62.30 1.27 30.77 36 117 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
4 62.30 1.27 30.77 36 117 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 2 I See Youdeaux 9/2 Green A Broberg Karl L
099.7214 5 Sheriff Callie 5-1 Eramia R E Broberg Karl
099.3167 11 Boss Lady Melissa 6-1 Dominguez J Cates Al
098.0292 3 So Serious 8-1 Roberts C Antwine Michael FW
097.8970 1 Astral Favor 4-1 Tejera E A Merrick Joe D. E
096.8449 9 Oma Lee 12-1 Lozada C Duhon Joe O. JC
096.5828 6 Cool Sis 5-1 Singh R R Viator Dwight J.
096.1041 10 Mt. Rain 15-1 Martinez O Kirkland Willie S
095.8959 8 Our Lucky Star 8-1 Dominguez J Duhon Joe O.
095.3923 7 Jewel of the Sky 6-1 Castillo A Morris Brent
093.4088 4 Zionica 10-1 Del-Cid H Dison Phillip Mark
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
2 54.40 1.20 40.29 56 139 [All Dirt] Best LeadPack
5 53.70 1.14 36.55 72 197 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
11 53.70 1.14 36.55 72 197 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
3 100.60 1.20 40.31 104 258 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
1 53.70 1.14 36.55 72 197 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
9 53.70 1.14 36.55 72 197 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
6 53.70 1.14 36.55 72 197 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
10 53.70 1.14 36.55 72 197 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
8 56.40 1.15 34.24 63 184 [All Surfaces] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today
7 6.70 1.03 30.56 33 108 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Equal To Today
4 20.00 1.10 36.08 35 97 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Turf With Main Today
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  #7  
Old 08-07-2019, 07:47 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $34500 Class Rating: 75

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 CHIEF RED BULL 9/2

# 2 I WILL STAND 6/1

# 8 SLOVAK POWER 4/1

My choice here is CHIEF RED BULL. Is a solid contender - given the 80 speed rating from his most recent race. Looks quite good for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. Has raced admirably in dirt sprint races. I WILL STAND - Don't let this colt slip past you. Could win at a juicy mutuel. Will make a good outing versus this field. SLOVAK POWER - May best this group of animals here, showing solid figures of late. Ran a strong last race.
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Old 08-07-2019, 07:47 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $11,400 Class Rating: 89

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#10 ARATHORN (ML=8/1)
#7 TROUBLE X TWO (ML=8/1)
#4 BOOTSCUTENBOGE (ML=5/1)
#6 RIPINANDATEARIN (ML=3/1)


ARATHORN - Trainer Johnson moves this one down in class ranks to face much lower class horses. Look for a sharp race at this level. Running on the grass today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. The 94 latest race speed rating looks strong in the TrackMaster PPs. TROUBLE X TWO - You always have to be on the watch for profit making rider/trainer combos; we have one right here. Based on this gelding's recent efforts, he should benefit from this shorter distance. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should perform well today. Just missed hitting the board on July 15th at Mountaineer Park. With decent morning line odds in this event, he has my interest. BOOTSCUTENBOGE - Rider jumped on this gelding's back for the 1st ride on Jul 1st. Should be in tune with the animal even better today. Was in a $15,000 Optional Claiming race at Mountaineer Park in the last race. That clash had an Equibase class figure of 94 and he is moving down in this race. A certain serious competitor. RIPINANDATEARIN - In this race here, this horse has notched the highest speed rating at the distance, so I have to give him the edge. This thoroughbred coming off a solid try in the last month or so is a serious competitor in my humble opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 MAJESTIC DESERT (ML=9/2), #2 FREEDONIA (ML=5/1), #5 BLACK CIRCLE (ML=8/1),

MAJESTIC DESERT - Much too far back on Jul 28th for me to bet on at the probable odds in today's sprint clash. Caution must be used since bandages were added on Jul 28th. FREEDONIA - The lack of works has to make one concerned despite the good performance in the last event. Don't feel this mount will make an impact in today's event. That last speed figure was mediocre when compared with today's class figure. BLACK CIRCLE - You think this horse is going to finish first just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish on top often. Didn't show much last time out of the box. Probably won't make an impact today. Won't be easy for this mount to beat this bunch off of that last rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the vulnerable competitors list.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #10 ARATHORN to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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Old 08-07-2019, 07:48 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga
PURCHASE

08/07/19, SAR, Race 4, 2.26 ET
1M [Inner Turf] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $70,000.
Claiming Price $50,000, if for $45,000, allowed 2 lbs. INNER TURF (UP TO $12,180 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 10 Cartwheelin Lulu 4-1 Ortiz J L Rice Linda EL
099.2879 7 Connectivity 3-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. T
099.0455 5 Bellera 7/2 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. FC
097.6552 11 Smoken Deb(b-) 6-1 Castellano J Thomas Jonathan
096.8970 9 Positive Skew 6-1 Rosario J Cannizzo David A. S
096.2777 6 Decorated Ace 5-1 Lezcano J Dini Michael J
095.8124 2 Excess Capacity 12-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M.
095.0698 3 Tappanzee 20-1 Davis D Schettino Dominick L. W
094.3879 8 Bronco Sally(b+) 8-1 Saez L Maker Michael J.
094.1599 4 Warm 10-1 Santana. Jr. R Summers Chad
093.8741 12 Abraxan 30-1 Landeros C Sciacca Gary
092.3672 1 Sooner Schooner 15-1 Gaffalione T Diodoro Robertino
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
10 68.00 1.59 48.28 28 58 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Earnings
7 43.10 1.19 35.71 40 112 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
5 65.90 1.52 42.86 27 63 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish
11 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
9 64.70 1.54 50.00 30 60 [All Turf] Best Speed
6 43.10 1.19 35.71 40 112 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
2 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
3 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
8 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
4 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
12 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
1 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 7 Connectivity 3-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. T
097.9429 10 Cartwheelin Lulu 4-1 Ortiz J L Rice Linda EL
097.3840 5 Bellera 7/2 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. C
096.5631 9 Positive Skew 6-1 Rosario J Cannizzo David A. S
096.4564 6 Decorated Ace 5-1 Lezcano J Dini Michael J
095.3611 2 Excess Capacity 12-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M.
095.1937 11 Smoken Deb(b-) 6-1 Castellano J Thomas Jonathan F
094.3233 8 Bronco Sally(b+) 8-1 Saez L Maker Michael J.
094.1941 3 Tappanzee 20-1 Davis D Schettino Dominick L. W
093.8134 4 Warm 10-1 Santana. Jr. R Summers Chad
092.8157 1 Sooner Schooner 15-1 Gaffalione T Diodoro Robertino
091.9481 12 Abraxan 30-1 Landeros C Sciacca Gary
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
10 7.60 1.14 33.33 9 27 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Last Race Was OddsOn Favorite(not ent) And Not Greater Than 9 Horses Today
5 5.70 1.29 40.00 4 10 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Third Start
9 7.60 1.14 33.33 9 27 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Last Race Was OddsOn Favorite(not ent) And Not Greater Than 9 Horses Today
2 20.80 1.39 29.63 8 27 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race
11 18.50 1.26 33.33 12 36 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
8 18.50 1.26 33.33 12 36 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
4 18.50 1.26 33.33 12 36 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
1 20.80 1.39 29.63 8 27 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race
12 20.80 1.39 29.63 8 27 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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