Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Horse Racing Sports Handicapping at the Racetrack!

Likes Likes:  1
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-10-2019, 08:16 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 202,610
Rewards: 238,432
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 806
Likes (Received): 18510
Horse Racing 9-10-19

Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-10-2019, 08:17 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 202,610
Rewards: 238,432
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 806
Likes (Received): 18510
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
PURCHASE
Finger Lakes - Race 2

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 2-3) * PICK 3 (50 CENT MINIMUM: RACES 2-3-4)


Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 1:37P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. POKER GAME is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * POKER GAME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TAMZINE: Horse ranks in the to p three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. PORT AU PRINCE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/ surface.
6
POKER GAME
4/1

3/1
2
TAMZINE
3/1

6/1
8
PORT AU PRINCE
7/2

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
HUNTERS DREAM
5

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
60

65

69.4

49.7

42.2
6
POKER GAME
6

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
73

61

70.2

61.6

59.1
2
TAMZINE
2

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
68

61

57.2

57.2

48.7
7
COOL CRINOLINE
7

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
56

43

46.2

37.4

22.4
8
PORT AU PRINCE
8

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
75

65

44.0

53.8

46.8
1
TOP HAT VOYAGER
1

5/1
Trailer
59

47

41.4

43.2

32.2
9
BENNINGTON DRIVE
9

20/1
Trailer
68

50

36.8

37.4

25.4
4
CHAMPAGNE PAPI
4

12/1
Alternator/Trailer
65

40

49.4

48.0

36.5
3
FROST Z
3

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
59

40

49.6

42.4

30.4
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-10-2019, 08:17 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 202,610
Rewards: 238,432
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 806
Likes (Received): 18510
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Retama Park
PURCHASE
Retama Park - Race 6

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Double (Races 6-7)(12% Takeout) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)(12% Takeout)(.50 Cent Minimum)


Allowance • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $22,500 • Post: 9:05P
(PLUS UP TO $2,250 OPEN ATB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. FLYING FIREWORKS is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * CULPER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fou rth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. GRADYZ KAT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TOUCH AND GO: Horse has ru n a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LONS SHACKLEFORD: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3
CULPER
2/1

7/2
4
GRADYZ KAT
4/1

6/1
2
TOUCH AND GO
3/1

7/1
7
LONS SHACKLEFORD
6/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
7
LONS SHACKLEFORD
7

6/1
Front-runner
61

63

74.0

50.5

44.5
9
AWESOME RAIN
9

20/1
Alternator/Front-runner
58

44

66.6

43.4

29.4
2
TOUCH AND GO
2

3/1
Stalker
64

65

71.4

61.1

53.6
4
GRADYZ KAT
4

4/1
Stalker
70

65

58.8

60.2

53.2
3
CULPER
3

2/1
Alternator/Stalker
87

68

61.2

64.0

60.5
5
FLYING FIREWORKS
5

20/1
Alternator/Trailer
49

57

25.6

37.7

26.7
1
TALLCITY
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
48

45

61.0

41.3

27.3
8
FATHER GEORGE
8

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
56

56

28.9

39.3

24.8
6
RED BIRD'S LIAISON
6

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
58

58

24.4

30.0

12.5
10
LITTLE BEAN
10

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

50

17.3

30.3

17.3
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-10-2019, 08:17 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 202,610
Rewards: 238,432
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 806
Likes (Received): 18510
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 68

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 10 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 BELLAS EYES 20/1

# 9 KAPRANCY 6/1

# 3 MUSKOKA SUZIE 8/1

BELLAS EYES is tough to overlook as the bet in here especially at a long price. Is hard not to examine based on Speed Figures which have been quite good - 57 avg - of late. Trainers don't bring horses back this soon just for exercise. KAPRANCY - When Rojas uses Dominguez there's a good chance for an increase in income. Will probably come out strong - I have liked the way this mare has moved quickly to the lead recently. MUSKOKA SUZIE - Has performed solidly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 60 avg speed figure. Shows evidence of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 58 Equibase speed fig which is one of the most competitive in this group of horses in this race.
__________________
Likes wire2wire liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-10-2019, 08:18 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 202,610
Rewards: 238,432
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 806
Likes (Received): 18510
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:44pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 41

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 OAKMONT MISS (ML=9/2)
#3 LOVIN MACHEN (ML=9/5)


OAKMONT MISS - A wise man taught me to play the lone speed horse. Take a look at this thoroughbred. Baird has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to watch out for the longer priced half. This horse has a lot of class. A good sign in a race on the grass like we have today. Faced tougher last time around the track at Mountaineer Park. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of contenders in this race. LOVIN MACHEN - Last race was at Mountaineer Park in a race with a class figure of 47. Dropping considerably in class figure this time puts her in a solid position in this event. Baird drops this one in today for only her second effort. Should do better than last out. Rider hops back aboard after getting to know the fine animal by riding last race out. That's always a good indicator. This race horse is racing on the turf for the first time. She should be tough, coming off a second place finish in her race on Aug 25th on a sluggish track. I know the barn is serious today. The filly gets Lasix for the first time. I like this filly. Has the highest earnings per race in this contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 FLIRTIN HEART (ML=5/2), #4 EL A VADER (ML=4/1), #7 SHARP'S MISSION (ML=6/1),

FLIRTIN HEART - This filly raced surprisingly well on August 1st ending up third, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. I cannot play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the task completed occasionally. EL A VADER - Tough for this closer animal to get up today. Without a hot pace to stir things up, the lone pace is going to make it awfully hard to get the job done. SHARP'S MISSION - Finished sixth in her most recent effort with a mediocre speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 OAKMONT MISS to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
6 with 3 with [2,4,7] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 09-10-2019, 08:18 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 202,610
Rewards: 238,432
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 806
Likes (Received): 18510
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

09/10/19, LAD, Race 2, 3.48 CT
6F [Dirt] 1.08.02 CLAIMING. Purse $7,000.
Claiming Price $5,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MARCH 10
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta - .50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / .10 Pick 6 Jackpot
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 2 My Rainey Day 5-1 Lozada C Foster Joseph M. JE
098.9509 7 Hamazingly Rich 4-1 Tejera E A Gonzalez Jaime N. TFW
098.2988 4 The Ginja Ninja 9/5 Dominguez J Asmussen Steven M. S
097.1588 1 Butta Got Uncs Bac 5/2 Del-Cid H Pish Danny
095.0656 5 Jill's Smooth Air 10-1 Green A Dandridge Jr. Courtney
094.7587 3 Take Charge Easy 8-1 Nieves E Meaux Jason H. L
093.1321 6 Mack's Champ 20-1 Singh R R Shamsie. Sr. Randy C
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
2 120.80 1.67 33.33 30 90 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
7 120.80 1.67 33.33 30 90 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
4 120.80 1.67 33.33 30 90 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
1 76.20 1.20 24.74 47 190 [All Surfaces] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
5 120.80 1.67 33.33 30 90 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
3 120.80 1.67 33.33 30 90 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
6 120.80 1.67 33.33 30 90 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 09-10-2019, 08:19 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 202,610
Rewards: 238,432
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 806
Likes (Received): 18510
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #7 - Post: 3:37pm - Starter Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $38,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#11 MONKEY MIND (ML=9/2)
#9 SWEET AUGUST LADY (ML=8/1)


MONKEY MIND - Nations is strong in turf routes. This animal should have no rationalizations if she doesn't win. Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone speedball facing sluggish sorts today. In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the grass. This one has the highest average class figure in the group. SWEET AUGUST LADY - This one could be a possible overlay in this race at morning line odds of 8/1. Finished eighth in last race at Finger Lakes but was close at the end. Is ranked totally number one in the field in earnings per race entered. A powerful effort in this field will add to that total.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MISS JEN (ML=2/1), #6 B B'S BUSTED (ML=5/1),

MISS JEN - Awfully hard to invest in this mount when she hasn't been showing any fighting spirit of late. This sustainer will probably be closing much too late to make a mark in this event. B B'S BUSTED - This closer will probably be rolling down the lane much too late to make an impression in this affair.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #11 MONKEY MIND to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [9,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 09-10-2019, 08:19 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 202,610
Rewards: 238,432
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 806
Likes (Received): 18510
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $11800 Class Rating: 66

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 9 KING MIRACLE FLASH 4/1

# 5 JUST DREAMY 10/1

# 1 LADY IN REPOSE 4/1

I give the nod to KING MIRACLE FLASH here. Chavez has him trained solidly to break promptly out of the gate. Should expect a much improved attempt with the drop. Had one of the strongest speed figs of this group of horses in his last contest. JUST DREAMY - Ought to be given consideration in this contest if only for the strong speed rating garnered in the last contest. Looks decent for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figs in short races as of late.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 09-11-2019, 07:52 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 202,610
Rewards: 238,432
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 806
Likes (Received): 18510
Google Image Result for https://cdn11.bigcommerce.com/s-f0564/images/stencil/1280x1280/products/441/2434/FLG-911_9.11_Never_Forget_6x9_flag__73267.1546881610.p ng?c=2
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
9-10-19, horse, msh, racing

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:26 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 13.64% Host: cappersmallweb1