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  #1  
Old 09-15-2020, 05:38 AM
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Horse Racing 9-15-20

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Old 09-15-2020, 05:38 AM
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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Finger Lakes - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 Smart Broad Class riser was all-out to beat N2L foes last time but meets a meek group for this N3L level, should offer plenty of value, and won't have to improve much to win; call right back.
#1 Tax Me Naught Tactical miss was just 3rd at the level, which makes her a player here, but a big underlay at this 8-5 ML price, especially since both runs this year weren't much; trying to beat.
#2 Im Gonna Win Deep closer beat the 1 last time, but her running style is tough to trust, and the pace shouldn't be as hot today, which says she may run out of room late; using underneath only.
Race Summary That 6-1 ML on the pick seems like plenty of value, as her win last time was as fast as the two favorites, and at least she comes in off a win too, so play her in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk4 as well, as she could get overlooked, which means a win by the third-choice would knock plenty of tickets out right off the bat.

Finger Lakes - Race #5
Picks Notes
#7 Miss Jimmy Stalker was in too tough at the Spa but is 11-6-4-0 here, catches a group with a ton of speed, and will be a square price too; mows them all down late.
#1 Victorias Fire ML favorite and speed of the speed aired over the pick in her last here, but there's a ton of pressure to her outside, and she'll get overbet; may get fried.
#6 A Lovely Rose Router is using this as a prep, as this is her first start of the year, but she's run well sprinting before, and with a hot pace, she'll pass some; exotics appeal.
Race Summary Pace makes the race and there is a ton here, and that should really help the 7, while potentially hurting the 1, so play her aggressively in all the slots, and especially in the Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as she's getting all the best of it here, yet will be a very playable price at the windows.

Finger Lakes - Race #8
Picks Notes
#4 Tommy the Torch Price player closed to be a good 4th on debut, should only improve off that experience builder, and catches a modest group there for the taking; look out.
#7 Dawn's Early Light ML favorite will be bet hard off the NYRA form and figures, but going from Gargan (28%) to Breed (6%) is a very negative trainer change; second-best.
#1 Gatto Marrone Capable sort dueled and tired when 3rd in his local bow, and a repeat makes him a player, but this trip from the rail won't be easy on him; tread lightly here.
Race Summary That 8-1 ML on the pick seems very juicy, as his debut was as fast as anyone here, he should be tighter off it, and he'll be running on at the end too, not to mention he has a ton of upside, so play him in all the slots, and especially to end the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, as he could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would add plenty of value to the end of both sequences.
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Old 09-15-2020, 05:40 AM
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1
Picks Notes
#10 Pinkie Pink Only career turf try produced a really nice runner-up finish locally, and the surface switch gives her some room to move forward here.
#7 My Sweet Paynter Tough to love the 23-start maiden, but she turned in a couple of improved performances in recent starts and may be able to land a piece of this.
#8 My Claw Faded late off the long layoff last time out, and his only turf try was't all bad when going long in California. Underlay?
Race Summary Pinkie Pink might have some room to move forward on the switch back to the turf, and this is not a very deep bunch for the level, giving him a real claim on the top spot.

Mountaineer - Race #2
Picks Notes
#4 Mistie Royale Reliable type doesn't usually get bet much, but she's a good fit with this kind and can probably improve off the most recent run.
#3 Tanda's Joy Gets back to the turf after a couple of main track races, and she'll also cut the tag in half this time around. The one to beat.
#1 Vested Venture Pace will try to have a go for it from the fence, and he has run well in his two career turf races. Best stuff would do.
Race Summary Mistie Royale should get a midpack run of things tonight, and he form to kick off her 11yo campaign stacks up nicely with what it'd take to win here.

Mountaineer - Race #8
Picks Notes
#4 Thorpe d'Oro Has landed pieces with similar in recent starts, and he has some versatility to keep him in a good spot out of the gate while tracking the speed.
#5 Gold Shark Reliable type just handled similar over the local footing and should hit pretty hard right back. The price won't be much, and he rarely backs up big efforts.
#2 Silent Tiger Will likely get a good tracking trip with these, and he held his own with starter company last time out. Price player for a piece?
Race Summary Thorpe d'Oro would be plenty attractive at something like the 8/1 ML price, and I'll try to get him in the frame with Gold Shark, who figures tough after scoring with similar last out.
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Old 09-15-2020, 05:42 AM
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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

The Meadows - Race #4
Picks Notes
#4 IDEAL BUBBY Tons best in same spot, today’s Best Bet.
#7 FAIRY GOLD Clear second to ‘Bubby’ for 11th in-the-money finish this year.
#3 ROCKIN IN THE DEEP Led until stretch from post 9 in foiled 3-peat bid.
Race Summary Ideal Bubby seeks a repeat of her win at this level last week. She tracked the pace in third, angled off the rail on the turn and blew past the favorite en route to an easy victory. Play 4-3 and 4-7 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 COME ON SUN Been outrunning her odds of late, now lands in favorite’s role.
#1 CELIA BAYAMA Versatility showed during recent 5/2-1-2 streak, draws rail.
#6 STONEBRIDGE CRUSH Useful qualifier for debut for 19-percent barn.
Race Summary Come On Sun won from posts 7 and 8 before she followed the move of the winning favorite and just missed at 57-1 odds two starts ago. She merits top billing with a favorable post switch.

Hoosier Park - Race #12
Picks Notes
#6 MOCHA SWIRL Was headed to victory, only to go off stride.
#3 WOODSIDE EMILEAH Second in split race that timed 1-4/5 seconds faster.
#5 GUCCIO’S LADY Stayed flat and ran best race with Wrenn in bike.
Race Summary Mocha Swirl is a must play at anywhere near her 20-1 morning line. She had the leader measured and was on her way to victory but went off stride in deep stretch. Play a 6 with 3,5 with ALL trifecta.
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Old 09-15-2020, 05:43 AM
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #3
Picks Notes
#5 Dont Ask Kinmon Consistently made up ground in sprints and should be able to respond as he goes around two turns; didn't fire in his only distance try, which came last year. Looks like he rounding back into form.
#6 Nates Heartthrob Had a gate-o-wire score three back and has twice been on the board vs. winners; a threat to last in this one.
#7 Redskiesatnight Moved strongly midstretch and then hung late in his last one; this is only his third start and he a good chance to improve.
Race Summary Dont Ask Kinmon acts like a horse ready to succeed going long; has closed well in sprints and can be a late threat running two turns.

Indiana Grand - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 New Boss Quickly overcame a bad start, took over in the stretch and drew clear in her only race; can win right back for Calhoun.
#3 Scat's Choice Shipped to Del Mar for the G2 Sorrento and finished fourth in the six-horse field; broke her maiden at Belterra two back and can be competitive here.
#8 Coach Ran on for an easy win over this strip in her only career attempt and Cox is hitting at a 27-percent clip at Indiana Grand.
Race Summary New Boss was sharp at Lone Star and can battle for every jump of this one; looks talented enough to ward off her rivals.

Indiana Grand - Race #9
Picks Notes
#1 Bankruptonthebeach Never fired last time on the Gulfstream turf as she tried the Martha Washington Stakes; was third in the Azalea two races back and looks capable of getting the mile at this level.
#4 Spartanka Stablemate of top choice won at Gulfstream three races back and then was outrun in stakes here and Ellis; can improve on the class drop.
#7 Spun Eazy Was a closing second at this level two back over this course and can benefit the most if the pace is quick.
Race Summary Bankruptonthebeach moved to the Maker barn two races back and the daughter of Temple City should be able to be a strong player going long on the turf at this level.
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  #6  
Old 09-15-2020, 02:10 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs
PURCHASE
Assiniboia Downs - Race 6

.20 PICK 3 (Races 6-7-8) / .20 SUPERFECTA / .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR / QUINELLA


Claiming $1,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $7,700 • Post: 10:05
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MARCH 15. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $1,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * DAD'S A GAMBLER: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. DISCO CAT: Today is a sprint and the ho rse's last start was within the last ten days. ROAD ROMEO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DIXIE PULPIT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. WALKING SOLO: Today is a sprint and the horse's la st start was within the last ten days.
9
DAD'S A GAMBLER
8/1

7/2
12
DISCO CAT
5/2

7/1
5
ROAD ROMEO
6/1

8/1
4
DIXIE PULPIT
9/2

9/1
8
WALKING SOLO
40/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
ROCKY BARBADOS
2

4/1
Front-runner
73

62

75.4

57.0

42.5
12
DISCO CAT
12

5/2
Front-runner
76

62

75.2

62.8

55.8
4
DIXIE PULPIT
4

9/2
Front-runner
75

69

61.4

55.8

44.8
1
ARTIE IN THE PARK
1

12/1
Front-runner
66

57

53.8

57.8

42.3
11
BROUILLARD
11

15/1
Alternator/Front-runner
65

62

62.8

52.6

32.1
7
OUTRIGGER
7

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
65

58

66.0

57.8

41.3
8
WALKING SOLO
8

40/1
Alternator/Stalker
77

64

64.8

64.4

54.4
5
ROAD ROMEO
5

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
79

69

54.0

60.4

55.9
10
SNOOSE SASA
10

30/1
Alternator/Stalker
72

61

44.8

60.4

46.9
9
DAD'S A GAMBLER
9

8/1
Trailer
85

67

36.0

71.6

69.1
6
KING'S REVENGE
6

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
71

57

61.2

57.4

40.4
3
BARBAR'S BUNCH
3

25/1
Alternator/Non-contender
59

57

50.0

46.6

25.1
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  #7  
Old 09-15-2020, 02:20 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Kentucky Downs
PURCHASE
Kentucky Downs - Race 5

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / Superfecta / Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)


Claiming $20,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $38,000 • Post: 2:23P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE AUGUST 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $17,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (WINNERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000 OR MORE IN 2020 PREFERRED)(ALL HORSES FINISHING 6TH THROUGH LAST WILL RECEIVE $750).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. KURILOV (CHI) is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * KURILOV (CHI): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ARMCHAIR JOCKEY: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. BASHA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FIREWATER JAKE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CASHANOVA: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
2
KURILOV (CHI)
9/2

5/1
1
ARMCHAIR JOCKEY
5/2

6/1
9
BASHA
6/1

7/1
8
FIREWATER JAKE
5/1

8/1
5
CASHANOVA
3/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
FIREWATER JAKE
8

5/1
Front-runner
100

86

113.4

83.2

75.7
7
P CLUB
7

20/1
Alternator/Front-runner
91

87

78.7

83.4

69.9
2
KURILOV (CHI)
2

9/2
Stalker
102

90

86.0

87.9

83.4
1
ARMCHAIR JOCKEY
1

5/2
Trailer
100

98

93.8

95.2

89.7
6
BRIAR JUMPER
6

30/1
Trailer
89

78

72.2

85.4

67.4
5
CASHANOVA
5

3/1
Trailer
97

88

52.3

86.7

78.2
9
BASHA
9

6/1
Alternator/Trailer
99

88

71.6

90.0

84.0
10
SUNRISE KITTEN
10

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
80

81

81.8

78.2

61.7
3
AUSTRIAN
3

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
92

85

71.8

80.2

65.7
4
SUN LOVER (GB)
4

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
95

90

70.3

75.4

60.9
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  #8  
Old 09-15-2020, 02:21 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #10 - Post: 4:58pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 DOUGIE (ML=8/1)
#7 ACERE (ML=6/1)
#5 LAWYER ROY (ML=5/1)


DOUGIE - This colt was sharp enough to post a 'top two' workout recently. I think he's ready for today's event. I like when a thoroughbred wins after shipping in from elsewhere. It shows that they really like the track here. I'll take this colt to win again. Have to give this colt a fair chance. Ran a good race last time around the track within the last month. ACERE - Rivera is back for another contest today after getting on board this horse for the first time on Aug 24th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. I like to wager on this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a strong contest within the last thirty days. LAWYER ROY - Has discovered a good spot this time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 KADENS COURAGE (ML=3/1), #3 TOO MUCH JOHNNIE (ML=7/2), #11 SPOOKY ISLAND (ML=8/1),

KADENS COURAGE - This less than sharp equine hasn't been on the track since August 17th. Not even any works. TOO MUCH JOHNNIE - Hard to put your dough on the win end of any racer that finishes second and third as often as this thoroughbred does. He's in all probability going to get cooked up front. SPOOKY ISLAND - Didn't do alot last time. Probably won't make a winning move in today's event. Not likely that the speed rating he registered on August 23rd will be enough in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 DOUGIE on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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  #9  
Old 09-15-2020, 02:22 PM
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $24108 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. *PLUS UP TO $4,725 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS). IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN ON THE TURF, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF FIVE


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 MY FINAL TRICK 2/1

# 2 TWIRLING WIND 3/1

# 1 MISS TEA BLONDE 12/1

I like MY FINAL TRICK here. Ran a very solid last race. Is a very strong contender based on figures earned lately under today's conditions. At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field. TWIRLING WIND - Singh ought to be able to get this filly to break out sharply in this contest. Had one of the strongest Speed Figures of this field in her last competition.
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Old 09-15-2020, 02:24 PM
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 OUR CLOSURE 3/1

# 1 MANDEVILLE 6/1

# 2 EYERISH INSPIRED 9/2

OUR CLOSURE should be supported as the bet in here. She has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most competitive in this group. Ought to be given a shot in this event if only for the very good Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last contest. The average Equibase class rating of 72 makes this one difficult to beat. MANDEVILLE - Is a very solid contender based on numbers garnered lately under today's conditions. EYERISH INSPIRED - Has strong Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet here. She has earned very good figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group of horses.
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Old 09-15-2020, 02:25 PM
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Thistledown - Race #3 - Post: 1:50pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,600 Class Rating: 56

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 TRUEST OF THEM ALL (ML=6/1)
#4 CANDY'S REVENGE (ML=6/1)


TRUEST OF THEM ALL - This gelding likes to be near the lead. Today's race is a shorter trip and should enhance his likelihood of winning. Trainer, Rone, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Forgive the outside the top 3 finish on the off track in the last race. Without the off-track conditions, has a shot right here. CANDY'S REVENGE - I think this gelding should run back to his winning race from June 10th, when he won a $7,500 Claiming race. This gelding has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Radosevich. Better beware this angle. Trainer Radosevich moves this one to a lower class level to face weaker company. Look for a sharp effort given the class advantage.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SCHMULTZY (ML=3/1), #2 HIGH DOLLAR (ML=7/2), #8 PRECIOUS JULES (ML=9/2),

SCHMULTZY - Hasn't raced or had any morning blow outs since August 18th. Not much value on this morning-line choice. HIGH DOLLAR - Ran his best speed fig last time out, but the 'off conditions' may have had something to do with it. There may be a set back this time out, after the big effort in the last race. PRECIOUS JULES - When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to notch a better speed fig than last race out to be competitive in this dirt sprint.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - TRUEST OF THEM ALL - Playing the top earnings per start horse is an angle which won't steer you wrong in the long run. I'm betting on this one.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #6 TRUEST OF THEM ALL to win if you can get odds of 3/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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