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Old 09-07-2019, 09:54 AM
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Horse Racing 9-7-19

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Old 09-07-2019, 09:54 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine
PURCHASE
Woodbine - Race 4

Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / 0.20 $100,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)


Claiming $15,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Inner Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 2:46P
INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * CAPTAIN SIDNEY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SEATTLE TREASURE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. HEY HOWIE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SENT FROM HEAVEN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BUTILOVESYABABE: Horse ranks in the top three in Tr ackMaster Power Rating.
3
CAPTAIN SIDNEY
6/1

6/1
8
SEATTLE TREASURE
3/1

6/1
9
HEY HOWIE
15/1

7/1
4
SENT FROM HEAVEN
20/1

8/1
2
BUTILOVESYABABE
5/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
BUTILOVESYABABE
2

5/1
Stalker
85

80

91.6

76.9

64.9
7
WINCREDIBLE STAR
7

20/1
Stalker
65

56

58.4

52.9

32.9
12
STREET CHOPPER
12

12/1
Stalker
75

75

50.0

69.7

50.7
4
SENT FROM HEAVEN
4

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
92

87

76.3

80.9

68.4
9
HEY HOWIE
9

15/1
Alternator/Stalker
86

85

76.2

81.2

68.7
1
MICK THE CONQUEROR
1

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
83

76

25.6

80.6

67.1
3
CAPTAIN SIDNEY
3

6/1
Trailer
82

81

77.8

81.0

73.5
8
SEATTLE TREASURE
8

3/1
Trailer
95

87

70.2

80.6

74.1
5
HYTHE
5

10/1
Trailer
82

79

48.0

77.2

65.2
11
MAJESTIC FEVER
11

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
82

81

72.0

67.3

56.3
6
COOL GIZMO
6

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
78

82

67.8

68.2

56.2
10
PICCADILLY BEAU
10

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79

77

64.5

73.0

56.5
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Old 09-07-2019, 09:56 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
PURCHASE
Laurel Park - Race 1

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


Claiming $16,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 1:10P
(RAIL AT 70 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE)
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * RAVENEL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WAR TWEET: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). ARTFUL SPLATTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SHEZA HANDFULL: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distan ce/surface.
3
RAVENEL
5/2

9/2
4
WAR TWEET
10/1

7/1
10
ARTFUL SPLATTER
3/1

7/1
6
SHEZA HANDFULL
12/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
10
ARTFUL SPLATTER
10

3/1
Front-runner
70

67

74.8

63.0

54.0
5
DANCING CONTESSA
5

15/1
Front-runner
59

61

48.4

52.6

36.6
2
HEAVENLY HATTIE
2

9/2
Alternator/Stalker
60

62

54.3

55.3

46.3
4
WAR TWEET
4

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
73

66

53.0

64.6

58.6
6
SHEZA HANDFULL
6

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
70

61

36.0

64.5

56.0
8
AURIGA
8

12/1
Trailer
67

65

56.6

58.8

44.3
3
RAVENEL
3

5/2
Trailer
69

69

41.2

67.2

61.7
1
MISS ALIPHANT
1

5/1
Alternator/Trailer
62

72

39.9

56.2

47.7
9
JUST A WHIM
9

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
77

67

38.4

54.4

40.4
7
MARYLAND'S MIRACLE
7

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
61

36

21.8

54.0

36.0
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  #4  
Old 09-07-2019, 09:56 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 27

FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON $5,000 SINCE SEPTEMBER 7, 2018 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 22, 2019 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 7, 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 7, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 10 MISS NAIKAN 20/1

# 6 LADY PAOLA N 20/1

# 3 SUPER PEDIATRIX 10/1

My choice in here is MISS NAIKAN especially at such a decent 20/1. When a trainer brings any horse back this quickly it is a positive signal. Her chances to prove victorious are much better today facing this less demanding field of horses. LADY PAOLA N - Will most likely go to the front end and may never look back. This mare looks like a play at a price.
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Old 09-07-2019, 09:57 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Charles Town - Race #5 - Post: 9:02pm - Maiden Special - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 SILVER CASTLE (ML=3/1)
#4 CHESTNUT LIME (ML=7/2)


SILVER CASTLE - This horse has the speed, and no one may be able to keep up with him. Looking at this gelding's running lines, I see he's almost always in-the-money. This gelding earned a good fig of 62 in his last race. That rating should be high enough to triumph this time out. CHESTNUT LIME - Trainer Brown gave this gelding a good stiff blow out. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. This gelding is in fine form. Ended up third on August 17th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BUBBA GRUMP (ML=5/2), #1 BRAVE SPIRITED (ML=9/2), #2 GOLDEN APPEAL (ML=5/1),

BUBBA GRUMP - Don't figure that this entrant has what it takes to win in today's event. BRAVE SPIRITED - Doesn't seem to be worth 9/2 this time around. Pass on him this time. GOLDEN APPEAL - No wager value on this one at the probable odds of 5/1.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SILVER CASTLE - Playing the top earnings per start racer is an angle which won't steer you wrong in the long run. I'm betting on this one.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #7 SILVER CASTLE on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
7 with 4 with [1,2,3] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
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  #6  
Old 09-07-2019, 09:57 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Marquis Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4500 Class Rating: 75

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 LET THE BOY SING 7/1

# 5 CREATIVE CROSSING 9/2

# 8 RIQQA 7/2

I think LET THE BOY SING is a very strong choice especially at a long price. He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group. Buffalo has a solid 29 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Will likely be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the midpoint of the affair. CREATIVE CROSSING - With a decent 73 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will clearly be a factor in this affair. With a solid 63 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. RIQQA - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. This handler has the most respectable ROI in this field with entries travelling at this distance and surface.
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  #7  
Old 09-07-2019, 09:57 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Kentucky Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:29pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $130,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 GRIT AND CURIOSITY (ML=8/1)
#14 TELL YOUR DADDY (ML=4/1)
#13 DECLINED (ML=3/1)


GRIT AND CURIOSITY - This is the only real stalker in the race. The last time I saw this horse was at Churchill Downs in a race with a class rating of 94. Dropping considerably in class figure this time around puts him in a solid position in this race. This race horse is racing on the turf for the first time. He should be tough, coming off a second place finish in his race on Jun 9th on a sluggish track. Look for this colt to run much better right here. Last race at Churchill Downs finishing eighth in the slop is no indication of his true talent. TELL YOUR DADDY - This horse likes the turf a whole heck of a lot better. Look at the start 2 races back on Jun 29th and take a note on the surface change. We may be sitting on a real live one! Pessin drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more data to figure that this thoroughbred has a good chance at this level. Finished off the board last out at Ellis Park, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 4/1 makes me think he's got a chance. DECLINED - Ortiz comes to race after getting to know the colt in the last contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LIFE MISSION (ML=7/2), #16 EMBELLISHER (ML=9/2), #8 SPECIAL RESERVE (ML=5/1),

LIFE MISSION - Difficult to keep chasing this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. EMBELLISHER - In any event of 6 1/2 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been looking good in short distance contests lately. A runner should have more speed at 1 mile to get me going about his chances at 6 1/2 furlongs. Quite unimpressive speed rating last race out at Saratoga at 1 mile. Don't feel this steed will improve too much in today's event. SPECIAL RESERVE - No success for this vulnerable equine in a short distance race over the last couple of months tells me that this gelding is in a tough spot

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - GRIT AND CURIOSITY - I always consider the thoroughbred with the highest average class rating in turf races. Should be a part of it today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #7 GRIT AND CURIOSITY on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [13,14]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [7,13,14] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[7,13,14] with [7,13,14] with [2,7,13,14,16] with [2,7,13,14,16] Total Cost: $36
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  #8  
Old 09-07-2019, 09:58 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
PURCHASE

09/07/19, BEL, Race 9, 5.15 ET
1 3/8M [Inner Turf] 2.10.01 STAKES. Purse $750,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (9-11), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 3 Lady Prancealot (IRE) 9/2 Talamo J Baltas Richard TSW
099.6262 1 (F)Edisa 5/2 Prat F de Royer-Dupre Alain J
098.8403 8 Art of Almost 5-1 Castellano J Attfield Roger L.
098.2795 2 Romantic Pursuit 15-1 Saez L McLaughlin Kiaran P. FL
097.7978 6 (F)Wonderment (IRE) 7/2 Pasquier S Clement Nicolas
097.3215 5 (F)Love So Deep (JPN) 9/2 Spencer J P Chapple-Hyam Jane
097.2116 4 Desert Ride 8-1 Velazquez J R Howard Neil J. EC
095.2254 7 Dyna Passer 12-1 Lezcano J Albertrani Thomas
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
3 53.70 1.36 42.67 32 75 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
1 53.70 1.36 42.67 32 75 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
8 53.70 1.36 42.67 32 75 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
2 53.70 1.36 42.67 32 75 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
6 53.70 1.36 42.67 32 75 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
5 53.70 1.36 42.67 32 75 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
4 53.70 1.36 42.67 32 75 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
7 53.70 1.36 42.67 32 75 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 3 Lady Prancealot (IRE) 9/2 Talamo J Baltas Richard TSW
099.6861 1 (F)Edisa 5/2 Prat F de Royer-Dupre Alain J
099.0046 2 Romantic Pursuit 15-1 Saez L McLaughlin Kiaran P. FL
097.7393 8 Art of Almost 5-1 Castellano J Attfield Roger L.
097.0893 6 (F)Wonderment (IRE) 7/2 Pasquier S Clement Nicolas
096.5431 5 (F)Love So Deep (JPN) 9/2 Spencer J P Chapple-Hyam Jane
094.8671 4 Desert Ride 8-1 Velazquez J R Howard Neil J. EC
094.4489 7 Dyna Passer 12-1 Lezcano J Albertrani Thomas
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
No Profitable Conditions For Any Horse
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  #9  
Old 09-07-2019, 09:58 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

09/07/19, LAD, Race 1, 12.00 CT
5F [Dirt] 00.57.00 CLAIMING. Purse $7,000.
Claiming Price $5,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 4 Gin's Sooner 5-1 Del-Cid H Duhon Joe O. FEL
098.3410 5 Goldie Fastlane 5-1 Guerrero J A Antwine Michael W
097.7288 1 Boss Lady Melissa 7/2 Dominguez J Cates Al SC
097.6671 6 Tedders Angel 2-1 Flores R Dixon Tim
095.8847 3 Wimbledon's Kiss 5/2 Saenz D Ramirez Eduardo JT
094.2471 2 Snug Lady 12-1 Martinez O Lara Jorge
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
4 61.40 1.20 32.47 50 154 [All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
5 61.40 1.20 32.47 50 154 [All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
1 56.60 1.73 35.90 14 39 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer
6 47.60 1.21 30.09 34 113 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
3 77.60 1.28 40.43 57 141 [All Dirt] Best Trainer
2 61.40 1.20 32.47 50 154 [All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
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