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  #26  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:24 AM
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Elko County Fair
PURCHASE
Elko County Fair - Race 3

$2 Win / Place / Show $2 Exacta / $2 Quinella


Stakes • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 1:50P
ELY / ELKO S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND OLDER. WHICH HAVE QUALIFIED FROM THE TRIALS THAT WILL BE RUN AT ELY. FINALS TO BE RUN AT ELKO. TOP PLACINGS FROM EACH TRIAL HEAT ARE DETERMINED TO BE QUALIFIERS FOR THE ELY / ELKO STAKES. WEIGHTS: THREE YEAR OLDS 122 LBS.OLDER 124 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TORCH is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TORCH: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. ASSETS INCLUDED: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TOOTHLESS WONDER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ha s run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3
TORCH
6/1

5/2
4
ASSETS INCLUDED
4/1

4/1
1
TOOTHLESS WONDER
2/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
TORCH
3

6/1
Front-runner
77

64

94.0

70.4

66.9
4
ASSETS INCLUDED
4

4/1
Front-runner
73

69

0.0

68.0

64.5
1
TOOTHLESS WONDER
1

2/1
Alternator/Front-runner
71

71

0.0

57.8

52.8
2
EMMETT CAT
2

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
68

48

0.0

41.2

33.2
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  #27  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:24 AM
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Stakes - 440y on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 97

QUARTER HORSE 440Y, ALL AMERICAN QUARTER HORSE INVITATIONAL S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS, WEIGHT: 126 LBS. FOR HORSES THAT COMPETED IN THE ALL AMERICAN DERBY TIME TRIALS AND DO NOT QUALIFY FOR THE FINALS. TEN FASTEST NON QUALIFIERS THAT ENTER WILL BE PREFERRED BY TIME.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 10 EL PAINTED EAGLE 20/1

# 1 POLITICAL THINKER 20/1

# 7 CHIZUM 8/1

I have to consider EL PAINTED EAGLE in this event particularly if the morning line of 20/1 holds. Ran a sharp last race. A solid 97 avg Equibase class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this group of horses in this race. He should have a strong outing versus this less demanding group. POLITICAL THINKER - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. This gelding with Garcia in the saddle makes him a solid choice. CHIZUM - Look for a very good pace improvement from this pony who enters with second time Lasix today. Looks competitive for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figs in short races lately.
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  #28  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:24 AM
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sweetwater Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 92

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. FOR THOSE TWO YEAR OLDS THAT RAN IN THE WYOMING ACCREDITED STALLION OWNERS FUTURITY AND PLACED 11TH THROUGH 52ND PLACE. FASTEST TIMES PREFERRED.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 VVR LUCKY CHARM 12/1

# 9 SALLEE SIOUX 10/1

# 2 CD ROCKIN DA ANGELS 10/1

I like VVR LUCKY CHARM for this event and the potential return justifies the hazardous nature of the long odds. Could beat this group of animals given the 86 speed figure recorded in her last outing. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Dominguez will most likely have this filly in excellent position to win the race. Don't overlook this filly in your wagers - very dangerous with Dominguez aboard. CD ROCKIN DA ANGELS - Has some interesting angles which make this entrant a play. Garfias has well above average profits at this distance/surface.
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  #29  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:24 AM
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Moosomin at Marquis Downs - Race #3 - Post: 12:50pm - SS - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $4,500 Class Rating: 60

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 BELL RINGER (ML=4/1)
#1 DONNA'S BOY (ML=8/1)
#5 DISTINCT APPROVAL (ML=9/2)


BELL RINGER - I do like the fact this gelding is back in a race so quickly. A big drop down in class rating points from his August 29th race at Assiniboia Downs. Based on that data, I will give this animal the advantage. Don't throw this one out due to his last race at Assiniboia Downs where he finished fourth on a track listed as good. Expect better today. Look for this one to go all the way to the finish line at some decent odds right here. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the end. DONNA'S BOY - This front running sort should benefit from this contest's shorter distance. Was in a $2,500 Claiming race at Lethbridge last time out. That event had a class figure of 77 and he is moving down today. A certain solid contender. Could be a possible overlay right here at morning line odds of 8/1. Finished fifth in last race at Lethbridge but was close at the finish. DISTINCT APPROVAL - This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a high winning percentage, right around 50. Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Coming off a fifth place finish at Assiniboia Downs, some may pass this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good odds today. Sub-par effort in the last race at Assiniboia Downs was due to the off-going (she ended up fifth). Have to do better in this race under normal track conditions. This mare is rounding her way back into shape. Should perform well today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BACOLI (ML=5/2), #2 CATALINA DREAMIN (ML=6/1),

BACOLI - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in short distance affairs in order to play him. This gelding finished off the board on September 15th and wasn't close to winning last time around the track either. CATALINA DREAMIN - This less than sharp equine gave a lackluster effort last time finishing second. Can't expect a reversal of fortune today.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #4 BELL RINGER on the win end if we get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,5] Total Cost: $6
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  #30  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:24 AM
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Del Mar - Race #10 - Post: 5:40pm - Optional Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $82,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 ANACAPA (ML=6/1)
#8 TAMING THE TIGRESS (ML=5/1)
#1 SMITTEN BY KITTEN (ML=6/1)
#5 SCENIC MASTERPIECE (ML=10/1)


ANACAPA - Rode this animal on July 22nd and Bravo is right back in the irons this time. Shipped in on Jul 22nd to take the top prize here. Take right back again. TAMING THE TIGRESS - Filly won her last race here on Aug 6th as a shipper. I think she looks like a winner once again. This thoroughbred coming off a solid contest in the last month or so is a win candidate in my book. A filly like this one, almost always in-the-money, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. Took a significant drop in class rating last time out at Del Mar. Returning to a similar class today. Should do well. This horse has been cleaning up at this distance. I have to like her chances again in today's race. SMITTEN BY KITTEN - This filly is in nice form, having run a nice race on August 6th, finishing fourth. Look for this one to go all the way to the winner's circle at some pretty good odds today. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the finish line. SCENIC MASTERPIECE - Looking at this filly's running lines, I see she's almost always in the money. Gonzalez and Wong perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +88 return on investment for a jock and trainer. This thoroughbred coming off a solid try in the last thirty days is a strong challenger in my book.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 FUN TO DREAM (ML=8/5), #11 AWAKE AT MIDNYTE (ML=5/1),

FUN TO DREAM - Tough for this closer animal to get up today. Without a hot pace to stir things up, the lone early speed is going to make it awfully hard to get the job done. Don't think this vulnerable equine will do much running in today's event. That last speed figure was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class rating. AWAKE AT MIDNYTE - Not a race since May 6th, probably too long ago to do much in today's event. Should probably pass on this youngster, she hasn't had enough experience to win this kind of affair.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 ANACAPA to win if we can get at least 5/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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  #31  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:25 AM
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga
PURCHASE

09/04/22, SAR, Race 1, 12.35 ET
09/04/22,SAR,1,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $88,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Curly Larry and Mo 7/2 Velazquez J R Caramori Caio FEWL 100 30.00 1.25/$1
098.7907 2 Bobby the Tank 5/2 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. T 100 30.00 1.25/$1
097.3835 13 Twenty Six Black 4/1 Ortiz J L De Paz Horacio 100 30.00 1.25/$1
095.5996 11 Disarmed 2/1 Prat F Clement Christophe JC 100 30.00 1.25/$1
095.1584 16 Radio Red 7/2 Rider TBA Gargan Danny 100 30.00 1.25/$1
093.9887 8 Vacation Dance 9/2 Castellano J Kimmel John C. 100 30.00 1.25/$1
093.5988 3 Nobilis 6/1 Cancel E Weaver George 100 30.00 1.25/$1
093.2089 10 Chasin' You 8/1 Saez L Lynch Natalia 100 30.00 1.25/$1
092.8190 1 Joyful Ghost 10/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 100 30.00 1.25/$1
092.6101 14 Blue Soldier 15/1 Camilo C D Rohena Rafael Jose S 100 30.00 1.25/$1
092.0392 4 Hot Rod Lincoln 12/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. 100 30.00 1.25/$1
091.6493 7 Tater and Tot 15/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. 100 30.00 1.25/$1
091.6493 15 Somama Beach 15/1 Cancel E Ferraro James W. 100 30.00 1.25/$1
091.5322 6 Excalibrate(b+) 20/1 Samuel J L Chichakly Amira 100 30.00 1.25/$1
090.4796 9 Exalted One 20/1 Davis J A O'Brien Keith 100 30.00 1.25/$1
089.3131 12 Disco Demolition 10/1 Alvarado J Lugovich Richard J. 100 30.00 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 27.78, ROI 1.16/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2093
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K
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  #32  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:26 AM
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Jeremy Plonk's Horse Racing picks for Sunday 9/4

#8 Rhino (7-2 ML)

Second-time starter exits solid debut third from the difficult far-outside post position, where young horses often get lost in the open space. Expecting more early interest today breaking with horses on both sides of him. No apparent world-beaters in this maiden field, so if he breaks with any interest, look out. Win bet. Daily Double 8-3 to next pick.

Del Mar Race No. 4 (5:30 p.m. ET/2:30 p.m. PT)

#3 Dancing Crane (5-1)

Pure turf sprint speed catches a field that doesn't really have that much early pace expected for this distance. Ideal post position draw where he's quicker than the pair inside of him. Pops, saves all the ground and plays catch me if you can. Jockey Hector Berrios boasts $1.49 ROI for every $1 bet on his turf horses at the Del Mar meet. Win bet.
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  #33  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:28 AM
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Ed Sehon Saratoga bankroll plays for Sunday 9/4

Races 1-2 (12:35 p.m. ET/9:35 a.m. PT)

SPECIAL $5 DAILY DOUBLE

Race 1: 2,11

Race 2: 3,6

(cost $20)

Race 4 (2:16 p.m. ET/11:36 a.m. PT)

I like #8 Jade’s Dream (8-1 morning line). Veteran NY circuit trainer Carlos Martin turns to sharp apprentice rider Jose Gomez in effort to get gelding home. Loss of blinkers, shorter distance and return to turf puts guy in Winner’s Circle — or is Mr. Ed dreaming?

Wager: Win.

(cost $20)

Race 6 (3:20 p.m. ET/12:30 p.m. PT)

Mr. Ed likes #5 Stunningly (8-1 morning line) for Steve Assmusen and Jose Ortiz. Stretching out, early speedster will benefit from Churchill Downs sprint debut. Wager: $20 to Win as well as $2 Exacta and Trifecta Boxes of 5/1,3,4.

(cost $38)

Race 9 (5:01 p.m. ET/2:01 p.m. PT)

I’m betting on #6 Lord of Flintshire (6-1 morning line). On-the-rise trainer Jorge Abreu takes blinkers off and rehires Jose Lezcano as he sends colt out in search of second lifetime victory. He’s been very oh-so-close in last three races, including open allowance in last. Wager: Win.

(cost $20)

Races 9-12 (5:01 p.m. ET/2:01 p.m. PT)

Mr. Ed likes a $0.50 Pick 4

Race 9: 1,4,5,6

Race 10: 2,3,4,5

Race 11: 1,4,8,9

Race 12: 1,3

(cost $64)

Race 11 (6:11 p.m. ET/3:11 p.m. PT)

I’ll round out my card backing #8 Aunt Shirley (5-1 morning line) for sharp trainer Rudy Brisset, who attracts meet’s leading rider Irad Ortiz Jr. Toss muddy debut at Ellis Park. Daughter of Justify ready to rock ‘n’ roll in Grade 1 Spinaway Stakes. Wager: Win.

(cost $20)
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  #34  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:36 AM
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Ajax Downs

1 8-5 5 Quick Asa Hicccup
2 8-5 2 Zoxtobeyou
3 8-5 1 My Khaleesi
4 8-5 1 Twixt of Fate
5 8-5 5 Eye Am the Eagle
6 3-1 4 Keepr of the Stars
7 5-2 3 Rapter
8 5-2 1 Streakinlilwagon
9 3-1 2 Eye Live for Candy
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  #35  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:36 AM
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Albuquerque

1 7-2 5 Crusin Calibrate
2 7-2 10 Tallulah Bay
3 20-1 2 Jess Apple Jack
4 10-1 8 Remember First
5 5-2 4 Reads Pet Zenon
6 4-1 1 So Elusive
7 5-2 8 Eldorado Dream
8 6-1 3 Reliant
9 5-2 1 Diabolical Storm
10 5-2 8 Santaluz Dreamin
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  #36  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:36 AM
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Arapahoe Park

1 5-2 3 Bp Miss Moonin
2 7-2 2 Lunas Flashy Jolla
3 7-2 1 Luna Rose
4 9-2 3 Uncle Tap
5 5-2 2 Kiss of Cran
6 5-2 4 Track Smart
7 5-2 2 Blue Mountain Bell
8 2-1 3 Quicktrip Van
9 1-1 1 Collusionist
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  #37  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:36 AM
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Canterbury Park

1 9-2 3 Moonshine Moxy
2 5-2 7 Rubys Red Devil
3 2-1 1 Second Grace
4 5-2 8 Flashfire
5 9-2 7 Stomping Moon
6 4-1 4 Silver Dash
7 5-1 7 Jewel Azul
8 2-1 2 Coastal Waters
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  #38  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:37 AM
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Del Mar

1 8-5 5 Carla
2 9-5 1 Hail Freedom
3 7-2 8 Rhino
4 7-2 1 Invincibella
5 5-2 5 Under the Stars
6 12-1 12 Pepperman
7 5-1 9 Briefcase Girl
8 6-5 11 Hopkins
9 5-2 9 Lieutenant Dan
10 8-5 10 Fun to Dream
11 6-1 8 Lady Jae
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  #39  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:37 AM
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Emerald Downs

1 7-5 2 Nationheart
2 8-5 3 Summer Pudding
3 5-1 4 Queensboro
4 3-1 5 Wegotbeeronice
5 4-1 5 Youonlylivetwice
6 4-1 4 Mahi Mahi
7 3-1 7 Close to Midnight
8 8-5 5 Slews Tiz Whiz
9 8-5 6 Mayhem and Chaos
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  #40  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:46 AM
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Golden Gate

1 5-2 4 Blazing Jamie
2 9-5 4 Desert Dude
3 9-5 5 Texas Lonhro
4 8-5 1 Full of Luck
5 7-2 1 Cortese
6 7-2 4 Meet the Sheriff
7 6-1 4 Madame Gazelle
8 9-5 6 All
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  #41  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:47 AM
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Gulfstream Park

1 5-2 1 Cant Be Broken
2 7-5 2 Peter D
3 7-5 3 Carabinero
4 3-1 1 Vandalia
5 5-2 3 Wandering West
6 8-5 4 Collaborate
7 5-1 6 Racing Colors
8 3-1 4 Big Daddy Dave
9 2-1 2 Go Home Happy
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  #42  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:47 AM
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Kentucky Downs

1 5-2 9 Infinite
2 7-2 8 Red Route One
3 2-1 1 Arlynes Crown
4 15-1 4 Time for Trouble
5 3-1 3 Clubbing
6 15-1 13 Yamato
7 4-1 7 Blessing the Flag
8 5-1 5 Newsworthy
9 7-2 10 Turnerloose
10 3-1 12 Ready to Purrform
11 10-1 9 Watch This Munny
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LA Downs

1 3-1 4 Miss Continental
2 1-1 7 Copper Belle
3 3-2 10 Tigerbeach
4 7-2 6 Girl Thirsty
5 3-1 4 Majestic Sign
6 8-1 5 Aspirational
7 3-2 4 Unified Assets
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  #44  
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Los Alamitos QH

1 5-1 4 Run Manny Run
2 5-2 4 Lucky Mary
3 8-5 1 Surplus
4 2-1 1 Kais Statement
5 3-5 2 Whisky My God
6 1-2 6 Straight and True
7 1-1 4 A Revenant Lady
8 7-2 1 Mrs Piloto
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  #45  
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Monmouth Park

1 4-1 4 Pellegrini
2 5-1 1 Up Her Sleeve
3 5-2 3 English Storm
4 3-1 5 Bird Ruler
5 9-5 3 Kamenshek
6 3-1 8 Jerrys Turn
7 5-1 4 Vikram
8 5-2 4 Uncle Curly
9 4-1 7 Feast
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  #46  
Old 09-04-2022, 10:55 AM
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Mountaineer Park

1 5-2 6 Silver Stick Stair
2 6-1 4 Back Alley Cat
3 1-1 3 Its Big
4 5-2 6 Lugia
5 5-2 7 Prominent Henny
6 2-1 2 Quick Entry
7 5-2 1 Jill Babe
8 3-1 9 Pleasant Buffy
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Prairie Meadows

1 3-1 1 Only One Kiss
2 5-2 3 Ba First Class Hero
3 9-5 4 Trending Up
4 2-1 2 Drills Lil Man
5 3-1 2 Snapn Tap
6 8-5 4 Uptown Queen
7 4-1 3 Three Time Charmer
8 5-2 4 Bayleywick
9 5-2 2 Caseys Memory
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Ruidoso Downs

1 3-1 5 Kings Touch
2 7-2 8 Gorjus Temptress
3 8-5 1 Moon Maker
4 3-1 5 Mr Perry Moon
5 3-1 6 Shott Gun
6 4-1 3 Shell Game
7 3-1 3 Vytaliti
8 2-1 5 Competitive Idea
9 4-1 5 Jess Savin Candy
10 4-1 4 Toxic Relationship
11 3-1 1 Bomb Cyclone
12 5-2 5 Tempting Dance
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Old 09-04-2022, 10:55 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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