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  #51  
Old 08-30-2022, 09:06 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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Colonial Downs - Race #3 - Post: 2:41pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 SUWANNEE CHICK (ML=10/1)
#6 MAGNOLIA ROAD (ML=9/2)


SUWANNEE CHICK - I can't ignore the fact that this filly is working extremely well. I like this filly. Has the topmost earnings per race entered in today's contest. MAGNOLIA ROAD - Don't throw out based on last race finish. She didn't land in the top three, but made a nice move down the homestretch making up ground. Could be dangerous at a possible price.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 PACKER GIRL (ML=3/1), #2 WI FI (ML=7/2), #5 LLUVIA (ML=6/1),

PACKER GIRL - Recorded a run-of-the-mill speed rating in the last race in a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race on July 20th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that figure. WI FI - Just cannot play this mount. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on July 13th. LLUVIA - Would have to perk up off that sixth place finish last time to make an impact here.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MAGNOLIA ROAD - Last time out is deceiving, better than it looked. Will give a nice effort today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #8 SUWANNEE CHICK to win if we can get at least 8/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
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  #52  
Old 08-30-2022, 09:06 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at FanDuel Horse Racing
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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7800 Class Rating: 62

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 PECOS AUTUMN 2/1

# 2 ABBMAR 3/1

# 5 TIME BREAK 8/5

My selection in this race is PECOS AUTUMN. With a solid 50 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. Had one of the best speed figures of this group in her last race. Has a solid shot for this race if you like back class. ABBMAR - Ortiz ought to be able to get this filly to break out early in here. Over time, this conditioner has a solid return on investment at this distance/surface. TIME BREAK - Orm has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent clip. Last time out, this filly was up against a tougher crew.
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  #53  
Old 08-30-2022, 09:06 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arapahoe Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8800 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 CO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 SWAY BACK WHEN 8/1

# 6 CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 9/2

# 8 OUR HALF FIRST 12/1

SWAY BACK WHEN seems to be the bet in here and is a very strong value-based bet given the 8/1 line. With a solid rider who has won at a solid 21 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top picks. CHARLIE'S NO SAINT - Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this lot. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the top class numbers of this group.
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  #54  
Old 08-30-2022, 09:07 AM
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Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:50pm - Optional Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,200 Class Rating: 100

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 GRACEFUL KITTEN (ML=5/1)
#4 AMICUS BRIEF (ML=12/1)
#3 VINTAGE KITTEN (ML=3/1)


GRACEFUL KITTEN - Not much pace in this race other than this racer. Gelding is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a big race today. Oliveros and Baird perform well when they partner up. Hard to top a winning percentage of 33. Could be a possible overlay today at odds of 5/1. Finished sixth in last race at Mountaineer Park but was close at the end. AMICUS BRIEF - I like to play this angle, a pony coming back off a solid race within the last 30 days. VINTAGE KITTEN - A winning percentage the likes of what Williams and Vitali have achieved together is fantastic. This animal may have too much power on the turf for the rest of the field. When they hit the top of the lane, he could put these away. This gelding is in nice form, having run a good race on Aug 17th, finishing first. I expect a lot from this mount. His speed figures under similar conditions are tops in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ESCAPE VELOCITY (ML=5/2), #7 POLITICAL RIOT (ML=4/1), #5 BACK ALLEY CAT (ML=6/1),

ESCAPE VELOCITY - This gelding hasn't had any recent success in sprint affairs. Difficult to bet on him in this affair. The morning-line choice is shaky here with the lack of works. POLITICAL RIOT - Don't believe this mount will make a winning move in today's event. That last speed rating was pedestrian when compared with today's class rating. BACK ALLEY CAT - This gelding hasn't had any positive results in short distance events in the last couple of months. The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this racer as a possibly overvalued equine.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - VINTAGE KITTEN - I love to bet on horses which always finished in the money. Couldn't ask for much more out of this one. Let's bet on him.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 GRACEFUL KITTEN is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
2 with [3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3,4] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,3,4] with [2,3,4] with [1,2,3,4,8] with [1,2,3,4,8] Total Cost: $36
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  #55  
Old 08-30-2022, 11:13 AM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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1/ST BET A.I. Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday 8/30

Mountaineer Park Race No. 4 (8:15 p.m. ET/5:15 p.m. PT)

#6 Warrior's Remark (5-1 ML)

27% Win Projection from 1/ST BET offers fair odds down to 5-2. Rates 8 points higher than next-closest rival in this race. Rallied late for second at 12-1 last time out, out-running his odds. He should fit right back in his second local start since summering in Indiana. Win-Place bet.

Mountaineer Park Race No. 8 (9:55 p.m. ET/6:55 p.m. PT)

#8 Gatorer (12-1 ML)

Longshot look to this 23% Win Projection from 1/ST BET that rates 7 points higher than any other contender in this race. Fair odds would be around 7-2, so high value play at the morning-line price. A winner 2 starts back against easier competition, Gatorer brings decent recent for veteran successful local trainer Eddie Clouston. Win-Place bet.
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