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Old 08-09-2022, 07:31 PM
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Wednesday at the Track

Good Luck and Have a Great Day
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Old 08-09-2022, 09:25 PM
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Delaware Park Picks - Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Race 1: 2-7-1/1A-6
Race 2: 5-6-1-2
Race 3: 4-5-2-8
Race 4: 8-4-9-5
Race 5: 6-4-1-2
Race 6: 6(MTO)-4-1/1A-2
Race 7: 2-5-4-7
Race 8: 2-4-5-1
**Most Likely Winner: Sansa Ariel (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Qt Bleigh (Race 1)**
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Old 08-09-2022, 09:26 PM
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Penn National Picks - Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Race 1: 2(MTO)-6-4-7
Race 2: 7-6-1-4
Race 3: 2-10-6-7
Race 4: 5-3-4-1
Race 5: 2-1-4-6
Race 6: 4-7-1-5
Race 7: 2-5-6-1
Race 8: 5-2-3-1
**Most Likely Winner: I Got A Rock (Race 3)**
**Best Value: High Frontier (Race 7)**
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Old 08-09-2022, 09:26 PM
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Saratoga Picks: Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-5-1/1A (Steeplechase)
Race 2: 5-1-3-2
Race 3: 6-4-3-9
Race 4: 2-5-6-1
Race 5: 12-9-2-6
Race 6: 7-9-1-8
Race 7: 5-2-10-6
Race 8: 4-3-2-5
Race 9: 6-3-8-11
Race 10: 4-8-3-7
Most Likely Winner: Higher Standard #2 (Race 4)
Best Value: Battle Scars #6 (Race 9)
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Old 08-09-2022, 11:37 PM
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Powe play of the day

Presque Isle

Race: #7

Pick: #5 Mystic Twist
MYSTIC TWIST drops to the allowance ranks after taking on stakes company last time out. Her speed figures stand out amongst this group, while she looks to have a favorable pace set up today as well
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:22 AM
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Belterra Park Picks - Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Race 1: 1-2-6-5
Race 2: 2-3-1-6
Race 3: 4-3-8-1
Race 4: 4-5-6-1
Race 5: 7-1/1A-3-5
Race 6: 4-2-5-6
Race 7: 9-7-1/1A-4
Race 8: 3-7-6-1
**Most Likely Winner: Out Of The Mist #4 (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Nopickinoncharlie #2 (Race 2)**
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:22 AM
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Colonial Downs Picks - Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Race 1: 6-2-4-1
Race 2: 5-4-1-3
Race 3: 6-2-5-1
Race 4: 4-1-9-3
Race 5: 5-7-9-1
Race 6: 10-6-4-1
Race 7: 9-4-1-3
Race 8: 7-10-4-1
Race 9: 5-1-10-4
Race 10: 4-12-7-1
**Most Likely Winner: Welaka #6 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Simmardstrike #4 (Race 4)**
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:23 AM
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Finger Lakes Picks - Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Race 1: 1/1A-4-2/2B-3
Race 2: 2-6-1-3
Race 3: 5-4-1-2
Race 4: 3-1/1A-8-4
Race 5: 6-7-5-1
Race 6: 8-4-6-1
Race 7: 4-1/1A-7-2
Race 8: 2-8-1-4
**Most Likely Winner: A Vow Of Beauty #5 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Duck Pond Road #3 (Race 4)**
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  #9  
Old 08-10-2022, 09:24 AM
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3
Picks Notes
#7 Ana L Really thought she'd show better last time out after a pretty solid debut run, but I'm willing to forgive the dull try as she comes back to stretch out around two turns. There's some pedigree here to get the trip, and the price might be right off the last one.
#5 Indian Spideroo Her debut effort really does look best of what this bunch has offered on paper to this point, and she figures to find a great spot while right up near the splits. Dangerous.
#4 Zora She caught an easy winner in that first try, but she can probably move forward with that race under her belt. Still not totally sold that she'll relish the longer finishing trip, and she might get bet a bit.
Race Summary Ana L showed enough pace in her debut try to suggest she can find a spot right up near the splits in this one, and she's bred to be able to handle the added ground around two turns.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7
Picks Notes
#2 One That Got Away She has really come alive over the local footing, and I think she's in line for a great trip with these while spying the pace from a few lengths back. Wonder if she still has something better to offer.
#5 Mystic Twist I've got a lot of respect for the filly who beat her last time around, and she looks like she's a good fit here on the drop. Wouldn't be surprised to see her battle early and hold late.
#1 La Reina Del Norte Riser might be too cheap to land more than a share, but she's got a little bit of forward ability from the fence in a race where there may not be a ton of early pace. Chance to share at a price.
Race Summary One That Got Away has some appeal here with her ability to finish into the pace, and she might offer a fair price if dropper Mystic Twist takes more than her share of cash.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8
Picks Notes
#5 Tudox I Don't Brag She didn't fade quite as badly last time out, which seems especially noteworthy considering she was denied the early lead. Maybe she's moving in the right direction and manages to control the tempo here. Interesting.
#3 More Ransom She's an honest enough finisher through three starts, but the even try at 4-5 last time out doesn't inspire a ton of confidence right back. Capable underlay?
#8 Hidden Medal She was overbet last time out, but her two-back run would keep her in the frame with these, though I wouldn't want to be here at too short a price after the modest try last out.
Race Summary Tudox I Don't Brag took a little step forward in that second start, and on paper it looks like she might be in line for a pretty nice race flow with these. Brave at a mid-range price?
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  #10  
Old 08-10-2022, 09:24 AM
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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

The Meadows - Race #1
Picks Notes
#2 LILLY VON SHTUPP Bid to brief lead but couldn’t match strides with the favorites.
#6 STRAWB’S CHIPPIE N Plays to steady beat, starts fresh, Merriman rides for primary Northfield barn.
#4 DANGEROUS PRECEDENT Can rally for share but lack of pace in race a concern.
Race Summary Lilly Von Shtupp made a middle move earlier than normal, led briefly, but settled for third behind a repeat winner and runner-up favorite. She can be forwardly placed in this field and is a good value play. Play a 2-ALL exacta.

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #4
Picks Notes
#7 CURBSIDE PICKUP Picked up plenty of momentum after early break, today’s Best Bet.
#3 APRIL AVA Led until stretch in tougher condition in repeat attempt.
#1 IRON MISTRESS Finished on wrong side of photo finish in his last two starts.
Race Summary Curbside Pickup doesn’t win often and he broke stride in 2 of his last 3 starts, but he is a must play at anywhere near his 6-1 morning line. He broke stride at the start as the favorite last out, made a sweeping 3-wide move on the final turn and flattened out in the lane. Bet to win and place.

Northfield Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#7 ARYA AGAIN Can make good use of her speed despite post switch, price attached.
#2 ITSMACHMEITSYOU Scioto invader scratched ‘lame’ twice recently, takes desperation drop.
#1 GRANDROSA Dismal record, but numbers fit on move from the outside in.
Race Summary Arya Again set a fast pace and tired against better two starts back, then chased the 1-to-2 favorite around the track at this level. Wouldn’t expect 10-1 but expect a contending effort. Bet to win and place.
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  #11  
Old 08-10-2022, 09:31 AM
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Assiniboia Downs

1 #2 Delvecchio 4-5
2 #3 Landry Kyle 3-1
3 #7 Well Played 5-2
4 #4 Gold Diggin Darlin 6-1
5 #2 Camino de Estrella 6-5
6 #7 Outcome 8-5
7 #4 Missen the Point 3-1
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  #12  
Old 08-10-2022, 09:32 AM
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Belterra Park

1 #4 Blazing Burroughs 2-1
2 #3 Streaky 2-1
3 #2 Notreallynotreally 9-2
4 #3 Thispointintime 2-1
5 #4 B G Warrior 5-2
6 #1 Discreet Energy 9-2
7 #7 Dance the Day Away 4-1
8 #6 Morning Drive 5-2
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  #13  
Old 08-10-2022, 09:32 AM
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Canterbury Park

1 #2 Summer Mate 2-1
2 #7 Loring Park 9-5
3 #3 Ranger Gus 2-1
4 #7 Hard Attack 9-2
5 #3 Prize Fighter 2-1
6 #8 Bayou Gem 6-1
7 #8 Southard Rocket 2-1
8 #9 Apolitical Sass 5-2
9 #7 Alotta Oh La La 5-2
10 #3 Karls Dirt Surfin 8-5
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:41 AM
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Colonial Downs

1 #6 Welaka 9-5
2 #4 Morgan's Bluff 3-1
3 #2 Lady Radler 2-1
4 #5 Battle of Memphis 6-1
5 #9 Malibu Mike 7-2
6 #6 Differentbutok 3-1
7 #10 Balistico 4-1
8 #6 Baby Luck 8-1
9 #8 Infinite Potential 8-1
10 #6 Ken Loves Kitten 2-1
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  #15  
Old 08-10-2022, 09:41 AM
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Delaware Park

1 #6 Suzy Q the Queen 3-1
2 #6 Wall 2-1
3 #4 All About Me 3-1
4 #8 Brighthill 9-2
5 #6 Sansa Ariel 7-5
6 #6 Shackqueenking 6-5
7 #4 Mojovation 7-2
8 #4 Loyal to the Game 9-2
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  #16  
Old 08-10-2022, 09:41 AM
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Evangeline Downs

1 #4 Farewell Time 2-1
2 #5 Les and Madge 9-5
3 #1A Papaws Boy 8-5
4 #6 Onecallthatsall 3-1
5 #3 Strawberry Sundae 2-1
6 #5 Buckley Bunny 8-1
7 #2 Jamaican Me 2-1
8 #3 Cash Bizness 2-1
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:41 AM
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Finger Lakes

1 #4 First Deputy 9-5
2 #2 Ghostmon 8-5
3 #5 A Vow of Beauty 9-5
4 #8 Runabout 2-1
5 #6 Weather Advisory 1-1
6 #8 Professor Dave 7-2
7 #7 Calescent 6-1
8 #1 Esor 6-1
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:41 AM
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Horseshoe Indianapolis

1 #7 Lily's Home 7-2
2 #5 Anaita 7-5
3 #2 Tellmeonasunday 5-2
4 #5 Lady Terra 4-1
5 #1 Belgian Blue 5-2
6 #6 Buoy 5-2
7 #6 On a Tour 4-1
8 #2 Hoosier Premium 8-1
9 #11 Friendlypersuasion 2-1
10 #4 Up Town J Ray 5-2
11 #4 Stone Lake 2-1
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:41 AM
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Penn National

1 #4 My Friend Frank 3-2
2 #7 Loxodrome 7-2
3 #2 I Got a Rock 2-1
4 #4 Grand Wiser 2-1
5 #2 Love Is Strong 5-2
6 #5 Perfect Hideaway 9-2
7 #5 Cherokee Party 9-5
8 #5 Automated Teller 8-5
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:46 AM
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Presque Isle Downs

1 #2 Thisladyis the Law 8-5
2 #2 Not Shy 5-2
3 #5 Indian Spideroo 9-5
4 #9 Looking for Love 3-1
5 #6 Fox Rox 3-1
6 #3 Summer Palace 5-2
7 #5 Mystic Twist 8-5
8 #6 Vaccina 10-1
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:46 AM
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Saratoga

1 #2 Hurtgen Forest 3-1
2 #5 Drink the Wind 1-1
3 #6 Itsallcomintogetha 9-2
4 #3 Mexican Wonder Boy 2-1
5 #9 Inflation Adjusted 3-1
6 #8 Maple Leaf Mel 5-2
7 #2 Just Say When 5-2
8 #3 Southern District 7-5
9 #11 Timbuktu 4-1
10 #3 Remote 6-1
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:46 AM
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Thistledown

1 #6 Island Winter 7-2
2 #6 I Got Hope 3-1
3 #4 Grande Red 15-1
4 #7 Next Generation 3-1
5 #5 Lucky Andy 3-1
6 #4 Rose Knows 2-1
7 #5 Fuego Caliente 3-1
8 #5 Fast Felix 5-2
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:47 AM
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1/ST BET A.I. Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday 8/10

Canterbury Park Race 3 (7:10 p.m. ET/4:10 p.m. PT)

#2 Deputy Law (4-1 ML)

26% Win Projection from 1/ST BET offers fair odds just below 3-1. Holds a 6-point edge over any other rival in this otherwise well-balanced field. A tardy start last time had him in make-up mode and he eventually tired. A clean start puts him near the front throughout. Win-Place bet.

Canterbury Park Race 6 (8:40 p.m. ET/5:40 p.m. PT)

#8 Bayou Gem (6-1 ML)

27% Win Projection from 1/ST BET would be a big overlay price at the 6-1 morning line offering, providing fair odds between 3-1 and 5-2. Rates 7 points higher than next-closest competitor in this race. Tries easier claiming company for the first time in 13th career start. Win-Place bet.
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:51 AM
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This week in horse racing: Arlington Million's odd move

Back after a one-year hiatus and relocated from suburban Chicago to Churchill Downs, Saturday’s Grade 1 Arlington Million will have an eerie feel. It’s like seeing Joe Namath in a Los Angeles Rams jersey or Hakeem Olajuwon playing for the Toronto Raptors at the end of their careers. This American turf icon moves in front of America’s most iconic grandstand after parent company Churchill Downs Incorporated shuttered Arlington Park at the end of last season.

It will be very interesting to see how the betting public responds to this 11-race card (and single-day meeting) that runs up against summer heavyweights Saratoga and Del Mar. Saratoga counters with the Grade 1 Fourstardave for turf milers and the Grade 2 Saratoga Special for 2-year-olds on Saturday. Del Mar has the Grade 2 Yellow Ribbon for fillies and mares on turf, as well as the Grade 2 Sorrento for juvenile fillies.

For those betting Churchill Downs on Saturday, which co-features the Grade 1 Beverly D. for fillies and mares on grass, here are the key Betmix.com local turf stakes stats over the last five years.
Churchill Downs

Percentage of winning favorites: 28.5%

Average win odds: 5.9-1

Hot trainers: Brad Cox (18-61, 30%), Chad Brown (11-55, 20%), Brendan Walsh (10-36, 26%)

Hot jockeys: Florent Geroux (17-77, 22%), Julien Leparoux (11-66, 17%), John Velazquez (9-44, 20%), Flavien Prat (7-23, 30%), Adam Beschizza (7-32, 22%)
What To Watch For This Week

Gulfstream Park will have a mandatory payout Saturday in its Rainbow 6 wager with a pool estimated to reach $1 million to $2 million with a carryover pool of nearly $300,000 entering Friday’s lead-in card … Canterbury Park has four stakes Saturday night for Minnesota-breds, while Thistledown presents five state-bred stakes for its Best of Ohio the same day … Sunday features a four-stakes card on Derby Day at Ellis Park, while the Pacific Northwest’s premier race, the Longacres Mile, will be renewed at Emerald Downs.
Friday Weekend Firestarter

Saratoga runs a quartet of stakes races for New York-breds on its Friday card. The first of those comes in Race 3 with the $125,000 John Morrissey for sprinters. While well-known Ny Traffic will be the horse to beat and well-backed after facing tougher competition, I don’t like him wheeling back just a week after the Grade 1 Vanderbilt. Give me rising prospect Saint Selby. He’s never faced stakes competition, but he will be flashing speed from the rail on a two-race winning streak, including a blazer at the meet.
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Old 08-10-2022, 09:52 AM
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Tracks with most reliable favorites last week (by win pct.)

— Arizona Downs: 60%

— Evangeline Downs: 53%

— Parx: 52%

— Colonial Downs: 48%

— Mountaineer: 46%
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