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Old 04-10-2019, 03:17 PM
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Lightbulb The Masters info

SuperBook

Masters updated

R McIlroy 9/1
D Johnson 10/1
J Rose 12/1
T Woods 12/1
R Fowler 14/1
J Thomas 16/1
J Spieth 16/1
J Rahm 18/1
B Koepka 20/1
F Molinari 20/1
T Fleetwood 20/1
J Day 25/1
B Watson 25/1
B DeChambeau 25/1
P Casey 30/1
H Matsuyama 30/1
T Finau 35/1
L Oosthuizen 40/1
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Old 04-10-2019, 03:18 PM
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SuperBook

Masters wagering stat leaders


Ticket count ...

1) R Fowler
2) T Fleetwood
3) T Woods
4) R McIlroy
5) T Finau


Money wagered ...

1) T Woods
2) R Fowler
3) J Spieth
4) J Rose
5) B Koepka
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Old 04-10-2019, 03:19 PM
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Wednesday ...

Public hitting Rickie Fowler very hard

Woods is the public's 2nd choice with Dustin Johnson as the 3rd choice for public $$


Top pick from bettors rated as sharp on golf is Justin Rose

The 2nd choice is Jason Day & 3rd choice is Hideki Matsuyama

Tournament match-up bets ... sharps are hitting Rose +112 over McIlroy, Matsuyama -150 over Watson & Johnson -194 over Woods
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Old 04-10-2019, 03:20 PM
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A bettor at a William Hill sportsbook placed $85,000 on Tiger to win the Masters at 14/1

Bet was placed at one of their Southern Nevada Books and would result in a net win of $1,190,000

The wager is the largest liability for an individual golf wager in William Hill US history
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Old 04-10-2019, 03:31 PM
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Tiger Woods has never made a major championship his first win of the year. Each of his 14 major victories has been preceded by a win at a non-major that year.


The last 7 rounds by the reigning Masters champ have been over par and the last 2 reigning champs missed the cut. Prior to the 2018 win, Patrick Reed missed the cut in 2017 and had 6 straight rounds over par. Could another MC be on tap for Reed, who is 111th in SG Tee-to-Green?


Since 2008 (11 years), 61 players have been shorter than 20-1 at the Masters. Just 2 won - 2015 Spieth, 2010 Mickelson. Last year Reed was the co-17th choice at 40-1. Currently 8 players shorter than 20-1 to win.


Since Tiger last won the Masters, the last 13 champs have been on average ranked 21st in the world and 9 had yet to win a major. This week's No. 21 is Patrick Cantlay, who is seeking his first major championship.


Each of the last 13 Masters champions have been in the Top 10 after the 1st round.


7/8, 9/12 Masters winners were 1st-time major winners, 10/13 major winners were 1st-timers, 24/25 major winners in Top 30. Players in Top 30 w/o major+have a Top 20 finish at Masters - Fowler, Rahm, Casey, Fleetwood, Finau, Kuchar, Leishman, Matsuyama, Smith


Rory McIlroy has never trailed by more than 2 shots after any round in his four major wins.


Jordan Spieth is outside the Top 30 in the world ranking for the first time since August 2013. Among 214 qualified players, he's 212th in driving accuracy.


Jason Day has just 3 rounds in the 60s at Augusta National in his last 22 rounds.


Phil Mickelson last 6 years at Masters: T-36, T-22, Cut, T-2, Cut, T-54


Brooks Koepka last 6 majors: Win, T-39, Win, T-13, T-6, Win.


After an opening-round 75, Jon Rahm's final three-round score of 202 was two shots better than anyone else in the field. Rahm and Bubba Watson were the only players to shoot in the 60s on Friday-Saturday-Sunday last year.


In 12 rounds at the Masters, Justin Thomas has just 1 round in the 60s and 3 rounds of 76 or worse.


In 7 majors since winning the Masters, Sergio Garcia is a combined +40 and has missed the cut in five of them, each of the last five, in fact.
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Old 04-10-2019, 05:11 PM
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BetOnline

Top 3 bet counts to win

1. Tiger 18-1
2. Fowler 18-1
3. Spieth 25-1


Top 3 liabilities

1. Spieth 25-1
2. Kuchar 45-1
3. Tiger 18-1
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Old 04-10-2019, 05:56 PM
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Trends and current form suggest Reed is in trouble this week.

There have only been three back-to-back winners in Masters history, and the last seven rounds by defending champions the past three years have all been over par. Sergio Garcia and Danny Willett each missed the cut the year after their titles, while Jordan Spieth had a terrible final three rounds in 2016. Over the last 16 years, only six defending champs have recorded top-20 finishes the following year.
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Old 04-10-2019, 05:58 PM
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There have been 11 sudden-death playoffs in Masters history, and four have occurred in the past 10 years.

Last year, Patrick Reed beat Fowler by one stroke, and a 'one stroke' has the shortest odds to again be the winning margin at 5/2. The average winning margin the past 10 Masters events is 1.6. In 57 of the first 82 Masters, the event came down to either a single stroke or went into a playoff.
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Old 04-10-2019, 05:59 PM
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Since the tournament began in 1934, there has been at least one hole-in-one in 21 Masters, but there has been at least one ace in each of the past three tournaments. The 16th hole has produced more aces than the other three par-3s combined.
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Old 04-10-2019, 06:00 PM
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The average winning score over the last 10 years at Augusta is 276.4 or just above 12-under par.
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Old 04-10-2019, 06:06 PM
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Caesars Director of trading Jeff Davis ...

Sharp bettors have been fading Woods and Molinari in matchups

They like Dustin Johnson over Rory McIlroy


Davis personally bet Jon Rahm at 20/1 and Hideki Matsuyama at 50/1 to win on Sunday
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  #12  
Old 04-10-2019, 06:28 PM
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Draft Kings Sportsbook


% Of All Bets To Win

Tiger 7%
Fowler 7%
Rory 6%
Koepka 6%
Speith 5%


% Of All $$ To Win

Speith 10%
Tiger 10%
Fowler 8%
Rory 7%
Koepka 7%
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  #13  
Old 04-10-2019, 09:53 PM
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SuperBook sportsbook manager Jeff Sherman, a noted golf guru and one of the most respected names in golf handicapping, has his eye on a few talented guys that are flying under the radar.


“Looking further down the list, guys I plan to keep an eye on are Justin Rose at 14-1, Jon Rahm at 20-1, Hideki Matsuyama at 50-1 and Gary Woodland at 100-1,” Sherman said. “I like those guys based on a few factors: How they’re playing this year, how they fit the course and statistics. I look at things like greens in regulation and approach shots to the green are the biggest things to be looking at in Augusta. Everyone seems to thinks it’s all about putting with all they’ve seen there historically and how difficult the putting can be. But for me it’s where you can place the ball to put yourself in the best position.”

Sherman is especially bullish on Rose.

“I actually bet him at 14-1. He’s down to 12-1 here and I have him power rated at No. 3 behind McIlroy and Dustin Johnson. I do expect him to be right there. He’s got a great history at Augusta and he’s in solid form this year. His game suits this course so well and I don’t see any reason he can’t be contending on Sunday.”
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Old 04-10-2019, 09:56 PM
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At US Bookmaking which operates in New Mexico, Fowler, Woods, and McIlroy lead the ticket count with McIlroy far ahead in money wagered.



Lead golf oddsmaker Cavin Kishi ...

"People will always bet Spieth for The Masters and they are expecting Rickie to do great things this week"

"Fowler is our biggest liability and we had him kinda high before his win at Phoenix. If the public sees someone playing well, they'll go and bet him."
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Old 04-10-2019, 09:59 PM
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SuperBook ...

“If you’re looking at key match ups, we’ve taken sharp action on Rickie Fowler against Tiger Woods, Francesco Molinari against Tommy Fleetwood and Sergio Garcia against Adam Scott"
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Old 04-11-2019, 01:46 AM
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MGM Race & Sports

A couple of the larger wagers

$10,000 on Dustin Johnson at 10/1
$10,000 on Rory McIlroy at 10/1
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Old 04-11-2019, 01:52 AM
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SuperBook

“We’ve seen a little action on the Over/Under for finishing score”

“Some places around town are at 275.5, we’re at 274.5, with the Over at -120. We’re seeing some Over action, just because there are some 275.5s out there. But we think that with the rain early in the week and the good weather expected, the course is going to play easier. So we’re setting ourselves up to need the Under.”


And of course, The SuperBook has seen a little activity on some major long shots to win in the year’s first major.

“Those are always interesting ones”

“People are betting Larry Mize and Sandy Lyle. We have a bet on Ian Woosnam, $10 at 10,000/1 odds, and another $10 at 5,000/1. There are always those super long shots who people take fliers on.”
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Old 04-11-2019, 04:35 PM
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Spieth's worst position after any round at Augusta is 41st after 1st round in 2017.

And if you add up the position of where he stood after the 10 combined 1st and 2nd rounds at the Masters, that number is 75.

He's currently T-73rd
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Old 04-11-2019, 06:47 PM
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Each of last 13 Masters champs were in Top 10

Current Top 10

DeChambeau
Koepka
Mickelson
Poulter
DJ
Harding
Scott
Rahm
Kisner
Aphibarnrat
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Old 04-11-2019, 06:48 PM
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Mickelson's 67 is his best opening round at the Masters since he opened with a 67 in 2010 when he won the tournament.
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Old 04-11-2019, 06:49 PM
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Koepka was the only player in the field today without a bogey

Ian Poulter led the field in GIR (16/18)
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Old 04-11-2019, 07:06 PM
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After Patrick Reed's 73 today, each of the last 8 rounds by the reigning Masters champ have been over par

Kevin Kisner has now been in the Top 12 following each of the last 9 rounds in majors (Top 6 in 7 of the 9)
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Old 04-11-2019, 07:37 PM
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SuperBook

Masters Updated


B Koepka 9/2
D Johnson 6/1
B DeChambeau 13/2
T Woods 10/1
P Mickelson 12/1
J Rahm 12/1
R Fowler 14/1
A Scott 20/1
F Molinari 20/1
I Poulter 25/1
R McIlroy 25/1
K Kisner 30/1
T Fleetwood 30/1
J Day 40/1
G Woodland 50/1
C Smith 50/1
T Finau 50/1
L Oosthuizen 50/1
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Old 04-12-2019, 07:08 PM
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SuperBook

Masters Updated after 2nd Round


T Woods 6/1
B Koepka 7/1
D Johnson 7/1
F Molinari 7/1
J Day 10/1
A Scott 10/1
L Oosthuizen 12/1
X Schauffele 14/1
J Rahm 16/1
J Thomas 30/1
I Poulter 30/1
R Fowler 30/1
P Mickelson 40/1
M Kuchar 40/1
R McIlroy 40/1
B DeChambeau 50/1
J Harding 60/1
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Old 04-13-2019, 04:12 PM
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A Masters first ...


They’ll go off in threesomes off split tees Sunday starting at 7:30 a.m. in an attempt to beat the afternoon storms. Final group at 9:20.
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