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  #51  
Old 10-07-2019, 03:44 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Keep in mind its a Jersey book ... almost all that Yankees stuff is Homer action
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  #52  
Old 10-07-2019, 03:56 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Verlander will start Game 4 for the Astros
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  #53  
Old 10-07-2019, 04:05 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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The only other time, other than 2011 ALDS Game 3, when Verlander has pitched on 3 or fewer days of rest was 2017 ALDS Game 4, when he pitched 2 2/3 IP in relief on 3 days' rest following a 6 IP start in Game 1
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  #54  
Old 10-07-2019, 04:11 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Verlander in 4 career appearances (3 starts) when his team has a chance to clinch a postseason series:

1.05 ERA in 25 2/3 IP ... 30 strikeouts, 4 walks
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  #55  
Old 10-07-2019, 04:12 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Castillo starts for Rays on Tuesday and it’s a bullpen day from there
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  #56  
Old 10-07-2019, 05:12 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Global

Highest public concentration is Yankees

Highest sharp concentration is Minnesota +135

Pro's vs. Joe's
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  #57  
Old 10-07-2019, 05:46 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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BetOnline

"House needs Dodgers. Two way sharp action"
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  #58  
Old 10-08-2019, 12:18 AM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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This round:

Favorites 10-4

Home 9-5

O/U 7-7
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  #59  
Old 10-08-2019, 03:06 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Since joining the Astros, in games Verlander has started the under has gone 48-31-3

Only 35% of bets at Sports Insights contributing books are on Astros-Rays under 7.5
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  #60  
Old 10-08-2019, 03:39 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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TB +220 home dog is highest home dog line in database. Previous high: +160

Home dogs 150 or higher

3-8 SU
3-5 RL
8-3 O/U

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  #61  
Old 10-08-2019, 03:42 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Since 2005

MLB playoff home teams off playoff home win after b2b playoff road losses

7-17 SU (+51 fade) 9-15 RL (+12 fade)

Home dogs (image below)
0-8 SU (+82 fade) 2-6 RL (+76 fade)

Off b2b road dog losses
5-8 SU (+26 fade) 7-6 RL (+11)


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  #62  
Old 10-08-2019, 04:26 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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SuperBook

HOU-TB ALDS Game 4

Astros open -240, go to -245, back to -240

"It's been all Astros money so far. We're hardly taking anything on the Rays. Line is holding steady at Astros -240."

"Seeing some money come in on the Under. Nothing sharp. That's the Verlander effect."

Total currently 7.5 with Over -115 / Under -105
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  #63  
Old 10-08-2019, 04:27 PM
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Verlander is 6-3 with a 2.87 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 72 strikeouts in 10 career games (all regular season) at Tropicana Field
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  #64  
Old 10-08-2019, 05:08 PM
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BetOnline

Sharp $$ on the Rays tonight from +216 to +229

Current odds:

Astros -227
Rays +209
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  #65  
Old 10-08-2019, 10:05 PM
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Rays facing elimination in postseason, entering 2019: 5-4 (and had lost most recent such game, in 2013 ALDS)

Rays facing elimination, this postseason: 3-0
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  #66  
Old 10-08-2019, 10:10 PM
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In the current 2-2-1 LDS format, the Rays are the 48th team to fall behind 0-2 ... They are just the 8th to force a decisive Game 5 ... Of the previous 7 to do that, 5 finished the job and won the series.

But, None had to face peak Gerrit Cole ...
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  #67  
Old 10-08-2019, 10:23 PM
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Home teams 10-5 in divisional playoff round

Favorites 10-5

Unders 8-7

Three Game 5s over the next 2 nights
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  #68  
Old 10-08-2019, 10:26 PM
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SuperBook

Took at $50,000 bet on the Dodgers for Wednesday

Would net $32,900
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  #69  
Old 10-09-2019, 01:29 PM
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Per Bet Labs, Since 2005, in playoff games with totals of 7 or fewer runs the over has gone 84-66-13 (56%)

Currently, 56% of tickets are on Dodgers / Nats under 7 at Sports Insights contributing books
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  #70  
Old 10-09-2019, 01:32 PM
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65% of bets are on Braves / Cardinals under 7.5 at Sports Insights contributing books

Per Bet Labs, since 2005, when a majority of tickets are on the under in a playoff game the over has gone 38-25-2 (60%)
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  #71  
Old 10-09-2019, 02:32 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
In the current 2-2-1 LDS format, the Rays are the 48th team to fall behind 0-2 ... They are just the 8th to force a decisive Game 5 ... Of the previous 7 to do that, 5 finished the job and won the series.

But, None had to face peak Gerrit Cole ...
blue jays in 2015 come to mind
Darvish and Hamels were two of Rangers starters back then?
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  #72  
Old 10-09-2019, 02:43 PM
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Since 1999, there have been 27 Game 5's in MLB Division Series. The road team is 18-9 in these games
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2013 MLB Capper of the Year
MLB 12-11-1(51%)+$1577
WNBA 0-1 (0%)-$300
CFB 0-10(0%)-$4060
NFL 3-2(60%)+$30
NHL 2-2(50%)+$375

NBA 7-6(64%)-$315
CBB 12-9-2(57%)$1935
MMA 1-0(100%)+$1300
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  #73  
Old 10-09-2019, 02:57 PM
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Wager Street

Sharp

STL / ATL under
Dodgers
WAS / LAD under
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  #74  
Old 10-09-2019, 03:17 PM
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Flaherty over his last 17 starts 1.11 ERA with a WHIP of 0.73

Cardinals are just 10-7 in those starts. The main reason is terrible run support. St. Louis is plating just 3.23 runs per game in those 17 contests

Cardinals 1-7 over their last eight playoff games on the road
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  #75  
Old 10-09-2019, 03:20 PM
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Baseball is different ... MLB home teams are 56-58 (.491) in winner take all playoff games all-time

NHL home teams in WTA are 133-91 (.594)

NBA home teams in WTA are 177-62 (.741)
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