Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

MLB Baseball MLB Handicapping - Post your MLB picks, talk MLB betting - all baseball.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #126  
Old 10-18-2018, 09:25 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Quote:
Originally Posted by hawks98 View Post
I’m wrong today.......
I have been wrong the whole series so far including tonight where I predicted a one sided game, but so far loving every minute of it. lol
ps Don't give up on the over quite yet as both of these teams can put up some crooked numbers in a hurry.

Last edited by savage1; 10-18-2018 at 09:26 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #127  
Old 10-18-2018, 11:16 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
I sure hope that Kimbrel doesn't pitch tonight no matter what.
Reply With Quote
  #128  
Old 10-18-2018, 11:37 PM
Boston10 Boston10 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: Southie
Posts: 256
Rewards: 1,252
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 7
Likes (Received): 84
Sox fans across the nation agree. Here we go, can't watch
Reply With Quote
  #129  
Old 10-18-2018, 11:44 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Quote:
Originally Posted by savage1 View Post
I sure hope that Kimbrel doesn't pitch tonight no matter what.
Gutsy move considering how he has pitched of late.
Can you believe it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #130  
Old 10-19-2018, 12:22 AM
Boston10 Boston10 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: Southie
Posts: 256
Rewards: 1,252
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 7
Likes (Received): 84
Quote:
Originally Posted by savage1 View Post
Gutsy move considering how he has pitched of late.
Can you believe it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
No, I don't believe it...3 in Houston, never saw it coming. They were hot most of the season but 3 game sweep in Houston? Reminds me a little of the 04 season when they ran the table after game 3 against the Yanks.

Getting hot at the right time, lets hope there is not too long of a delay between the NLCS
__________________
Likes savage1 liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #131  
Old 10-19-2018, 12:35 AM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Quote:
Originally Posted by Boston10 View Post
No, I don't believe it...3 in Houston, never saw it coming. They were hot most of the season but 3 game sweep in Houston? Reminds me a little of the 04 season when they ran the table after game 3 against the Yanks.

Getting hot at the right time, lets hope there is not too long of a delay between the NLCS
Great analogy to what they did against the Yankees in the ALCS in 2004.
I was praying that they get one in Houston and perhaps miraculously get two games, but three-all I can say is wow, and as we both say echoing the words of Joe Castiglione, "Can you believe it!!!"
They are really and rightfully whooping it up as you can see on NESN.
Reply With Quote
  #132  
Old 10-19-2018, 12:46 AM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Actually it doesn't matter as far as schedule goes whether Milwaukee and LA go six games or seven games, as the WS will begin next Tuesday.

Last edited by savage1; 10-19-2018 at 12:50 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #133  
Old 10-19-2018, 09:01 AM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Of course I am biased but that doesn't take away from the fact that for me players like Bregman, Springer and several others on the Astros are pretty cocky, snooty, arrogant with an overall demeaning attitude toward what they regard as lesser players(this does not include Altuve who I totally admire as a great player and as a humble person).

David Price takes shot at Alex Bregman with ‘post that’
Reply With Quote
  #134  
Old 10-19-2018, 10:46 AM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
First of all I was admittedly dead wrong in my prediction that Houston would win this series in six games.
However the one thing which made me think that the Sox had a chance is the fact that Houston had a remarkable road record during the regular season but a good not as great home record at home including an eight game losing streak.
I said this in post 101, and based on this unlikely three game sweep by the Sox in Houston, perhaps there is some merit to it:

Although I think Houston is going to win the series, one thing that I wonder about is the fact that during the season Houston lost eight consecutive home games.
And of course I realize that some of their key players were injured, which was part of the reason for the losing streak, but still that is a lot of home games to lose in a row at home.
The losing streak came against the likes of Seattle and Texas and one game against Colorado.
Imo it is hard to imagine the Sox losing that many consecutive home games if say JD and Betts were out but then again who knows for sure.

Last edited by savage1; 10-19-2018 at 10:48 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #135  
Old 10-19-2018, 05:05 PM
hawks98 hawks98 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 212
Rewards: 1,096
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 324
Likes (Received): 79
Sox will win the World Series......
__________________
Likes savage1 liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #136  
Old 10-19-2018, 06:21 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Quote:
Originally Posted by hawks98 View Post
Sox will win the World Series......
Imo both the Yankees and Astros whom the Sox defeated are better than either the Dodgers or Brewers.
However as any experienced gambler knows, sheer logic doesn't always decide series like this one.
If Sox place up to potential, imo they should win, as they always have done well against NL teams in the regular season including this one as well as of course the last three WS.
Reply With Quote
  #137  
Old 10-19-2018, 09:54 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
How did former Sox pitcher Wade Miley get to be so good all of a sudden?
Reply With Quote
  #138  
Old 10-20-2018, 10:03 AM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
I don't want to sound arrogant or cocky like some of the Astros players, but something tells me that the Sox would be licking their chops to face Wade Miley if they end up playing the Brewers.
If there was an over/under at around 2 2/3 innings as to how long he lasts in a game, I would bet UNDER.

Last edited by savage1; 10-20-2018 at 10:08 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #139  
Old 10-23-2018, 01:19 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
I have been a Sox diehard and baseball fan longer than just about anyone in this entire forum going back to 1952.
I say this not to brag but only to make a point based on experience.
In essence what I am saying is that imo ON PAPER with the kind of amazing season the Sox just hard and then getting by the Yankees and Astros, they should defeat the Dodgers, an NL team, teams which Sox have dominated not just this year but for many years.
However, in my many years of following sports and base, I have all seen and experienced many upsets in the Playoffs over the years not only in baseball and in all sports just as you folks have.
Thus in this case while I feel that the Yankees and Astros offered more of a challenge than the Dodgers, that kind of logic many times does not work.
The Dodgers have an excellent run to just make the playoffs, and get to the WS, meaning that the old momentum factor may come into play.
If the Dodgers should win this series, while I will be disappointed, imo it won't come anywhere near being one of the biggest upsets in baseball and/or sports history.
Lets put it this way:
If the 2013 Sox picked by just about everyone to finish last (after their horrible year in 2013) with their questionable additions can come out of nowhere to win their division and the WS(100-1 shots), it certainly is within the realm of possibility that they could lose a best of seven series to the Dodgers.
If they should lose, I will still consider this season overall a very enjoyable one and just one notch below the 2004, 2007 and 2013 seasons when they won it all.
Reply With Quote
  #140  
Old 10-23-2018, 03:42 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Sale and the Sox are now -175 over Kershaw and the Dodgers.
Something tells me at that line there will be plenty of folks taking LA tonight..
Reply With Quote
  #141  
Old 10-23-2018, 07:45 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
What worries me as a Sox fan is that from what I have read in the way of predictions on this series at various places on the internet, is that the opinions seem to pretty lopsided in the way of the Sox, meaning that these folks for the most part are using the same logic.
As any experienced gambler knows, in more cases than not, it is an indication that the consensus pick could very well lose.
Reply With Quote
  #142  
Old 10-24-2018, 12:03 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
The final score last night was deceiving, as it could have gone either way until Nunez connected.
In all fairness and honesty, one of the reasons that I fear the lineup of the Astros and especially the Yankees(who the Sox play 19 times) as opposed to the Dodgers(who the Sox didn't play at all during the regular season)is because of the familiarity of the lineups.
For this reason in watching the game last night, the only Dodger who really made me cringe when he came to bat was Manny Machado because of all of the familiarity I have with him as a member of the O's and knowing what he was/is capable of doing.
While I have watched some Dodger games, I didn't watch enough of their games or portions of their games to have any real fear of most of their lineup.
Perhaps if I had, I might have feelings a little bit closer to the ones when I watched tangle with the Yankees 19 times with their loaded lineup from top to bottom.
Don't forget also that in spite of their 108 wins, that Sox won the season series between them and the Yankees by only one game; more importantly the Yankees totally crushed the Sox in some of those losses especially in the games in Yankee Stadium.
Perhaps if the Sox had played LA during the regular season and the Dodgers had demolished the Sox in similar fashion, I might be little more intimidated at this point.
Anyways that's the way I see it at this juncture.
Obviously if LA wins tonight, it might change my feelings especially if it is a rout.
Reply With Quote
  #143  
Old 10-24-2018, 03:39 PM
hawks98 hawks98 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 212
Rewards: 1,096
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 324
Likes (Received): 79
Sox again tonight Savage
__________________
Likes savage1 liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #144  
Old 10-24-2018, 04:23 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Quote:
Originally Posted by hawks98 View Post
Sox again tonight Savage
No predictions on this end.
Reply With Quote
  #145  
Old 10-25-2018, 08:29 AM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Two observations subject to change as venue shifts to the west coast.
1) So far the Dodgers sort of remind me of the 2007 Colorado Rockies.
I say that because the Dodgers like the Rockies had to go on a tremendous run just to make the playoffs.
They pretty much breezed through the NL Playoffs and then met the Sox in the WS.
If I recall the losses were respectable and not blowouts, but the net result was that they lost four straight.
2) So far other than Manny Machado, I simply don't see any player on the Dodgers who inspires any real fear in me such as Judge, Stanton, Sanchez or for that matter the entire Yankee lineup or players like Bregman, Springer, Altuve, etc. on the Astros.
Obviously anything is still possible here, but so far nothing has changed my opinion that for the Sox the Yankees and Astros were bigger hurdles than the Dodgers.
It goes without saying that if LA doesn't win the next game and goes down 0-3 in games, the odds of winning four straight are pretty astronomical, although we all remember the 2004 ALCS and what the Sox did to the Yankees after being down 0-3(thank you Dave Roberts for keeping it going).
ps If any of you think that I am being a homer here, so be it.
If you have read other posts of mine in this thread, you will see that in the two previous series I was anything but optimistic about the Sox chances of winning.

Last edited by savage1; 10-25-2018 at 08:32 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #146  
Old 10-25-2018, 08:52 AM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Referring back to previous post, here is a big reason why so far the Dodgers don't look very intimidating to me-would you believe because they are not using their best players so far!!:

MLB -- Los Angeles Dodgers letting World Series get away with best on bench
Reply With Quote
  #147  
Old 10-25-2018, 11:53 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
It looks like Mookie is an All Star off of the field as well as on it.
I truly admire and have the highest respect for players like Mookie, Altuve, Mariano Rivera, and any players in baseball or in any sport who have compassion for people less fortunate than they are and do stuff like this because they are humble, and have a strong sense and duty as to what the right thing to do in instances such as this one.

Mookie Betts lauded for feeding homeless after World Series Game 2 win
Reply With Quote
  #148  
Old 10-26-2018, 11:56 AM
hawks98 hawks98 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 212
Rewards: 1,096
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 324
Likes (Received): 79
Sox again Game 3 savage. GL today����
__________________
Likes savage1 liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #149  
Old 10-26-2018, 12:56 PM
hawks98 hawks98 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 212
Rewards: 1,096
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 324
Likes (Received): 79
I either got suckerd in or got a great bet with Sox team total at 3, we’ll see.
Reply With Quote
  #150  
Old 10-26-2018, 01:26 PM
savage1 savage1 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Western Mass.
Posts: 5,843
Rewards: 15,679
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 585
Likes (Received): 1421
Quote:
Originally Posted by hawks98 View Post
I either got suckerd in or got a great bet with Sox team total at 3, we’ll see.
It is an absolute MUST win for LA tonight for sure.
Even so and even if I wasn't a Sox diehard and was neutral, I would never bet LA giving -155 based on what I have seen so far not only in this series but in the previous ones.
Imo the right line in this game is at most LA -120.
In Boston area with Local Establishments, I wouldn't be surprised if it was an even money or 6/5/pickem bet or perhaps even the Sox were a slight favorite.
I don't think your bet is a sucker bet at all and obviously hope you win it.
__________________
Likes hawks98 liked this post

Last edited by savage1; 10-26-2018 at 01:29 PM.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
games, imo, losing, sox, win

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:13 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.00% Host: cappersmallweb2