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  #426  
Old 01-13-2020, 02:17 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Fan Duel Sportsbook


76% Bets - LSU

73% $$ - LSU
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  #427  
Old 01-13-2020, 02:23 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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South Point

Just took $63,000 on Clemson +5.5 (-110)
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  #428  
Old 01-13-2020, 02:26 PM
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MGM Sportsbook at Beau Rivage in Mississippi

Just Took $400,000 on LSU -5
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  #429  
Old 01-13-2020, 02:28 PM
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SuperBook

Just took a $79,983.45 on Clemson +5

Wager would net $71,983.45
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  #430  
Old 01-13-2020, 02:30 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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In Indiana ...

FanDuel Sportsbook reports that a bettor at the Blue Chip Casino in Michigan City, Indiana, hit the Clemson moneyline (+170) for $100,000. If Clemson wins, that bet would net $170,000.


Some other notable bets at FanDuel:


$33,000 on LSU Moneyline at -225 to return $47,666

$30,000 on Clemson +5.5 on the spread at -110 to return $57,272

$20,000 on Clemson Moneyline at +170 to return $54,000

$1,120 on Joe burrow under 365.5 passing yards at -112 to return $2,120
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  #431  
Old 01-13-2020, 02:33 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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SuperBook


59% of spread bets ... 61% of $$ is on LSU

83% of the moneyline bets and 59% of $$ is on Clemson

As for the total, 56% of the bets are on the Under, which currently sits at 67.5, but 69% of $$ is on the Over
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  #432  
Old 01-13-2020, 02:35 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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PointsBet Sportsbook

LSU currently makes up 70% of the spread handle but 80% of the moneyline action is on Clemson


“We’re currently LSU-heavy on the side, but a bit heavier Clemson on the moneyline. We’re rooting for a close LSU victory.”
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  #433  
Old 01-13-2020, 02:56 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Fan Duel Sportsbook

Total movement


69.5 ... Friday
69 ... Saturday 10:00 AM
68.5 ... Saturday 11:00 AM
68 ... Sunday
67.5 ... Sunday 10:00 PM
67 ... Monday 1:00 PM

66.5 ... Currently
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  #434  
Old 01-13-2020, 03:16 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Jeff Stoneback, director of trading for MGM Resorts sportsbooks in Vegas


Clemson vs. LSU

Open: -5.5; Move: -6; Move: -5.5; Move: -5; Move: -5.5; Move: -5


One of the reasons the money is so close at MGM books ... (As Mentioned in previous posts) ... a large casino player who’s been firing at will the past few weeks decided in the past 24 hours to get on Clemson and the Over. Among a few six-figure and two five-figure plays are two $110,000 bets on Clemson +5.5.

And although the total dipped from the opener of 70 to 67 by today at MGM books, this bettor also has $110,000 on Over 68.5. Hence, MGM’s need on the Under, which happens to be the sharp side, too.

“That’s because of him. A lot of times, he’s been on the other side of the sharps. It’s worked out well for him,” Stoneback said. “We’re at about 2.5/1 money on the Over, but throw out his bet, and we’re 3/2 on the Under. Tickets written on the total are almost exactly even, like eight more tickets on the Over.”

All that considered, and even with the large casino player on Clemson – including with full-game and first-half moneyline bets – Stoneback said Clemson winning outright and Under is the best-case scenario for MGM books.

MGM also has several proposition offerings available, including a couple in particular getting some attention.

“The most popular one is alternate pointspread Clemson -3.5. We’re at +250 on that, after opening +320,” Stoneback said. “And on a score in the first 5 minutes of the game, Yes is popular. That opened -130 and is up to -165, and the ticket count is about 2.5/1 on the Yes.”
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  #435  
Old 01-13-2020, 03:35 PM
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  #436  
Old 01-13-2020, 03:41 PM
goldengreek goldengreek is offline
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In the College Football Playoff era, the team getting less than 50% of spread tickets have gone 11-6 (64.7%) against the spread (ATS) according to Bet Labs. Teams getting 40% or less of bets, like Clemson, are 5-1 ATS.
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  #437  
Old 01-13-2020, 03:52 PM
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Just keep in mind that only qualifies for Action Network / Sports insights contributing books (basically offshore)


Those ATS numbers don't reflect Nevada / Iowa / Indiana / New York / New Jersey / W. Virginia / Mississippi / Pennsylvania ... Etc
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  #438  
Old 01-13-2020, 03:59 PM
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Draft Kings Sportsbook

Took $350,000 on a moneyline parlay with LSU and 49ers

Bet would profit $333,760 if both teams win outright
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  #439  
Old 01-13-2020, 04:15 PM
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CG Technology

Currently

"Needs Clemson, despite a surge of sharp action on the underdog Tigers throughout the day."
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  #440  
Old 01-13-2020, 04:43 PM
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William Hill Nevada books


$275,000 on LSU -5

$77,000 on Clemson +5

$77,000 on Clemson +5
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  #441  
Old 01-13-2020, 04:48 PM
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Wynn Las Vegas


"There's been great interest on both sides, and the decisions are sure to fluctuate even more leading up to kickoff. But as of now, our position is needing LSU to win but not cover."

"We've also developed a decent-sized decision with the first half, and it's been mostly lopsided with LSU action." On full game, "Sharp game-day action on Clemson at +5.5."

"There's also been more sharp play on the Under, where we started the day at 68.5 and now sit at 67, with possibility of it dropping even more this afternoon."
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  #442  
Old 01-13-2020, 04:50 PM
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Circa Sports


"Need Clemson small right now. We think reports of the public being all in on LSU are exaggerated. Then again, maybe we just have a lot of sharp customers ... Who knows?"

"The last of the big money probably won't show for a little while longer."
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  #443  
Old 01-13-2020, 04:52 PM
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PointsBet Sportsbook


"We were sitting 5.5 all week, but sharp Clemson money has gotten involved today, driving the number down to 4.5."

"Public has predominantly bet the game one of two ways: either laying the points with LSU (over 70% of the money) or grabbing Clemson on the moneyline (80% of the handle)."

"We're in good shape futures-wise, as Ohio State losing in the semifinals wiped away our biggest liability."
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  #444  
Old 01-13-2020, 04:54 PM
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Draft Kings Sportsbook


"Brisk action today, and why not, since it's the only game with meaning. We're seeing a push on the Clemson side, as well as (Clemson) moneyline play."

"Also play on Under, but we believe there will be plenty of Over money leading up to game time."

LSU currently -5

Total 67
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  #445  
Old 01-13-2020, 04:56 PM
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  #446  
Old 01-13-2020, 05:05 PM
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SuperBook

LSU opens -3.5, reaches -6, but dropping fast today, just hit -4

"We've evened out pretty well on game. We've taken a lot of small bets today on Clemson, and an $80,000 bet on Clemson +5."

Total down to 66.5, after opening 71.5

"Public is mostly on the Over, but it's not a huge decision. The sharp side seems to be Under, just because it's so many points."

"Who knows, though? It could be a shootout. We need the Under, but only for a few dimes."

"In terms of futures, we definitely need Clemson. We basically break even on LSU for the championship, but will win 6 figures on Clemson."
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  #447  
Old 01-13-2020, 05:09 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
CG Technology

Currently

"Needs Clemson, despite a surge of sharp action on the underdog Tigers throughout the day."

Book a solid 6-figure winner to Clemson straight-up win or cover

Low-6-figure loser to LSU cover

On futures alone (not including game), Clemson a 6-figure win ... LSU a mid-5-figure win.
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  #448  
Old 01-13-2020, 05:11 PM
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CG Technology

"Sharps are betting it Under."

Total from 69 to 70 early, now down to 66.5

All things considered: "Worst-case scenario is LSU and Over."
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  #449  
Old 01-13-2020, 05:20 PM
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Wager Street

Sharp Action ... Under
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  #450  
Old 01-13-2020, 05:42 PM
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Books in Mississippi like the Scarlet Pearl in Biloxi and Pearl River have LSU as a 6-point favorite

The consensus line around the nation is LSU -4.5
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