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  #26  
Old 09-01-2022, 02:16 PM
ONE51RUM ONE51RUM is online now
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Wink penn st at purdue

purdue has a very good qb in O'Connell, but he did lose his best rec from last year in Bell who is a clev brown now, and his 2nd best rec from last year was declared ineligible , and purdue has really struggled against penn st, as penn st has won 7 of last 8 when played at purdue...

Offensively, Penn State's top players are wide receivers Mitchell Tinsley and Parker Washington. Washington had 64 catches for 820 yards and four touchdowns last season, and Mitchell Tinsley, who is a transfer, had 87 catches for 1,402 yards and 14 touchdowns with Western Kentucky. Sean Clifford will be throwing to the talented receivers, who completed 61% of his passes for 21 touchdowns, eight interceptions, and 3,107 yards

i just think Penn st returns more on the defensive side of the ball and i think they have a little more firepower than purdue on offense even though i think purdue has the better qb, purdues lack of a decent running game i think may hurt them,

penn st is 9-2 ats last 11 in september, the last 3 years they are 3-1 ats and 4-0 str up, and here is a odd thing i also favor the Under in this game, penn st is 1-3 under the last 3 and purdue is 0-4 under the last 3...and the public has done very well when moving the total in purdue games, and this over under has went down, The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 82.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-3) that is a very good trend, my opinion on this and i will most likely be playing it would be penn st -3 buy the hook, and as i look here the public does not do well when moving the totals in penn states games as they are hitting at 33% last 3 years 7-14 so that makes me think on that...lol


opinion play penn st -3 the hook worries me, may be smart to lay off but its an opinion , defense could win this

gl 151
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  #27  
Old 09-01-2022, 02:20 PM
BLUE LOU BOYLE BLUE LOU BOYLE is offline
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hey Brother have confidence....but i hear ya wishing you the best my friend , from HUMID as fuck Florida
Thanks 51!

It was so hot and humid here the last couple of weeks that the local ice cream truck melted!!

I'll be checking in and posting in your thread all season my friend!

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Old 09-01-2022, 04:29 PM
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  #29  
Old 09-01-2022, 04:47 PM
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Confirmation: 67206958
Date Placed: 09/01/22 17:45:43
Header:
INTERNET: 3 Team 3T 10 Points Teaser(ties no action) risk 110.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
151 Central Michigan +31 (NCAA FB) (10.0 pts)
143 West Virginia +17 (NCAA FB) (10.0 pts)
156 Old Dominion +16 (NCAA FB) (10.0 pts)


and i am playing w.virg bought up to 8 gl everyone 151
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  #30  
Old 09-01-2022, 04:49 PM
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  #31  
Old 09-01-2022, 04:52 PM
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Good Luck this week rummer

ty killy
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  #32  
Old 09-01-2022, 04:57 PM
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Wink

on a team total?? c.mich had a really good offense last year, and okla st's defense i do not think will be as good as it was last year, i kind of think this could be a higher scoring game, but i think taking a shot at over 18.5 total team pts on c.mich could be a good play so i am trying it small

Confirmation: 67207252
Date Placed: 09/01/22 17:54:29
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 57.50 win 50.00
Bet Details:
TOTAL POINTS SCORED BY CENTRAL MICHIGAN 5521 Over/Under over 18 (-115) risk 57.50 win 50.00 (NCAA FB Team Totals)

thats it best of luck to everyone tonight and this year
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  #33  
Old 09-01-2022, 05:17 PM
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  #34  
Old 09-01-2022, 05:39 PM
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  #35  
Old 09-01-2022, 07:15 PM
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ty homer, and doza


think i should have stuck with the over in the okla st/cmu game still time but cmu has to get me 2 more td'd the way they got the early one it looked like they were going to be able to get a few today since then nothing, can't remember what the o/u was but i think they will get it, okla st looks like they will get 50
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  #36  
Old 09-01-2022, 08:52 PM
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people....this president is a danger......he wants division, i have never heard a more hateful speech in my life....emberrassing
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  #37  
Old 09-01-2022, 08:53 PM
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Wink

c.michigan got the over early on total points, hope they cover 31 for the teaser...damn w.virg was up 7 5 mins later they are down 7 whats up
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Last edited by ONE51RUM; 09-01-2022 at 08:55 PM.
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  #38  
Old 09-01-2022, 10:17 PM
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well get the cover with w.virg by 1 point but really they were in the game all the way should have maybe won outright, so don't feel bad about a 1 point cover, the 56 yd pass interception was the 1 mistake, otherwise i think wv wins this str up , got the over 18.5 team total a lot easier than i thought as they put up 44 on okla st, i was right on the over there , that should have been a play, just seemed so easy, i figured c.mich would get 24-27, teaser is alive as c.mich cover and so does w.virg now i need old dom to cover the 16, opinion play on penn st is still going , but like i said an opinion i did end up playing W.virg as i posted gl all 151
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  #39  
Old 09-02-2022, 12:59 AM
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well a nice night 2-0 and also won the opinion play wich i said i would most likely play but didnt show the ticket wich is fine so 2-0 , and 3-0 on opinions, i knew penn st would be a close one



lost a small play on n.mex st and hawaii 1st half

won fla atl big
n.texas
w.virg
over team pts c.mich

penn st played but opinion
under n.mex st game opinion
over neb/n.west opinion

need old dom+9
app st +3
liberty-3
over 56 syr game


syr game now 57.5
old dom now 6
app st +1
liberty the same

gl 151
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Handicapping, in sport and games, is the practice of assigning advantage through scoring compensation or other advantage given to different contestants to equalize the chances of winning. The word also applies to the various methods by which the advantage is calculated.

Last edited by ONE51RUM; 09-02-2022 at 01:02 AM.
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  #40  
Old 09-02-2022, 06:34 AM
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Fantastic start to the season Rum! Your still the man!
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  #41  
Old 09-02-2022, 11:45 AM
ONE51RUM ONE51RUM is online now
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Wish i had looked into some of the added games earlier this week, because i like will n mary +4 but would have loved 7, and eky they are +11 but 14 would have been really nice, i am just going to stay away, illinois game scares me because illinois is the obvious play here, yet they are still a dog, if there was so much action coming in i think they would have just made illinois a fav, oddsmakers do that sometimes, open at -3 and so much comes in lets say on a dog, they will skip moving it a half pt or a point at a time and just make it a pk and see what happens ....to be honest i kind of like indiana and its only because illinois is such an obvious play, things happen in games, like yesterday, one minute w.virg is up 7 next they are down 7 , same with penn st, that int return for a td i thought maybe won it for purdue, i think penn st showed a lot last night by winning that game, that return had the momentum going bigtime for purdue, yet they found a way , illinois won big last week, but how good is wyoming really??

gl 151
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  #42  
Old 09-02-2022, 01:41 PM
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Wink saturday thoughts

i like texas st at nevada, but again we have a huge huge line move here, i mean like 9 points, nevada was a 8 pt fav and now they are a 1 point dog, i wish i could go over every game but man ya start finding these things a bit late after the money has already moved, i do not give nevada anything for their win last week over NM st, they were outgained and they got 5 turnovers to 0 for new mex st and they barely covered the 8.5 pt spread, , without 5 to's they do not cover, hell maybe with just 3 they dont cover, i kind of like texas st but now if i play it will be on a teaser


Rutgers i do not think is a good team, their offense may get a little better this year but their defense is not very good, Boston College had a decent year last year at 6-6 but they could have been much better i think, they lost their star QB after a 4-0 start last year, well he is back and healthy now, and he has the 3rd rated wide receiver group in the ACC to throw to this year, i think he could have a really good year, rutgers has all their starters back in the secondary but i think they will figure things out as the game goes on, and on defense the Eagles should have a very good one this year. They were 34th in total yards allowed last year, 4th in pass defense, and 33rd in points allowed, giving up just 22.2 ppg. The Eagles return eight starters from that group, including their top four tacklers, the o-line could be an issue for BC this year have to see how they helped theirselves, i just think BC wins this easily, i think their defense will cause a lot of problems for Rutgers, and their offense should put up enough, i do not see a higher scoring game here, but i think BC could win this like 28-13 they are laying 7.5 now but i did buy the hook here -125

Confirmation: 67219320
Date Placed: 09/02/22 14:07:46
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 125.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
180 Boston College -7 Buy (-125) risk 125.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)



also i kind of favor N.Texas getting 10 to 11 , these 2 schools are really close to each other, smu comes in with a new coach, also last week N.texas was without 3-4 wr's who are suppose to be back soon, but not sure if that means this week, i see a higher scoring game between these 2, smu has won the last 2 35-12 at home last year, and 65-35 at N.texas in 2020, i think this is going to be a close game,I liked how N.texas played in the 2nd half last week, as they just shut down utep bigtime, with that win it made 6 of the last 7 that they have won, as they finished last season playing real well
Smu has a very potent offense but their defense gave up over 28 pts a game last year, part of the reason i see a higher scoring game if the weather is nice, the over is at 67 but that is not a lot for these 2


.... it is not a play yet but it is definitely an opinion play, would love 11 but 10 is not bad maybe a 41-35 game , and the over also is a opinion play for now

need old dom tonight in a teaser also so got 2 units riding on the game, i was glad to see some action come in on V.Tech pushing it up to 6.5

app st now is -1.5 from being a 3 pt dog

gl all 151
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  #43  
Old 09-02-2022, 05:58 PM
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Wink plays

Confirmation: 67225932
Date Placed: 09/02/22 18:44:34
Header:
INTERNET: 3 Team 3T 10 Points Teaser(ties no action) risk 110.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
158 Michigan State -11 (NCAA FB) (10.0 pts)
154 Indiana +8 (NCAA FB) (10.0 pts)
165 Utah +7 (NCAA FB) (10.0 pts)


tcu's new air raid offense thinking they get 3 td's in 1st half

Confirmation: 67226590
Date Placed: 09/02/22 18:55:38
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 57.50 win 50.00
Bet Details:
1ST HALF TOTAL POINTS SCORED BY TCU 5643 Over/Under over 19 (-115) risk 57.50 win 50.00 (NCAA FB 1st Half Team Totals)
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  #44  
Old 09-02-2022, 06:08 PM
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  #45  
Old 09-02-2022, 10:38 PM
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Well got the outright win on Old dominion, i did a write up on this game and said they could maybe win out right, but after i sent it out it got pounded, that's when i worry a little, i mean i knew a few that bet them big, but dropping 2.5 points like that, that's why i was glad to see some tech money come in late, also i had 2 games i liked in the added games that i wish i had ooked at earlier, so they were just opinions but both of them covered, william and mary won 41-24 at charlotte, i just knew charlotte is not a good team this year, went against them last week and this set up well for WM, they were -4 and won 41-24, also EKY they were +14 and today they were 10.5 or 11 and i don't like getting on games even though i cap them after the public has moved it so much on the teams i liked, maybe should have still bet them both, EKY lost 42-34 as they did score late to cover, but they were covering before that, then emu scored to go up 15 then they scored last , but it is still 2 more opinion wins, i didn't play indiana str up but they have been ahead through most of the game but are down 1 i got them in a teaser...i do not think ill win the small over team total TCU as they do not seem to be able to do anything, i just thought tcu's offense would be moving the ball better, they are down 3-0
still nice to get one of the bigger ones on Old dominion, that also won me the teaser also which helps, mich st finally pulled away, they were not even covering the 11.5 for awhile, if Indiana can cover the 8.5 i'll need UTAH +7.5 tomorrow so won't have to bet that one....so far so good this year

another game i really like saturday is Ga.st +12.5 buying to 13 georgia st is returning a lot of their big play makers, and they run that option style offense, but their qb can throw as he was 136/228 last year and over 1700 yds, he had 19 td's and just 4 int's , and ran for 660 yds, they got their #1 rec back and #1 rusher back also
S.Car is not a bad team and i think they will most likely win this game, but i expect a lower scoring game and i just think its too many points, i like anything around 7-8 but am getting over 12 so i have to go with it

ga st as a dog of 10.5 to 21 points are 4-0 ats last 3 years, also they are 8-2 ats on the road the last 3 years, as a dog they are 7-4 ats last 3 yrs, ..on the road with the total between 56.5-63 they are 3-0 ats last 3 and are 12-2 ats since 92, they are 1-0 ats vs SEC last 3 and are 4-1 ats vs the SEC since 92, on the road as a dog of 10.5-14 they are 2-0 ats last 3 yrs, and vs non conf they are 5-2 ats last 3 yrs

s.car is 4-1 ats last 3 yrs as a fav and are 4-1 ats in non conf games last 3 but are 5-7 ats at home last 3 years, at home with the total between 56.5-63 they are 0-2 ats and 0-2 str up last 3 yrs


Confirmation: 67231203
Date Placed: 09/02/22 23:35:04
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
187 Georgia State +13 Buy (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)


so for saturday

BC-7
Ga st +13
Liberty-3
App st +3
over 56 syr game

gl everyone hope someone jumped on will and mary or EKY WM was the nut though

151
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  #46  
Old 09-02-2022, 10:41 PM
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  #47  
Old 09-03-2022, 05:12 AM
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Great start friend,I hope you r right about my Gamecocks winning the game.I have been worried about this game all summer , we do have a pretty good team .I will be glad to win by a FG. Thanks as always for your plays.
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  #48  
Old 09-03-2022, 10:12 AM
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Great start friend,I hope you r right about my Gamecocks winning the game.I have been worried about this game all summer , we do have a pretty good team .I will be glad to win by a FG. Thanks as always for your plays.
i thought about ya when i was going through the game...lol
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  #49  
Old 09-03-2022, 10:24 AM
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Wink

Indiana covered, another opinion, just had a feeling, but to be honest so many things have happened in these games already this year, to where either team could have won, either a play overturned, pick 6 , something, just teased them up is all, they were going to cover that, now need utah +7.5 i like them today at -2.5 but so does everyone
App st is now -3 that is a 6 pt swing in this game, thats crazy, its why i am so glad to be able to bet early, its about getting the best possible line for who you like, don't mean its a winner, but trying to get the best advantage, BC is up to 9 now....WOW!!!..

thinking about doing a parlay with over unders, i like under 55 s.carolina/over 68 smu/n.texas, but i am just going to do a small teaser with them

under 61/over 62 small 6 pt teaser

, they are like opinion plays along with n.texas i still might play n.texas

gl 151
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Handicapping, in sport and games, is the practice of assigning advantage through scoring compensation or other advantage given to different contestants to equalize the chances of winning. The word also applies to the various methods by which the advantage is calculated.
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  #50  
Old 09-03-2022, 10:26 AM
BLUE LOU BOYLE BLUE LOU BOYLE is offline
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Hey Rum:

Regarding your BC -7 play.

Rutgers will be missing QB Vedral, running back Aaron Young and tight end Matt Alaimo are also out due to injuries.

BLB
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