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  #1  
Old 08-20-2019, 12:17 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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College Football buys for 2019

No fake lines that aren't available when posted (and in some cases never were),
no disappearing record BS,
and no weak-ass, insecure, "Hey, look at me! Love me, want me, NEED ME!" padded record crap.
Just picks in a few different situational spots I track,
analysis, stats, when-to-buy strategy, and money management tips.
And hopefully, by season's end, more W's than L's.

Starting here, Play #1:
Butler/N. Dakota St Ov 57
G. South/LSU Ov 53

I paid -120 for the 57 (5D's standard price for games in the "Extra" section.)
I'm waiting to buy the 53 as the game has been dropping, likely bottomed out at this # but I'll give it a few more days to wait and see. Keep an eye on it though, in case a late buy-back on the Over comes from those who bought Un 59/60; a full TD makes for a nice middle.)

I have these spots charted at 9-0 last year, 2-0 Ov, 7-0 Un (10-0 with Mizz/Ok St Ov in their bowl game.)
This wasn't a situational play that I charted throughout the year, I came upon it late, went back through data for the entire season and just charted whether it won or lost. The 2018 chart shows the # of times this play was active, whether it was an Ov or Un, and the key stat involved, but doesn't show team names previous to mid-November, so I don't know if FCS was included. Will chart more accurately and include more info this year.

I'm a big proponent of not varying your bet size (not buying one unit here, three units here, and the amateurish, ridiculous ten units on another game) but I do make two kinds of plays, wager-size wise: TV/action fun wagers (small $) and regular buys. During the course of a season I may do a 2 unit bet a minimal 2-3 times.
Both plays above are 1 unit regular plays.

Wishing good luck to the handicappers at the mall this season . . .
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-20-2019 at 12:27 PM.
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Old 08-22-2019, 01:21 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Thanks for stopping by, Freddie.

Finished running numbers, here are the additional games, Play #1.
Some I'll buy, all spots posted for tracking purposes.

Bryant/Stony Brook Un 63
Tex St/Tex A&M Ov 57'
U Mass/Rutgers Un 55'
G'town/Davidson Un 60'
James Mad/W Virg Ov 52'

As stated in post #1, not sure about non-FBS spots, so I may lay off those.

I did buy the Rutgers spot. Missed out on opening 57 (have to get my stat work completed earlier in the week.) I bought it at 55', the common # right now.

Missed the best # on Tex St game, too, opened 54, at 57'/58 now. Hate to pay a FG penalty or > for buying late, so I'll hold off for now, not likely it drops by game day, but I'll wait, may add. Still waiting on LSU, may, may not buy.

Buys thus far:

Butler/N. Dakota St Ov 57
U Mass/Rutgers Un 55'
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-22-2019 at 01:29 PM.
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Old 08-22-2019, 02:56 PM
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Good luck man! Have a great year!
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Old 08-24-2019, 10:00 AM
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Good Luck NASCAR
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Old 08-28-2019, 11:23 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Thank, KB & Killy, same to you, good luck this season.

Got the drop I was hoping/waiting for in Tex St/Tex A&M game, getting an extra pt as it's down from 57' when first posted to 56'. Not sure I'll get a better # tomorrow so I bought it now at Ov 56'.

No concern about a look ahead to #1 Clemson for A&M, they were in this same spot LY, facing #2 Clemson in week two, and the Jimbo's scored 59. Going to need about 13 from State, A&M should get the rest of it.

Picked up a hook in the LSU game, too, down to 52' now.
I like the spot but:
a) not confident I can get the pts I need out of G Southern,
b) my # comes in at 51,
c) I prefer Unders in this spot play.
I'll wait a little longer to see where it moves to, may add it. Want to.

Buys:
Butler/N. Dakota St Ov 57
U Mass/Rutgers Un 55'
Tex St/Tex A&M Ov 56'
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-28-2019 at 11:29 AM.
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  #6  
Old 08-30-2019, 10:57 AM
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Recap: Missed with Ov in A&M, didn't get the pts needed from Tx St, and two A&M red zone turnovers, including a fumble at the 1 yd line, didn't help either.

Adding a buy, from Play #2, the Ov/Un spot I've tracked for years here, Un 62 in Tol/Kent.
(I'm not listing all the plays in this spot this year, makes my posts too muddled/too much info, and too time-consuming.)

Last night had the first Un in Play #1 (Stony Brook; see post #2 in this string) and I ignored it because I don't know how this spot performs in smaller schools. It won, so I'm adding the other Un spot G'Town/Davidson Un 60'.

Buys:
Butler/N. Dakota St Ov 57
U Mass/Rutgers Un 55'
Tex St/Tex A&M Ov 56' (L)
Tol/Kent Un 62
G'town/Davidson Un 60'

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-30-2019 at 10:59 AM.
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  #7  
Old 09-04-2019, 11:17 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Recap: Had a good week at 2-2-1.
How is 2-2 good?
When you lose the Thursday and Friday game and head into your three Saturday buys at 0-2.
Hit with Butler Un & G'town Un to pull even at 2-2.

Should have finished at 3-2 but as they say, "Stoops happens."
Up by three scores at home, 3 minutes left in the game, and doucheboy has to try and run up the score instead of running the ball to use up the clock, keeping his players safe and getting out with a win. Passing on every down, Kentucky turns the ball over and with one minute left Toldo scores a TD, giving me a push. Could have been worse, the # was 60' on game day, anyone who bought Un 61', 61, and 60' lost. Good move to buy on Friday anticipating the drop, so, happy about that.

Never got back in with the LSU Over buy, missed a W there.

Play #1 finished at 4-3. Play #2 finished at 5-5-1.
My record 2-2-1.

No spots to choose from in Play #1; not happy about that, was hoping for an Under or two.

Play #2 has V Tech Un, Aub Ov, Miss St Ov, Liberty Un, Wash Ov.
Unders always better in these, but already missed the best # on V Tech as it's down 4' from the opener.

For now, the only buy I made is Liberty/UL Laf Un 65'.
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 09-04-2019 at 11:22 AM.
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Old 09-07-2019, 01:32 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Don't have any of my regular system plays I want to buy other than the one I already bought with Liberty, so I'm going to try some halftime plays.

No surprise Rutgers is overmatched on both sides of the line and should wear down in the second half and just want to go home.
I don't see them scoring twice so I bought Rutgers team total under 7 small $ TV bet.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 09-07-2019 at 01:35 PM.
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Old 09-07-2019, 01:42 PM
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Cincy in the same situation, don't see them scoring more than once, as Ohio line wears them down in the second half and the Buckeyes pound on the ground and use up the clock in the fourth quarter.
Bought under 7', small $ TV buy (10 cents xtra juice on both.)

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 09-07-2019 at 01:48 PM.
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Old 09-11-2019, 01:45 PM
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Recap: 3-0.
Hit the main play with UL LaF Under.
Hit both TV wager second half buys.

Two ideal spots for the second half team total Under on a team (Rutgers & Cincy) that were shut out in the first half.
We had Ohio St and Iowa, two teams likely to pound it out on the ground with a late lead and use the clock. You also like an overpowering line in these spots, like we had in Iowa vs Rutgers, where you knew it would take a toll in the 4th quarter.
Knew road team Rutgers would quit late, and just want to go home, and I like Cincy coach Fickell because with the game out of reach (0-35 end of 3rd quarter) he's going to play it safe (as he does with a big lead also) and not risk his player's safety. He's not a coach I like to lay big points with because he's not a run up the score type, he'll play clock management, run the ball, and use backups.

Record:
5-2
Reg plays 3-2
TV wagers 2-0

Have a couple of options to choose from in Play #1 (4-3 this year, 2-2 Ov, 2-1 Un):
Samford/Wofford Over 63', and Tx Tech/Az Under 77'.

And a couple in Play #2 (8-7, Ov 3-5, Un 5-2):
'Bama/ S Car Un 61', Geo St/W Mich Un 70,
Memphis/South 'Bama Un 57', Fla St/Virg Un 57.

As I always say, for years Unders outperform Overs in Play #2. Overs usually finish around .500. So why track it? Last week there were two early games, it was 1-1. Knowing 1-2 was more likely than 2-1 gave me a direction for some late evening TV action on Wash game to go Under.

For this week:

After watching Hawaii decimate Az defense I'm not fond of paying an Under in any game of theirs, regardless of the #.

In Play #2, Unders are 5-2. The two spots that lost did so by < 6 pts. One game had a backdoor TD with 1 minute left, the other game saw an INT set up a late TD by Iowa. I'm going to use at least one of the four Under spots this week.

For right now, the only buy I have in pocket is from a third play I'm tracking. Not a lot of data, just 3-2 (0-1 Ov, 2-1 Un.) It has NC St/W Virg Ov 45, Cal-Poly/Ore St Un 76, Tx South/UL Laf Un 75 & Mont/Ore Un 67, and since Under in UL Laf came through for me last week I want to ride it again.

Buys:
Tex South/UL Laf Un 75

Will add more later.
Good luck with your plays this week.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 09-11-2019 at 01:55 PM.
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  #11  
Old 09-17-2019, 12:32 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Recap: Missed my only play with UL Laf Un, but the week was much worse than just 0-1 as I didn't get back in with a buy on any Unders in Play # 2 like I said I would, and they went 3-1; missed opportunity there.

Record: 5-3
3-3 on Reg plays
2-0 on TV wagers
Breakdown:
2-0 on 2nd half plays (both were team total Unders)
Over 1-1
Under 2-2

Over the years, I've always been stronger at isolating buys on Unders, but at just 2-2 this year I'm clearly not doing a good job with pulling the trigger on them, considering they are now:
3-1 in Play #1
5-2 in Play #3
and a solid 8-3 in Play #2,
for a total of 16-6 combined.
WAY too much missed opportunity there.

*Correction: Last week, when I started to post spots in Play #3, I had it at 3-2 overall, Ov 0-1, Un 2-1. Obviously can't be 3-2 with just 4 plays (0-1 and 2-1) missing game was an Un that won in week one.

Teaser possibilities?
I mentioned last week that the two losses in Play #2 (longest tracked play I have, over 10 yrs now, usually solid on Unders) were both < 6, with one of the L's coming on a TD scored with one minute left in the game.
The loss this week, with 'Bama, went over by 8', but it saw two TD's in the final two minutes. The one that killed it for any teaser players came with just 11 seconds, so they still look good for use in 6-7 pt teasers for any of you who play teazes.

After not getting back in with additional buys in Unders in Play #2 last week, I vowed to not make the same mistake this week. Unfortunately, there's only one.
Here are the spots active in Play #2 this week:
Cal/Miss Ov44, Tenn/Fla Un 48', Mich St/N'West Ov 39,
B Green/Kent St Ov 58', Wyoming/Tulsa Ov 44'

There are a couple houses at 49 on Tenn/Fla, but the common number available to most players is 48'
so that's the # I'll use for my only buy thus far.

I'll be back with all qualifying spots in the other two plays I track/post, and any buys I make in them.

Buys
Tenn/Fla Un 48'
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 09-17-2019 at 12:37 PM.
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  #12  
Old 09-17-2019, 12:43 PM
fat-freddie fat-freddie is online now
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Like the Fla. under, got it this morning at 48x, good luck this week buddy
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Old 09-18-2019, 11:15 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Thanks, Freddie.
I hope you got in on some of the other Unders in the first two weeks.

The Tenn/Fla game is going to be tough, that number is tight.
I made the game 50, but I took the Under 48' because, as I said, I've been playing too tight and missed more than a few opportunities. Unfortunately, there's not a lot to choose from this week.

Play #2 is in my post above this one.

Play #1 (5-4; Ov 2-3, Un 3-1) only has one spot, and it's an Over.
N Az/Ill St Ov 54

Play #3 (6-3, Ov 1-1, Un 5-2) has only one spot active:
N Mex St/New Mex, Un 68'.

As I said, I'm going to ride all Unders, so I bought the Battle of New Mexico's. I have no feel for which way the line will move on it, I expect it to stay near the same, so like the Florida game, I bought it now at 68'.

I hope to make some second-half buys on Saturday.
I did a lot of stat work over the past few days looking to isolate spots that have a high W %. If any are active, I'll post.

Buys:
Tenn/Fla Un 48'
N Mex St/New Mex, Un 68
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 09-18-2019 at 11:18 AM.
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Old 09-23-2019, 03:32 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Recap: Split my two plays.
Fla Under was never in danger.
New Mex Under never had a chance.
Hit my first NFL investment play (posted in the NFL forum) for a nice weekend, overall.

Play #1 went 1-0. Now 6-4, Ov 3-3, Un 3-1
Play #2 went 4-1. Now 15-9, Ov 6-6, Un 9-3
Play #3 went 0-1. Now 6-4, Ov 1-1, Un 5-3

My record on buys is: 6-4
4-4 on Reg plays
2-0 on TV wagers

Breakdown:
2-0 on 2nd half plays (both were team total Unders)
Over 1-1
Under 3-3

So, with the Fla win, Unders in Play #2 still paying nicely, hope some of you got on it.

Only loss in Play #2 for the week, Over in Wyoming, missed by a half pt or pt, depending on the line you got if you played it.

This week, Play #2: Minn/Purdue Un 56', Iowa St/Bay Ov 56, NC St/Fla St Un 60,
UCLA/Az Un 71, Kansas/TCU Ov 48, UNLV/Wyoming Ov 51.

Purdue has been in Play #2 once this year, and won as an Over.

Wyoming was an Over just last week and as I mentioned, just missed.
I may buy it later in the week, hoping the # drops a bit.

Fla St was an Under two weeks back and won.

I'm going to buy Min/Purdue Un 56'; waiting, I think it goes up a pt or so.
Other buys to follow.

I'll post up mid-week after I do stat work and see if there are any plays in the other spots I track here.
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 09-23-2019 at 03:37 PM.
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Old 09-24-2019, 10:34 AM
fat-freddie fat-freddie is online now
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Florida under was sweet, didn't think Tenn. offense could put up much against Fla. Def. Good luck this week man, will check back with ya buddy
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Old 09-25-2019, 11:18 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Roma, S-Base, & Freddie - thanks for the 'likes.'
And Freddie, glad you got in on that Fla spot, thanks for posting.

Finished my stat work, here's what I have:

Play #1 - no plays.
As more data comes in and lines get tighter this play will see less and less active spots as the season progresses.
(N Ill/Vandy Over just missed qualifying by a half-point if anyone is looking at that game.)

Play #2 is in my post above this one.

Play #3: Akron/U Mass Un 63, N Mex/Liberty Un 71'

Not a lot to work with. Don't like the matchups and especially don't like the #'s, both totals should be higher.

U Mass already screwed me once this season, week one vs Rutgers, the Under had zero chance after just one quarter.
Not using them again.

N Mex did the same to me just last week, in a game that saw them score >50 and give up >50, so not likely I'll use them in an Under any time soon.

So, that leaves me with Play #2.
I recommended waiting on Minn/Purdue Un 56' hoping I could pick up a point, there's still one or two 56' out there, but the common number available to most bettors is now 56 so I bought it and will use 56 for the record here.

The Az game (7:30 start) went up a little, Fla St game (4:30 start) also picked up a hook, no sense buying today if you're looking at those two Unders. Since the Minn game is a 12:30 start, I might sit on that buy and decide afterward if there are any additional buys I want to make.

As I said, I'm also toying with the idea of that Wyoming game Over.
It's still dropping and if it hits my # I will buy and post.

Buys
Minn/Purdue Un 56
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 09-25-2019 at 11:21 AM.
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Old 09-25-2019, 12:03 PM
fat-freddie fat-freddie is online now
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Did do the Purdue under 56x, I still leaning on Fla. St under 60, thanks N., will be checking back buddy
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Old 09-28-2019, 05:51 PM
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Min Un spot looking F'd, I'm adding the next one on the schedule, just bought Fla St spot, Under 62.
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Old 10-01-2019, 01:38 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Recap: Split my plays, 1-1.
Missed the morning play so I looked over the rest of the spots to see which Under gave me a good shot at pulling even.
Bought The Fla St spot but Az would have worked just as well.

Play #1 went 0-0. Now 6-4, Ov 3-3, Un 3-1
Play #2 went 4-2. Now 19-11, Ov 8-7, Un 11-4
Play #3 went 1-1. Now 7-5, Ov 1-1, Un 6-4

My record on buys is: 7-5
5-5 on Reg plays
2-0 on TV wagers

Breakdown:
2-0 on 2nd half plays (both were team total Unders)
Over 1-1
Under 4-4

I have to admit, 4-4 on Unders is poor, considering the spots I've isolated are doing very well.
I'm being a little too choosy at buying. Hope some of you are doing better at it.

This week's plays in Play #2:
Ok St/Tx Tech Ov 63, Iowa/Mich Un 48, Baylor/K St Ov 51',
Ill/Minn Un 60, U Mass/Fla Int Un 67'

Ugh. Have a few Un spots to choose from, but not diggin any of them.

Iowa was in this spot in week 1 and lost, and I think the opening # is low to begin with.

Just lost last week with Min in this spot, so not liking that one.

And the other spot is U Mass, who have not been in Play #2, but I did lose with them in week 1 in Play #1.
And they lost last week in Play #3. Play #2 is the strongest on Unders, but if I buy U Mass here and they lose they'll have pulled off the hat trick with a loss in each of the three plays. Plus I'm not a fan of buying an Under using a team whose defense is dead last in the country at PPG at 47 per, especially since I don't think the opening # accurately reflects that "achievement."

I'll do some more stat work on all the posts active in Play #2, and also get back in when I have the spots in the other two plays I track and share here.

For now, I'm going to buy the early game, the Iowa spot. Don't have a feel for line movement, but I'd lean towards it going down not up, so buying it now at Un 48.

Buys:
Iowa/Mich Un 48

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-01-2019 at 01:48 PM.
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Old 10-02-2019, 03:16 PM
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Finished 'capping the other two plays.

Nothing active in Play #1 this week,
Play #3 has one spot: Furman/Samford Un 69.

Furman was in an Over in Play #1 back on 9/14 and the play lost.
I may buy the Under later this week.

A good call on the early buy on Iowa/Mich Un 48, as four hours after it was posted it dropped to 47 across the board.

I haven't bought anything else yet, considering a rare fade on an Under in Play #2 and taking Ov in that Ill/Minn spot.

I'll post if I buy anything else.

Buys:
Iowa/Mich Un 48
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-02-2019 at 03:17 PM.
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Old 10-07-2019, 02:33 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Recap: Nailed my only buy, Iowa/Mich Under.

With + bank already in pocket Saturday morning, I decided to not buy/recommend anything else.

Unders in Play #2 went 3-0.
Did anybody buy any? Hope so.
I keep saying that I'm missing an opportunity by not investing in more of them, but as I said last week I didn't like the Ill/Minn spot, and even considered fading it. The opener posted here was 57' and . . . the game landed on 57. Good thing I laid off it.
Anyone who added it on game day still had a close scare, as the # closed at 59.

Play #1 went 0-1. Now 6-5, Ov 3-3, Un 3-2
Play #2 went 4-1. Now 23-12, Ov 9-8, Un 14-4.
Play #3 had no spots active. Still at 7-5, Ov 1-1, Un 6-4

My record on buys is: 8-5
6-5 on Reg plays
2-0 on TV wagers

Breakdown:
2-0 on 2nd half plays (both were team total Unders)
Over 1-1
Under 5-4

Finished my 'capping for Play #2, here are the spots active this week:
Mich St/Wis Ov 42, UAB/Tx SA Ov 45, Wash St/Az St Ov 58, N Ill/Ohio Ov 52,
S Jose St/Nev Ov 60, Cha/Fla Int Un 65, Wyoming/S Diego St Ov 40.

Good news - seven spots to choose from.
Bad news - only one Under.

History? A quick scan of my 2019 logbook shows:
Mich St was in an Over twice, 1-1.
Wisc was in an Over and it lost.
Wyoming was in an Over twice, 1-1.

No buys right now, I'll wait until I do some more stat work, and #'s are available at more than just 1-2 houses.
I'll probably buy the Under and look to fade one or two of the Overs (looking hard at that Mich St/Wis spot.)

I'll be back midweek at the latest with any spots active in the other two plays I track here, and any buys I make.
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-07-2019 at 02:41 PM.
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Old 10-09-2019, 12:05 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Thanks for the 'like' Roma.

Done 'capping, picked up two more plays to consider.
Play #1 Dayton/Valpo Un 65'
Play #3 Fla/LSU Ov 55

I'm also looking at two games that are not in the three systems I track, Over in Army and Over in Temple.
I may buy as TV action/fun plays after I check a few more stats on them.

The only game I bought thus far is the Dayton spot.

Based on their record this season, I feel obligated to buy the Un in Play #2,
but I don't like not having a couple of games to choose from in that play.
It's a 4 o'clock start so I have all day to see how anything else shakes out before deciding to buy or not.
The fact that it has already dropped a full FG on the # doesn't make it easier for me to pull the trigger on it now.

I'll update when I add to my card.

Buys:
Dayton/Valparaiso Un 65'
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-09-2019 at 12:06 PM.
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Old 10-09-2019, 02:57 PM
Roma Roma is offline
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I like the Florida LSU Over as well, best of luck this weekend
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Old 10-14-2019, 03:58 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Thanks for the post, Roma.

Recap: Got a bad beat for my only play, Dayton/Valpo Under. With 1:30 left in the game, even a TD scored couldn't hurt me.
So the fuckers scored TWO TD's in the final 1:30, including on the last play of the game at the two-second mark.

I normally would come back with one of the later plays to try and get back to even on the day, as I've done in the past, but even though I had that Under in Play #2 (with Fla Int) which was 14-4, 77% at the time, after the bad beat my gut told me it would be chasing. I didn't bet it - and the play lost. Got to follow the gut.

Play #1 went 0-1. Now 6-6, Ov 3-3, Un 3-3
Play #2 went 5-2. Now 28-14, Ov 14-9, Un 14-5.
Play #3 went 1-0. Now 8-5, Ov 2-1, Un 6-4

My record on buys is: 8-6
6-6 on Reg plays
2-0 on TV wagers

Breakdown:
2-0 on 2nd half plays (both were team total Unders)
Over 1-1
Under 5-5

Again, to be at just 5-5 on Under in these three plays, when they're at a combined 23-12, is just poor selecting.

Finished my 'capping for Play #2, here are the spots active this week:
UCLA/Stan Un 55, N Mex/Wyoming Ov 54, Aub/Ark Ov 55, Ore/Wash Ov 50',
Rice/Tx SA Ov 44, UTEP/Fla Int Un 54', W Virg/Ok Un 65', S Fla/Navy Un 54'.

Wyoming appeared in an Over three times now, 2-1.
UCLA was in an Under twice, 2-0.
Aub was in an Over and lost, 0-1.
Wash was in an Over and lost, 0-1.
Fla Int was in an Under twice, 1-1.
S Fla was in an Ov and lost, 0-1

At seven weeks into the season, Play #2 has not had a losing week yet,
worst was week one at 5-5-1, so what the hell, just play them all, right?
Wrong. Overs are over-performing, I expect them to come back down. I'll look for a fade spot in those somewhere on the card.

Made two buys. As I post this the UCLA/Stan # is dropping, most houses at 54' so that's what I'll use for my # here.

Buys:
UCLA/Stan Un 54'
W Virg/Ok Un 65'
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Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-14-2019 at 04:08 PM.
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Old 10-14-2019, 07:01 PM
ONE51RUM ONE51RUM is offline
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Wink

I didn't see that but man welcome to my world, I've had some horrible ones myself, couple of weeks ago I got n.ariz +11.5 I'm up 10 at Montana St starting the 4th and Montana state scores 28 unanswered , and then n.arizona ends up at the 8 yd line at the end of the game with 2 shots to score where I cover but up 21.5 starting the 4th you would think you had a decent shot, then last week I took a chance going against n.dakota St and they score 21 unanswered in the 4th to get me what is it with these teams you hold a team for 3 qtrs while your scoring, then in the 4th you can't score and you can't stop them..lol only common thing was they were home teams that came back to get me , I love the FCS-AA I don't think they can make sharp lines on all of them, and I've noticed they use a team - 4.5 when they in my opinion they can't get a sharp line .....like Central Conn St I can't believe they made Columbia a favor last week c.conn St almost won at e.mich early this year and the week before at sacred heart a dog, they won both games easily never trailing those are games I wish I could find every weelk ..lol nice to see someone also looking at those games
seems you have a system and if it's working stay at it, I suspect when u say "buy" it means your betting it, I like reading others reasonings behind their plays , and I see like I said your looking into AA games which I have taken a huge interest in this year it's about winning , that's all wish ya the best ..I'll be reading more
151

gl 151
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Handicapping, in sport and games, is the practice of assigning advantage through scoring compensation or other advantage given to different contestants to equalize the chances of winning. The word also applies to the various methods by which the advantage is calculated.

Last edited by ONE51RUM; 10-14-2019 at 07:11 PM.
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