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  #76  
Old 02-14-2019, 08:38 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is online now
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After wk 13 in college bball, I would recommend seriously looking at dogs and contrarian plays. Wednesday was a big lesson in that. Good teams get leg weary, I think and hit a late season slump where they are just not as sharp. Of coure, their lines climb ever higher.
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  #77  
Old 02-16-2019, 12:33 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is online now
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2/16 Note: since 2/6 Gavazzi's plays ON FAVS >= 7 are 3-12 ATS. The rest of his plays , Favs <= -6' and Dogs went 12-8.
His systems are mostly on the better teams and as season wears on these are bigger and bigger favorites.

I will continue to post his plays...

Gavazzi systems for 2/16...These Lines are Real Early. Probably overnite I will track them using closing lines...

Favs <= -6' and Dogs 12-8 from 2/6 - 2/15

Iowa -3'
ISU +2'
butl -6'
Tenn +3'
Maryland +7
Nebr -5

Favs >= -7 3-12 from 2/6 - 2/15

Gonzaga -16'
NC -16'
Nev -21
Pur -12'
Va -18'
Tex Tech -7

GL
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  #78  
Old 02-16-2019, 01:04 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is online now
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Was looking around the Net and ran across an interesting contrarian article...
The gist of it was PLAY ON Dogs with bad records vs Teams with good SU Records in Feb and Mar.
The criteria they listed was dogs with <= 30% SU WL% vs teams with >= 70% SU WL % in Feb and March. It said VMI had won recently as a 23 pt dog using this. They posted 2 plays for Sat., both Road Dogs...

VMI +20' @ Furman
Char +12' @ Old Dominion

I ran the Home Dogs <= 30% vs Visitors >= 70%...My thinking is even real bad teams don't usually lay down in front of their home fans. Visiting coaches may feel like why beat a dead horse in fron of the home fans. anyway...

They are below...again, these are early overnite lines.

Wyoming +21 vs Nevada
UNC - Wilm +10 vs Hofstra
Tenn Tech +15 vs Belmont
Incar Word +11 vs Abl Christ
N Hampshire +14 vs Stony Brook
Kennesaw St +24 vs Lipscomb
Portland +16 vs San Francisco
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  #79  
Old 02-17-2019, 11:49 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is online now
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Gavazzi Systems 2/17

Favs <=-6' & dogs
Villanova -4

Favs >=-7
Cincinnati -12
Houston -18

HDs <= 30% SU win % vs RFs >= 70% Feb/Mar
Tulane +18
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  #80  
Old 02-17-2019, 11:52 AM
secondbase secondbase is offline
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  #81  
Old 02-18-2019, 10:14 PM
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Gavazz Sys 1-2 LN for 2/18...Lines early...posting real early..be gone a bit...
tn -18'
isu -8
PUrd -4'
Ky -11
buff -19'
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  #82  
Old 02-20-2019, 05:21 AM
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Last night Gavazzi systems went 1-0 on < -7 and 2-2 on >=-7
record since 2/15 4-5 on <-7, 7-7 on >=-7

2/20 plays...
ST Johns +1
Wash St +4
vill -5'
Mich st -17
aub -12
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  #83  
Old 02-20-2019, 07:18 AM
maidenguy maidenguy is offline
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Just saw your first post in this thread. Mike Lee Moneymaker. Mike put out one of the best newsletters. Unfortunately he passed away years ago. His Lee line was one of the best.
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  #84  
Old 02-25-2019, 04:22 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is online now
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Maidenguy
I got his newsletter a couple of years. Called his service one time and He answered the phone. Super nice guy. We talked awhile. He told me where he hung out and said if I was ever in Vegas, come by and we'd have lunch. I never made it out there, but, he was a super nice, genuine guy. Sorry to hear of his passing.
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