Gerk's 2020 NFL Over/Under Selections

[Gerk]

7-1-1 for the last 9 years

Back for its award winning 10th season, This is my top selection to go over the Vegas total

To recap the last 9 seasons




2010
Had New Orleans, but can't find the post. Roma can attest, At least he said so last year




2012

Atlanta Falcons Over 9

Atlanta wins 13 games and is in the NFC Championship game


2013

Cincinnati Bengals Over 8.5 Wins

Cincinnati wins 11 games and wins their division


2014

Indianapolis Colts Over 9 Wins

Indianapolis wins 11 games and wins their division


2015

Buffalo Bills Over 8 Wins

Buffalo wins 8 games, Push


2016

Tennessee Titans Over 6 Wins

Tennessee wins 9 games for their best season in years


2017

San Diego Chargers Over 8 wins

After a slow start, San Diego rebounds to win 9 games


2018

Chicago Bears over 6.5 wins
Chicago wins 12 games and wins the division


My other posted over Kansas City and my two posted unders Jacksonville and Oakland also hit




2019
Pittsburgh Steelers over 9 wins
Pittsburgh wins 8 games, Loss




Crunching final numbers and last minute news, Hunter on IR for example


Will post tomorrow. Sorry wanted to pull up the thread now, so I don't spend an hour looking for it again

[wayne1218]

Good luck gerk

[Roma]

Dolphins a little tempting, Denver I liked to exceed expectations, but now Von Miller is out for the season.

Tennessee and Tampa should improve but the market is already adjusted

Im real curious who you like

[LordCC]

Good luck this year Fella!

[buli]

Gerk...Not so patiently waiting...how many times am I going to have to refresh this thread?! lol

Bol this season!

[Gerk]

Sorry, not doing it purposely, Just got off work

Ultimately, I really like 3 teams to go over this year and I think all could/should win 11 games

Indianapolis, Buffalo, and Pittsburgh

I had Pittsburgh over 9 last year, and with Big Ben out, they still won 8. Future lines at 5 Dimes has Pittsburgh only a large underdog of +6 at Baltimore and +6 at Dallas. They are or should be favorites in most of the rest.

Besides playing Cincinnati twice, They also play Jacksonville and have
Washington at home. Besides maybe Baltimore and Philly, They should or are favorites in all the rest.


Buffalo will capitalize on a weakened AFC East with New England possibly not being the dominant team of the last several years. Besides the division games, they have 3 tougher games, Kansas City, Seattle, and San Francisco. Two of those are at home. They are hefty favorites in most of their other games.


Ultimately my PICK is Indianapolis Over 9 (-135) at Five Dimes

In a pretty remarkable situation. The largest underdog they will be in ANY game is +3 or maybe +3.5. Their 3 toughest non division games are probably Minnesota, Green Bay, and Baltimore. All are at home.

They play Jacksonville twice, have Cincy at home, NY Jets at home, They are or should be favorites in 7 of their 8 home games.


So my pick is Indy

Also would feel good with Buffalo Over 9 (-115) and Pittsburgh Over 9 (-131)


Will look at a couple unders I like tomorrow, but as you know, I am a overs guy.

[Titan24]

I thought 5 Dimes closed shop?

[Gerk]

In a few weeks, yes. The lines are going to be similar at all books
Was using because they have lines for all 17 weeks, and was using their information.

I have an account at Heritage also, if it makes everyone happier

I like to make my actual bet right before the games start.

Heritage current lines

Buffalo Over 9 (-120)

Pittsburgh Over 9 (-130)


The Indianapolis line is not up now. Hmmm

Will post when it is up again

We all happy now ?

[Slabshack]

I am happy!

[Gerk]

Originally Posted by Slabshack

I am happy!

I will now be able to sleep tonight.

[vikesfan]

Bol gerk i agree with you that pitt, indy, and buffalo should all win 10 or more. How do you see the vikings doing this year? Almost a must win against gb right out of the gate imo.

[Gerk]

Originally Posted by vikesfan

Bol gerk i agree with you that pitt, indy, and buffalo should all win 10 or more. How do you see the vikings doing this year? Almost a must win against gb right out of the gate imo.

I really hope I am wrong, but I see 6-10 or 7-9.

They could realistically be 0-5 to start. The division is better.

Their schedule is a killer, At Indy, Houston, Seattle, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans, besides the division games.

Again, I would be the happiest person in the world, if I was wrong. Hunter out is going to be tough to overcome. I fear he might be out for the season

[vikesfan]

I saw that they are hopeful Hunter will only miss 3 games. but yes the schedule is very tough no doubt. hoping for the best as always.

[Gerk]

Originally Posted by vikesfan

I saw that they are hopeful Hunter will only miss 3 games. but yes the schedule is very tough no doubt. hoping for the best as always.

I think his injury is worse than they are letting on. There has been some rumors it could be career threatening. The neck is a scary thing

[vikesfan]

Under zimmer they haven't made the playoffs 2 years in a row. If that pattern continues they won't make it this year. I do think they are set up well beyond this year with all the good young players they drafted in this years draft.

[Gerk]

The Indianapolis line is back up at Heritage

Official line is

Indianapolis Colts Over 9 (-135)

[Pic N Winnas]

Love the Colts play!!! I expect a huge season out of Doyle,think he will be one of the best TE for fantasy. Rivers is also a sleeper QB think the change will be a good thing for him.

[Gerk]

Just tp put my favorite unders on record

My favorite is Denver Broncos Under 7.5 (-145)


Other is Minnesota Vikings Under 9 (-130)

[vikesfan]

I just checked at 5dimes and they still have them favored to win the division. you see them going under 9 wins. a lot of questions might be answered today against gb. Skol time.

[vikesfan]

Looks like you are going to be spot on about the vikings.... It's going to be a long year .

[buli]

Gerk...You are the man! Nice work and thank you as always.

Hit all the overs with a bunch of games left!

[gmoney123456]

And also all the unders!!!!!!!!!! Thanks Gerk

[xxxFTWxxx]

too EZ.

gerk the futures "GOD"!

great calls buddy

[Gerk]

Thanks everyone

Great to nail all 5, and early, so no sweating it out the last couple games

[TCD619]

Patiently waiting for this years