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  #1601  
Old 11-17-2019, 02:35 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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($$)

79% NE -4.5 (most volume by far)
64% Az +10
57% Oak -13
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  #1602  
Old 11-17-2019, 02:38 PM
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"More cash on New England spread than Eagles / Cardinals / 49ers and Bengals spreads combined"
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  #1603  
Old 11-17-2019, 02:51 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
Before week 13 when New England is off a SU loss they are 34-11-2 ATS
Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
Patriots are 47-9 SU off a loss since 2003 ... 40-16 ATS

18-4 SU and 16-6 ATS in this same spot since 2013
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Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
Patriots 30-2 ATS off a loss when not favored by more than 6 points

Since 2003, Brady after a loss has gone 34-13 ATS
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  #1604  
Old 11-17-2019, 03:05 PM
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William Hill

Arizona / San Francisco

67% of the total number of point spread tickets on Arizona
53% of the total dollars wagered on San Francisco
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  #1605  
Old 11-17-2019, 06:40 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Global market

Sharp money bought Chicago to +7 and then stopped

Public is mixed on the game but leans Rams

Public on the Under but sharps buying Over 39
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  #1606  
Old 11-17-2019, 06:48 PM
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South Point

"With spread play on Bears and moneyline action on Rams, an L.A. rout or even better Chicago outright would be welcome"
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  #1607  
Old 11-17-2019, 06:55 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
Global market

Sharp money bought Chicago to +7 and then stopped

Public is mixed on the game but leans Rams

Public on the Under but sharps buying Over 39
Let us know if there's any late sharp money! Thanks again NYK!
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  #1608  
Old 11-17-2019, 06:56 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Will do buli
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  #1609  
Old 11-17-2019, 06:57 PM
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Caesars Sportsbook

65% of tickets / 70% of $$ on the Rams -6
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  #1610  
Old 11-17-2019, 07:09 PM
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South Point

"Bears drawing sharp and public play. Line was as high as Rams -7, just ticked from -6 to -5.5"
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  #1611  
Old 11-18-2019, 12:22 PM
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Favorites 10-2 SU & 7-4-1 ATS Sunday & 11-2 SU & 8-4-1 ATS including TNF

Road teams 8-3-1 ATS Sunday ... 8-4-1 ATS for week

Overs 7-5 Sunday ... 7-6 for week
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  #1612  
Old 11-18-2019, 12:24 PM
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Los Angeles has been practicing all week at the Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs (elevation 7,358 feet above sea level) to prepare for the altitude at Estadio Azteca (7,349 feet, nearly 1.5 miles high).

The Chiefs have kept their regular routine this week and practiced in Kansas City. We'll see if it pays off. The stadium is a neutral site, but should also be heavy with Chargers fans due to the close proximity to San Diego, their former home.
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  #1613  
Old 11-18-2019, 12:26 PM
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Market update


8:20 p.m. ET: Kansas City Chiefs (6-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-6)

This line opened at different numbers across the market. Some books opened with Kansas City listed as a 3-point road favorite while others opened at 4.5. Regardless of the number, the public is heavy on the Chiefs with three-out-of-four bets laying the points. However, throughout the week, sharp action was consistently coming down on the Chargers at +4.5 and +4, which dropped this line down to 4 or even 3.5. But then late Sunday night, we saw sharp buyback hit Kansas City -4, which pushed this line up to 4.5 or 5 where it rests now.

The Chiefs have value as a favorite with a high total (53). High totals benefit favorites as the more expected points scored makes it easier for the favorite to cover the number. But the Chargers have several profitable edges in their favor. Los Angeles is a divisional dog (26-21 ATS, 55% this season). The Chargers also enjoy extra rest having last played on Nov. 7 (Chiefs last played Nov. 10).

The total opened at 53 and two-thirds of bets are taking the over. We've seen some smart money hit the under, dropping it to 52, before it returned to 53, where it sits now. Essentially, we are looking at a relatively sharp line freeze on the under, with books refusing to raise the total despite heavy over betting.
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  #1614  
Old 11-18-2019, 12:26 PM
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Divisional unders are 27-22 (55%) this season.

Divisional unders late in the season (Week 8 and on) are 54.3% since 2003.

Brad Allen is the lead ref ....Unders are 55.3% with Allen as the head official.
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  #1615  
Old 11-18-2019, 12:29 PM
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Chiefs have won 23 of their last 25 games vs the AFC West
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  #1616  
Old 11-18-2019, 12:31 PM
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Sports Interaction

79% of the betting action currently like the Chiefs (-5.5) the Chargers
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  #1617  
Old 11-18-2019, 01:03 PM
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The Patriots' win and cover against the Eagles yesterday produced the largest loss on a single game this season for Caesars Palace Books

However ... if Chiefs and over hits tonight, Caesars says it would overtake NE / Philly as the largest loser

Big decision for many books
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  #1618  
Old 11-18-2019, 01:38 PM
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Action Network

Currently, the public is all over KC as 5-point favorites, with more than 65% of tickets and $$ backing them to cover
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  #1619  
Old 11-18-2019, 02:19 PM
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KC in division games:

18-2 SU last 20 games
15-5 ATS last 20 games


KC vs. LAC:

9-1 SU last 10 games
7-3 ATS last 10 games


KC on Monday night:

6-4 SU last 10 games
7-2-1 ATS last 10 games
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  #1620  
Old 11-18-2019, 03:08 PM
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South Point

"A lot of open parlays on Chiefs"
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  #1621  
Old 11-18-2019, 03:24 PM
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Global market

Public is heavy to Kansas City and the Over

There is mixed sharp money on the side but sharp money is decidedly to the Under 53 and 52.5

Setup for the total to be a Pro's (Under 53/52.5) vs. Joe's (Over)
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  #1622  
Old 11-18-2019, 03:44 PM
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Bookmaker

71% of Public $$ on Chiefs -5
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  #1623  
Old 11-18-2019, 04:13 PM
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BetOnline

"House needs Chargers/Under large tonight. Very large"

75% of $$ on Chiefs -5

75% on Over 52.5
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  #1624  
Old 11-18-2019, 04:16 PM
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Wager Street

Sharp Action

Chiefs (small)
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  #1625  
Old 11-18-2019, 04:23 PM
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Caesars Palace Books in Vegas and across the country


This line dipped to Chiefs -3.5 early last week, then began climbing Sunday, reaching -5 ... Book bracing for bettors to cash in again, as they did in a big way Sunday.

“It’s tough to put a bowtie on a trash pile, All of the parlays with Dallas, New Orleans, New England and the Los Angeles Rams on them that continue to tonight have Kansas City and/or Over on them. The only way we can win tonight is with Chargers and Under. If it comes K.C. and Over, it will be our biggest single-game loser of the season. Four times as many tickets, five times as much money on K.C.”


The total opened at 53 at Caesars books, dipped to 52, then back to 53

“Two-and-half times more tickets and 2.5 times more money on the Over"
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