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  #1376  
Old 11-30-2020, 08:00 PM
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BetOnline

"Book needs the Eagles large tonight"


73% $$ on Sehawks -6.5
89% $$ on Seahawks -315
58% $$ on Over 50
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  #1377  
Old 11-30-2020, 08:13 PM
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"Twice as much cash on Seahawks ML than Eagles spread."
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  #1378  
Old 12-01-2020, 01:01 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
BetMGM

Late Sunday night took $500,000 on Seahawks -6.5 at Eagles

Potential win: $454,545


Ouch
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  #1379  
Old 12-01-2020, 01:05 AM
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Using consensus closing lines:


Week 12 dogs 10-5 ATS (Ravens / Steelers pending)

Home teams 8-7 ATS so far in week 12

Unders 9-6 this week

On the season dogs 96-74-2 ATS (56.5%) with 4 pks

Road teams 89-86-2 ATS

Overs 89-83-4
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  #1380  
Old 12-01-2020, 02:25 PM
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Market update


Where early money is flowing for NFL Week 13


Sunday 1 p.m. ET: Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans

This line opened with Tennessee listed as a 4-point home favorite. The public is split and doesn't know who to take. On the one hand, both teams are 8-3 so how can you not grab the Browns getting the points? But then again, the Titans have been rolling in recent weeks while Cleveland is barely eking out wins. However, despite this split ticket count, we've seen pros hammer the Titans, pushing Tennessee up from -4 to -5.5.

Pros have also targeted the over, driving the total up from 52 to 54. Both teams are profitable to the over, with the Browns 6-5 and the Titans 8-2-1.



Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals

This line opened with Los Angeles listed as a short 1.5-point road favorite. Wiseguys think this line is a bit low and have rushed to the window to lay the points with the Rams. This respected action has pushed Los Angeles from -1.5 to -2.5. Road teams with a line move in their favor are 55-45 ATS (55%) this season. If this line reaches 3, expect some buyback on the divisional dog Cardinals getting the key number.

Sharps have also targeted this under, dropping the total from 49 to 48.5. Both of these teams are profitable to the under, with the Rams 8-3 and the Cardinals 7-3-1. Historically, late season divisional unders have been a smart bet.



Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET: New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers

This line opened with the Chargers listed as 2.5-point home favorites. Pro bettors have pounced on the Patriots getting points, which has dropped the line all the way down to a pick'em. Road teams with a line move in their favor are 55-45 ATS (55%) this season.

Wiseguys have also gotten down on the under as we've seen the total fall from 49 to 47. The Pats are 7-4 to the under this season while the Chargers are 7-4 to the over.
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  #1381  
Old 12-01-2020, 03:31 PM
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SuperBook

Ravens at Steelers

The game went back on the board this morning at The SuperBook, with Pittsburgh a 10-point chalk and a total of 41.5.

There's been no movement so far with the line, but the total ticked up a notch to 42.
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  #1382  
Old 12-02-2020, 12:12 AM
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Sunset Station sportsbook director Chuck Esposito


Even at the new line of -10, it’s “pretty much all Steelers money.”
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  #1383  
Old 12-02-2020, 12:15 AM
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Westgate sportsbook director John Murray


SuperBook needs the Ravens to win outright to kill money-line parlays tied to the Steelers that have rolled over from the weekend.

“As of now the only way we can win any money on the game is if the Ravens pull off the upset. Seahawks winning Monday night just pushed more parlays to Wednesday.”
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  #1384  
Old 12-02-2020, 12:03 PM
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Market update


3:40 p.m. ET: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

This line originally opened with the Steelers listed as a 3-point or 4-point home favorite. But then the game went off the board and re-opened at Steelers -10, thanks in large part to Lamar Jackson missing this game and Robert Griffin III starting in his place. The public wants nothing to do with the COVID-stricken Ravens and is rushing to the window to lay the points with the unbeaten Steelers. Currently Pittsburgh is -10.5

This signals some liability on the road dog Ravens. Keep an eye out for a line move this morning and afternoon leading up to the game. If you see a game-day move down to 9.5, that will signal some pro money grabbing the Ravens. If it rises to -10.5, that could be a sign that late money is doubling down on the Steelers.

Baltimore has buy-low contrarian value in a heavily bet game. The Ravens are also a divisional dog (34-26 ATS, 57% this season) and a double-digit dog in a low total revenge game. These teams met roughly a month ago, with Pittsburgh winning 28-24 as a 4-point road dog.

Pros and Joes seem to be united on the over. We've seen the total tick up from 42 to 42.5. Low totals of 42.5 or less are 11-6 (65%) this season. Also, the lead ref Jerome Boger has been profitable to road teams (60% ATS) and overs (54%).
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  #1385  
Old 12-02-2020, 12:06 PM
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Sports Interaction

Currently, 63% of the betting action like the Steelers -10.5 over the Ravens
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  #1386  
Old 12-02-2020, 12:25 PM
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BetMGM

Baltimore getting 10 vs. Steelers

Bettors at MGM aren't buying the short-handed Ravens as a live dog

The Steelers are seeing 69.5% of the tickets and 78.9% of the betting handle 3 hours before kickoff
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  #1387  
Old 12-02-2020, 12:28 PM
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DraftKings Sportsbook

Currently,

71% of the bets / 83% of the money on Pittsburgh
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  #1388  
Old 12-02-2020, 01:20 PM
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BetMGM

The total went back up Monday at 41.5 and is now 42.5

Tickets and money both in the 2/1 range on the Over
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  #1389  
Old 12-02-2020, 01:21 PM
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Bookmaker

Handle %


Ravens
Steelers -10 (56% Public / 84% Sharp)
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  #1390  
Old 12-02-2020, 02:01 PM
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Will Hill


The Steelers opened as 3-point home favorites back when NFL Week 12 lines were first released at William Hill. The spread quickly moved up to Steelers -4.5 a day later following the news that a few Ravens players were placed on the COVID-19/restricted list. Once it was announced that Lamar Jackson tested positive for COVID-19, the line rose to Steelers -8.5.

Now the spread is at double digits, as the Steelers are currently 10.5-point favorites (-600 moneyline) over the Ravens at William Hill. Baltimore is +450 to win the game outright and the total resides at 42.5.

How have William Hill bettors been approaching this AFC North rivalry clash, though?

“We’re a little high on the Steelers,” Bogdanovich said. “The action isn’t where a typical standalone game would be at this point, and that’s not surprising given all of the uncertainty with both teams. But it’ll pick up closer to kickoff.”

The Steelers are receiving 67% of the total number of tickets and 78% of the total dollars wagered for all spread bets vs. the Ravens, as well as 70% of the total number of tickets and 71% of the total dollars wagered among all moneyline bets.

The largest wager placed on this Wednesday affair thus far is one Indiana bettor putting down $24,000 on Steelers -10 (-110) for a total potential payout of $45,818.20.

For the total, the majority William Hill bettors are also aligned on one side. The over is attracting 76% of the total number of tickets and 72% of the total dollars wagered.
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  #1391  
Old 12-02-2020, 02:42 PM
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SuperBook





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  #1392  
Old 12-02-2020, 03:06 PM
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Sports Betting (Colorado)


"We need the Ravens"
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  #1393  
Old 12-02-2020, 03:06 PM
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Wager Street

Sharp

Steelers (small)
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  #1394  
Old 12-02-2020, 03:35 PM
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Global market

A rec player tossed down $80,000 on Pittsburgh -320 (1st Half)
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  #1395  
Old 12-02-2020, 03:37 PM
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SuperBook ... up to the minute update


Tons of public money rolling in on Ravens past hour ... Book needs Steelers
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  #1396  
Old 12-02-2020, 03:40 PM
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BetAmerica

Took $16,800 on Steelers ML

Would net $3,169
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  #1397  
Old 12-02-2020, 03:41 PM
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BetOnline


69% $$ on Steelers -10.5
94% $$ on Steelers -565
57% $$ on Over 41.5
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  #1398  
Old 12-02-2020, 03:48 PM
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BetMGM

Took $170,181.60 on Steelers -10

To win $154,710.55
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  #1399  
Old 12-02-2020, 08:21 PM
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Using consensus closing lines:


Dogs went 11-5 ATS in week 12

Home / road teams 8-8 ATS on the week

Unders 10-6 on the week


For the season ...

Dogs 97-74-2 ATS (56.7%) with 4 pks

Road teams 89-86-2 ATS

Overs 89-84-4
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  #1400  
Old 12-02-2020, 08:22 PM
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----------- Week 13 -----------------------
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