Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, NFL odds or fantasy football.

Likes Likes:  2
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #76  
Old 02-02-2019, 07:46 PM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
Odds to be the first #SBLIII⁠ ⁠ touchdown scorer (Bovada):

Michel +500
Gurley +600
Anderson +700
Cooks/Woods +750
White/Edelman/Gronkowski +900
Reynolds/Burkhead +1000
Hogan +1500
Higbee/Dorsett +2000
Everett +2500
Patterson +4000
Goff/Develin/Brady +5000
Kelly/Mundt +10000
Reply With Quote
  #77  
Old 02-02-2019, 08:00 PM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
Odds to score two or more #SBLIII⁠ ⁠ touchdowns (Bovada):

Michel +275
Gurley +350
Anderson +450
Cooks/Woods/Edelman +600
White/Gronkowski +800
Burkhead +1000
Reynolds +1200
Hogan +1600
Higbee +2500
Everett/Dorsett +3300
Reply With Quote
  #78  
Old 02-02-2019, 08:11 PM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
Who will the #SBLIII⁠ ⁠ MVP mention first in his speech?

Teammates +160
God +190
City +850
Coach +1000
Owner +1200
Family +400
None of the above +400
Roger Goodell (not listed)

Odds via Bovada
Reply With Quote
  #79  
Old 02-03-2019, 07:34 AM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
Tom Terrific" hasn't fared well on his 1st pass of the game in the Super Bowl, going just 4 of 8. IN fact, he's completed his 1st pass just once in his past 5 title games
Reply With Quote
  #80  
Old 02-03-2019, 07:49 AM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
The Pats will likely rely on their 3-headed RB monster and each player has an O/U of 3.5 yds on their 1st carry.
Reply With Quote
  #81  
Old 02-03-2019, 07:54 AM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
New England forced a touchback on fewer than half of Stephen Gostkowski's kickoffs this season, and that rate plummets to 23.8 percent over its past three games.
Reply With Quote
  #82  
Old 02-03-2019, 08:28 AM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
The team that wins the Super Bowl has also gone on to cover the spread 44 times against just 6 non-covers and 2 pushes.
Reply With Quote
  #83  
Old 02-03-2019, 08:42 AM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
WRs have produced the 1st TD of the Super Bowl 46.2% of the time. RBs are next at 28.8%, followed by D/ST 9.6%, TEs 7.7%, QBs 3.8% and FBs with 3.8%.
Reply With Quote
  #84  
Old 02-03-2019, 09:39 AM
Jahred Jahred is offline
risk reward
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Babylon
Posts: 23,288
Rewards: 4,342
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 1797
Likes (Received): 1368
Quote:
Originally Posted by TCD619 View Post
New England forced a touchback on fewer than half of Stephen Gostkowski's kickoffs this season, and that rate plummets to 23.8 percent over its past three games.
Last 3 in frigid weather right?
__________________
Reply With Quote
  #85  
Old 02-03-2019, 10:05 AM
psugisher psugisher is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 380
Rewards: 2,346
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 14
Likes (Received): 88
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jahred View Post
Last 3 in frigid weather right?
Isn't it done intentionally? I thought the Pats tried to kick it high and just short of the end zone so they can cover and force poorer field position. That's my thought process for taking the prop: will the opening kickoff be a touchback? I took no at +155.. hoping Pats win the toss, defer and kick short or Rams win the toss, take the ball and Pats kick it short.. or the kickoff returner is so jacked up he runs it out no matter what
Reply With Quote
  #86  
Old 02-03-2019, 10:29 AM
Jahred Jahred is offline
risk reward
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Babylon
Posts: 23,288
Rewards: 4,342
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 1797
Likes (Received): 1368
Quote:
Originally Posted by psugisher View Post
Isn't it done intentionally? I thought the Pats tried to kick it high and just short of the end zone so they can cover and force poorer field position. That's my thought process for taking the prop: will the opening kickoff be a touchback? I took no at +155.. hoping Pats win the toss, defer and kick short or Rams win the toss, take the ball and Pats kick it short.. or the kickoff returner is so jacked up he runs it out no matter what
Last year they did.

I believe that if receiving team signals a fair catch anywhere inside the 25 its the same as tb
__________________
Reply With Quote
  #87  
Old 02-03-2019, 10:52 AM
wayne1218 wayne1218 is offline
Hall of Fame
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Northeast
Posts: 33,698
Rewards: 18,030,418
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 5607
Likes (Received): 11045
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jahred View Post

I believe that if receiving team signals a fair catch anywhere inside the 25 its the same as tb
I thought that was just a College rule
Reply With Quote
  #88  
Old 02-03-2019, 10:54 AM
psugisher psugisher is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 380
Rewards: 2,346
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 14
Likes (Received): 88
Quote:
Originally Posted by wayne1218 View Post
I thought that was just a College rule
That is definitely only a college rule
Reply With Quote
  #89  
Old 02-03-2019, 11:47 AM
Jahred Jahred is offline
risk reward
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Babylon
Posts: 23,288
Rewards: 4,342
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 1797
Likes (Received): 1368
Still
__________________
Reply With Quote
  #90  
Old 02-03-2019, 12:46 PM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
First half betting records this season:

Pats:
SU: 13-4-1
ATS: 11-6-1
OU: 9-9

Rams:
SU: 10-4-4
ATS: 9-9
OU: 10-8
Reply With Quote
  #91  
Old 02-03-2019, 12:46 PM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
3 of the past 5 Super Bowls had more than 2 players attempting at least 1 pass. Super Bowl LII saw both teams use 2 pass-throwers, with the Eagles Burton and the Pats Edelman posting 1 attempt
Reply With Quote
  #92  
Old 02-03-2019, 12:51 PM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
Oddsmakers are going against recent history when it comes to D or ST TDs and that could mean a sneaky good profit play for bettors. There has been a D/ST score in 8 of the past 12 Super Bowls.
Reply With Quote
  #93  
Old 02-03-2019, 01:37 PM
TCD619 TCD619 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 22,702
Rewards: 560
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2743
Likes (Received): 2353
The Rams went 5 for 7 on 2-point attempts, the Pats were 0 for 1. That said, there has been at least one 2-point attempt in 8 of the past 9 Super Bowls, with teams going 5 for 9 on those attempts
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
7-0, bowl, games, parry, super

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:53 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.79% Host: cappersmallweb5