Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, NFL odds or fantasy football.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-25-2020, 11:40 AM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 122,928
Rewards: 136,444
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 14634
Likes (Received): 33307
Arrow Thanksgiving Trends

Since 2003, favorites on Thanksgiving have gone 35-13 (72.9%) ATS


Over the same span, games played on 4 daysí rest (which is the case almost every Thursday) have trended significantly toward the favorite, to the tune of a 105-79-4 (57.1%) ATS record


Sides getting more than 50% of bets on Thanksgiving have gone 30-16 (65.2%) ATS since 2003

Current Sports Insights Public Sides:

Texans (59%) at Lions
Cowboys (53%) vs. Washington
Steelers (56%) vs. Ravens


The primetime Thanksgiving matchup has only been around since 2006, but itís developed some pretty strong trends in that short time frame.

Following the short-rest theory, favorites in the 14 night games have gone 12-2 (85.7%) ATS ... And with the public generally on those sides, teams getting more than 50% of bets have gone 9-5 (64.3%) ATS.



And while the afternoon matchups often bring in non-divisional opponents to keep matchups fresh (20 of the past 34 have been non-divisional), the nightcap has recently become almost strictly a divisional showdown ... Ravens-Steelers will make it 8 of the past 9 years.

Unders in the 14 Thanksgiving night games have gone 10-4 (71.4%)

Thatís compared to a 16-18 (47.1%) under record during the afternoon games on file.

The 8 divisional games have seen a 6-2 (75%) record to the under.




__________________
Likes hawks98 liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-25-2020, 11:45 AM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 122,928
Rewards: 136,444
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 14634
Likes (Received): 33307
Lions are 1-11 ATS / 0-12 SU Last 12 Thanksgivings in dog roles



__________________
Likes hawks98, fed11, fat-freddie liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-25-2020, 12:35 PM
secondbase secondbase is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Wentzville, Mo
Posts: 91,538
Rewards: 16,157
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 12433
Likes (Received): 12289
ty nyk
__________________
Likes New York Knight liked this post
2nd Place 2010 MLB 2nd half Contest
3rd Place 2010 Capper of The Year
Co Good guy of the Year award 2010
Poster of the Month Award Winner
2009 Co Champ World Series Contest
January 2012 Play of the Day winner
Bracket Buster Survivor 2nd Place
2012 Cappersmall Hall of Fame inductee
2014 PGA Golf Season 1st place
2014 PGA Golf Season Money List 3rd place
2014 LMS Point Spread contest runner up
2016 Golf Team contest 1st place
2020 December Member of the Month
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-25-2020, 12:56 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 122,928
Rewards: 136,444
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 14634
Likes (Received): 33307
Ignore the primetime game trends ... game moved to Sunday


NFL is leaving tomorrow night's slot empty.

Updated Thanksgiving schedule:

12:30 EST: HOU- DET on CBS

4:40 EST: WSH-DAL on FOX
__________________
Likes darth wager liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-25-2020, 01:36 PM
oceanOO oceanOO is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Virginia
Posts: 1,580
Rewards: 158,404
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 893
Likes (Received): 541
Thanks Knight!
__________________
Likes New York Knight liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-25-2020, 08:07 PM
Sarge844 Sarge844 is offline
Never kept $ past sunset
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Nj
Posts: 9,110
Rewards: 13,670
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2431
Likes (Received): 1603
Thanks for info. Bol

Happy Thanksgiving
__________________
Likes New York Knight liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-25-2020, 08:46 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 122,928
Rewards: 136,444
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 14634
Likes (Received): 33307
Not Thanksgiving related but Lions related ...

Lions ruled out Kenny Golladay, Danny Amendola and Jeff Okudah for Thursday's game vs. Texans ... RB D'Andre Swift is listed as questionable


Detroit will be missing key pieces tomorrow vs Houston. Since former DC Matt Patricia took over, the Lions fail to repeat good def efforts.

They are 0-10 ATS at home after holding their prev opp to <24 points

They lose by >12 points on avg, lost all 10 by >=4 & opps avg 32ppg



__________________
Likes fat-freddie liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-26-2020, 10:54 AM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 122,928
Rewards: 136,444
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 14634
Likes (Received): 33307
Just the same friendly reminder I post weekly in the "spots that pay out thread" ... Use however you want ... fade / follow or simply ignore ... just sharing info.


Teams are 0-6 ATS since 2016 and 3-17 ATS since 2004 as a home dog on Thanksgiving

Fits Lions (again)


__________________
Likes fat-freddie, Funtus, SCFAN liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-26-2020, 12:06 PM
SCFAN SCFAN is offline
Wave photog
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: so cal
Posts: 3,364
Rewards: 3,165
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 638
Likes (Received): 260
Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
Just the same friendly reminder I post weekly in the "spots that pay out thread" ... Use however you want ... fade / follow or simply ignore ... just sharing info.


Teams are 0-6 ATS since 2016 and 3-17 ATS since 2004 as a home dog on Thanksgiving

Fits Lions (again)


Iím thankful for NYK
__________________
Likes New York Knight, papa bear liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-26-2020, 04:32 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 122,928
Rewards: 136,444
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 14634
Likes (Received): 33307
Happy Thanksgiving SCFAN
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
ats, games, record, sides, thanksgiving

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:55 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.00% Host: cappersmallweb4