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  #1  
Old 01-10-2022, 12:29 AM
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Wild Card Weekend Info

SuperBook


Saturday, January 15, 2022

4:30PM
LV (48)
Cin -6.5

8:15PM
NE (44)
Buf -4.5


Sunday, January 16, 2022

1:00PM
Phi (48.5)
TB -9

4:30PM
SF (49.5)
Dal -3

8:15PM
Pit (46.5)
KC -11.5


Monday, January 17, 2022

8:15PM
Ari (50)
LAR -5
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Old 01-10-2022, 12:32 AM
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This will not be the first ever Monday Wild Card game. There have been 2 others.

All NFL Monday playoff games in history:

12/26/88 WC LAR-MIN
12/26/83 WC LAR-DAL
12/26/77 DIV CHI-DAL
12/26/77 DIV MIN-LAR
12/26/60 NFLCG GB-PHI
12/26/55 NFLCG CLE-LAR
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Old 01-10-2022, 01:20 PM
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BetMGM

AZ/NJ/WV/IN/CO/TN/PA/IA/MI/VA/DC/WY



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Old 01-10-2022, 01:58 PM
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Dogs are 8-6 outright in WC weekend last 3 seasons ... 9 of 14 games went under the total

Since 2002, Unders are 46-31-1 (60%) in WC weekend

Dating back to 2007, at least 1 dog has won outright in this round in 12 of the last 14 seasons
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Old 01-10-2022, 03:42 PM
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Caesars Sportsbook

Took

$110,000 on Cardinals/Rams Under 50.5 (-110)
$110,000 on Steelers/Chiefs Under 47 (-110)
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Old 01-11-2022, 02:30 PM
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Dogs are 15-3 ATS the last 4 years in the WC round
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Old 01-12-2022, 03:39 PM
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BetOnline


Early Wild Card Weekend bet count

57% CIN -5.5 v LV
58% BUF -4 v NE
59% TB -8.5 v PHI
56% DAL -3 v SF
51% PIT +12.5 @ KC
54% AZ +4 @ LAR
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Old 01-12-2022, 04:03 PM
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Old 01-12-2022, 04:05 PM
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BetMGM


Line movement

Bengals -6.5 to -5.5 vs. Raiders
Bills -4.5, no movement vs. Patriots
Bucs -7.5 to -8.5 vs. Eagles
Cowboys -2.5 to -3 vs. 49ers
Chiefs -13.5 to -12.5 vs. Steelers
Rams -3.5 to -4.5 vs. Cardinals


Total movement

Bengals-Raiders 48.5 to 49
Bills-Patriots 43.5 to 44
Bucs-Eagles 49.5 to 49
Cowboys-49ers 50.5, no movement
Chiefs-Steelers 47.5 to 46.5
Rams-Cardinals 50.5 to 49.5
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  #10  
Old 01-12-2022, 04:15 PM
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Odds to Win the NFC

We have a liability on 2 teams:

1. PHI +2800 (Medium Loss)
2. SF +1100 (Medium L)


We win on:

1. AZ +1200 (Large W)
2. TB +360 (Large W)
3. GB +155 (Medium W)
4. LAR +550 (Small W)
5. DAL (Small W)

"Lions woulda been our biggest Loss"



Odds to Win the AFC

We have a liability on 2 teams:

1. TEN +300 (XXXL Loss)
2. LV +1800 (XL Loss)


We win on:

1. BUF +360 (XXL Win)
2. KC +185 (XL Win)
3. NE +950 (XL Win)
4. CIN +800 (L Win)
5. PIT +3300 (Small Win)
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Old 01-12-2022, 04:15 PM
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Silly trend: The 6 seed has done well against the 3 seed the past few years

2021 - Rams (6) beat Seahawks (3), Browns (6) beat Steelers (3)
2020 - Titans (6) beat Patriots (3), Vikings (6) beat Saints (3)
2019 - Colts (6) beat Texans (3), Eagles (6) beat Bears (3)
2018 - Falcons (6) beat Rams (3)
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Old 01-12-2022, 04:40 PM
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A few more ...

The outright winner owns a point spread record of 48-7-1 ATS in the last 56 wild card playoff games

Home favorites of seven or fewer are 14-28-1 ATS in the wild card round since 2003

In the last eight years, road teams are 22-11-1 ATS in wild card games. Home favorites facing division opponents in the wild card round are 3-9-1 ATS since 2003

Of the last 30 wild card games with totals of 44 or higher, the Under is 21-8-1

In the last 31 Sunday wild card games, 23 have gone Under the total

Of the (18) #3 seed vs. #6 seed wild card matchups over the last nine seasons, the Under is 15-2-1
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  #13  
Old 01-12-2022, 04:58 PM
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What are this year's seedings? TIA
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Old 01-12-2022, 05:21 PM
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AFC Playoff Bracket
Wild Card Weekend

No. 2 Chiefs (12–5) will host No. 7 Steelers on Sunday at 8:15 p.m. ET
No. 3 Bills (11–6) will host No. 6 Patriots on Saturday at 8:15 p.m. ET
No. 4 Bengals (10–7) will host No. 5 Raiders on Saturday at 4:30 p.m. ET


NFC Playoff Bracket
Wild Card Weekend

No. 2 Buccaneers (13–4) will host No. 7 Eagles (9–8) on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
No. 3 Cowboys (12–5) will host No. 6 49ers (10–7) on Sunday at 4:30 p.m. ET
No. 4 Rams (12–5) will host No. 5 Cardinals (11–6) on Monday at 8:15 p.m. ET
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Old 01-13-2022, 03:52 PM
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(Excludes games where both QBs were making 1st start)

Since 2002, QB's making their first NFL Playoff start:

17-33 SU
16-33-1 ATS


QBs making first start in Wild Card Weekend:

Joe Burrow
Kyler Murray
Derek Carr
Jalen Hurts
Mac Jones
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Old 01-13-2022, 04:33 PM
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LV @ CIN
62% $$ and 60% Bets on CIN -5

NE @ BUF
54% $$ and 59% Bets on BUF -4

PHI @ TB
59% $$ on PHI +8.5
58% Bets on TB

SF @ DAL
55% $$ and 52% Bets on DAL -3

PIT @ KC
59% $$ and 51% Bets on PIT +12.5

AZ @ LAR
58% $$ and 56% Bets on AZ +4
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Old 01-13-2022, 05:50 PM
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Old 01-14-2022, 12:47 PM
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BetRivers Sportsbook

($$)

Bucs -9 (83%)
Bengals -5.5 (81%)
Chiefs -12.5 (76%)
Bills -4 (75%)
49ers +3.5 (58%)
Rams -4 (57%)
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Old 01-14-2022, 12:52 PM
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"49ers at Cowboys spread action close to 50/50. Moneyline looking to be the big need in that game. Will be the biggest ML decision of the weekend it's looking. 70% of the cash on the Niners +142."
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:07 PM
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BetMGM ... (Nationally)


AZ/NJ/WV/IN/NV/CO/TN/PA/IA/MI/VA/DC/WY


Most bet games (ticket count)
1. Raiders-Bengals
2. 49ers-Cowboys
3. Patriots-Bills

Most bet teams (tickets)
1. Bengals -5.5
2. Buccaneers -8.5
3. Cardinals +4

Most bet teams (handle)
1. Cowboys -3
2. Bengals -5.5
3. Buccaneers -8.5



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Old 01-14-2022, 01:08 PM
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:32 PM
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Old 01-14-2022, 02:48 PM
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Old 01-14-2022, 04:33 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
Caesars Sportsbook

Took

$110,000 on Cardinals/Rams Under 50.5 (-110)
$110,000 on Steelers/Chiefs Under 47 (-110)


$110,000 on Bengals -5 (-110)
$110,000 on Bengals -5 (-110) ... Again
$100,000 on Eagles ML (+330)
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Old 01-14-2022, 04:39 PM
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Adam Pullen - Assistant Director of Trading at Caesars


“It’s a little odd that only one spread has gotten really lopsided action so far. Maybe that’s the age we’re in today, people are backing more dogs. With the sharp action that we’re taking, we’re more apt to see more dog money in bigger amounts than in years past. But it’s definitely interesting, you’d think there be a little more opinion, even this early on. I think it’ll correct itself in the next day or two with the games going on.”


“It’s interesting that Bills-Patriots is the spread with the biggest disparity, I wouldn’t have guessed that. At the beginning of the season, the Bills were viewed as one of the top Super Bowl contenders and the Patriots weren’t expected to do much. With how the Bills came on late in the season, including handling the Patriots in New England, I think those expectations have shifted back to what they were. It’s a small number for a team that has been expected to challenge for a Super Bowl all season long, whereas the Patriots haven’t had that as much.”


“When the market first opened there were some Bengals -6.5s, I thought that was a little high so I went Bengals -6. We did get to as low as 5, and that’s when the big bets came in. So it’s up to 5.5 off those bets, that’s where all the Cincinnati money was. We’ve had Raiders money at 5.5 and 6, it’s just when it bottomed out that we got Bengals money.”


“We took a big bet on Eagles moneyline. When someone respected bets on the moneyline, the spread will move down as well. Parlays and teasers will mostly be in Tampa’s favor, but still slightly more money overall on the Eagles. That’s an interesting game, there’s a bit of doubt on the defending Super Bowl champs and the Eagles have played well down the stretch. But it’s still Tom Brady in the playoffs, so when we get closer to kickoff, I think more people will be backing the Bucs with the proven entity rather than Jalen Hurts and an Eagles teams that weren’t supposed to be here.”


There are two spreads with the majority of the tickets and dollars on opposing sides. One is on the biggest spread of Super Wild Card Weekend, with the 12.5-point favorite Chiefs receiving 54% of the total dollars wagered and the Steelers collecting 53% of the total number of tickets. Then on Monday night, the Rams (-4) have the edge with 51% of the total number of tickets, but it’s the Cardinals that have captured 54% of the total dollars wagered.

“Both teams are coming off losses at the end of the season, so a lot of questions on both sides. You’d think good two-way action with the spread being this tight and these teams meeting twice in the regular season. I don’t think it’ll be as close when this kicks off Monday, more money is going to be on the Rams eventually. The Rams are viewed as just a better team than the Cardinals and they’re the favorite here, and that should generate a lot of public action.”



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