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-   -   That Number 9 AGAIN...... (https://www.cappersmall.com/forums/f53/number-9-again-615153/)

goldengreek 09-20-2015 08:45 AM

That Number 9 AGAIN......
 
Uncanny.....so many teams lose S/U when they are favored by 9 or 9 .5


yesterday ....arkansas, usc , and alabama..all favored by 9 or 9.5

all lost s/u

it happens alot in football and basketball...pros and college

sportsreport 09-20-2015 09:19 AM

nice info

vikesfan 09-20-2015 09:21 AM

that means saints are in trouble today.

goldengreek 09-20-2015 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vikesfan (Post 6869590)
that means saints are in trouble today.

yup

goldengreek 09-20-2015 03:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vikesfan (Post 6869590)
that means saints are in trouble today.

BoooooM


WAS GONNA PLAY IT...LOL....BUT DIDNT....DAMMIT

gooberage 09-21-2015 12:50 PM

So true. Also notice +2 & 2.5, +6 & 6.5. If the oddsmaker posts a number directly under a "popular" football score your average Joe says "oh they only need to win by 3 or 7 or 10," and he bets the favorite.

Dr. Jack 09-21-2015 12:54 PM

Years and years ago one year 10.5 was like this. It doesn't last forever but it does seem like some of these numbers get streaky

goldengreek 09-21-2015 01:19 PM

I checked with bet labs

Since 2005...

9.5 is the most profitable number in terms of betting a dog straight up and on ROI

DOGS GETTING 9.5 IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL ARE 48- 108 STRAIGHT UP !

THAT IS 32 % OF ALL DOGS GETTING 9.5 HAVE WON S/U !!!

Next highest rate is 10.5 point dogs ,followed by 9 point dogs

duckster 09-21-2015 04:05 PM

2014 -9 HFav ATS 1-2 SU 3-0, AFav ATS 2-1 SU 3-0, Total ATS 3-3 SU 6-0

2014 -9.5 HFav ATS 8-7 SU 12-3, AFav ATS 2-3 SU 3-2. Total ATS 10-10 SU 15-5

2014 -10 HFav ATS 3-10-1 SU 6-8, AFav ATS 5-1 SU 6-0, Total ATS 8-11-1 SU 12-8

2014 -10.5 HFav ATS 9-8 SU 13-4, AFav ATS 3-0 SU 3-0, Total ATS 12-8 SU 16-4



Power 5 Conference ONLY Games
2014 -9 HFav ATS 0-0 SU 0-0, AFav ATS 1-1 SU 2-0, Total ATS 1-1 SU 2-0

2014 -9.5 HFav ATS 3-4 SU 6-1, AFav ATS 1-0 SU 1-0, Total ATS 4-4 SU 7-1

2014 -10 HFav ATS 0-5 SU 2-3, AFav ATS 1-0 SU 1-0, Total ATS 1-5, SU 3-3

2014-10.5 HFav ATS 1-2 SU 2-1, AFav ATS 2-0 SU 2-0, Total ATS 3-2 SU 4-1


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2015 -9 HFav ATS 0-1 SU 0-1, Total ATS 0-1 SU 0-1

2015 -9.5 HFav ATS 0-2 SU 0-2, AFav ATS 2-1 SU 3-0, Total ATS 2-3 SU 3-2

2015 -10 HFav ATS 3-1 SU 4-0, AFav ATS 0-1 SU 0-1, Total ATS 3-2 SU 4-1

2015 -10.5 HFav ATS 1-1 SU 2-0, Total ATS 1-1 SU 2-0.

2015 P5 teams playing each other -9 to -10.5 not 100% on this but think
HFav ATS 1-4 SU 2-3, AFav ATS 1-0 Su 1-0, Tota ATS 2-4 SU 3-3

(Aub/Lou game was at N site in Atlanta, but for stats we considered Aub H team)

gooberage 09-21-2015 10:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gooberage (Post 6873051)
So true. Also notice +2 & 2.5, +6 & 6.5. If the oddsmaker posts a number directly under a "popular" football score your average Joe says "oh they only need to win by 3 or 7 or 10," and he bets the favorite.

Hits again tonight. ATS & SU

BrewMan 09-21-2015 10:47 PM

Do you have to use the closing line for this trend?

gooberage 09-21-2015 11:04 PM

Dude that is a great question. I have many posts in here about line variance from book to book and even minute to minute and second to second. 3 different books below. It all depends on when & where an individual makes his bet.

09/21 2:53pm IND-300 NYJ+240 IND-7 +100 NYJ+7 -120 46.0 -110 46.0 -110
09/21 3:15pm IND-280 NYJ+230 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 46.0 -110 46.0 -110
09/21 3:41pm IND-280 NYJ+230 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
09/21 5:30pm IND-280 NYJ+230 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 46.0 -110 46.0 -110
09/21 6:19pm IND-260 NYJ+210 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 46.0 -110 46.0 -110
09/21 7:16pm IND-260 NYJ+210 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 46.5 -110 46.5 -110
09/21 7:25pm IND-260 NYJ+210 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 46.0 -110 46.0 -110
09/21 7:28pm IND-260 NYJ+210 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
09/21 8:15pm IND-260 NYJ+210 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
09/21 8:26pm IND-260 NYJ+210 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
09/21 8:29pm IND-260 NYJ+210 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
09/21 9:58pm IND-260 NYJ+210 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
09/21 10:00pm IND-260 NYJ+210 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110


09/21 4:50pm IND-270 NYJ+230 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.0 -110 45.0 -110
09/21 6:30pm IND-270 NYJ+230 IND-6 -110 NYJ+6 -110 45.0 -110 45.0 -110
09/21 6:34pm IND-270 NYJ+230 IND-6 -110 NYJ+6 -110 45.0 -110 45.0 -110
09/21 7:32pm IND-270 NYJ+230 IND-6 -110 NYJ+6 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110

09/21 5:21pm IND-280 NYJ+240 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.0 -110 45.0 -110
09/21 5:56pm IND-280 NYJ+240 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
09/21 6:07pm IND-270 NYJ+230 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
09/21 9:56pm IND-270 NYJ+230 IND-6.5 -110 NYJ+6.5 -110 45.5 -110 45.5 -110

stalker-dude 09-21-2015 11:14 PM

Quick.....somebody find that old Beatles record #9 and play it backwards....Reverse the Curse!:yaho:

goldengreek 09-21-2015 11:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stalker-dude (Post 6874469)
quick.....somebody find that old beatles record #9 and play it backwards....reverse the curse!:yaho:

noooooo....dont reverse it ...play money line dogs + 300 - +450

why would you want to reverse it ...lol

ONE51RUM 09-22-2015 12:06 AM

sounds a bit like my nfl theory of the oddsmakers setting a line of 5 or 5.5 just a weird number to open a line at... last yr it had a good record of covers..and outright wins by the dog.. and a home dog is a double play...nice info.. it was even more of a diff line before the 2pt conv was allowed but with so many books now its harder because some wmay have 5 or 5.5 some 6 and so on.. probably same with the #9

but its interesting..as I look here this week I see penn st opened at -9.5 now -15....g.tech-9.5...marshall opens at-11 now -9....tcu-8.5 but may be 9 at a lot of books...col [email protected] texas san ant...again just going by my book

gl interesting stuff 151

Sundevil 09-22-2015 10:12 AM

GG your going to have to post the plays for the heads up? Great find by the way.

duckster 09-22-2015 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by goldengreek (Post 6873080)
I checked with bet labs

Since 2005...

9.5 is the most profitable number in terms of betting a dog straight up and on ROI

DOGS GETTING 9.5 IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL ARE 48- 108 STRAIGHT UP !

THAT IS 32 % OF ALL DOGS GETTING 9.5 HAVE WON S/U !!!

Next highest rate is 10.5 point dogs ,followed by 9 point dogs

just curious if you ran that scan and just do Away Favorites what numbers would be, or in your scan take out Home Dogs, thanks

Quaker639 09-26-2015 01:20 PM

g-tech -9 headed towards a loss!

Paragsppl 09-26-2015 01:33 PM

I see East Carolina +9.5 playing at home vs VaTech

CecilBrown 09-26-2015 01:35 PM

If you're interested, here's the esoteric meaning...

9 is the first square of an odd number (33). It is associated with errors and shortcomings, because it lacks the perfect number to 10 in the same units.

Integral part of chaos/order in the Universe.

]{

duckster 09-26-2015 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Quaker639 (Post 6881281)
g-tech -9 headed towards a loss!

GT was -7.5 at most all books

Quaker639 09-26-2015 01:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duckster (Post 6881313)
GT was -7.5 at most all books

opened at 9 at most books :confused:

not the only one who mentioned g tech either ...

goldengreek 09-26-2015 03:30 PM

Up to the individual how they want to do it .... but I would say it should be the closing number / most widely available number throughout the week... Personally..and this is just me... I didn't consider it as a play because it was between 7 - 8.5 the last 3 days

goldengreek 09-26-2015 03:32 PM

Colorado St is giving 9.5 to UTSA currently

F. Atl - 9.5 or - 10 @ Charlotte

I do think these work better in bigger more high profile games like USC last week

I remember Dallas winning as a 9.5 point dog @ Seattle last year

Not sure if the 2 no name schools above would qualify...cause lets face it... not many ppl are betting those 2 games

looter 09-26-2015 05:13 PM

I see these two as well. Not sure if I wanna play Utah SU but played Arkansas SU

Arkansas +6.5

Utah +10.5


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